Red Flag Warning 3, NWS Norman, OK

109 
WWUS84 KOUN 012154
RFWOUN

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
354 PM CST MON FEB 1 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR PART OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING...

.A STRONG STORM SYSTEM OVER NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS WILL BRING
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS TO WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT WINDS WILL REACH OR EXCEED
20 MPH BEFORE SUNSET...WHEN HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE
EXPECTED.

TXZ083-084-087-088-020000-
/O.CON.KOUN.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160202T0000Z/
HARDEMAN-FOARD-KNOX-BAYLOR-
354 PM CST MON FEB 1 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
FOR WINDY CONDITIONS... WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...

* TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...15 TO 20 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURE...70 TO 75 DEGREES

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
325 AM CST MON FEB 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN UPPER STORM SYSTEM THAT HAS BEEN ADVERTISED FOR THE LAST
SEVERAL DAYS WILL MOVE OUT INTO THE PLAINS LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

FOR TODAY WINDS WILL INCREASE AS SFC PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS UP
IN ADVANCE OF THE STORM SYSTEM. A SIGNIFICANT PUSH OF DRIER AIR
WILL WORK INTO OUR SOUTHWEST CWA... WHICH WILL AGAIN LEAD TO PART
OF THE AREA SEEING INCREASED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. WILL UPGRADE
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS FOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. THIS
AREA COULD SEE SOME BLOWING DUST BY LATE IN THE DAY AS WELL.

OTHERWISE WILL SEE CHANCES FOR PRECIP BEGIN TO IMPACT PARTS
OF NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA TODAY. THERE IS JUST ENOUGH ELEVATED
INSTABILITY FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS
ACTIVITY. HOWEVER NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED. BEST CHANCE FOR
PRECIP WILL BE THIS EVENING BEFORE LARGE DRY SLOT OVERSPREADS THE
AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THERE IS ALSO A SMALL
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR A RAIN/SNOW MIX OR LIGHT SNOW ACROSS
FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY
OF ACCUMULATIONS.

BY TUESDAY MORNING... SYSTEM IS QUICKLY LIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST WITH DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS.
HOWEVER... A RATHER STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE AREA WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND FALLING TEMPS ACROSS
PARTS OF THE AREA. STILL APPEARS THAT PARTS OF THE AREA WILL NEED
A WIND ADVISORY ON TUESDAY. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TUE
NIGHT... BUT WIND CHILLS WILL DIP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND
TEENS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA BY WED MORNING.

ANOTHER COMPACT SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE ROCKIES LATE
IN THE WEEK. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO PRODUCE SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW
ACROSS PARTS OF WEST TEXAS... SOME OF WHICH MAY GET CLOSE TO OUR
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS COUNTIES. WILL INTRODUCE SOME LOW
PRECIP CHANCES ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS FRI NIGHT INTO
SAT.

OTHERWISE... A COUPLE OF COOLER/COLDER DAYS WILL FOLLOW THE
PASSAGE OF THE FRONT ON TUESDAY BEFORE A MODEST REBOUND BACK TO
NEAR SEASONAL NORMS FOR THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  64  41  50  26 /  10  60   0   0
HOBART OK         64  38  48  25 /  10  30   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  72  43  55  27 /   0  10   0   0
GAGE OK           57  31  37  18 /  40  50  10   0
PONCA CITY OK     60  40  45  23 /  20  80  10   0
DURANT OK         69  47  59  30 /   0  30  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     TXZ083-084-087-088.

&&

14/30

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
747 PM CST SUN JAN 31 2016

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-020200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
747 PM CST SUN JAN 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.FIRE WEATHER...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA MONDAY EVENING. SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY.

.WINTER WEATHER...
SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA TUESDAY.
MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE.

.STRONG WINDS...
TUESDAY WILL SEE WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH
POSSIBLE IN NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.