Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Warnings in 2016
Tornado Warning 12, NWS Paducah, KY
NWS Paducah, KY issued this tornado warning at Mar 27, 2016, 7:17 PM CDT for Christian County, Kentucky. It was in force for 28 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 27, 2016, 7:17 PM CDT (00:17 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 27, 2016, 7:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 28 min
- Issued by
- NWS Paducah, KY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Tornado
- Radar indicated
- Hail
- 0.75 in
County Christian County, KY
The radar
The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 7:19 PM CDT | TORNADO | 2 W Crofton, KY | TORNADO UNCONFIRMED...BUT POWER OUTAGES REPORTED ALONG WITH BARN COMPLETELY DESTROYED NEAR OLD PALESTINE ROAD AND SEVERAL NEARBY HOUSES HEAVILY DAMAGED |
| Mar 27, 7:19 PM CDT | TORNADO | Crofton, KY | UNCONFIRMED...POWER OUTAGES REPORTED |
| Mar 27, 7:22 PM CDT | FUNNEL CLOUD | 1 E Crofton, KY | FUNNEL SIGHTED ALONG CROFTON FRUIT HILL ROAD BUT UNABLE TO TELL WHETHER IT IS ON THE GROUND |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this tornado warning; the first came 2 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 3:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 328 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -41 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 718 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 207 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 147 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.3
- Supercell composite
- 2.9
The text
As transmitted.
038
WFUS53 KPAH 280017
TORPAH
KYC047-280045-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0012.160328T0017Z-160328T0045Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
717 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
* UNTIL 745 PM CDT
* AT 716 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED OVER CROFTON...OR 10 MILES NORTH OF HOPKINSVILLE...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.
HAZARD...TORNADO.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.
* THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHEASTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER
AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
&&
LAT...LON 3696 8752 3704 8755 3714 8735 3706 8727
3696 8729
TIME...MOT...LOC 0016Z 251DEG 34KT 3701 8750
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN
$$
JPWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Mar 27, 6:10 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 27, 6:10 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 610 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016 .MESOSCALE DISCUSSION... Issued at 608 PM CDT Sun Mar 27 2016 Main wind shift/gust front line with the cold front at 6 pm CDT was located near a Bellmont (Wabash Co. IL), Cairo (Alexander Co. IL), to New Madrid (New Madrid Co. MO). Decent drying aloft/momentum/gradient winds is supporting isolated wind gusts in excess of 45 mph in these areas, especially over southern sections of Southeast Missouri (toward the delta region) and leading into Southwest Kentucky. The nose of the lower theta-e air aloft and sharper lapse rates aloft continue to fire sub-severe/severe convection over West Kentucky and Southwest Indiana. The 3km HRRR guidance continues to do well with the timing/location of the convective lines this afternoon into early this evening. As SPC noted in their Mesoscale discussion, satellite imagery suggests somewhat of a negative tilt in the trough. This should support sharpening lapse rates and some increase in shear for the next 1-2 hours over our forecast area. The loss of insolation may temper any surface based contribution to CAPE, but any kinematic forcing may compensate in the very near term. Anticipate that reports of 1/4" to 1/2" inch hail size will become the dominant feature around or after 00z Monday (7 pm CDT). Updated the gridded forecast package to reflect the sharp drop in temperatures, as well episodic wind increases along and just behind the cold front. There is some concern noted with the HRRR reflectivity pattern over Southwest Indiana between 6 pm and 8 pm. There is a suggestion of an MCV development just ahead of the front in that area. If the boundary layer does not stabilize sufficiently, this could suggest an enhanced wind threat. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday night) Issued at 121 PM CDT Sun Mar 27 2016 Cold front is analyzed with westerlies from STL to just west of UNO. Visible imagery shows dense cloud mass just behind boundary with radar indicating cold advection post frontal rain across cntl MO. BINOVC in pre frontal environ over PAH FA, with peaking afternoon temps in l-m70s and dew points ranging from u50s (west) to lower 60s (east). The window for convection is short-lived, from as little as 1-2 hours in our west, to as much as 3-4 hours in our east. The front will make rapid eastward progression thru the pm/early evening hours. It will encounter MUCapes supportive of thunder potential, with temps aloft and steepened lapse rates supportive of SLGT risk svr, mainly along/east of Lower Ohio River valley region and across much of WKY. Thunder chances then drop off markedly/shifting east after 00z and scour entirely after 03z or 04z. Will continue close weather watch for pm svr potential, with damaging winds/hail still primary hazards if a svr storm occurs. After fropa, pops eliminated and skies clear shortly thereafter (mainly after midnight) tonight. We'll see some 30s dip into the area tonight for lows, mainly across our western third/counties. While patchy frost may be possible in the Ozarks or western fringe counties, believe winds will hold light breeze for all but very end of night (far west) and thus preclude necessity for frost headline like further to our West. Slightly cooler/drier air then works down the column for tmrw/tmrw night. Tuesday is an airmass modifying/rebounding day, though not as warm as today. .LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Sunday Night) Issued at 209 PM CDT Sun Mar 27 2016 The primary weather feature will occur within the first 24 hours of the extended forecast period. The trough forecast to build into the Pacific Northwest U.S. today will carve out a closed low across the Western U.S. through Tuesday. As the western limb of the slightly westward tilted north-south orient ridge moves east of the area, the moisture plume from the Gulf of Mexico will intersect with more favorable instability on Wednesday. This will produce of a mix of showers and thunderstorms, as minor impulses rotate around the eastern limb of the trough from northern Mexico and northward from the Lower Mississippi Valley. The thunderstorm activity should diminish following the passage of the front (albeit weak) Wednesday night, as the upper low from the Western U.S. shifts into the Middle Mississippi Valley and upper Midwest. By Thursday, the flow of moisture is truncated as the broad upper trough across the Midwest shears out along the southern edge. This will limit the deep layer moisture, with the only contribution from existing moisture advected around the trough from the upper Midwest. Given the variability in both the speed and location of the upper trough, there may be intermittent injection of cold air advection shower (possibly isolated thunderstorm) development from northwest to southeast across the WFO PAH forecast area. For all intent and purposes, plan to keep the area dry, as coverage will be sporadic at best Friday into Saturday. With the switch to northwest flow late Friday night through Sunday night, we could see temperatures falling back into the 30s. we could see frost potential and possibly a mild freeze potential each night next weekend. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon) Issued at 121 PM CDT Sun Mar 27 2016 Terminals reside in pre frontal environ this pm, with MVFR scattered bases becoming CIGS as cold front taps moistening tongue in advance of its arrival late this pm/and passage early this evening. Convective chances increase, particularly east, and have included MVFR to at times IFR vsby restriction with gusty winds and perhaps, airport alternate cigs occurring in stronger storm. The time window is short, from 1-2 hours west (KCGI) to 3-4 hours east (KOWB) for convection induced restrictions. Otherwise fropa will ultimately clear/scatter skies later tonight as winds go northwesterly and slacken. && .PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && MESOSCALE...Smith LONG TERM...Smith
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 27, 4:03 AM CDT, 15 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 403 AM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-281000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 403 AM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING...MAINLY OVER FAR SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS... SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY. A FEW SEVERE STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING OVER WESTERN KENTUCKY...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND FAR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 27, 5:19 PM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
519 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0510 PM HAIL 6 SW GREENVILLE 37.15N 87.26W
03/27/2016 M0.88 INCH MUHLENBERG KY TRAINED SPOTTER
NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED WITH TORRENTIAL RAIN
&&
SMITTYSpecial weather statement, Mar 27, 5:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 52 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
525 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016
ILZ083-087-INZ085-272300-
WHITE IL-GALLATIN IL-POSEY IN-
525 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WHITE...NORTHEASTERN
GALLATIN AND POSEY COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...
AT 524 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
MOUNT VERNON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOUNT VERNON...POSEYVILLE...NEW HARMONY...CYNTHIANA...BLAIRSVILLE AND NEW
HAVEN.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA...AND NORTHWESTERN
KENTUCKY.
LAT...LON 3820 8769 3797 8770 3791 8786 3793 8790
3789 8795 3783 8808 3791 8816 3804 8803
3816 8793 3820 8788
TIME...MOT...LOC 2224Z 230DEG 51KT 3794 8802
JPLocal storm report, Mar 27, 5:26 PM CDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
526 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0525 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N DELTA 37.21N 89.74W
03/27/2016 E50 MPH CAPE GIRARDEAU MO TRAINED SPOTTER
WINDS ESTIMATED 40 TO 50 MPH
&&
SMITTYLocal storm report, Mar 27, 5:28 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
528 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0527 PM HAIL CENTRAL CITY 37.30N 87.13W
03/27/2016 M0.88 INCH MUHLENBERG KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED.
&&
SMITTYSpecial weather statement, Mar 27, 5:40 PM CDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 540 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016 ILZ077-078-083-086-087-090-091-094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022- MOZ112-114-280145- EDWARDS-WABASH-WHITE-SALINE-GALLATIN-POPE-HARDIN-MASSAC-GIBSON- PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE- BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN- LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON- DAVIESS-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBION...MOUNT CARMEL...CARMI... HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN... METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...EVANSVILLE... BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE... PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SYMSONIA...LOWES...SMITHLAND...BENTON... HARRIS GROVE...KIRKSEY...MURRAY...NEW CONCORD...MARION... EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...CANTON...LINTON...ROCKCASTLE...PRINCETON... FRYER...MORGANFIELD...DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE... HENDERSON...MOSELEYVILLE...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE... ALLEGRE...CLIFTY...ELKTON...GUTHRIE...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID 540 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016 ...GUSTY POST FRONTAL WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE QUAD STATE EARLY THIS EVENING... IN THE IMMEDIATE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 GENERALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM MOUNT CARMEL ILLINOIS TO CAIRO ILLINOIS TO POPLAR BLUFF MISSOURI. GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN ONLY BE EXPECTED FOR 30 TO 60 MINUTES FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...THEN WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF THROUGH THE EVENING. JP
Special weather statement, Mar 27, 6:13 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
613 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016
KYZ015-272345-
WEBSTER KY-
613 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEBSTER COUNTY UNTIL 645 PM
CDT...
AT 613 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
CLAY...OR NEAR PROVIDENCE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SEBREE...CLAY...DIXON AND WHEATCROFT.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN KENTUCKY.
LAT...LON 3754 8744 3738 8786 3739 8786 3740 8784
3742 8784 3742 8785 3741 8787 3740 8790
3745 8794 3746 8794 3763 8774 3764 8752
TIME...MOT...LOC 2313Z 239DEG 49KT 3744 8786
JPThe office that day
Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 7:34 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Muhlenberg | 26 min |
| Mar 27, 7:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Muhlenberg | 16 min |
Nearby
Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2016Every tornado warning in 2016Tornadoes in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.