Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 253, NWS Pueblo, CO

August 7, 2016El Paso County, Teller County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 7, 2016, 10:41 PM MDT for El Paso County, Teller County, Colorado. It was in force for 64 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 7, 2016, 10:41 PM MDT (04:41 UTC)
Expired
Aug 7, 2016, 11:45 PM MDT
In force
64 min
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties El Paso County, CO, Teller County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 7, 10:47 PM MDTHAIL 15 W Falcon, CODUBLIN AND POWERS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 6 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 00:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2016-08-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 667 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2016-08-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -22 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
667 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2517 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
33 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

124 
WUUS55 KPUB 080441
SVRPUB
COC041-119-080545-
/O.NEW.KPUB.SV.W.0253.160808T0441Z-160808T0545Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1041 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN TELLER COUNTY IN CENTRAL COLORADO...
  NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...

* UNTIL 1145 PM MDT

* AT 1041 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER
  SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE 
           TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  COLORADO SPRINGS...FOUNTAIN...MANITOU SPRINGS...SECURITY...
  FALCON...FORT CARSON...CIMARRON HILLS...SECURITY-WIDEFIELD...
  STRATMOOR AND PETERSON AFB.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3864 10491 3880 10494 3905 10477 3883 10446
TIME...MOT...LOC 0441Z 219DEG 7KT 3878 10483 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$
5 follow-up statements
498 
WWUS55 KPUB 080451
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1051 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

COC041-119-080545-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0253.000000T0000Z-160808T0545Z/
TELLER CO-EL PASO CO-
1051 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN TELLER AND NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTIES...

AT 1049 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR COLORADO
SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS POSSIBLE 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLORADO SPRINGS...FOUNTAIN...MANITOU SPRINGS...SECURITY...FALCON...
FORT CARSON...CIMARRON HILLS...SECURITY-WIDEFIELD...
STRATMOOR AND PETERSON AFB.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3864 10491 3880 10494 3905 10477 3883 10446
TIME...MOT...LOC 0449Z 219DEG 7KT 3879 10482 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$
389 
WWUS55 KPUB 080504
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1104 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

COC041-119-080545-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0253.000000T0000Z-160808T0545Z/
TELLER CO-EL PASO CO-
1104 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN TELLER AND NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTIES...

AT 1102 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHWESTERN
COLORADO SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.  ANOTHER SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WAS 3 MILES TO THE NORTHWEST OF FALCON...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
         WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLORADO SPRINGS...FOUNTAIN...MANITOU SPRINGS...SECURITY...FALCON...
FORT CARSON...CIMARRON HILLS...SECURITY-WIDEFIELD...
STRATMOOR AND PETERSON AFB.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3864 10491 3880 10494 3905 10477 3883 10446
TIME...MOT...LOC 0502Z 228DEG 15KT 3876 10482 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$
233 
WWUS55 KPUB 080514
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1114 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

COC041-119-080545-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0253.000000T0000Z-160808T0545Z/
TELLER CO-EL PASO CO-
1114 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN TELLER AND NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTIES...

AT 1113 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FORT
CARSON...OR NEAR COLORADO SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
         WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLORADO SPRINGS...FOUNTAIN...MANITOU SPRINGS...SECURITY...FALCON...
FORT CARSON...CIMARRON HILLS...SECURITY-WIDEFIELD...
STRATMOOR AND PETERSON AFB.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3864 10491 3880 10494 3905 10477 3883 10446
TIME...MOT...LOC 0513Z 224DEG 10KT 3874 10485 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$
293 
WWUS55 KPUB 080525
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1125 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

COC041-119-080545-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0253.000000T0000Z-160808T0545Z/
TELLER CO-EL PASO CO-
1125 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN TELLER AND NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTIES...

AT 1124 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FORT
CARSON...OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF COLORADO SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
         WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLORADO SPRINGS...FOUNTAIN...MANITOU SPRINGS...SECURITY...FALCON...
FORT CARSON...CIMARRON HILLS...SECURITY-WIDEFIELD...
STRATMOOR AND PETERSON AFB.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3864 10491 3880 10494 3905 10477 3883 10446
TIME...MOT...LOC 0524Z 211DEG 8KT 3871 10489 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$
730 
WWUS55 KPUB 080532
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1132 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

COC041-119-080545-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0253.000000T0000Z-160808T0545Z/
TELLER CO-EL PASO CO-
1132 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN TELLER AND NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTIES...

AT 1131 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FORT
CARSON...OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF COLORADO SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 5 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND HALF DOLLAR
         SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLORADO SPRINGS...FOUNTAIN...MANITOU SPRINGS...SECURITY...FALCON...
FORT CARSON...CIMARRON HILLS...SECURITY-WIDEFIELD...
STRATMOOR AND PETERSON AFB.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3864 10491 3880 10494 3905 10477 3883 10446
TIME...MOT...LOC 0531Z 219DEG 6KT 3871 10489 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 7, 2:51 PM MDT, 7 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 7, 2:51 PM MDT, 7 hours 50 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
251 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 251 PM MDT Sun Aug 7 2016

...Potential for locally heavy rainfall continues...

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis is indicating
drier air, embedded within generally weak west to southwest flow
aloft, is moving across the Desert Southwest and into western
Colorado, as an upper trough digging across the West Coast is
pushing upper level high pressure across southern Rockies and into
the southern High Plains. Current radar imagery has isolated to
scattered storms popping over and near the higher terrain, with the
best coverage across the eastern mountains at this time.

Tonight and Monday...Drier west to southwest flow aloft continues to
slowly move across the region as the West Coast upper trough moves
across the northern Great Basin. Despite the drier air working into
the region, there remains enough residual moisture across the
region, to work with late summer solar heating, to support isolated
to scattered diurnal showers and thunderstorms across the area, with
the most numerous storms expected over and near the higher terrain.
With ample low level moisture in place, especially over the eastern
plains, along with weak steering flow aloft, can not rule out storms
producing locally heavy rainfall owning to the potential for
localized flash flooding, especially if storms develop or move over
area burn scars, urban areas or areas which have previously had
heavy rain over the past few days. Storms which can develop across
the eastern plains tonight may also produce strong and gusty outflow
winds along with generally small hail. Will likely see low clouds
and patchy fog across the far se plains once again overnight, with
over night lows at or slightly above seasonal averages. With less
convective activity tomorrow, highs at to slightly warmer than
today are expected across the area.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 251 PM MDT Sun Aug 7 2016

A more typical pattern of daily afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms will evolve through Tuesday night with thunderstorms
tied to the mountains during the afternoon before spreading eastward
onto the plains during the late afternoon and evening hours.
Activity looks to wind down more quickly across the plains both
Monday night and Tuesday night.  Dew points start to fall off across
the mountains and adjacent plains, and temperatures should heat up
once again. Isolated stronger storms will still be capable of
producing locally heavy rainfall, and with many areas having
received raA more typical pattern of daily afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms will evolve through Tuesday night with thunderstorms
tied to the mountains during the afternoon before spreading eastward
onto the plains during the late afternoon and evening hours.
Activity looks to wind down more quickly across the plains both
Monday night and Tuesday night.  Dew points start to fall off across
the mountains and adjacent plains, and temperatures should heat up
once again. Isolated stronger storms will still be capable of
producing locally heavy rainfall, and with many areas having
received rainfall lately, flash flooding will continue to be a
concern. But this threat should be more localized.  As is typical,
urban areas and burn scars will be most vulnerable during this
period.

Tropical moisture associated with the remains of Earl, now Tropical
Depression Eleven-E, gets entrained in southerly flow aloft and
advected into western portions of the area on Wednesday.  This
influx of monsoon moisture along with weak embedded disturbances
should bring another upswing in thunderstorms to the mountain areas
with the threat for locally heavy rain and flash flooding on the
increase. Precipitable waters out west increase from around .50
projected on Tuesday to up to .75 to 1.0 on Wednesday which would be
around 150% of normal once again. Eastern areas will see more
isolated activity as low level moisture will be a bit more lacking.

A fairly strong upper trof moves across the region Thursday which
will provide the focus for another round of fairly widespread
thunderstorms district wide.  This will also send a front through
the southeast plains Thursday night and possibly keep thunderstorms
going through the night and even into Friday morning.  With the
passage of the trof on Friday, monsoon moisture gets shoved off to
the southeast.  However, the forecast area now comes under more
northwest flow aloft.  Sfc winds swing around from the east across
the plains and deep layer shears increase to around 40 kts.  However
latest GFS is drying out sfc dew points across southeast
CO...putting the low level theta-e axis across eastern NM through
next weekend. ECMWF is a little moister thus a little more promising
for thunderstorms across the southeast plains. Conceptually deep
layer shears will increase sufficiently for a severe thunderstorm
potential on Friday...however there is some uncertainty on how much
CAPE will be present.  Shears then weaken again for Saturday and
Sunday as the western U.S. upper ridge shifts eastward over the
area.  Lots of these details could change and future forecast
refinements will be necessary.   For now grids will carry the more
climatological pattern for Friday through the weekend...with
greatest potential for thunderstorms shifting into the southeast
mountains and adjacent plains for Friday and Saturday.
-KTinfall lately, flash flooding will continue to be a concern.
But this threat should be more localized. As is typical, urban
areas and burn scars will be most vulnerable during this period.

Tropical moisture associated with the remains of Earl, now Tropical
Depression Eleven-E, gets entrained in southerly flow aloft and
advected into western portions of the area on Wednesday.  This
influx of monsoon moisture along with weak embedded disturbances
should bring another upswing in thunderstorms to the mountain areas
with the threat for locally heavy rain and flash flooding on the
increase. Precipitable waters out west increase from around .50
projected on Tuesday to up to .75 to 1.0 on Wednesday which would be
around 150% of normal once again. Eastern areas will see more
isolated activity as low level moisture will be a bit more lacking.

A fairly strong upper trof moves across the region Thursday which
will provide the focus for another round of fairly widespread
thunderstorms district wide.  This will also send a front through
the southeast plains Thursday night and possibly keep thunderstorms
going through the night and even into Friday morning.  With the
passage of the trof on Friday, monsoon moisture gets shoved off to
the southeast.  However, the forecast area now comes under more
northwest flow aloft.  Sfc winds swing around from the east across
the plains and deep layer shears increase to around 40 kts.  However
latest GFS is drying out sfc dew points across southeast
CO...putting the low level theta-e axis across eastern NM through
next weekend. ECMWF is a little moister thus a little more promising
for thunderstorms across the southeast plains. Conceptually deep
layer shears will increase sufficiently for a severe thunderstorm
potential on Friday...however there is some uncertainty on how much
CAPE will be present.  Shears then weaken again for Saturday and
Sunday as the western U.S. upper ridge shifts eastward over the
area.  Lots of these details could change and future forecast
refinements will be necessary.   For now grids will carry the more
climatological pattern for Friday through the weekend...with
greatest potential for thunderstorms shifting into the southeast
mountains and adjacent plains for Friday and Saturday.
-KT

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 251 PM MDT Sun Aug 7 2016

There remains enough residual moisture to work with late summer
sunshine, to support scattered afternoon and evening storms across
the region, most numerous over and near the higher terrain. Mainly
VFR conditions at COS, PUB and ALS are expected through the taf
period, with brief MVFR conditions in locally heavy rain and gusty
outflow winds possible, if storms move across the terminals. The
best chance of storms affecting the terminals remains at COS from
through 02z, though all terminals remain susceptible. There remains
a low chance for low cloud development at COS and PUB through the
overnight hours, though will not add to TAFs at this time.

&&

.PUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...MW
LONG TERM...KT
AVIATION...MW
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 7, 11:46 AM MDT, 10 hours 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1146 AM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

COZ058>089-093>099-081800-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA  VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY  ABOVE 8500FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FEET-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1146 AM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THIS MORNINGS WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS INDICATING DRIER AIR STARTING
TO MOVE INTO WESTERN COLORADO, WITH THE BULK OF THE MONSOONAL
MOISTURE PLUME SHIFTING EAST ACROSS FAR EASTERN COLORADO AND INTO
THE HIGH PLAINS. THERE, HOWEVER, REMAINS ENOUGH RESIDUAL MOISTURE
TO WORK WITH LATE SUMMER SUNSHINE, TO SUPPORT SCATTERED AFTERNOON
AND EVENING STORMS ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO,
WITH THE MOST NUMEROUS STORMS EXPECTED OVER AND NEAR THE HIGHER
TERRAIN.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE TODAY, WITH AREAS MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING
REMAINING NEAR AREA BURN SCARS...URBAN AREAS...AND AREAS WHICH
HAVE RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN OVER THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS.

IN ADDITION, ONE OR TWO OF THE STORMS ON THE PLAINS COULD BECOME
STRONG, PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ALONG WITH HAIL UP TO
THE SIZE OF DIMES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

MONDAY AND TUESDAY...ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE CONFINED MAINLY TO AREAS IN AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS. PRIMARY
STORM THREATS WILL INCLUDE LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 50
MPH AND SPOTTY HEAVY RAIN.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE OVER THE
REGION...BEGINNING OVER THE MOUNTAINS ON WEDNESDAY AND THEN
SPREADING EASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. PRIMARY
STORM THREATS WILL STILL INCLUDE LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO
AROUND 50 MPH BUT THEY WILL ALSO BE EXPANDED TO INCLUDE LOCALLY
RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING.

ON SATURDAY...UPPER HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO REBUILD OVER THE
REGION AGAIN WITH MOST THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY RETREATING TO AREAS
IN AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS. PRIMARY STORM THREATS WILL INCLUDE
LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

23/23

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 7, 4:46 PM MDT, 5 hours 55 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
446 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

COZ093-094-097-099-080015-
LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY CO-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY CO-
SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY CO-
LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY CO-
446 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN OTERO...EASTERN LAS
ANIMAS...SOUTHWESTERN BENT AND WESTERN BACA COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM
MDT...

AT 444 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING DEVELOPING STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS NEAR KIM...OR 41 MILES NORTHEAST OF DES
MOINES...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPRINGFIELD...PRITCHETT...CAMPO AND KIM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3769 10370 3755 10265 3700 10247 3700 10380
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 276DEG 28KT 3727 10343
Special weather statement, Aug 7, 5:58 PM MDT, 4 hours 43 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
558 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

COZ060-061-064>066-069-072-080130-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT CO-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT CO-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT CO-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT CO-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT CO-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT CO-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT CO-
558 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN CHAFFEE AND NORTHWESTERN
SAGUACHE COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM MDT...

AT 555 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING DEVELOPING STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS 15 MILES TO THE WEST OF NORTH PASS AND ALSO NEAR
SARGENTS...OR 29 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUNNISON...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SAGUACHE...BONANZA...SARGENTS AND NORTH PASS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3843 10700 3842 10608 3802 10609 3803 10700
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 264DEG 6KT 3831 10646
Special weather statement, Aug 7, 7:28 PM MDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
728 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

COZ060-064>066-069-072-073-080300-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT CO-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT CO-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT CO-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT CO-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT CO-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT CO-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT CO-
728 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL SAGUACHE COUNTY UNTIL 900
PM MDT...

AT 726 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13
MILES SOUTHEAST OF NORTH PASS...OR 43 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUNNISON...
MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SAGUACHE...CRESTONE...MOFFAT...BONANZA...SARGENTS...CRESTONE PEAK AND
VILLA GROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3793 10655 3841 10657 3841 10599 3816 10570
      3791 10555
TIME...MOT...LOC 0126Z 270DEG 17KT 3807 10640
Special weather statement, Aug 7, 10:30 PM MDT, 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1030 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

COZ081-084-085-080530-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND
11000 FT CO-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7400 FT CO-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT
CO-
1030 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTY UNTIL
1130 PM MDT...

AT 1029 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A DEVELOPING STRONG
THUNDERSTORM OVER SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO SPRINGS. THIS STORM WAS
NEARLY STATIONARY.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLORADO SPRINGS...FOUNTAIN...MANITOU SPRINGS...SECURITY...
FORT CARSON...CIMARRON HILLS...SECURITY-WIDEFIELD...
STRATMOOR AND PETERSON AFB.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3870 10478 3884 10493 3902 10472 3881 10451
TIME...MOT...LOC 0429Z 231DEG 4KT 3882 10479

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 7, 7:28 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBSaguache92 min
Aug 7, 10:30 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBEl Paso60 min
Aug 7, 11:20 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso, Fremont, Teller3 hr
Aug 7, 11:36 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBTeller84 min
Aug 7, 11:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Fremont, Teller48 min
Aug 8, 1:22 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBHuerfano, Las Animas3 hr
Aug 8, 1:26 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBLas Animas34 min
Aug 8, 1:49 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBHuerfano116 min
Aug 8, 2:04 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBFremont41 min
Aug 8, 2:13 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBSaguache47 min
Aug 8, 2:41 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBTeller34 min
Aug 8, 2:54 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBFremont36 min
Aug 8, 3:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Fremont, Pueblo42 min
Aug 8, 3:29 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBChaffee, Fremont3 hr
Aug 8, 3:32 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBEl Paso43 min
Aug 8, 3:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Pueblo31 min
Aug 8, 3:57 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso3 hr
Aug 8, 4:55 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBPueblo50 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Colorado, 2016Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.