Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
616 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

It's another typically hot and muggy summer afternoon across the
Mid State, with temperatures ranging from the middle 80s to the
lower 90s. Most thunderstorms, as of 2 pm, were confined to the
northwest and northern Cumberland Plateau.

A shortwave will drop across the area tonight and keep at least a
small chance for thunderstorms running for Middle Tennessee. The
best chance will be across the north, where the atmospheric
moisture will be deepest.

Not much to say about the remainder of the short-term forecast,
through Friday, as we remain in a seasonably muggy and warm air
mass. Expect scattered mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms
each day.

Upper level high pressure builds in from the lower and middle
Mississippi Valley by Thursday, with daytime highs creeping up a
degree or two each day. By Thursday afternoon, maximum heat index
values will be pushing to between 100 an 103 degrees in areas
west of the Cumberland Plateau.

.LONG TERM...

A shortwave sweeps from the upper Midwest into New England from
Thursday night into Saturday. This pushes a cold front southward
into the Ohio River Valley on Friday, which then pivots into a
northwest-to-southeast alignment along the eastern edge of the
upper level high.

By Sunday, a quasi-stationary front sets up from central Illinois
down to north-central Georgia, keeping Middle Tennessee in a warm
and muggy air mass. Since we'll end up south and west of the
frontal boundary, it doesn't look like any drier air will work
its way into our neck of the woods. As a result, we keep a chance
for thunderstorms running each day during the extended period,
from Friday through next Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Showers and thunderstorms moving through part of Middle TN at TAF
time. These will provide a very short period of MVFR cigs/vis with
some light rain and VFR conditions for a couple of hours
afterwards. Mainly VFR conditions will persist through the
remainder of the overnight, with only a couple hours of IFR vis
due to this evening's rains at KCKV.

Winds will be light, going calm overnight and return to a westerly
8 kts Tuesday afternoon.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

DISCUSSION......19
AVIATION........Unger

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
504 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-022215-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON-
HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH-
JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON-
MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-
COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES-
504 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY WEST OF
INTERSTATE 65. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS UNTIL 8 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BECOME NECESSARY THIS EVENING.

27

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
710 PM CDT MON AUG 01 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0554 PM     TSTM WND DMG     9 NE CENTERVILLE        35.89N  87.35W
08/01/2016                   HICKMAN            TN   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREES DOWN ON CHURCH ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1601046

FB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
711 PM CDT MON AUG 01 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0548 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NNW CENTERVILLE       35.83N  87.46W
08/01/2016                   HICKMAN            TN   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREES DOWN IN THE VACINITY OF
            PUCKET HOLLOW ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1601047

FB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
713 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

TNZ062-020100-
RUTHERFORD TN-
713 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR RUTHERFORD COUNTY UNTIL 800 PM
CDT...

AT 713 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
MURFREESBORO...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MURFREESBORO...WALTERHILL...MILTON...ROCKVALE...
CHRISTIANA AND LASCASSAS.

LAT...LON 3568 8652 3569 8652 3570 8655 3589 8661
      3600 8634 3598 8631 3597 8626 3596 8625
      3597 8622 3596 8616 3595 8615 3591 8615
      3588 8616 3588 8617 3581 8618 3579 8619
      3577 8618 3568 8625 3566 8650
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 253DEG 19KT 3581 8647

27

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
721 PM CDT MON AUG 01 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0454 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSE WAVERLY           36.08N  87.78W
08/01/2016                   HUMPHREYS          TN   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN IN SOUTH WAVERLY

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1601048

FB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
723 PM CDT MON AUG 01 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0442 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 ENE WAVERLY           36.11N  87.72W
08/01/2016                   HUMPHREYS          TN   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN BETWEEN WAVERLY AN MCEWEN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1601049

FB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
739 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

TNZ028-062>064-020115-
CANNON TN-DE KALB TN-WILSON TN-RUTHERFORD TN-
739 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL RUTHERFORD...DE
KALB...NORTHERN CANNON AND SOUTHEASTERN WILSON COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM
CDT...

AT 739 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES NORTHWEST OF WOODBURY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SMITHVILLE...WOODBURY...ALEXANDRIA...DOWELLTOWN...LIBERTY...
AUBURNTOWN...CENTER HILL LAKE...READYVILLE...
EDGAR EVANS STATE PARK AND MILTON.

LAT...LON 3586 8572 3585 8579 3585 8584 3584 8584
      3585 8585 3585 8587 3583 8589 3583 8591
      3577 8620 3599 8629 3611 8589 3610 8589
      3609 8587 3612 8585 3613 8583
TIME...MOT...LOC 0039Z 251DEG 27KT 3591 8616

27