Red Flag Warning 14, NWS Springfield, MO

011 
WWUS83 KSGF 082358
RFWSGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
658 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016

KSZ073-MOZ066-067-077>079-088>091-094>096-102>105-090100-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-160409T0100Z/
BOURBON-VERNON-ST. CLAIR-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-
WEBSTER-LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-BARRY-STONE-TANEY-OZARK-
658 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
066...067...073...077...078...079...088...089...
090...091...094...095...096...102...103...104 AND 105...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 
 
WINDS AND STARTED TO DECREASE AND HUMIDITY VALUES HAVE RISEN ABOVE
CRITICAL VALUES. CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE EVENING. 

$$

BOXELL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
653 AM CDT FRI APR 8 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)

Strong northwest flow was positioned over extreme southeast Kansas
and the Missouri Ozarks. This will bring gusty northwest breezes
at the surface today, with some gusts approaching 30 mph at times.
Due to a dry airmass in place, this will create conditions that
are conducive to a rapid spread of ignited wildland fires.

This cool air advection will limit afternoon highs from warming
out of the low to mid 60s today.

This Canadian airmass will also bring freezing temperatures to the
eastern Ozarks tonight. A Freeze Warning has been posted for areas
along and northeast of a line from Versailles to Eminence
Missouri. Look for readings to fall into the upper 20s to lower
30s.

Temperatures at or slightly above freezing are expected for the
rest of the area.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)

A warm front will lift back through southwest Missouri and
southeast Kansas on Saturday, helping to boost temperatures back
in to the low 70s. Further east, readings may only reach the
middle to upper 50s, as this region remains on the cool side of
the front. Despite this warm front, there doesn't appear to be
much of a precipitation signal on Saturday.

Gulf moisture continues to increase Saturday night and Sunday,
setting the stage for decent period of showers and thunderstorms
Sunday night through Monday. We could see rain amounts up to two
inches over southern Missouri.

We can not totally rule out some organized storms Monday.
Instability appears to be limited, but plenty of shear could make
up for it.  We will maintain a limited risk for severe storms.

A cool and dry airmass will spread back into the Ozarks for
Tuesday and Wednesday, prior to a large ridge of high pressure
approaching from the west.

This high pressure will warm temperatures back into the 70s by
next Friday and Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 646 AM CDT Fri Apr 8 2016

High pressure will make its way into the region through the day
today with gusty northwesterly surface winds expected through
this evening. A few high level clouds will move over the region
but no limitations to visibilities or ceilings will occur
overnight as high pressure settles over the area. Winds overnight
will be light out of the northeast.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...Freeze Warning from 3 AM to 8 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ056>058-
     069>071-082-083-098.

KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Hatch

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
407 AM CDT FRI APR 8 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-090915-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
407 AM CDT FRI APR 8 2016

...FREEZE WARNING POSTED FOR THE EASTERN OZARKS...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT FREEZE RISK.
  ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK.

DISCUSSION...

WIND GUSTS COULD EXCEED 30 MPH AT TIMES TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI OZARKS. THESE GUSTY WINDS WILL
LEAD TO CONDITIONS THAT ARE CONDUCIVE TO A RAPID SPREAD OF IGNITED
WILDLAND FIRES.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT FOR AREAS
ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM VERSAILLES TO EMINENCE
MISSOURI. A FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THESE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL RETURN TO WESTERN MISSOURI
AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS THIS WEEKEND WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THERE IS A LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS ON MONDAY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

CRAMER