Gale Warning 55, NWS Anchorage, AK

200 
FZAK51 PAFC 160300 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-161515-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 966 MB LOW 245 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO 25 NM WEST
OF CORDOVA AT 965 MB BY MIDDAY MONDAY REMAINING QUASI-STATIONARY
THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES INTO PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND THROUGH MON AFTERNOON WHILE THE TRAILING FRONT
SWEEPS ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA BY TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-161515-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 20 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-161515-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 19 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-161515-
RESURRECTION BAY-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-161515-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-161515-
PORT VALDEZ-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-161515-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-161515-
VALDEZ ARM-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-161515-
PASSAGE CANAL-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING
TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-161515-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-161515-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-161515-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-161515-
CHINIAK BAY-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-161515-
MARMOT BAY-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-161515-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF
BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-161515-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.


$$

PKZ140-161515-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-161515-
KACHEMAK BAY-
600 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT TOWARD MORNING.  
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

501 
FZAK51 PAFC 161233
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-170145-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 965 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND MOVES INTO
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TODAY AND BECOMES A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BY
TONIGHT. THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE PERSISTS OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF THROUGH LATE TUE NIGHT. STRONG GAP WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THE BARRENS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-170145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-170145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 45 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 12
FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-170145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-170145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-170145-
PORT VALDEZ-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-170145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-170145-
VALDEZ ARM-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-170145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR
WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING AND TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING
SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-170145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-170145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-170145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-170145-
CHINIAK BAY-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-170145-
MARMOT BAY-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-170145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-170145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-170145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 KT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ141-170145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

540 
FZAK51 PAFC 170023
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171345-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 970 MB LOW OVER HINCHINBROOK ISLAND MOVES INLAND MON NIGHT. 
THE TRAILING FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA BY TUE
AFTERNOON. WEAK LOW PRESSURE LINGERS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
AND SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA THROUGH WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-171345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. 
SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-171345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 19 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-171345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-171345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-171345-
PORT VALDEZ-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-171345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-171345-
VALDEZ ARM-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-171345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-171345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-171345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-171345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NW 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-171345-
CHINIAK BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-171345-
MARMOT BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-171345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES 
IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-171345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-171345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ141-171345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
415 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The closed upper low has shifted to the North over interior
Alaska, with some weakening upper level waves along the base of
the trough over the Southwest Mainland. A separate low pressure
system that moved onshore last night has pushed further inland,
causing precipitation over the Eastern Prince William Sound to
taper off early this morning. As this storm continues to push
strongly into the interior of the state, strong southerly winds
continue to usher in an arctic airmass over much of Southcentral
Alaska. As seen in current observations, the result is continued
colder temperatures around the Cook Inlet region and over much of
the the Southcentral interior. Meanwhile, just south of the Gulf
of Alaska, satellite imagery shows the northward progression of
the next system expected to bring another round of weather to
Southcentral this afternoon.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models remain in remarkably good agreement given the highly
amplified large-scale pattern and generally fast speed in which
systems are moving into mainland Alaska. All models continue to
show the next storm following a similar track to the current
storm, with the notable difference being some consensus for a bit
more easterly track of the low into Prince William Sound tonight.
As with the current storm, very small deviations in the low track
will have large implications on the location of the heaviest snow
band.

At this time the preferred models for this system are the NAM and
GFS, which are in good agreement on the low tracking into the
central or eastern Prince William Sound. However, if the low
happens to track further west than expected (over Western Prince
William Sound) the snow totals could end up higher for the
Anchorage area. Currently there are no 00Z models producing a more
westerly solution than the NAM/GFS. On the other hand, if the low
were to push slightly eastward (EC/GEM), snow totals could end up
lower for the Anchorage area.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Diminishing southerly winds and VFR conditions will
continue through this morning. Clouds begin to thicken up again
during the day today in advance of the next storm with mvfr cigs
and light snow likely developing sometime early this afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A low just southwest of the Gulf of Alaska will move rapidly north
today and tonight, pushing into Prince William Sound Monday
morning. Precipitation from this impressively large storm will
reach the eastern Gulf coast late this morning, then spread
westward to the Kenai peninsula in the early afternoon. Light
snowfall will develop in the Cook Inlet area later in the
afternoon. There is enough warm air with this system that the snow
could briefly mix with or change to rain in the Cordova area. As
the low moves into Prince William Sound on Monday morning, the
dynamics will improve for the production of snow in the Anchorage
area and Matanuska valley. The surface low will also reach its
strongest at this time, bottoming out at around 962 mb. The low
will push inland in the afternoon and another round of cold
advection will begin.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
Cold air being ushered over the area from a low over interior
Alaska will settle in over southwest Alaska through Tuesday.
Temperatures for inland locations will drop into the negative 30s
Monday night, but winds should remain light. This setup will also
keep much of the cloud cover away from the area which will aid in
the cold temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
Cold northerly flow will continue over the Bering and Aleutians
through Tuesday bringing snow showers to these areas. This evening
a low will approach the Central Aleutians from the south but looks
to remain just south of the islands where it will sit through
Tuesday. However, guidance is struggling on the position of this
low with different models and different runs of the models showing
different low locations. The majority keep the low south of the
Aleutians.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The low pressure system parked in the Prince William Sound region
will be dissipating by Tuesday afternoon. This keeps northerly
flow through the Southwest Alaska region. Therefore, cooler
temperatures from the north filters into the Southcentral, and
Southwest Alaska area. Look for the coldest temperatures over the
Lower Kuskokwim Valley, and Bristol Bay interior. The temperatures
will range from minus 20 to upper 30 below range which will
likely create wind chill issues for the Southwest Alaska
region by Thursday. Therefore, look for gusty gap winds to
develop through the Barren Islands, Whittier, and Thompson Passes
heading into the weekend. Meanwhile, the upper levels have a
closed low over the Seward Peninsula region. This synoptic feature
produces shortwaves which will swing through the Gulf into the
Southcentral region through the weekend. This pattern will be
very active in driving storm tracks across the Aleutian Chain into
the Gulf before entering the Southcentral Region. The models have
discrepancies with timing and placement of the aforementioned
synoptic features. Looking at the jet stream, a strong westerly
zonal flow remains south of the Aleutian Chain with the NAM being
the faster model with these storm systems, while the ECMWF has
been slower. This is making the forecast confidence below average
as we head into the weekend. While, the majority of the Bering
remains in northerly flow with continued showery regime through
Friday, except for a storm force low developing over the Central
Aleutians by Tuesday. This storm tracks along the chain before
crossing the Alaska Peninsula by Thursday into the Gulf. By
Saturday a rapidly intensifying storm force low tracks just west
of Shemya with an associated front swinging through the Central
Aleutians and western Bering. This brings abundant moisture
accompanied by strong southerly winds with warmer temperatures to
the Bering.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Blizzard Watch 131.
MARINE...Gale Warning 119 120 130 131 132 150.
Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 131 139 150 160 165 180 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...TP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...MC