Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Morristown, TN

436 
WGUS74 KMRX 082211
FFSMRX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
611 PM EDT MON AUG 8 2016

VAC195-720-082345-
/O.CON.KMRX.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160808T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CITY OF NORTON VA-WISE VA-
611 PM EDT MON AUG 8 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN WISE COUNTY AND THE CITY OF NORTON...

AT 608 PM EDT...NORTON CITY LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED THAT SEVERAL
ROADWAYS AND SOME BUSINESSES REMAIN UNDER WATER.  MODERATE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS OCCURRING. UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE
ALREADY FALLEN. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
NORTON...WISE...BIG STONE GAP...APPALACHIA AND PARDEE. 

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 1 INCH IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED
AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND
UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3708 8251 3689 8254 3688 8257 3688 8263
      3685 8266 3684 8268 3693 8286 3695 8286
      3697 8287 3699 8283 3701 8283 3701 8278
      3703 8275 3704 8274 3705 8272 3710 8272

$$

DH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
305 PM EDT MON AUG 8 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight and Tomorrow)...

This afternoons convection will slowly fade tonight as we lose our
daytime heating. Before things settle down completely, a few
showers and storms may still produce locally heavy downpours as the
atmosphere continues to remain very moist with PWS near or above
record values. Some of these downpours could lead to localized
flooding due to slow storm motions and the aforementioned moist
environment. Overnight forecast a little challenging as there is
some model disagreement. NAM and HRR show another wave of moisture
moving up through the Carolinas overnight and into our area after
midnight, allowing for more showers. The GFS and RAP do not show
these solutions. Will still lower pops to slight chance for most
areas as we go through the night but will maintain low-end chance
pops for our far eastern mountains to account for possible showers
moving in out of the Carolinas as previously mentioned. Some patchy
fog will be possible for areas that receive rain. Temps will be
mild overnight with lows in the lower 70s.

Expecting more diurnal convection tomorrow as the pattern goes
relatively unchanged. However, only chance pops in place due to
strengthening downslope winds expected during the afternoon hours.
This will help to limit convective coverage, especially across the
foothills of our eastern mountains. Highs tomorrow will again be in
the upper 80s to low 90s. Possibilty for localized heavy downpours
and flooding in place again tomorrow.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)...

A ridge of high pressure will slowly establish itself just to the
east of the region...which will promote a downslope flow for most
of the work week ahead. Each day will be similar...with highs
peaking in the upper 80s to lower 90s...along with some partly
sunny conditions during the morning...with increasing clouds in the
afternoon. The one adjustment continues to be models slightly
overdoing convection prospects. Think that scattered convection is
probable each day...but will be lower in the valley (typical for
this pattern) than what is being depicted. Given the very high
PWATs...any convection that does fire will be capable of producing
locally heavy rainfall and some flooding. The ridge flattens
heading into the weekend and shifts east as a weak upper-trough
swings into the Ohio Valley. This feature will drag a weak front
into the region late in the period...increasing rain chances and
cloud cover heading into the new week. This will also result in
some slightly cooler temperatures...and a break from the 90s....as
highs in the 80s will be common.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             74  90  74  90 /  30  50  30  50
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  73  91  73  92 /  40  40  10  30
Oak Ridge, TN                       74  91  73  91 /  40  40  20  30
Tri Cities Airport, TN              70  89  69  89 /  40  30  10  30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
TN...None.
VA...None.
&&

SR/AMP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
312 PM EDT MON AUG 8 2016

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-091915-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
312 PM EDT MON AUG 8 2016 /212 PM CDT MON AUG 8 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING VERY HEAVY RAIN TO SOME
LOCATIONS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THIS WEEK...A FEW
WHICH COULD BECOME LOCALLY STRONG. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL TO SOME AREAS...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING DUE
TO THE THEIR SLOW MOVEMENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.