Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 310

June 29, 201614 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 29, 2016, 2:43 PM MDT for 14 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 29, 2016, 2:43 PM MDT (20:43 UTC)
Expired
Jun 29, 2016, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Bennett County, SD, Butte County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Harding County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Meade County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Oglala Lakota County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Todd County, SD, Ziebach County, SD

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 29, 3:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte57 min
Jun 29, 4:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte, Haakon, Meade, Pennington, Ziebach58 min
Jun 29, 5:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHaakon, Jackson, Meade, Pennington64 min
Jun 29, 6:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHaakon, Jackson, Mellette, Oglala Lakota, Pennington57 min
Jun 29, 6:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRJones, Stanley55 min
Jun 29, 6:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRBennett, Jackson, Mellette, Todd, Tripp61 min
Jun 29, 7:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRBennett, Todd, Tripp67 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KRAP), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2016-06-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2016-06-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 2 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2504 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

612 
WWUS20 KWNS 292036
SEL0  
SPC WW 292036
SDZ000-300200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 310
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM
  UNTIL 800 PM MDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE ND/SD BORDER ARE EXPECTED TO
MAINTAIN THEIR INTENSITY AND TRACK SOUTHWARD INTO WESTERN SD THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.  DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE STRONGER CELLS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF BUFFALO SOUTH DAKOTA TO 120 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BUFFALO SOUTH DAKOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31025.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 29, 12:13 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCorson, Harding, Perkins92 min
Jun 29, 12:47 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButte, Custer, Fall River, Lawrence, Meade, Oglala Lakota and 1 more88 min
Jun 29, 4:15 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButte, Dewey, Haakon, Jackson, Jones, Meade and 6 more2 hr
Jun 29, 4:36 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Davison, Hanson, Hutchinson, Lincoln, McCook and 4 more114 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.