Alert archive / Maryland / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

January 22, 2016Cape May County, Cumberland County, Salem County, New Jersey; 5 counties in Maryland; Kent County, New Castle County, Sussex County, Delaware

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this special weather statement at Jan 22, 2016, 5:19 PM EST for Cape May County, Cumberland County, Salem County, New Jersey; 5 counties in Maryland; Kent County, New Castle County, Sussex County, Delaware. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 22, 2016, 5:19 PM EST (22:19 UTC)
Expired
Jan 22, 2016, 8:15 PM EST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Caroline County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Salem County, NJ

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 31 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-01-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-01-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -13 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1468 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
151 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

412 
WWUS81 KPHI 222219
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
519 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016
 
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016-021>025-230115-
DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-NEW
CASTLE-CECIL-CAROLINE-TALBOT-KENT-QUEEN
ANNE'S-SALEM-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC-
519 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SNOW NOW FALLING IN MOST LOCATIONS...

SNOW IS NOW FALLING ACROSS THE UPPER EASTERN SHORE AND ALL OF
DELAWARE. MODERATE SNOW HAS BEEN REPORTED IN A FEW LOCATIONS. SNOW
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...FALLING AT A RATE OF MORE
THAN ONE INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES. ROADS WILL BE SLIPPERY, AND TRAVEL
WILL BECOME MORE DIFFICULT AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. IF YOU DON'T
HAVE TO TRAVEL TONIGHT...PLEASE STAY HOME.  


LAT...LON 3846 7569 3869 7577 3857 7604 3876 7632
      3868 7634 3869 7634 3972 7623 3984 7550
      3935 7445 3933 7468 3929 7455 3893 7497
      3916 7489 3918 7515 3946 7554 3972 7551
      3972 7552 3959 7561 3845 7505
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 240DEG 49KT 3973 7555 
$$

JJM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jan 22, 4:14 PM EST, 1 hour 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 22, 4:14 PM EST, 1 hour 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
414 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES,
STRENGTHENING AS IT PUSHES EASTWARD AND PASSES OFF THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL THEN TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND
OUT TO SEA OVER THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
REGION, SLIDING TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA LATE MONDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY A RETURN
TO HIGH PRESSURE. ANOTHER SYSTEM MAY IMPACT THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
THE STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL IMPACT THE AREA WAS TRANSFERRING ITS ENERGY
FROM THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TO THE GEORGIA COAST THIS AFTERNOON.
THE COASTAL LOW WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS UP THE SOUTHEAST
COAST THIS EVENING AND JUST EAST OF MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY BY
DAYBREAK SATURDAY MORNING.

WE EXPANDED THE BLIZZARD WARNING TO A TIER OF ZONES BOTH TO THE
WEST AND EAST OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. SEE /PHLWSWPHI/ FOR MORE DETAILS.

SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE WITH THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON
REGARDING SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. WE SAW THE MAJORITY OF THE 12Z GUIDANCE
(EXCEPT FOR THE ECMWF) SHIFT THE TRACK OF THE STORM SYSTEM CLOSER TO
OUR AREA. THIS FARTHER NORTH TREND PUTS SE PA (INCLUDING PHILLY),
S/C NJ AND THE NRN DELMARVA UNDERNEATH THE AXIS FOR THE HEAVIEST
SNOW. FORECAST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN THESE AREAS WERE INCREASED BY
ALMOST A HALF FOOT, RESULTING IN STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 16-24
INCHES. THE NORTHWARD SHIFT ALSO PUTS AREAS TO THE NORTH (I-78
CORRIDOR) THAT WERE ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION IN A
BAND OF 10-16 INCHES. ALL GUIDANCE BUT THE NAM CONTINUES TO SHOW
SNOW AMOUNTS TAPERING OFF QUICKLY AS YOU HEAD TOWARD THE I-80
CORRIDOR AS WELL AS CLOSER TO THE DE AND SE NJ COAST DUE TO MIXING.
ADDITIONAL REFINEMENTS TO THE FORECAST MAY BE NEEDED ON BOTH THE
SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHERN SIDE OF THESE TIGHT SNOWFALL GRADIENTS.

THE FASTER START TIME FOR THE SNOW HAS PANNED OUT. IT'S ALREADY
SNOWING AS OF 330 PM AT KDOV AND KESN. THE WORDING IN THE WINTER
HEADLINES WERE UPDATED EARLIER TO ACCOUNT FOR THE QUICKER ARRIVAL OF
THE SNOW. A SPS WAS ISSUED FOR SOUTH OF PHILLY AS THE SNOW WILL
IMPACT THIS EVENING'S COMMUTE HOME. ONCE THE SNOW STARTS, IT WON'T
TAKE LONG FOR IT TO BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY IN INTENSITY. WITH
TEMPS IN THE 20S, IT WILL QUICKLY STICK ON UNTREATED ROADS. SNOWFALL
RATES OF 1"/HR COULD OCCUR IN THE DELMARVA AND MAYBE THE SOUTHERN-
MOST PART OF NJ DURING RUSH HOUR.

THE FRONT END OF THIS EVENT WILL BE IMPRESSIVE AS 4 TO 10 INCHES OF
SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED FROM THE PHILLY METRO AND CENTRAL NJ SOUTHWARD
JUST THROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST OF THESE AMOUNTS SOUTH OF
PHILLY.

WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY LATE TONIGHT AS THE LOW DEEPENS OFF
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT ESPECIALLY FROM I-95 SOUTH AND EASTWARD (MINUS SRN DE AND
FAR SE NJ WHERE IT WILL START TO MIX WITH SLEET AND RAIN BY THE
TIME THE STRONG WINDS ARRIVE).

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR ON SATURDAY. TRAVEL WILL BE
EXTREMELY DIFFICULT, IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE ACROSS A GOOD PART OF THE
AREA. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE SNOW WILL BECOME PARTICULARLY
HEAVY/WET ON SATURDAY AS MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWS A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT
OF RIMING. POWER OUTAGES COULD BE EXTENSIVE AT THE HEIGHT OF THE
STORM DUE TO THE HEAVY WET SNOW AND STRONG WINDS. ADDITIONALLY,
EXTENSIVE POWER OUTAGES AND WIND DAMAGE ARE LIKELY NEAR THE COAST
EVEN IF THEY SWITCH OVER TO RAIN WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60-65 MPH
EXPECTED. PLEASE SEE OUR LATEST HAZARDOUS WEATHER BRIEFING AND THE
WSW TEXT PRODUCT FOR A FULL DESCRIPTION OF OUR EXPECTED IMPACTS FROM
THIS STORM.

THE DRY SLOT ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW, WHICH IS SEEN
CLEARLY ON THIS AFTERNOON'S WATER VAPOR SATELLITE LOOP OVER GEORGIA,
IS FORECAST TO ADVANCE NORTHWARD UP THE COAST ON SATURDAY. WE'LL
ALSO HAVE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESSION IT AS THERE COULD BE A
TEMPORARY LULL IN PRECIP AND IT COULD POTENTIALLY RESULT IN LOWER
THAN FORECAST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. THERE IS INDICATION FROM THE
GUIDANCE THAT IT MAY REACH THE DE BAY LATE MORNING-AFTERNOON AND
PERHAPS EVEN SLIGHTLY FARTHER NORTH.

THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT MESOSCALE
BANDING TO THE NW OF THE LOW (JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE DRY SLOT AND
RAIN-SNOW LINE). THERE IS DISAGREEMENT THOUGH REGARDING THE EXACT
PLACEMENT OF IT AND DURATION OF THE BAND. RIGHT NOW, WE ARE THINKING
THAT IT'LL PIVOT SOMEWHERE IN THE VICINITY OF THE PHILLY METRO
DURING THE DAY. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2-3" PER HOUR AND PERHAPS
THUNDERSNOW IS POSSIBLE UNDERNEATH THIS BAND.

WITH REGARDS TO SNOW RATIOS, THEY WILL BE LESS THAN THE TYPICAL
10:1DURING THE HEART OF THE EVENT ON SATURDAY(ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE CWA) DUE TO THE RIMING FACTOR AND POTENTIAL
FOR MIXING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...THE STORM WILL STILL BE RAGING ON
DURING SATURDAY NIGHT BUT WILL START TO SEE THE LIGHT AT THE END OF
THIS STORMS TUNNEL. SNOW WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY NIGHT, REMAINING
HEAVY AT TIMES, WITH A TREND TOWARDS LIGHTENING UP AS WE HEAD INTO
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MOST SNOW ACCUMULATION SHOULD BE OVER WITH BY
AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH ONLY LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION AFTER
THAT TIME. IN ADDITION, THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE BUT AGAIN THE TREND
WILL BE FOR WEAKENING TO OCCUR AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM STARTS TO
PULLS FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA AND THE WINDS START TO TURN MORE TO
THE NORTH.

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY....HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
REGION, MOVING OFF TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA BY LATE MONDAY.
THIS SHOULD BRING A PERIOD OF SOME DRIER AND SLIGHTLY WARMER WEATHER
TO OUR AREA. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST WHICH SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO MODIFY. HIGHS ON MONDAY SHOULD REACH INTO THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 40S WITH HIGHS ON TUESDAY IN THE 40S ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE MIDWESTERN STATES AND
GRADUALLY PUSHES EAST ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. AS THE LOW CROSS THE
GREAT LAKES AREA, IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT. THIS MAY BRING SOME SNOW AND/OR RAIN TO THE AREA FOR
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT, CLEARING OUT ON WEDNESDAY.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD INTO
THE REGION FROM THE WEST/SOUTHWEST. AS THE RIDGE OF THE HIGH STARTS
TO BUILD JUST WEST OF THE AREA, WE WILL SEE A NORTHWEST TO WEST
WIND, WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR SOME FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TO
REACH THE REGION. THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL BE SITTING WELL
OFFSHORE AND WILL HAVE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOP ALONG IT AND THEN TRACK
UP THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. AS OF NOW, THE MODEL GUIDANCE KEEPS
THE CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM OFFSHORE BUT WE COULD SEE SOME
PRECIPITATION MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE AREA TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON...VFR CIRRUS CIGS LOWERING WITH IFR
SNOW BREAKING OUT KPHL/KILG AND KMIV BETWEEN 23Z-24Z/22. NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WIND AROUND 10 KT WITH SCATTERED GUSTS AROUND 20 KT.

TONIGHT...THE 18Z TAFS ARE POSTED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. IFR VARIABLE
LIFR IN SNOW, OCCASIONALLY HEAVY WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
DEVELOPING WHEN NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 45
KT AFTER 05Z/23. AIRPORT CLOSURES WITH PLOWING. FOUR TO 8 INCHES OF
NEW DIFFICULT TO MEASURE SNOW ON THE GROUND AT ALL TAF SITES BY 12Z/23...
HEAVIEST PROBABLY KPHL/PNE AND KILG.

SATURDAY...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY WITH ALMOST
CONTINUOUS HOURLY MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING-DRIFTING SNOW
AT ALL TAF SITES EXCEPT A POSSIBLE BRIEF CHANGE TO RAIN OR SLEET
KMIV/KACY DURING MORNING-MIDDAY. NE WINDS GUST 30 TO 40 KT EXCEPT
NEAR 50 KT KACY. WINDS TURNING NORTHERLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
GUSTS MAY DIMINISH 5 TO 10 KTS BY 23Z/23.

OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO MVFR
AND POSSIBLY VFR BY SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH IMPACT STORM WILL CONTINUE
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS INTO SUNDAY. SNOW WILL
CONTINUE SATURDAY NIGHT, HEAVY AT TIMES, BUT WITH A TREND TOWARDS
LIGHTENING AND ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT/EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. SOME MIXING MAY OCCUR CLOSER TO KACY AND KMIV BUT A
CHANGEOVER TO ALL SNOW IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE STORM ENDS. NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST AROUND 30 TO 40 KNOTS SATURDAY NIGHT BUT
THE GUSTS WILL COME DOWN QUICKLY, FALLING BELOW 20 KNOTS BY SUNDAY
MORNING AS THE WINDS TURN MORE TO THE NORTH AND THEN NORTHWEST.
ANY DRIER SNOW WILL TOSSED AROUND AND BLOWN ACROSS THE AIRFIELDS.

MONDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. INCREASING CLOUDINESS
WITH A CHANCE FOR SOME RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS, WHICH MAY CAUSE
MVFR CONDITIONS TO OCCUR.

WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
**STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 KT WILL OCCUR AT TIMES BETWEEN
  4 AM AND 6 PM SATURDAY AND ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD BE SAFELY IN
  PORT BY 6 PM THIS EVENING**

ISOLATED GUSTS TO 65 KT-HURRICANE FORCE, ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
MORNING.

A DANGEROUS NOR'EASTER IS COMING WITH A 20 KT INCREASE IN
SUSTAINED WINDS FCST BETWEEN 6 PM AND MIDNIGHT...AND ANOTHER 15 KT
INCREASE BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6 AM SATURDAY.

THERE MAY BE A LULL IN THE WIND OFF DELAWARE MIDDAY TOMORROW AS THE
STORM CENTER APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH,  THEN STORM FORCE NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL RESUME THERE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

HEAVY SNOW AT THE FRONT OF THE STORM WILL CHANGE TO RAIN SATURDAY
MORNING FROM NEAR BARNEGAT LIGHT SOUTH THEN, AFTER A LULL IN PCPN
MIDDAY IT SHOULD CHANGE TO PERIODS OF SNOW LATE IN THE DAY.

THE GFS WAVE WATCH SEAS FORECAST LOOKS TO BE BIASED WAY TOO LOW...
ALREADY UNDER DONE BY A FOOT IN THE SOUTHERN WATERS. HAVE RAISED
THOSE FORECAST SEAS BY 5 FT SO THAT SEAS SHOULD INCREASE AT THE
BUOYS 44009 AND 44091 TO AROUND 22 FT BY 10 AM SATURDAY.

OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...NORTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS
SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS UP AROUND 50 KNOTS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL START TO
COME DOWN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. AS WE HEAD INTO SUNDAY
MORNING, THE WINDS WILL START TO TURN MORE TO THE NORTH AND THEN
NORTHWEST. AS THE WINDS SHIFT, THE SPEEDS AND GUSTS WILL START TO
DIMINISH, FALLING BELOW 25 KNOTS BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

SEAS WILL REMAIN AROUND 8 TO 12 FEET AND WILL DIMINISH THROUGH
SUNDAY AS THE SYSTEM STARTS TO PULL AWAY.

SUNDAY NIGHT...SEAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE THROUGH THE NIGHT,
FALLING BELOW 5 FEET BY LATE MONDAY MORNING. ONCE THE SEAS FALL
BELOW 5 FEET, ANY LINGERING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES SHOULD BE ABLE TO
BE DROPPED.

MONDAY...SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE AREA WATERS AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION.

TUESDAY...WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY AROUND 25 KNOTS AND SEAS MAY NEAR 5
FEET ON TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED.

WEDNESDAY...SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE AREA
WATERS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
I WANT TO START OFF BY POINTING OUT THAT WATER LEVELS HAVE BEEN
RATCHETED UP ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND AND DELAWARE.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 400 AM SATURDAY UNTIL NOON
SUNDAY. IT INCLUDES THE NEW JERSEY COUNTIES OF MIDDLESEX, MONMOUTH,
OCEAN, SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON, ATLANTIC, CAPE MAY AND CUMBERLAND,
AND THE DELAWARE COUNTIES OF SUSSEX AND KENT.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR NEW CASTLE COUNTY IN
DELAWARE AND FOR SALEM COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY FOR MINOR FLOODING IN
THOSE COUNTIES. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM 800 AM SATURDAY UNTIL 200 PM
SUNDAY.

FOR MIDDLESEX AND MONMOUTH, WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS
EXPECTED ON SATURDAY MORNING WITH MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING
ANTICIPATED FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

FOR OCEAN, ATLANTIC, BURLINGTON, AND CUMBERLAND  COUNTIES,
WIDESPREAD MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH EMBEDDED AREAS
OF MAJOR.

FOR CAPE MAY, SUSSEX, AND KENT COUNTIES, WIDESPREAD MAJOR COASTAL
FLOODING IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY MORNING WITH MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING AND EMBEDDED MAJOR ANTICIPATED FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING.

FOR NEW CASTLE AND SALEM COUNTY, MINOR FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED
AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY, SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

THE COASTAL FLOODING THREAT WILL LAST FOR THREE CONSECUTIVE HIGH
TIDE CYCLES ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AS WATER IS PUSHED UP AGAINST THE
COAST AND INTO THE BACK BAYS AND ESTUARIES. THE STORM WILL COINCIDE
WITH THE FULL MOON, SO THE BASE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL BE HIGH AND
IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH OF A SURGE TO PRODUCE FLOODING.

THE BRISK NORTHEAST WIND SHOULD ACT TO PUSH WATER DOWN THE TIDAL
DELAWARE RIVER AND DOWN THE UPPER PART OF CHESAPEAKE BAY. AS A
RESULT, IT DOES NOT APPEAR THERE WILL BE ANY TIDAL FLOODING IN
THOSE AREAS.

ADDRESSING IMPACTS...MODELS, ALL WEEK, HAVE BEEN PRODUCING THE
HIGHEST TIDAL ANOMALIES ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.
CAN'T ARGUE WITH THAT. IT'S TRACK RELATED. AS MENTIONED AT THE TOP,
PREDICTED WATER LEVELS HAVE INCREASED. THAT SAID, COMPARED TO
PREVIOUS STORMS, WATER LEVELS ARE NOW CURRENTLY FORECAST TO APPROACH
THE TOP 5 RECORDED LEVELS IN CAPE MAY AND LEWES AND THE TOP 10 IN
ATLANTIC CITY. IMPACTS ARE FORECAST TO BE LESS SEVERE, BUT STILL
NOTABLE, ACROSS THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST. PLEASE REFER TO AHPS
FOR MORE INFORMATION REGARDING AN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE.

I HAVE RECEIVED A COUPLE QUESTIONS ABOUT ICE. I'LL ADDRESS IT HERE.
IT HAS BEEN COLD ENOUGH THE LAST FEW DAYS FOR ICE FORMATION, MAINLY
BORDER ICE. WE'RE SEEING ICE ACROSS MORE OF THE SHELTERED TIDAL
ESTUARIES THAN ANYWHERE ELSE ALONG THE COAST. AS THE TIDES RISE,
THIS BORDER ICE WILL RELEASE, BREAK UP, AND BEGIN TO FLOW WITH THE
TIDES. THE RISING TIDAL WATERS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO OVERTOP THE ICE
AND EXACERBATE FLOODING FURTHER. THAT SAID, ANY ICE THAT DOES BREAK
UP COULD MOVE INLAND DURING THE TIME OF INUNDATION.

&&

.CLIMATE...
PERSPECTIVE...WHAT IT TAKES FOR HISTORIC AROUND HERE.

TWO DAY RANKED SNOWFALL AND ENDING DATE AS DERIVED FROM THE
AVAILABLE DATA IN OUR CLIMATE DATABASE:

ALLENTOWN
#1  25.6 1/8/1996
#10 17.8 2/10/2010

ATLANTIC CITY
#1  20.0 2/17/2003
#10 16.3 1/26/1987

PHILADELPHIA
#1  30.7 1/8/1996
#10 19.4 4/4/1915

WILMINGTON DE
#1  25.8 2/6/2010
#10 18.0 1/24/1935

PLEASE SEE SOCIAL MEDIA FOR ALL THE YEARS BETWEEN 1 AND 10.

RECORD DAILY WATER EQUIV AND SNOW

    1/22                  1/23
ACY 1.03-1954  5.0-1954   2.09-1998 1.2-1948
PHL 1.03-1987 10.8-2005   2.32-1998 11.9-1935
ILG 2.60-1902 12.0-1987   2.51-1998 3.9-1982
ABE 1.06-1987 11.1-1987   1.39-1983 7.7-1966

TTN 1.20-1987             2.30-1998
GED 1.52-1954             1.22-2006
RDG 1.11-1891             1.18-1966
MPO 1.68-1958             2.10-1987

NORMAL SNOWFALL FOR AN ENTIRE SEASON IS LISTED BELOW.

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT ENTIRE SEASONS NORMAL SNOWFALL WILL
OCCUR IN ONE STORM, BY MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT.

PHILADELPHIA  22.4
ALLENTOWN     32.9
ATLANTIC CITY 16.5
WILMINGTON    20.2

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR PAZ061-062.
     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR PAZ070-071-101>106.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
     SUNDAY FOR PAZ060.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR PAZ054-055.
NJ...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR NJZ007-008.
     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
     NJZ009-010-012>015.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO NOON EST SUNDAY
     FOR NJZ012>014-020>027.
     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR NJZ016>022-026-027.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST
     SATURDAY NIGHT FOR NJZ023>025.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
     SUNDAY FOR NJZ023>025.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 AM SATURDAY TO 2 PM EST SUNDAY
     FOR NJZ016.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR NJZ001.
DE...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO NOON EST SUNDAY
     FOR DEZ002>004.
     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR DEZ001-002.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST
     SATURDAY NIGHT FOR DEZ003-004.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
     SUNDAY FOR DEZ003-004.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 AM SATURDAY TO 2 PM EST SUNDAY
     FOR DEZ001.
MD...BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR MDZ008-012-015-019-020.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
     ANZ450>455.
     STORM WARNING FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR ANZ430.
     STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR ANZ431.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MEOLA
NEAR TERM...KLEIN
SHORT TERM...KLEIN
LONG TERM...MEOLA
AVIATION...DRAG/MEOLA
MARINE...DRAG/MEOLA
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...KRUZDLO
CLIMATE...BUNKER/GAINES/FRANCK/DRAG
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 22, 3:41 PM EST, 1 hour 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

NJZ007-008-PAZ061-062-232045-
WARREN-MORRIS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ060-232045-
BERKS-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ002-NJZ020>022-026-027-232045-
KENT-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO NOON EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-232045-
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
LOWER BUCKS-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND...SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ003-004-NJZ023>025-232045-
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST SUNDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST
SATURDAY NIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO NOON EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ009-010-015-232045-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ001-NJZ016-232045-
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM SATURDAY TO 2 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ012>014-232045-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO NOON EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-232045-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ450>455-232045-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ430-232045-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ431-232045-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 22, 3:14 PM EST, 2 hours 5 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
314 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016>018-021>025-PAZ070-071-
101-102-104-230015-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...
MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...
ATLANTIC CITY...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...
WEST CHESTER...KENNETT SQUARE...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE
314 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SNOW TO CAUSE SLIPPERY TRAVEL BY 6 OR 7 PM FROM NEAR PHILADELPHIA
SOUTH AND WEST...

SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER MARYLANDS UPPER EASTERN SHORE AND DELAWARE
BY 530 PM, REACHING PHILADELPHIA AND NEARBY SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY COMMUNITIES, BETWEEN 6 AND 7 PM.

ALL UNTREATED SURFACES WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY.

ONE TO 2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL BE ON THE GROUND OVER NORTHEAST
MARYLAND AND ALL OF DELAWARE BY 7 PM WITH AROUND ONE HALF INCH OF
NEW SNOW IN SOUTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND NEAR PHILADELPHIA.

SNOW WILL BE MODERATE AT TIMES THIS EVENING WITH VISIBILITY LOWERING
TO ONE HALF MILE.

BE PREPARED FOR RAPIDLY DETERIORATING ROAD CONDITIONS DURING THIS
EVENINGS COMMUTE.

DRAG
Special weather statement, Jan 22, 5:19 PM EST, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
519 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016-021>025-230115-
DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-NEW
CASTLE-CECIL-CAROLINE-TALBOT-KENT-QUEEN
ANNE'S-SALEM-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC-
519 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SNOW NOW FALLING IN MOST LOCATIONS...

SNOW IS NOW FALLING ACROSS THE UPPER EASTERN SHORE AND ALL OF
DELAWARE. MODERATE SNOW HAS BEEN REPORTED IN A FEW LOCATIONS. SNOW
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...FALLING AT A RATE OF MORE
THAN ONE INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES. ROADS WILL BE SLIPPERY, AND TRAVEL
WILL BECOME MORE DIFFICULT AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. IF YOU DON'T
HAVE TO TRAVEL TONIGHT...PLEASE STAY HOME.

LAT...LON 3846 7569 3869 7577 3857 7604 3876 7632
      3868 7634 3869 7634 3972 7623 3984 7550
      3935 7445 3933 7468 3929 7455 3893 7497
      3916 7489 3918 7515 3946 7554 3972 7551
      3972 7552 3959 7561 3845 7505
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 240DEG 49KT 3973 7555

JJM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 22, 2:20 AM ESTCoastal Flood WarningPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Cumberland, Middlesex, Monmouth and 1 more57 hr
Jan 22, 2:20 AM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHIBurlington, Camden, Gloucester, Salem37 hr
Jan 22, 3:38 AM ESTHigh Wind WarningPHIAtlantic, Cape May41 hr
Jan 22, 4:16 AM ESTBlizzard WarningPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Hunterdon and 9 more44 hr
Jan 22, 4:16 AM ESTWinter Storm WarningPHIAtlantic, Cape May, Cumberland, Hunterdon, Morris, Sussex and 1 more44 hr
Jan 22, 4:16 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryPHISussex17 hr
Jan 22, 5:36 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementPHIBurlington, Camden, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth and 2 more3 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Maryland, 2016Special Weather Statements in New Jersey, 2016Special Weather Statements in Delaware, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.