Alert archive / Florida / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 331

April 1, 201613 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 1, 2016, 11:39 PM EDT for 13 counties in Florida. It was in force for 66 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 1, 2016, 11:39 PM EDT (03:39 UTC)
Expired
Apr 2, 2016, 12:45 AM EDT
In force
66 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Columbia County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Union County, FL, Wakulla County, FL

The radar

The Moody AFB radar (KVAX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 00:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 00:00Z on 2016-04-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1190 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 00:00Z on 2016-04-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 108 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1190 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-22 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1066 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
70 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
108 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
3.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

127 
ACUS11 KWNS 020340
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020339 
FLZ000-GAZ000-020445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0331
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1039 PM CDT FRI APR 01 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN PANHANDLE/NRN FL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 76...

VALID 020339Z - 020445Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 76 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A BRIEF TORNADO MAY
INCREASE INTO THE EARLY MORNING WITH A QLCS MOVING E FROM THE ERN
PANHANDLE.

DISCUSSION...A QLCS EXTENDED FROM GRADY COUNTY GA TO GULF COUNTY FL
AS OF 0330Z. MEASURED GUSTS WITH THE LINE HAVE GENERALLY BEEN IN THE
20-30 KT RANGE ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST OVER THE PAST COUPLE HOURS.
THIS LINE MAY INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT ABOUT TO OVERTAKE THE REMNANT
W/E-ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM FRANKLIN TO CLAY COUNTIES. WITH
LOWER 70S SURFACE DEW POINTS PREVALENT S OF THE OUTFLOW...A
COMPARATIVELY GREATER LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATE COULD FOSTER INCREASED
DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSPORT. TLH/JAX VWP DATA SAMPLED VERY STRONG
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WITH 0-6 KM VALUES AOA 70 KT...WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT
TRANSIENT MESOVORTICES IN SPITE OF LIMITED INSTABILITY.

..GRAMS.. 04/02/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

LAT...LON   30588425 30608366 30478260 30398206 30198184 30038182
            29928204 29818277 29708333 29628490 29698513 30588425

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 1, 9:02 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlachua, Baker, Bay, Bradford, Calhoun, Clay and 21 more9 hr
Apr 2, 2:19 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDixie, Gilchrist, Lafayette, Taylor56 min
Apr 2, 4:18 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 15 more117 min
Apr 2, 6:00 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlachua, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Flagler, Gilchrist and 12 more7 hr
Apr 2, 8:42 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHernando, Pasco, Pinellas93 min
Apr 2, 12:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHernando, Lake, Orange, Pasco, Seminole, Sumter and 1 more59 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.