Small Craft Advisory 97, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

357 
WHUS71 KPHI 030741
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
341 AM EDT THU NOV 3 2016

ANZ430-431-450>455-032200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0097.161104T0000Z-161104T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
341 AM EDT THU NOV 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE... 
  INCLUDING THE DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

825 
WHUS71 KPHI 031827
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
227 PM EDT THU NOV 3 2016

ANZ430-431-450>455-040730-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0097.161103T1827Z-161104T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
227 PM EDT THU NOV 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE... 
  INCLUDING THE DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. TWO BURSTS
  OF WIND WITH THE FIRST BEING THIS AFTERNOON NEAR THE SOUTHERN
  COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY. A LULL IS EXPECTED TONIGHT
  THEN WINDS WILL INCREASE AROUND SUNRISE FRIDAY ON BOTH THE BAY
  AND COASTAL WATERS.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

840 
WHUS71 KPHI 031939
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
339 PM EDT THU NOV 3 2016

ANZ430-431-450>455-040845-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-161105T0400Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
339 PM EDT THU NOV 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY
NIGHT...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE... 
  INCLUDING THE DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. A LULL IN
  THE GUSTS IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT. 

* SEAS...2 TO 3 FEET IN DELAWARE BAY AND 3 TO 5 FEET ON THE OCEAN
  WATERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

801 
WHUS71 KPHI 040337
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1137 PM EDT THU NOV 3 2016

ANZ450>455-041000-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-161105T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0098.161104T0400Z-161105T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1137 PM EDT THU NOV 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY.

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-041000-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-161105T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0098.161104T0400Z-161104T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1137 PM EDT THU NOV 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY.

* LOCATION...DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1006 AM EDT Wed Nov 2 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure settles across the southeastern states today into
Thursday. Low pressure passes to our north Thursday, pulling a cold
front across the area later in the day Thursday. High pressure is
forecast to build to our south and west this weekend, before
building across the east coast early next week. A weak frontal
boundary may affect the east coast Saturday night as an area of low
pressure drifts south of New England and strengthens off the east
coast on Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Some patchy fog remains in a few areas but it is expected to
dissipate over the next hour.

A generally mostly sunny day on tap for most of the day with some
diurnally driven cu developing this afternoon and increasing
cirrus as a warm front approaches from the west.

With SW flow across the region, WAA will allow for temps to climb
well through the 60s and into the low 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY/...
Warm front continues to approach from the west tonight and clouds
increase from the west and skies become mostly cloudy towards
daybreak Thursday.

With an increase in low level moisture, some fog and stratus is
possible late. Precip should hold off and conditions should remain
dry for the overnight period.

Lows will be in the 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
An area of low pressure will be passing to our north on Thursday,
while a cold front is expected to move across the area late in the
day. The front is not expected to move into the area until late
afternoon and move offshore until after sunset. With a southwest
flow across the area ahead of the front, temperatures will warm
well above normal, with temperatures approaching records in some
areas. With the warmth and humidity, there will be some
instability developing across the area during the day, albeit
minimal. So we will keep a chance of isolated thunderstorms in the
forecast. There is 35-40 knots of shear forecast, so it would not
be surprising to see a line of showers with embedded thunderstorms
contain some gusty winds. Regardless of the showers or
thunderstorms, we will likely have gusty winds both pre- frontal
with the warm southwest flow, and post- frontal with the cold
advection. The showers will end during the evening Thursday as the
front moves offshore and temperatures will cool through the night
with the cold advection.

Friday, high pressure will be to our west and we will remain dry
with gusty winds as a north-northwest flow remains across the
area. Temperatures will be seasonably cool, about 20 degrees
cooler than Thursday. Dry conditions will continue into Friday
night as the high inches closer to the area.

On Saturday, a frontal boundary is forecast to move across the area
as a weak area of low pressure drifts southward across New England.
The low is forecast to strengthen off the east coast as it continues
southward during the day Sunday. The best chances of
precipitation will likely stay north of the area where there is
greater low level lift and moisture combination. But it would not
be surprising for a few showers to make their way into our area,
especially Sunday.

By Monday and Tuesday, the high pressure to our west builds eastward
across the east coast. This will provide cool and dry weather for
the start of the work week.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today...VFR with a light SW wind, generally less than 10 KT.

Tonight...winds become LGT/VRB. Conditions should remain VFR, but
MVFR VSBYs possible towards daybreak.

OUTLOOK...
Thursday-Thursday night...VFR early. Showers, possibly a
thunderstorm, associated with a cold front during the afternoon
and evening. Rain ending during the evening, with improving
conditions overnight. Gusty southwest winds during the day 20-25
knots. Becoming northwest and gusty 20-25 knots during the evening
and overnight.

Friday-Sunday...Generally VFR. Gusty northwest winds Friday 20-25
knots. Less gusty on Saturday. Gusty northwest winds Sunday 20-25
knots.

&&

.MARINE...
A light pressure gradient over the waters results in SW winds
5-10 KT and seas on the ocean of 2-3 FT and on DE Bay of 1-2 FT.

OUTLOOK...
Thursday...Sub-small craft advisory conditions expected. Showers
,thunderstorms possible, by late afternoon.

Thursday night...Showers ,thunderstorms possible, during the evening.
Small Craft Advisory conditions likely, possibly near Gale force.

Friday...Small Craft Advisory conditions likely to continue,
possibly near Gale force early.

Friday night...Small Craft Advisory conditions possible early,
diminishing overnight.

Saturday-Saturday night...Sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions
expected.

Sunday...A return to Small Craft Advisory conditions possible.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Here are the high temperature records for Thursday, November 3:

ACY...81/2003
PHL...80/1990
ILG...78/2003
ABE...79/2003
TTN...80/2003
GED...80/1982
RDG...79/2003
MPO...73/2003

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

Synopsis...Robertson
Near Term...Meola/MPS
Short Term...MPS
Long Term...Robertson
Aviation...Robertson/MPS
Marine...Robertson/MPS
Climate...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
257 PM EDT WED NOV 2 2016

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-070-071-101>106-031900-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
257 PM EDT WED NOV 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-031900-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
257 PM EDT WED NOV 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.