Small Craft Advisory 93, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

966 
WHUS71 KPHI 230808
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
408 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016


ANZ431-231600-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-161023T1600Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
408 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* LOCATION...DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35  KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ452-232200-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-161023T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
408 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET... NEW 
  JERSEY TO FENWICK ISLAND...DELAWARE.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-231600-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-161023T1600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
408 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET... NEW 
  JERSEY TO FENWICK ISLAND...DELAWARE.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-232200-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-161023T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
408 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO LITTLE EGG 
  INLET...NEW JERSEY.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-232000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161023T2000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
408 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATION...DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

011 
WHUS71 KPHI 231318
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
918 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

ANZ431-231600-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-161023T1600Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
918 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* LOCATION...LOWER DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT...DIMINISHING
  SOME THIS AFTERNOON.

* SEAS...3 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-231600-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-161023T1600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
918 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET...NEW JERSEY
  TO FENWICK ISLAND...DELAWARE.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT...DIMINISHING
  SOME THIS AFTERNOON.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>452-232200-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-161023T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
918 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK...NEW JERSEY TO
  GREAT EGG INLET...NEW JERSEY.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-232000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161023T2000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
918 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATION...UPPER DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

460 
WHUS71 KPHI 231520
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1120 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

ANZ431-232200-
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-161023T1600Z/
/O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161023T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1120 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING.
THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT...DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. THE WINDS SHOULD THEN INCREASE
  TOWARD DAYBREAK MONDAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>452-232200-
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-161023T2200Z/
/O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161023T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
1120 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING.
THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT...DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. THE WINDS SHOULD THEN INCREASE
  TOWARD DAYBREAK MONDAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-232200-
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-161023T1600Z/
/O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161023T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1120 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING.
THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT...DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. THE WINDS SHOULD THEN INCREASE
  TOWARD DAYBREAK MONDAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-232200-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161023T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1120 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT...DIMINISHING LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE WINDS
  SHOULD THEN INCREASE EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KNOTS.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

107 
WHUS71 KPHI 231950
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
350 PM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

ANZ430-431-240900-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161025T0400Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
350 PM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT MONDAY
NIGHT...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. THE HIGHEST
  WINDS SHOULD OCCUR INTO THIS EVENING, THEN AGAIN LATE TONIGHT
  AND ESPECIALLY DURING MONDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING SOME MONDAY
  NIGHT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>455-240900-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161025T0400Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
350 PM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT MONDAY
NIGHT...

* WINDS...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT,
  THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST MONDAY. THE HIGHEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR
  INTO THIS EVENING, THEN AGAIN LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
  DURING MONDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING MONDAY NIGHT.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

347 
WHUS71 KPHI 240123
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
923 PM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016


ANZ430-431-241430-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161025T0400Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
923 PM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. WINDS WILL BE
  LIGHTER FOR MOST OF THE OVERNIGHT THEN INCREASE TOWARD SUNRISE
  MONDAY. 

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>455-241430-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161025T0400Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
923 PM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. WINDS WILL BE
  LIGHTER FOR MOST OF THE OVERNIGHT THEN INCREASE TOWARD SUNRISE
  MONDAY. 

* SEAS...AROUND THREE TO FOUR FEET FOR MOST OF THE OVERNIGHT THEN
  BUILDING CLOSER TO FIVE FEET BY SUNRISE MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

917 
WHUS71 KPHI 240748
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
348 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2016

ANZ430-431-242000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161025T1300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
348 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>455-242000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161025T1300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
348 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

FRANCK

768 
WHUS71 KPHI 241933
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
333 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2016

ANZ430-431-251000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161025T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
333 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. WINDS MAY
  FALL BELOW 25 KNOTS OVERNIGHT BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN TUESDAY.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>455-251000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161026T0300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
333 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

108 
WHUS71 KPHI 250743
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
343 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2016


ANZ430-431-252045-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161025T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
343 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>455-252045-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161026T0300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
343 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT...DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT AFTER
  SUNSET.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

411 
WHUS71 KPHI 251914
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
314 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2016


ANZ430-431-260000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161026T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
314 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR STRONG SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
  CONDITIONS LATE THURSDAY WITH EVEN ISOLATED GALE FORCE GUSTS
  POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>455-260600-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161026T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
314 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR STRONG SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
  CONDITIONS LATE THURSDAY WITH EVEN ISOLATED GALE FORCE GUSTS
  POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

873 
WHUS71 KPHI 252335
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
735 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2016

ANZ430-431-260045-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161026T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
735 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

WIND GUSTS HAVE FALLEN BELOW 25 KT. THEREFORE...THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

ANZ450-451-261000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161026T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
735 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR STRONG SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
  CONDITIONS LATE THURSDAY WITH EVEN ISOLATED GALE FORCE GUSTS
  POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ452>455-260600-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161026T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
735 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR STRONG SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY 
  CONDITIONS LATE THURSDAY WITH EVEN ISOLATED GALE FORCE GUSTS 
  POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MPS

321 
WHUS71 KPHI 260646
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
246 AM EDT WED OCT 26 2016


ANZ450-451-261000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161026T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
246 AM EDT WED OCT 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY
THIS MORNING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR STRONG SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY 
  CONDITIONS LATE THURSDAY WITH EVEN ISOLATED GALE FORCE GUSTS 
  POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

111 
WHUS71 KPHI 260733
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
333 AM EDT WED OCT 26 2016


ANZ450-451-260845-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0093.000000T0000Z-161026T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
333 AM EDT WED OCT 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW 25 KT AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DECREASE
THROUGH THE MORNING. THUS THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
939 PM EDT Sat Oct 22 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Strong low pressure over Maine will move north through eastern
Quebec Sunday. A cold frontal passage occurs late Sunday night, then
strong high pressure over central Canada gradually builds to our
north by Wednesday. A frontal system will approach from the west on
Thursday and probably move east of the mid Atlantic coast on Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
A dramatic change in our weather compared to the last several days.
This is courtesy of a negatively tilted upper-level trough in the
Northeast. This feature will continue to pivot to the north-
northeast through tonight, driving deepening surface low pressure
into eastern Canada. The light showers and sprinkles associated with
the axis of the strong trough aloft will continue to shift eastward
for the remainder of the night. Any showers with the axis of
deformation to our north are ending and the rest of the night is
expected to be dry.

Otherwise, cyclonic flow and cold air advection will maintain an
area of clouds although this is expected to thin out from south to
north. Any clouds that linger through the night should be across the
northwestern zones given some contribution by the eastern Great
Lakes (i.e. lake effect). The winds will continue to be gusty into
this evening especially given a tight pressure gradient, cold air
advection and good low-level mixing. As we go through tonight
however, the mixing should diminish especially as the thermal
advection weakens or even turns into very weak warm air advection
toward daybreak. As this occurs, the winds are expected to diminish
some with less gustiness. If the winds drop off enough, temperatures
will drop more however we are expecting at least some wind to
continue through the overnight.

As for the low temperatures, we used a MOS/continuity blend however
did not undercut these given the expectation that a breeze remains
through the night. Temperatures were raised with the updates this
evening slightly based on the wind gusts and updated metar
observations.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
The upper-level trough weakens across the area during Sunday as it
shifts toward the Canadian Maritimes. Strong surface low pressure
however well to our north-northeast combined with high pressure to
our southwest will keep a tight pressure gradient across our region.
This will result in a gusty west-northwest wind through the day,
which should increase quite a bit by mid to late morning as the
boundary layer warms. The warming aloft though may temper the true
mixing a bit. The gradient does relax toward late afternoon and
therefore we are expecting the winds to start diminishing.

The airmass overall looks rather dry through the day, however as
some warming occurs around 850 MB and with residual cyclonic flow
areas of stratocumulus may result especially across the northwestern
areas. Given the low-level warming expected to occur, a milder
afternoon is expected. High temperatures were mostly a blend of MOS
and continuity.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
500 MB: Cold closed low in Quebec weakens over the Maritimes
Wednesday as a short wave amplifies over the western Great Lakes
region. That short wave moves off the mid Atlantic coast Friday
followed by ridging Saturday.

Temperatures...October through the 21st has averaged around 4 degrees
above normal. The chill during midweek will make a significant dent
in that above normal departure. Calendar day averages Monday should
be around 3 to 5 degrees above normal, cooling to between 5 and 10
degrees below normal Wednesday and Thursday, then warming at or above
normal Friday and Saturday.

Forecast basis: Unless otherwise noted, a 50 50 blend of the 12z/22
GFS/NAM MOS guidance Sunday night-Monday night, thereafter the
12z/22 GFS MEXMOS Tuesday and then the 15z/22 WPC guidance Tuesday
night - Saturday, at times blended with the 12z/22 GFS MEXMOS guidance.

The dailies...

Sunday night...A secondary surface cold front slides through the
region late (after midnight). As mentioned by previous shifts, a
tight band of frontogenetic forcing along and just ahead of this
front should lead to some showers. However, limited synoptic
scale lift means that coverage should be limited across our
region, mainly north of I-78, possibly focused along I-80. PWAT
does increase to three quarter inch from the 0.3 inches 12 hours
earlier. lows several degrees above normal. Confidence: above
average.

Monday and Tuesday...A gusty northwest flow pattern sets up to start
the work week, resulting in cold air advection taking hold Monday
night and Tuesday.  Gusty northwest winds each afternoon to 25
mph. Diurnal cloud cover, with greatest coverage during each
afternoon.  Confidence: well above average.

Frost or freeze will probably occur early Wednesday morning across
much of eastern PA and NJ late Tuesday night as winds decrease-
decouple with the approaching ridge of the Canadian centered and
originating airmass. The growing season has ended in the Poconos
and Warren-Sussex counties of nw NJ. GFS 2m temps, combined with
the WPC guidance and 12z/22 GFS mex, suggests that we may be able
to post a freeze watch followed by a freeze warning for the I-78
region northward. It appears likely that if this forecast scenario
is close to reality that the growing season will likely end for
much of the area are along and north of I-78.

Wednesday...Sunny and rather cool with a light northerly flow.
Confidence: above average.

Wednesday night...If its clear through 08z/27, there would be a
repeat of frost or freezing conditions, similar to that of 24
hours earlier. However, there is uncertainty regarding skycover,
associated with a developing warm front to our west. Confidence:
average or just below average with the primary uncertainty being
skycover.

Thursday...Modestly interesting for late October. Chilly high to the
northeast and an approaching frontal system from the west with the
associated short wave in the Great Lakes heading east southeast.
thickening clouds with a cold rain possible by late in the day.
Confidence: average.

Rain looks quite likely for Thursday night.

This appears to be a possible developing occlusion with low
pressure forming on the occlusion by Friday morning along the mid
Atlantic coast.

Friday...Quite a bit of uncertainty. For now, have forecast the
progressive solution...any morning showers should end allowing a
rainfree afternoon with a solution of a surface low moving east
from the mid Atlantic coast, as per WPC and 00z/22 NAEFS guidance.
However, there is uncertainty and so our skycover forecast is a
little heavier than what might normally be associated a
progressive drying out solution.

Saturday...Looks nice with high pressure dominating.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight...VFR. West-northwest winds around 15 knots with some
lingering gusts around 25 knots till around midnight.

Sunday...VFR. West-northwest winds increase to 15 knots with gusts
up to 30 knots by mid to late morning, then diminish late in the
afternoon.

Outlook...

Sunday night...VFR cigs developing during the night but there is
a small chance of MVFR conditions in showers after midnight,
primarily for TAF sites north of KPHL. Confidence: above average.

Monday through Wednesday...Mostly VFR conditions expected.  Gusty
northwest winds 20 to 30 kt both Monday and Tuesday afternoons.
Confidence: well above average.

Thursday...VFR cigs developing by midday, probably deteriorating
to IFR or MVFR conds later Thursday night in showery rains.
easterly wind becoming southeast to south late. Confidence:
average.

&&

.MARINE...
A Gale Warning remains in effect for all zones into Sunday.

Wind gusts on both the ocean and in Delaware Bay are still gusting
around or just over 35 knots in spots. No changes to headlines
with the 9:30 pm update. With the thermal difference between the
airmass advecting into the region and the water the gale gusts may
linger into the overnight in Delaware Bay. This will be
reevaluatedwith the 12:30 am update to see if an extension is
needed.

Deepening low pressure tracking into eastern Canada will continue to
circulate a colder airmass across our area. This combined with a
tight pressure gradient and stronger flow is working with efficient
low-level mixing. As a result, wind gusts of 35-45 knots are
expected although these will diminish from south to north overnight
and during Sunday. No changes were made to the ending times and
trends will be monitored. A Small Craft Advisory will be needed for
a time following the end of the Gale Warning. Given the strong
offshore wind, seas will be elevated however the highest will be in
lower Delaware Bay and then farther from the Atlantic coast.

Outlook...
Sunday night...SCA conditions may continue into Sunday night,
especially outer waters. Confidence: average

Monday and Tuesday...SCA conditions with northwest winds occasionally
gusting above 25 kt, though seas may drop off below 5 ft.
Confidence: well above average.

Wednesday...No marine headlines anticipated. northerly winds gusting
under 20 kt expected to turn northeast at night. Confidence: above
average.

Thursday...An SCA may be needed for the Atlantic waters Thursday
night. Confidence: Below average.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Have quickly rereviewed the monthly departures. Will focus much
more closely in the sunday afternoon AFD. For now...still expecting
around a #15 warmest October in PHL/ABE, that said with average
confidence. Will probably have a much better handle on the monthly
ranking in late Sundays AFD.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning until noon EDT Sunday for ANZ452>455.
     Gale Warning until 6 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ450-451.
     Gale Warning until 2 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ430-431.

&&

Synopsis...Drag
Near Term...Gaines/Gorse
Short Term...Gorse
Long Term...Drag
Aviation...Drag/Gaines/Gorse
Marine...Drag/Gaines/Gorse
Climate...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1221 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

NJZ001-007-PAZ054-055-240430-
SUSSEX-WARREN-CARBON-MONROE-
1221 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ008>010-012-013-015>023-027-PAZ060>062-070-071-
101>106-240430-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
1221 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND POSSIBLY AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY THURSDAY. FROST IS EXPECTED, THOUGH MAY BE LESS
WIDESPREAD NEAR PHILADELPHIA BY THE SLIGHTLY WARMER CITY
TEMPERATURES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002-003-MDZ012-015-019-020-240430-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
1221 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-240430-
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
1221 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ452>455-240430-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1221 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450-451-240430-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
1221 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-240430-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1221 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ431-240430-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1221 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.