Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
404 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE, LOCATED OVER SOUTHEASTERN ONTARIO THIS
AFTERNOON, WILL MOVE INTO QUEBEC FOR TONIGHT. THE LOW IS FORECAST
TO PULL A COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR REGION THIS EVENING. HIGH
PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO INFLUENCE OUR WEATHER FOR MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST IS ANTICIPATED TO ARRIVE
ON TUESDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE FOR
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MAY DROP INTO OUR
REGION LATE IN THE WEEK. BROAD LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
APPROACH FROM THE WEST AND SOUTH AND IT SHOULD INFLUENCE OUR
WEATHER NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
A LATE-DAY COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO ADVANCE EASTWARD ACROSS THE
MID ATLANTIC, AND WITH WHAT WAS A MILD, MOIST AIR MASS IN PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION, SOME INSTABILITY RESULTED IN A NARROW
CONVECTIVE BAND OF SHOWERS WITH A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES,
ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE LEHIGH VALLEY, SOUTHERN POCONOS, AND EVEN
INTO NORTHERN/CENTRAL NJ. THIS LINE CONTINUES TO PUSH EASTWARD
INTO NORTHEAST NJ AND TOWARD LONG ISLAND, AND IT WILL EVENTUALLY
PROGRESS OFF THE COAST BY LATE-DAY TO EARLY EVENING, WITH SOME
GUSTY WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TO FOLLOW FOR THE REGION ON THE
ORDER OF 30 TO 35 MPH AT TIMES. A FEW STRONGER GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH
MAY OCCUR CLOSER TO THE COAST AND OVER HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS.
OTHERWISE, A FEW ISOLATED, LEFTOVER SHOWERS MAY OCCUR ACROSS OUR
AREA THROUGH EARLY EVENING, AND WE HAVE SOME LOW POPS IN PLACE.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT, A STRONG PUSH OF
COLD AIR ADVECTION IS ANTICIPATED BEHIND THE DEPARTING COLD FRONT
WITH STRONG WESTERLY WINDS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
DROPPING FROM LATE-DAY ONWARD THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, WITH A
MORE TYPICAL JANUARY AIR MASS RETURNING TO THE REGION. WITH
CLEARING SKIES, MINIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT
MOSTLY IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 20S ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES
WILL LEAD TO A PLEASANT MONDAY, WITH TYPICAL JANUARY CHILL ACROSS
OUR REGION. A MUCH DRIER AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE MID
ATLANTIC, AND WE ANTICIPATE MAINLY CLEAR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
DAY. BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE FELT, MOSTLY GUSTING AT 25 MPH
ACROSS THE REGION. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WERE MOSTLY A BLEND OF
MET/MAV GUIDANCE WITH CONTINUITY, AND WE EXPECT DAYTIME HIGHS TO
MAINLY BE IN THE 30S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A MID LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO SETTLE OVER THE EASTERN STATES
FOR THE PERIOD FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A MID LEVEL
RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH ITS AXIS
PASSING OVERHEAD AROUND FRIDAY NIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE IS ANTICIPATED TO LOSE ITS INFLUENCE OVER OUR
REGION ON MONDAY NIGHT. MID LEVEL CLOUDS AHEAD OF OUR NEXT WEATHER
SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO ARRIVE FROM THE WEST BEFORE DAYBREAK ON
TUESDAY. CLOUDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AND LOWER ON TUESDAY WITH
SHOWERS WORKING THEIR WAY INTO OUR REGION FROM THE WEST. THE
EXPECTED TEMPERATURE PROFILE SUGGESTS MAINLY SNOW SHOWERS IN OUR
ELEVATED TERRAIN ON TUESDAY WITH RAIN SHOWERS IN AREAS TO THE
SOUTHEAST.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE FROM THE WEST ON
TUESDAY EVENING WITH STRONG COLD ADVECTION IN ITS WAKE. ANY RAIN
SHOWERS ARE ANTICIPATED TO CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS AT THAT TIME.
MUCH OF OUR FORECAST AREA COULD RECEIVE A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF
SNOW.

ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO OUR
REGION FROM THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST FOR WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.
THE AIR MASS WILL HAVE ITS ORIGINS IN THE ARCTIC SO WEDNESDAY IS
FORECAST TO BE BRISK AND COLD WITH MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN
THE 20S AND LOWER 30S. THE AIR MASS SHOULD MODIFY A BIT FOR
THURSDAY WITH HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY IN THE UPPER 20S AND
30S.

A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY DROP INTO OUR REGION FROM THE NORTH
ON THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY. HOWEVER, IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO HAVE
MUCH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT.

ONCE THE MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS PASSES OVERHEAD ON FRIDAY NIGHT,
MOISTURE WILL BUILD TOWARD OUR REGION ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
RIDGE. BROAD LOW PRESSURE IS ANTICIPATED TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST
AND SOUTH. THE MODEL GUIDANCE OUTPUT CONTINUES TO VARY A BIT ON
THE DETAILS INCLUDING THE STRENGTH AND TIMING OF ANY SECONDARY
COASTAL LOW. WE WILL FORECAST A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION. THE
EXPECTED TEMPERATURE PROFILES SUGGEST A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

THROUGH LATE-DAY...AN OVERALL IMPROVING TREND IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE WITH RESPECT TO CIGS/VSBYS IN THE TAFS; ALTHOUGH, SOME
SCATTERED LATE-DAY SHOWERS (PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TSTORM) ASSOCIATED
WITH A COLD FRONT PASSAGE MAY STILL TEMPORARILY LOWER CONDITIONS
FOR A TIME, ESPECIALLY FROM AROUND KPHL AND NORTH. MOST SITES ARE
MVFR/VFR WITH FULL IMPROVEMENT BACK TO VFR ANTICIPATED PRIOR TO
DUSK. GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE WILL
BECOME MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONT, WITH
CONTINUED GUSTS AROUND 25 KNOTS PLUS.

TONIGHT AND MONDAY...VFR CONDITIONS WITH A CONTINUED GUSTY
WESTERLY WIND. WHILE GUSTS MAY DROP OFF SOMEWHAT AFTER MIDNIGHT
AND THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING OF MONDAY, GUSTINESS TO AROUND 25
KNOTS OR SO WILL BE EXPERIENCED DURING THIS PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT...VFR.

TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON
AROUND KRDG AND KABE AND A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS TO THE
SOUTHEAST. CONDITIONS MAY DROP BRIEFLY INTO THE MVFR OR IFR RANGE.

TUESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS, MAINLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
CONDITIONS MAY DROP BRIEFLY INTO THE MVFR OR IFR RANGE.

WEDNESDAY...VFR WITH A WEST NORTHWEST WIND 15 TO 20 KNOTS GUSTING
TO 30 KNOTS.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A GALE WARNING CONTINUES FOR OUR COASTAL WATERS AND FOR DELAWARE
BAY AS WIND GUSTS TO BETWEEN 35 TO 40 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
TONIGHT. GALE GUSTS MAY LAST A LITTLE LONGER FOR OUR NORTHERN
COASTAL WATERS, AND THE GALE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE WATERS OFF
THE NJ COAST THROUGH NOON MONDAY. AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED FOR A TIME
LATER ON MONDAY AS WINDS AND SEAS WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO SUBSIDE
BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT...LINGERING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING ON OUR OCEAN WATERS, THEN NO MARINE
HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

TUESDAY...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR A GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WIND.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...A GALE WARNING MAY BE NEEDED FOR A
GUSTY WEST NORTHWEST WIND.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE
NEEDED FOR A GUSTY WEST NORTHWEST WIND.

THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...NO MARINE HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WIDESPREAD MINOR TO BRIEFLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING OCCURRED
ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE OCEANFRONT WITH THIS MORNING'S
HIGH TIDE. WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OCCURRED ON THE LOWER
DELAWARE RIVER AND ITS TIDAL TRIBUTARIES FROM LATE THIS MORNING
INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THE POSITIVE TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL CONTINUE
TO SUBSIDE IN THOSE AREAS AND NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS
ANTICIPATED.

THE SOUTHWEST TO WEST WIND WILL HOLD WATER AGAINST THE UPPER
EASTERN SHORE OF CHESAPEAKE BAY INTO THIS EVENING. A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE MARYLAND COUNTIES OF CAROLINE,
TALBOT, QUEEN ANNE'S, KENT AND CECIL FOR THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HIGH TIDE.

&&

.CLIMATE...
SOME LOCATIONS HAVE EXCEEDED THEIR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR
THE DATE. PLEASE REFER TO THE RECORD EVENT REPORTS ISSUED BY THIS
OFFICE FOR DETAILS.

PREVIOUS DAILY RECORD HIGHS FOR SUNDAY JAN 10 ARE LISTED BELOW:

LOCATION        RECORD    YEAR
------------------------------
ATLANTIC CITY     63      1930
PHILADELPHIA      63      1950
WILMINGTON        64      1930
ALLENTOWN         60      1924
TRENTON           62      1950
GEORGETOWN        67      1950
READING           58      1939
MOUNT POCONO      57      1998

WE'LL BRING THE SNOW CLIMATOLOGY BACK ONCE WE GET THROUGH TODAY'S
EVENT.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR MDZ008-
     012.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR MDZ015-
     019-020.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY FOR ANZ450>453.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY FOR ANZ430-431-454-455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...IOVINO
NEAR TERM...KLINE
SHORT TERM...KLINE
LONG TERM...IOVINO
AVIATION...IOVINO/KLINE
MARINE...IOVINO/KLINE
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...IOVINO
CLIMATE...STAFF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
342 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

NJZ001-007>010-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-101>106-112045-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-
LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
342 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SNOW SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE A LIGHT ACCUMULATION ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001>004-NJZ012>014-016>027-PAZ070-071-112045-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
342 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ008-012-112045-
CECIL-KENT MD-
342 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ015-019-020-112045-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
342 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-454-455-112045-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
342 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NORTHWEST TO WEST GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450>453-112045-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
342 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

NORTHWEST TO WEST GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
323 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 PM     HAIL             WEST BRADFORD TWP       39.97N  75.74W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       CHESTER            PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0134 PM     HAIL             1 W LIMERICK            40.23N  75.54W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       MONTGOMERY         PA   COCORAHS

0158 PM     HAIL             OXFORD                  40.80N  74.99W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       WARREN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

0159 PM     HAIL             KINTNERSVILLE           40.56N  75.18W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       BUCKS              PA   SOCIAL MEDIA

0213 PM     HAIL             RIVERSIDE               40.03N  74.96W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       BURLINGTON         NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

0215 PM     HAIL             WASHINGTON              40.76N  74.98W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       WARREN             NJ   SOCIAL MEDIA

0215 PM     HAIL             NEWTON                  41.05N  74.75W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       SUSSEX             NJ   SOCIAL MEDIA

0245 PM     HAIL             FLEMINGTON              40.51N  74.86W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       HUNTERDON          NJ   COCORAHS

0314 PM     HAIL             BUTLER                  41.00N  74.35W
01/10/2016  E0.25 INCH       MORRIS             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1600005 PHI1600004 PHI1600006 PHI1600007 PHI1600008
PHI1600009 PHI1600010 PHI1600011 PHI1600012

MEOLA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
326 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

NJZ012>015-020-102115-
OCEAN-EASTERN MONMOUTH-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-MIDDLESEX-
326 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN MERCER...
MONMOUTH...SOUTHEASTERN MIDDLESEX AND NORTHWESTERN OCEAN COUNTIES...

AT 325 PM EST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER ROOSEVELT...OR 13
MILES EAST OF TRENTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LONG BRANCH...SANDY HOOK...MIDDLETOWN...OLD BRIDGE...MARLBORO...
MANALAPAN...TINTON FALLS...HOLMDEL...RED BANK...KEANSBURG...
MATAWAN...JAMESBURG...HIGHTSTOWN...HIGHLANDS...CRANBURY...
ALLENTOWN...ROOSEVELT...BROWNVILLE...AND ROBERTSVILLE.

LAT...LON 4034 7397 4035 7398 4035 7399 4033 7402
      4033 7399 4032 7400 4009 7450 4024 7464
      4047 7427 4044 7420 4046 7418 4045 7413
      4041 7403 4044 7399 4048 7402 4048 7401
      4044 7398 4042 7400 4042 7398 4035 7397
TIME...MOT...LOC 2025Z 234DEG 40KT 4021 7450

SFJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
451 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 PM     HAIL             WEST BRADFORD TWP       39.97N  75.74W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       CHESTER            PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0134 PM     HAIL             1 W LIMERICK            40.23N  75.54W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       MONTGOMERY         PA   COCORAHS

0158 PM     HAIL             OXFORD                  40.80N  74.99W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       WARREN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

0159 PM     HAIL             KINTNERSVILLE           40.56N  75.18W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       BUCKS              PA   SOCIAL MEDIA

0213 PM     HAIL             RIVERSIDE               40.03N  74.96W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       BURLINGTON         NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

0215 PM     HAIL             WASHINGTON              40.76N  74.98W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       WARREN             NJ   SOCIAL MEDIA

0215 PM     HAIL             NEWTON                  41.05N  74.75W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       SUSSEX             NJ   SOCIAL MEDIA

0245 PM     HAIL             FLEMINGTON              40.51N  74.86W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       HUNTERDON          NJ   COCORAHS

0314 PM     HAIL             BUTLER                  41.00N  74.35W
01/10/2016  E0.25 INCH       MORRIS             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

0325 PM     HAIL             GREEN POND              41.02N  74.48W
01/10/2016  M0.25 INCH       MORRIS             NJ   SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1600005 PHI1600004 PHI1600006 PHI1600007 PHI1600008
PHI1600009 PHI1600010 PHI1600011 PHI1600012 PHI1600013

MEOLA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
451 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

NJZ013>021-026-027-PAZ071-102230-
OCEAN-SALEM-EASTERN MONMOUTH-CUMBERLAND-WESTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL
OCEAN-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-NORTHWESTERN
BURLINGTON-PHILADELPHIA-
451 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

AT 450 PM EST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM WEST FREEHOLD TO NEAR MULLICA HILL TO NEAR
PENNSVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF HEAVY
RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PHILADELPHIA...TOMS RIVER...CAMDEN...VINELAND...LONG BRANCH...ASBURY
PARK...GLOUCESTER CITY...LAKEWOOD...CHERRY HILL...JACKSON...HOWELL...
EVESHAM...MOUNT LAUREL...MANALAPAN...DEPTFORD...VOORHEES...MEDFORD...
WEST DEPTFORD...GLASSBORO AND TINTON FALLS.

LAT...LON 4007 7404 4006 7412 4005 7405 3999 7406
      4000 7411 3995 7412 3962 7459 3963 7465
      3973 7474 3954 7495 3959 7554 3965 7548
      3959 7547 3960 7545 3966 7547 3981 7533
      4028 7435 4037 7397
TIME...MOT...LOC 2150Z 247DEG 56KT 4024 7429 3972 7527 3961 7549

SFJ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
518 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

DEZ001-002-MDZ020-NJZ008>010-012-015>019-021-022-027-PAZ070-071-
102>106-102300-
KENT-NEW
CASTLE-CAROLINE-SALEM-SOMERSET-MORRIS-CUMBERLAND-SOUTHEASTERN
BURLINGTON-MIDDLESEX-NORTHWESTERN
BURLINGTON-ATLANTIC-HUNTERDON-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-PHILADELPHIA-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-EASTERN
CHESTER-DELAWARE-UPPER BUCKS-
518 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LINE OF SHOWERS WITH GUSTY WINDS MOVING INTO THE DELAWARE
VALLEY...

AT 516 PM EST...A LINE OF SHOWERS WAS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
NEAR OTTSVILLE TO NEAR WILMINGTON TO NEAR HARTLY...AND MOVING EAST
AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PHILADELPHIA...TRENTON...CAMDEN...WILMINGTON...VINELAND...DOVER...
MILLVILLE...BRIDGETON...MORRISTOWN...SOMERVILLE...GLOUCESTER CITY...
SOMERSET...CHERRY HILL...BENSALEM...EVESHAM...BRIDGEWATER...SOUTH
BRUNSWICK...MOUNT LAUREL...EWING AND CHESTER.

LAT...LON 4033 7453 3998 7482 3968 7461 3924 7511
      3923 7517 3930 7528 3916 7541 3906 7581
      3934 7550 3933 7550 3937 7540 3965 7546
      3966 7548 3959 7548 3971 7549 3968 7554
      3975 7559 4011 7530 4051 7526 4082 7447
TIME...MOT...LOC 2216Z 248DEG 35KT 4046 7522 4012 7526 3976 7555 3947
7534 3913 7571

SFJ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
558 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

NJZ009-010-012>015-017>022-025>027-PAZ106-102345-
OCEAN-SOMERSET-CUMBERLAND-EASTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL OCEAN-WESTERN
MONMOUTH-COASTAL ATLANTIC-SOUTHEASTERN
BURLINGTON-MIDDLESEX-NORTHWESTERN
BURLINGTON-ATLANTIC-HUNTERDON-MERCER-CAMDEN-GLOUCESTER-LOWER BUCKS-
558 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LINE OF SHOWERS WITH GUSTY WINDS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

AT 556 PM EST...A LINE OF SHOWERS WAS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
CLOVERHILL TO CHATSWORTH TO NEAR CUMBERLAND...AND MOVING EAST AT 50
MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TOMS RIVER...TRENTON...VINELAND...NEW BRUNSWICK...PERTH AMBOY...
ATLANTIC CITY...LONG BRANCH...MILLVILLE...ASBURY PARK...SOMERVILLE...
SOMERSET...CUMBERLAND...EDISON...LAKEWOOD...MIDDLETOWN...OLD
BRIDGE...JACKSON...HOWELL...EAST BRUNSWICK AND EVESHAM.

LAT...LON 4033 7397 3974 7419 3976 7410 3975 7410
      3954 7440 3956 7441 3932 7451 3933 7507
      4056 7485 4063 7443 4060 7446 4060 7421
      4047 7427 4044 7400 4048 7402 4047 7400
TIME...MOT...LOC 2256Z 263DEG 43KT 4050 7479 3983 7450 3936 7498

SFJ