Wind Advisory 29, NWS Albuquerque, NM

943 
WWUS75 KABQ 271826
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1226 PM MDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS TODAY...

.Strong to damaging winds are developing much of New Mexico today
as another upper level trough moves from west to east along the 
New Mexico and Colorado border. The strongest winds are expected 
across the Sandia, Manzano and south central mountains as well as 
the central and south central highlands. Gusts near 60 mph will be
possible in this area. Winds will diminish this evening.

NMZ521-523-524-526-539-540-280100-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-170428T0100Z/
Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Central Highlands-
South Central Highlands-South Central Mountains-
Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
1226 PM MDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...Sandia, Manzano and South Central Mountains, 
  Central and South Central Highlands, Eastern Lincoln and 
  Southwest Chaves Counties. 

* WINDS...West to northwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts to around 60 
  mph. 

* TIMING...Wind will peak during the afternoon and diminish this 
  evening. 

* VISIBILITY...Locally reduced in dust prone locations.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Strong cross winds will impact north to south 
  oriented roads. Light weight and unsecured objects may become 
  airborne. Flimsy structures may topple over. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remember, A High Wind Warning means damaging winds are imminent
or highly likely. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or
gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

&&

$$

NMZ505>508-512>515-519-520-522-525-527>538-280100-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-170428T0100Z/
West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Estancia Valley-Upper Tularosa Valley-
Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-Far Northeast Highlands-
Northeast Highlands-Union County-Harding County-
Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-Quay County-
Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-Chaves County Plains-
1226 PM MDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...This includes all of eastern New Mexico, the 
  Estancia, Upper Tularosa, middle and lower Rio Grande Valley 
  and much of western New Mexico near and south of Interstate 
  40. 

* WINDS...Westerly at 25 to 35 mph with gusts between 50 and 55 
  mph. 

* TIMING...Winds will peak during the afternoon, and diminish 
  early this evening. 

* VISIBILITY...Locally reduced in dust prone locations.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Strong cross winds are expected on north to 
  south oriented roadways which may make driving difficult for 
  high profile vehicles. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should exercise caution while travelling. Sudden gusts
of wind may cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Extra
attention should be given to cross winds.

&&

$$

437 
WWUS75 KABQ 280040
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
640 PM MDT Thu Apr 27 2017

NMZ521-523-524-526-539-540-280145-
/O.EXP.KABQ.HW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-170428T0100Z/
Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Central Highlands-
South Central Highlands-South Central Mountains-
Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
640 PM MDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

Winds will continue to weaken through sunset, so the High Wind
Warning will be allowed to expire.

$$

NMZ505>508-512>515-519-520-522-525-527>538-280145-
/O.EXP.KABQ.WI.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-170428T0100Z/
West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Estancia Valley-Upper Tularosa Valley-
Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-Far Northeast Highlands-
Northeast Highlands-Union County-Harding County-
Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-Quay County-
Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-Chaves County Plains-
640 PM MDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

Winds will continue to weaken through sunset, so the Wind Advisory 
will be allowed to expire..

$$

44

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
340 AM MDT Thu Apr 27 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Strong winds are expected to return to the east and south today with
critical fire weather conditions along and south of Interstate 40
this afternoon. A few showers and storms will pass over the north as
well. An unseasonably cold storm system remains on track for Friday
through Saturday night. This system has the potential to bring
significant snow to the northeast third of the state Saturday. Highs
Saturday will range from 20 to 35 degrees below average and much of
the forecast area could see near to below freezing temperatures
Saturday night. Drier northwest flow aloft moves in on Sunday with
another cold front impacting the east next Tuesday or Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Light precipitation passing over the region north of Interstate 40
early this morning. RAP13 indicates the majority of precipitation
will be focused over the northwest and Sangre de Cristo mts today
with spotty showers over the west central high terrain and
Sandia/Manzano mts. Winds to be the main story though and definitely
not clear cut in regards to placement of wind advisories or high
wind warnings, thanks to disparities in the different models and
potential for cloud cover to limit mixing hgts. Zones across the
south and east will be the main focus areas though as the forecast
sfc pressure gradient becomes oriented from northwest to southeast
over the state.

Chances for precipitation over the north taper off tonight, then the
incoming storm system sags into the Four Corners area late Friday
afternoon. Winds could be strong again Friday afternoon over the
south, and as band of precipitation develops from west to east over
central NM. NAM is shifted farther north from the GFS in regards to
the axis of precipitation but both are similar with the idea. High
temperatures will trend cooler and will be 5 to 15 degrees below
average over most of the forecast area. Precipitation ramps up
Friday night as the colder 700 mb temperatures move in from the
northwest initially, allowing for what may turn out to be some
advisory level snow accumulations along the Contdvd. The upper low
tracks over the state Saturday, while the back door cold front rips
down the eastern plains. The sfc gradient Saturday morning is close
to 20mb so winds will be definitely brisk and gusty. The colder air
aloft still forecast to be around -10 degC is shown to pour down the
east slopes of the central mt chain and plains. Timing of transition
of liquid to frozen precipitation a little tricky, but higher QPF
values have shifted more over the northeast than Sangre de Cristo
mts although forecast snow amounts enough for advisory or even
warning anyway. Decided to out with a winter storm watch starting
Friday night at midnight and continuing into late Saturday night,
when the storm system should be exiting. Near to below freezing
temperatures across the entire forecast area are possible Saturday
night.

Temperatures slowly warm up early next week with dry weather but
another cold front to impact at least the eastern third to half
forecast for Tuesday/Wednesday. Dry nw flow or a ridge may dominate
mid to late next week but unsettled wx may follow.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Critical fire weather conditions are expected today across zones
106, 107 and 108, though by no means is today a "slam dunk." Despite
being only a few hours away, models continue to struggle with the
details. The GFS continues to show much higher mountain top level
winds and much higher mixing heights than the NAM this afternoon.
Plus there is a question of cloud cover and minimum humidities. In
the middle Rio Grande Valley, the greatest concern for critical
conditions exists south of the ABQ metro area, while in Zone 107,
the area of greatest concern is south of Highway 60. Humidities may
be too high north of these areas today, though the winds will be
very strong. Additionally, concern is lower for areas that have seen
recent rainfall, including the Sandia and Manzano Mtns and Quay
County. Zones 106, 107 and 108 have been upgraded to a Red Flag
Warning, but have opted to not upgrade Zone 109 due to limited areal
extent of critical conditions.

The winds will be strong area wide today, through the strongest
winds are expected across Zone 107 where gusts will near 60 mph.
Gusts near 50 mph can be expected across much of the plains, Rio
Grande Valley and west central NM. Winds will decrease this evening.

Overnight, a Pacific front will move from northwest to southeast,
setting up somewhere in the vicinity of a Gallup to Albuquerque to
Raton line by noon Friday. Models indicate precipitation will
develop along and behind the front during the afternoon and will
expand in coverage as the front continues to shift southeastward.
Widespread wetting rains and a few thunderstorms are expected.
Temperatures will cool several degrees Friday behind the front, but
the major cooldown will occur Friday night and Saturday. An upper
level low will track across northern and central NM as a very strong
cold front drops from north to south. Snow is expected to develop
across the northern mountains, northeast and portions of east
central NM Friday night through Saturday. Significant snow amounts
are likely, especially across the Sangre de Cristo Mtns and the
Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa area where more than a foot of snow is
possible. High temperatures on Saturday will be 20 to 35 degrees
below normal.

The system will shift into west Texas Saturday night and precip will
diminish. However, temperatures will plummett. mainly locations
across northern and western NM will see a hard freeze while portions
of the east central plains and Rio Grande Valley may dip just below
the freezing mark.

The warming trend will begin on Sunday and continue through Tuesday,
though most areas will remain below normal through the time period
thanks to northwest flow aloft. Another back door front is expected
to slide down the plains Tuesday night as a northern stream trough
slide across the Rockies into the Plains. Another shortwave on
Wednesday may bring precip to northeast plains again.

34

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE

A weak disturbance will brush northern NM overnight
increasing the chances for low elevation rain and mtn snow across
north central and northwest NM. Isold TS is also possible. Areas of
MVFR to IFR cigs are expected to develop as well as mtn
obscurations. Precip will diminish in the aftn with cigs lifting to
VFR. Winds will be the other main story today. Winds will increase
by mid morning, and by mid aftn, gusts between 40 and 50kt are
expected. Localized areas of BLDU are possible. Winds will decrease
around sunset, except across the south central and southwest mtns
where winds will continue through much of the night.

34

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  65  34  54  29 /  20  10  20  10
Dulce...........................  57  27  51  25 /  30  20  20  20
Cuba............................  59  29  50  26 /  10   5  30  20
Gallup..........................  67  32  54  25 /   0   5  20  20
El Morro........................  65  33  54  23 /   5   5  30  40
Grants..........................  68  34  58  27 /   0   0  30  30
Quemado.........................  70  40  62  27 /   0   0  40  50
Glenwood........................  78  50  70  39 /   0   0  40  30
Chama...........................  52  23  46  21 /  30  20  30  20
Los Alamos......................  61  32  55  30 /   0   5  30  30
Pecos...........................  60  32  52  29 /   0   0  30  50
Cerro/Questa....................  56  25  51  24 /  20   5  30  50
Red River.......................  46  20  41  20 /  20  10  40  60
Angel Fire......................  51  24  49  24 /  20   5  30  60
Taos............................  58  27  54  26 /  20   5  30  40
Mora............................  58  30  52  28 /   0   5  30  60
Espanola........................  66  35  57  33 /   0   5  20  20
Santa Fe........................  63  33  54  29 /   0   0  30  40
Santa Fe Airport................  66  34  58  31 /   0   0  30  40
Albuquerque Foothills...........  69  42  59  35 /   0   0  30  50
Albuquerque Heights.............  73  45  62  36 /   0   0  30  40
Albuquerque Valley..............  73  46  65  37 /   0   0  30  40
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  71  43  61  36 /   0   0  30  40
Los Lunas.......................  76  45  67  37 /   0   0  30  50
Rio Rancho......................  70  42  61  35 /   0   0  30  40
Socorro.........................  81  51  70  41 /   0   0  30  50
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  65  37  55  31 /   0   0  40  50
Tijeras.........................  69  38  58  33 /   0   0  40  50
Moriarty/Estancia...............  69  37  58  32 /   0   0  40  50
Clines Corners..................  66  36  58  30 /   0   0  40  50
Gran Quivira....................  74  44  65  33 /   0   0  40  50
Carrizozo.......................  77  52  69  38 /   0   0  30  50
Ruidoso.........................  68  49  62  37 /   0   0  30  50
Capulin.........................  60  29  57  27 /  20   5  30  70
Raton...........................  64  31  59  31 /  20   5  30  60
Springer........................  63  33  63  31 /  10   5  30  60
Las Vegas.......................  63  33  56  29 /   0   0  30  60
Clayton.........................  69  39  64  32 /  10   5  20  70
Roy.............................  68  36  63  31 /   0   5  30  70
Conchas.........................  75  44  72  38 /   0   0  20  60
Santa Rosa......................  75  44  71  37 /   0   0  20  60
Tucumcari.......................  80  45  74  42 /   0   5  20  60
Clovis..........................  79  47  76  43 /   0   0  20  50
Portales........................  81  49  78  44 /   0   0  20  40
Fort Sumner.....................  83  48  77  42 /   0   0  20  50
Roswell.........................  87  55  84  50 /   0   0  10  30
Picacho.........................  79  53  75  43 /   0   0  20  30
Elk.............................  75  52  71  42 /   0   0  20  20

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM MDT this evening for
the following zones... NMZ505>508-512>515-519-520-522-525-527>538.

Winter Storm Watch from late Friday night through late Saturday
night for the following zones... NMZ512>515-527>531.

Red Flag Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM MDT this evening
for the following zones... NMZ106>108.

High Wind Warning from 9 AM this morning to 7 PM MDT this evening
for the following zones... NMZ521-523-524-526-539-540.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
355 AM MDT Wed Apr 26 2017

NMZ501>540-271200-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
355 AM MDT Wed Apr 26 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

High winds with gusts to around 60 mph are possible from the Sandia
and Manzano mountains and Central Highlands south to southwest Chaves
County Thursday. Critical fire weather conditions are possible
Thursday along and south of Interstate 40.

A wintry storm system remains on track for Friday and Saturday. Snow
accumulations could be focused over the northeast third of New Mexico
Saturday, and freezing temperatures Saturday night will impact the
north and east.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.