Alert archive / Tennessee / Wind Advisories in 2016
Wind Advisory 6, NWS Morristown, TN
NWS Morristown, TN issued this wind advisory at Feb 23, 2016, 3:38 PM EST for 33 counties in Tennessee; Cherokee County, Clay County, North Carolina; 7 counties in Virginia. It took effect at Feb 24, 2016, 4:00 AM EST. It was in force for 21 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 23, 2016, 3:38 PM EST (20:38 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 24, 2016, 4:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 25, 2016, 1:00 AM EST
- In force
- 21 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Morristown, TN
All 42 counties
Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Washington County, TN, City of Bristol, VA, City of Norton, VA, Lee County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 27 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 265 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 571 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 49 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 57 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
907 WWUS74 KMRX 232038 NPWMRX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 338 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016 ...HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS OF EAST TENNESSEE..SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA..AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS VALLEY LOCATIONS... .A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO TO THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENTS AROUND THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS OF THE EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...AS WELL AS VALLEY LOCATIONS IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. NCZ060-061-TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072-074-087-102-VAZ006-008- 240500- /O.UPG.KMRX.HW.A.0001.160224T0300Z-160224T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KMRX.HW.W.0003.160224T0300Z-160225T0000Z/ CHEROKEE-CLAY-JOHNSON-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST GREENE- UNICOI-SOUTHEAST CARTER-BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS- SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST MONROE-EAST POLK-RUSSELL- WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...MOUNTAIN CITY... COSBY...CEDAR CREEK...ERWIN...ROAN MOUNTAIN...CADES COVE... GATLINBURG...COKER CREEK...DUCKTOWN...LEBANON...ABINGDON 338 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * EVENT...SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. * TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT IN CROSS WINDS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LARGE BRANCHES AND SOME TREES MAY BE DOWNED...AREA HIKERS AND OUTDOORSMEN ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH AND/OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR HIGHER CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES. WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES CAN CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES. MOTORISTS SHOULD USE CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ TNZ040-042-044-046-071-073-085-086-240500- /O.NEW.KMRX.HW.W.0003.160224T0300Z-160225T0000Z/ NORTHWEST COCKE-NORTHWEST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-NORTHWEST CARTER- NW BLOUNT-NORTH SEVIER-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...GREENEVILLE...JOHNSON CITY... ELIZABETHTON...MARYVILLE...SEVIERVILLE...ATHENS...MADISONVILLE 338 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. * EVENT...SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. * TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT IN CROSS WINDS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LARGE BRANCHES AND SOME TREES MAY BE DOWNED...AREA HIKERS AND OUTDOORSMEN ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH AND/OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR HIGHER CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES. WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES CAN CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES. MOTORISTS SHOULD USE CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ TNZ012>017-035>039-067>070-081>084-098>101-VAZ001-002-005-240500- /O.NEW.KMRX.WI.Y.0006.160224T0900Z-160225T0000Z/ SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-SULLIVAN-MORGAN- ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON- SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK- LEE-WISE-SCOTT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONEIDA...LA FOLLETTE...TAZEWELL... SNEEDVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...KINGSPORT...BRISTOL...WARTBURG... CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...MAYNARDVILLE...RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN... KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...DUNLAP... PIKEVILLE...DAYTON...DECATUR...JASPER...CHATTANOOGA...CLEVELAND... BENTON...JONESVILLE...WISE...NORTON...GATE CITY 338 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016 /238 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2016/ ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY. * EVENT...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 3O MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH AN INCOMING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. * TIMING...EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT IN CROSS WINDS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SMALL BRANCHES AND SOME WEAKER TREES MAY BE DOWNED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 26 TO 39 MPH AND/OR GUSTS OF 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES... SO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. && $$
6 follow-up statements
168 WWUS74 KMRX 240401 AAA NPWMRX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 1101 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016 ...HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS OF EAST TENNESSEE..SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA..AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS VALLEY LOCATIONS... .A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO TO THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENTS AROUND THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS OF THE EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...AS WELL AS VALLEY LOCATIONS IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. NCZ060-061-TNZ018-040>047-071>074-085>087-102-VAZ006-008-241215- /O.CON.KMRX.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160225T0000Z/ CHEROKEE-CLAY-JOHNSON-NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS- NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI- NORTHWEST CARTER-SOUTHEAST CARTER-NW BLOUNT- BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-MCMINN- NORTHWEST MONROE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-EAST POLK-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...MOUNTAIN CITY... NEWPORT...COSBY...GREENEVILLE...CEDAR CREEK...JOHNSON CITY... ERWIN...ELIZABETHTON...ROAN MOUNTAIN...MARYVILLE...CADES COVE... SEVIERVILLE...GATLINBURG...ATHENS...MADISONVILLE...COKER CREEK... DUCKTOWN...LEBANON...ABINGDON 1101 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * EVENT...SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. * TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT IN CROSS WINDS... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LARGE BRANCHES AND SOME TREES MAY BE DOWNED...AREA HIKERS AND OUTDOORSMEN ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH AND/OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR HIGHER CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES. WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES CAN CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES. MOTORISTS SHOULD USE CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ TNZ012>017-035>039-067>070-081>084-098>101-VAZ001-002-005-241215- /O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0006.160224T0900Z-160225T0000Z/ SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-SULLIVAN-MORGAN- ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON- SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK- LEE-WISE-SCOTT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONEIDA...LA FOLLETTE...TAZEWELL... SNEEDVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...KINGSPORT...BRISTOL...WARTBURG... CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...MAYNARDVILLE...RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN... KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...DUNLAP... PIKEVILLE...DAYTON...DECATUR...JASPER...CHATTANOOGA...CLEVELAND... BENTON...JONESVILLE...WISE...NORTON...GATE CITY 1101 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016 /1001 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2016/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY... * EVENT...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 3O MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH AN INCOMING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. * TIMING...EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT IN CROSS WINDS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SMALL BRANCHES AND SOME WEAKER TREES MAY BE DOWNED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 26 TO 39 MPH AND/OR GUSTS OF 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES... SO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. && $$
061 WWUS74 KMRX 240924 NPWMRX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 424 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016 ...HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS OF EAST TENNESSEE..SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA..AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA TODAY AND TONIGHT. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS VALLEY LOCATIONS... .A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST FROM TENNESSEE INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TODAY. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENTS AROUND THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS OF THE EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...AS WELL AS VALLEY LOCATIONS IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. NCZ060-061-TNZ018-040>047-071>074-085>087-102-VAZ006-008-242000- /O.EXB.KMRX.WI.Y.0006.160224T1800Z-160225T0600Z/ /O.EXT.KMRX.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160224T1800Z/ CHEROKEE-CLAY-JOHNSON-NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS- NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI- NORTHWEST CARTER-SOUTHEAST CARTER-NW BLOUNT- BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-MCMINN- NORTHWEST MONROE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-EAST POLK-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...MOUNTAIN CITY... NEWPORT...COSBY...GREENEVILLE...CEDAR CREEK...JOHNSON CITY... ERWIN...ELIZABETHTON...ROAN MOUNTAIN...MARYVILLE...CADES COVE... SEVIERVILLE...GATLINBURG...ATHENS...MADISONVILLE...COKER CREEK... DUCKTOWN...LEBANON...ABINGDON 424 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016 ...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY. * EVENT... SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. AS WINDS TRANSITION TO SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE BUT WILL REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * TIMING...THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT IN CROSS WINDS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LARGE BRANCHES AND SOME TREES MAY BE DOWNED...AREA HIKERS AND OUTDOORSMEN ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH AND/OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR HIGHER CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES. WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES CAN CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES. MOTORISTS SHOULD USE CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 26 TO 39 MPH AND/OR GUSTS OF 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES... SO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. && $$ TNZ012>017-035>039-067>070-081>084-098>101-VAZ001-002-005-242000- /O.EXT.KMRX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-160225T0600Z/ SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-SULLIVAN-MORGAN- ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON- SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK- LEE-WISE-SCOTT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONEIDA...LA FOLLETTE...TAZEWELL... SNEEDVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...KINGSPORT...BRISTOL...WARTBURG... CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...MAYNARDVILLE...RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN... KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...DUNLAP... PIKEVILLE...DAYTON...DECATUR...JASPER...CHATTANOOGA...CLEVELAND... BENTON...JONESVILLE...WISE...NORTON...GATE CITY 424 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016 /324 AM CST WED FEB 24 2016/ ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/ THURSDAY... * EVENT...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 3O MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH AN INCOMING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. * TIMING...THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT IN CROSS WINDS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SMALL BRANCHES AND SOME WEAKER TREES MAY BE DOWNED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 26 TO 39 MPH AND/OR GUSTS OF 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES... SO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. && $$
004 WWUS74 KMRX 241558 AAA NPWMRX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 1058 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016 ...HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS OF EAST TENNESSEE..SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA..AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA TODAY AND TONIGHT. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS VALLEY LOCATIONS... .A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST FROM TENNESSEE INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TODAY. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENTS AROUND THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS OF THE EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...AS WELL AS VALLEY LOCATIONS IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. NCZ060-061-TNZ018-040>047-071>074-085>087-102-VAZ006-008-250000- /O.CON.KMRX.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160224T1800Z/ /O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0006.160224T1800Z-160225T0600Z/ CHEROKEE-CLAY-JOHNSON-NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS- NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI- NORTHWEST CARTER-SOUTHEAST CARTER-NW BLOUNT- BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-MCMINN- NORTHWEST MONROE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-EAST POLK-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...MOUNTAIN CITY... NEWPORT...COSBY...GREENEVILLE...CEDAR CREEK...JOHNSON CITY... ERWIN...ELIZABETHTON...ROAN MOUNTAIN...MARYVILLE...CADES COVE... SEVIERVILLE...GATLINBURG...ATHENS...MADISONVILLE...COKER CREEK... DUCKTOWN...LEBANON...ABINGDON 1058 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * EVENT... SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. AS WINDS TRANSITION TO SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE BUT WILL REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * TIMING...LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT IN CROSS WINDS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LARGE BRANCHES AND SOME TREES MAY BE DOWNED...AREA HIKERS AND OUTDOORSMEN ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH AND/OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR HIGHER CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES. WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES CAN CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES. MOTORISTS SHOULD USE CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 26 TO 39 MPH AND/OR GUSTS OF 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES... SO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. && $$ TNZ012>017-035>039-067>070-081>084-098>101-VAZ001-002-005-250000- /O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-160225T0600Z/ SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-SULLIVAN-MORGAN- ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON- SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK- LEE-WISE-SCOTT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONEIDA...LA FOLLETTE...TAZEWELL... SNEEDVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...KINGSPORT...BRISTOL...WARTBURG... CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...MAYNARDVILLE...RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN... KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...DUNLAP... PIKEVILLE...DAYTON...DECATUR...JASPER...CHATTANOOGA...CLEVELAND... BENTON...JONESVILLE...WISE...NORTON...GATE CITY 1058 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016 /958 AM CST WED FEB 24 2016/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/ THURSDAY... * EVENT...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 3O MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH AN INCOMING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. * TIMING...LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT IN CROSS WINDS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SMALL BRANCHES AND SOME WEAKER TREES MAY BE DOWNED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 26 TO 39 MPH AND/OR GUSTS OF 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES... SO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. && $$
742 WWUS74 KMRX 241933 AAA NPWMRX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 233 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016 ...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT... .A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST FROM TENNESSEE INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TODAY. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENTS AROUND THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS OF THE EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...AS WELL AS VALLEY LOCATIONS IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. TNZ012>017-035>039-067>070-081>084-098>101-VAZ001-002-005-250345- /O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-160225T0600Z/ SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-SULLIVAN-MORGAN- ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON- SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK- LEE-WISE-SCOTT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONEIDA...LA FOLLETTE...TAZEWELL... SNEEDVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...KINGSPORT...BRISTOL...WARTBURG... CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...MAYNARDVILLE...RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN... KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...DUNLAP... PIKEVILLE...DAYTON...DECATUR...JASPER...CHATTANOOGA...CLEVELAND... BENTON...JONESVILLE...WISE...NORTON...GATE CITY 233 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016 /133 PM CST WED FEB 24 2016/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/ THURSDAY... * EVENT...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 3O MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH AN INCOMING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. * TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT IN CROSS WINDS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SMALL BRANCHES AND SOME WEAKER TREES MAY BE DOWNED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 26 TO 39 MPH AND/OR GUSTS OF 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES... SO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. && $$ NCZ060-061-TNZ018-040>047-071>074-085>087-102-VAZ006-008-250345- /O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-160225T0600Z/ CHEROKEE-CLAY-JOHNSON-NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS- NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI- NORTHWEST CARTER-SOUTHEAST CARTER-NW BLOUNT- BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-MCMINN- NORTHWEST MONROE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-EAST POLK-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...MOUNTAIN CITY... NEWPORT...COSBY...GREENEVILLE...CEDAR CREEK...JOHNSON CITY... ERWIN...ELIZABETHTON...ROAN MOUNTAIN...MARYVILLE...CADES COVE... SEVIERVILLE...GATLINBURG...ATHENS...MADISONVILLE...COKER CREEK... DUCKTOWN...LEBANON...ABINGDON 233 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * EVENT...BRISK AND GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE...WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT IN CROSS WINDS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SMALL BRANCHES AND SOME WEAKER TREES MAY BE DOWNED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 26 TO 39 MPH AND/OR GUSTS OF 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...SO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. && $$
591 WWUS74 KMRX 250152 NPWMRX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 852 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016 ...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION INTO TONIGHT... .A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PULL AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT. THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENTS AROUND THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA EARLY TONIGHT BEFORE GRADUALLY WEAKENING. TNZ012>017-035>039-067>070-081>084-098>101-VAZ001-002-005-250600- /O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-160225T0600Z/ SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-SULLIVAN-MORGAN- ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON- SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK- LEE-WISE-SCOTT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONEIDA...LA FOLLETTE...TAZEWELL... SNEEDVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...KINGSPORT...BRISTOL...WARTBURG... CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...MAYNARDVILLE...RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN... KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...DUNLAP... PIKEVILLE...DAYTON...DECATUR...JASPER...CHATTANOOGA...CLEVELAND... BENTON...JONESVILLE...WISE...NORTON...GATE CITY 852 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016 /752 PM CST WED FEB 24 2016/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/ THURSDAY... * EVENT...SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES. * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT IN CROSS WINDS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SMALL BRANCHES AND SOME WEAKER TREES MAY BE DOWNED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 26 TO 39 MPH AND/OR GUSTS OF 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES... SO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. && $$ NCZ060-061-TNZ018-040>047-071>074-085>087-102-VAZ006-008-250600- /O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-160225T0600Z/ CHEROKEE-CLAY-JOHNSON-NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS- NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI- NORTHWEST CARTER-SOUTHEAST CARTER-NW BLOUNT- BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-MCMINN- NORTHWEST MONROE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-EAST POLK-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...MOUNTAIN CITY... NEWPORT...COSBY...GREENEVILLE...CEDAR CREEK...JOHNSON CITY... ERWIN...ELIZABETHTON...ROAN MOUNTAIN...MARYVILLE...CADES COVE... SEVIERVILLE...GATLINBURG...ATHENS...MADISONVILLE...COKER CREEK... DUCKTOWN...LEBANON...ABINGDON 852 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * EVENT...WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AT TIMES. * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT IN CROSS WINDS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SMALL BRANCHES AND SOME WEAKER TREES MAY BE DOWNED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 26 TO 39 MPH AND/OR GUSTS OF 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES... SO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. && $$
014 WWUS74 KMRX 250558 AAA NPWMRX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 1258 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016 TNZ012>017-035>039-067>070-081>084-098>101-VAZ001-002-005-250700- /O.EXP.KMRX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-160225T0600Z/ SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-SULLIVAN-MORGAN- ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON- SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK- LEE-WISE-SCOTT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONEIDA...LA FOLLETTE...TAZEWELL... SNEEDVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...KINGSPORT...BRISTOL...WARTBURG... CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...MAYNARDVILLE...RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN... KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...DUNLAP... PIKEVILLE...DAYTON...DECATUR...JASPER...CHATTANOOGA...CLEVELAND... BENTON...JONESVILLE...WISE...NORTON...GATE CITY 1258 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016 /1158 PM CST WED FEB 24 2016/ ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/ EARLY THIS MORNING... WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO 15 TO 25 MPH...AND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SO THROUGH THE NIGHT. $$ NCZ060-061-TNZ018-040>047-071>074-085>087-102-VAZ006-008-250700- /O.EXP.KMRX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-160225T0600Z/ CHEROKEE-CLAY-JOHNSON-NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS- NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI- NORTHWEST CARTER-SOUTHEAST CARTER-NW BLOUNT- BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-MCMINN- NORTHWEST MONROE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-EAST POLK-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...MOUNTAIN CITY... NEWPORT...COSBY...GREENEVILLE...CEDAR CREEK...JOHNSON CITY... ERWIN...ELIZABETHTON...ROAN MOUNTAIN...MARYVILLE...CADES COVE... SEVIERVILLE...GATLINBURG...ATHENS...MADISONVILLE...COKER CREEK... DUCKTOWN...LEBANON...ABINGDON 1258 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 1 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO 15 TO 25 MPH...AND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SO THROUGH THE NIGHT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Morristown, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Feb 23, 3:34 PM EST, 4 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 23, 3:34 PM EST, 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
334 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND TOMORROW)...POTENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
TRACK TOWARD OUR AREA TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...WHICH WILL TRANSLATE
TO INCREASING COVERAGE IN SHOWERS THIS EVENING FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES. THERE ARE A FEW DIFFERENT
THREATS WITH THIS SYSTEM AND WILL BREAK THEM UP ACCORDINGLY.
SEVERE THREAT...STRONG 300 MB JET WILL ROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH
AND PUT OUR AREA UNDER THE RIGHT EXIT REGION OF THE JET BY LATE
TONIGHT AND THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. CLOSED LOW AT 500 MB
SHOWS STRONG VORTICITY MOVING INTO OUR AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAIN
LINE OF CONVECTION WILL CLOSELY ALIGN WITH THIS AREA OF VORTICITY
MOVING IN. A VERY STRONG 850 MB JET WILL ALSO MOVE IN OVERNIGHT. THE
NAM SHOWS A 60 TO 70 KTS WHILE THE GFS IS A LITTLE LOWER AT 55 TO 65
KTS. HI RES SHORT RANGE MODELS SHOW BROKEN LINE OF CONVECTION MOVING
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLATEAU AROUND 06Z. BY 09Z THE LINE SHOULD BE
ACROSS MOST OF THE SOUTHERN VALLEY...BY 12Z INTO THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN VALLEY AND BY 15Z UP INTO NETN AND SWVA. SOUNDINGS SHOW AN
INVERSION IN PLACE WHILE THE MAIN LINE OF CONVECTION MOVES THROUGH.
THIS WILL LIKELY INHIBIT SOME OF THE STRONGER WINDS FROM MIXING DOWN
TO THE SURFACE BUT ANY STRONGER CORE COULD POTENTIAL TAP INTO THE 60
TO 70 KT 850 JET AND BRING HIGHER WINDS DOWN TO THE SURFACE. THE
INVERSION SHOULD KEEP THE RISK OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO EXTREMELY
LOW BUT DUE TO THE HIGH SHEAR VALUES IN THE LOWEST LEVELS STILL
CAN'T 100% RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SPIN UP ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN MOST
AREAS. AGAIN...THE SOUTHERN PLATEAU AND SOUTHERN VALLEY HAVE THE
GREATEST RISK OF SEEING A STRONG STORM...BUT EVEN THAT RISK IS
RELATIVELY LOW. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE WIND DAMAGE AND HEAVY
RAINFALL. THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT IS DUE TO SOUNDINGS SHOWING PWS
AROUND THE 95TH PERCENTILE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. WILL LEAVE
PREVIOUS FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNCHANGED AS GREATEST THREAT FOR HEAVY
RAIN STILL APPEARS CONFINED TO THOSE SAME AREAS. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
RAIN STILL LOOK POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA FROM TONIGHT THROUGH
TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
WIND THREAT....DECIDED TO UPGRADE THE HIGH WIND WATCH TO A HIGH WIND
WARNING AS THE CONDITIONS LOOK FAVORABLE FOR BOTH HIGH WINDS AND
MOUNTAIN WAVES. ALSO ADDED A FEW COUNTIES THAT WEREN'T PREVIOUSLY IN
THE WATCH AREA. THE INVERSION AND SE WINDS COMING ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AT 850MB SHOULD PROVIDE IDEAL CONDITIONS FOR MOUNTAIN
WAVES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND FOOTHILLS. LOCATIONS SUCH AS
CAMP CREEK COULD SEE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 75 MPH. ALL OTHER
AREAS HAVE BEEN PLACED IN A WIND ADVISORY DUE TO THE STRENGTH OF
THE GRADIENT WINDS AND ORIENTATION OF THE WINDS THEMSELVES. SW
WINDS GIVE FAVOR TO HIGHER WINDS UP THROUGH THE VALLEY.
AFTER THE MAIN LINE OF CONVECTION MOVES THROUGH IN THE MORNING HOURS
WE WILL SEE A BRIEF BREAK DUE TO BEING IN THE DRY SLOT. WE MAY EVEN
SEE BRIEF CLEARING ACROSS THE CENTRAL VALLEY. REDEVELOPMENT IS
EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS THE CENTER OF THE LOW PASSES
JUST NW OF THE AREA. EXPECTING SHOWERS AT THIS TIME AND LEFT
MENTION OF THUNDER OUT OF FORECAST BUT SOUNDINGS DUE SHOW SOME
INSTABILITY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS BUT HOW MUCH MOISTURE IS
LEFT WILL BE THE BIGGEST QUESTION. THE NEXT FORECAST MAY HAVE TO
INCLUDE THUNDER FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
TEMPS WILL FALL THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW AS COLD AIR MOVES IN ON
THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW. BREEZY WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT.
.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...MODELS IN DECENT
AGREEMENT EARLY ON...BUT DECREASE IN AGREEMENT AND RUN TO RUN
CONSISTENCY LATE IN THE PERIOD. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOUT AVERAGE
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR EARLY IN THE PERIOD...BUT BELOW AVERAGE LATE.
COLDER AIR WILL BE PUSHING IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND WITH FREEZING LEVELS LOWERING WE WILL
SEE A TRANSITION FROM RAIN SHOWERS TO SNOW SHOWERS. ENOUGH MOISTURE
SHOULD LINGER IN THE WEST/NORTHWEST FLOW THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT TO KEEP SOME SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS...POSSIBLY
RAIN SHOWERS VALLEYS...AROUND ESPECIALLY NORTH AND MOUNTAINS. SNOW
SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE AIDED BY SOME SHORT WAVE ENERGY
DROPPING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE TROUGH...AND FLOW TURNS MORE
NORTHWEST/MORE FAVORABLE FOR UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT
WITH A SECOND SURGE OF COLD ADVECTION. WILL LIKELY SEE SIGNIFICANT
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND SOME
LIGHT ACCUMULATION CANNOT BE RULED OUT EVEN INTO VALLEY AREAS MAINLY
NORTH. WILL KEEP MENTION IN HWO FOR NOW. A STRAY SNOW SHOWER MAY
LINGER NORTHEAST INTO EARLY FRIDAY...BUT THEN THE WEEKEND LOOKS
MOSTLY DRY AS UPPER TROUGH GIVES WAY TO MORE ZONAL FLOW AND SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS INTO THE AREA AS IT DRIFTS BY TO OUR SOUTH.
LATEST RUNS ARE SHOWING SOME ADDITIONAL WEAK SHORT WAVE ENERGY
MOVING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY...BUT LOOKS MOISTURE
STARVED AT THIS POINT. BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY WE MAY SEE ANOTHER
FRONT MOVING THROUGH...BUT MODELS DISAGREE ON TIMING AND HOW MUCH
MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE. FOR NOW WILL JUST CARRY CHANCE POPS
MONDAY AND KEEP TUESDAY DRY.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 53 59 36 45 / 90 90 60 20
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 52 59 36 42 / 90 90 80 40
OAK RIDGE, TN 51 61 35 43 / 90 100 80 40
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 47 60 34 40 / 70 100 90 70
&&
.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY
FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.
TN...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY
FOR BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-EAST POLK-
JOHNSON-MCMINN-NW BLOUNT-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST CARTER-
NORTHWEST COCKE-NORTHWEST GREENE-NORTHWEST MONROE-SEVIER
SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST CARTER-SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST
MONROE-UNICOI-WASHINGTON TN.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR BRADLEY-EAST
POLK-HAMILTON-MARION-WEST POLK.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/
WEDNESDAY FOR ANDERSON-BLEDSOE-BRADLEY-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-
GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HAMILTON-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-KNOX-
LOUDON-MARION-MEIGS-MORGAN-RHEA-ROANE-SCOTT TN-SEQUATCHIE-
SULLIVAN-UNION-WEST POLK.
VA...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY
FOR RUSSELL-WASHINGTON.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LEE-SCOTT-WISE.
&&
SR/LWHazardous weather outlook, Feb 23, 3:37 AM EST, 12 hours 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 337 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016 NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002- 005-006-008-240845- CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS- SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN- NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE- SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER- SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT- BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS- SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE- SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE- WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON- 337 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016 /237 AM CST TUE FEB 23 2016/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... ...HEAVY RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN FAR SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE INTO SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT... ...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS FOR THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS TONIGHT... IN ADDITION STORMS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS FAR SOUTHEASTERN TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR COUNTIES IN THIS AREA THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... ...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS FOR MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING... ...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY... LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE MOVING INTO THE AREA...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS OF EAST TENNESSEE. SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 65 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED. ADDITIONALLY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA DURING THE DAY. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...WITH LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO ACROSS SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLATEAU..SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA. BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...COLDER AIR WILL BE MOVING INTO THE REGION...CHANGING RAIN SHOWERS TO SNOW SHOWERS. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AND INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Morristown, TN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 3:31 AM EST | Flash Flood Watch | MRX | Bradley, Hamilton, Marion, Polk | 31 hr |
| Feb 23, 3:38 PM EST | High Wind Warning | MRX | Blount, Carter, Cocke, Greene, Johnson, McMinn and 5 more | 21 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Tennessee, 2016Wind Advisories in Virginia, 2016Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2016Every wind advisory in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.