River Flood Warning 15, NWS Mobile, AL

032 
WGUS84 KMOB 241425
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
825 AM CST WED FEB 24 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-251425-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0015.160224T1422Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.160224T0732Z.160228T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
825 AM CST WED FEB 24 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until further notice.
* At 07AM Wednesday the stage was 21.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet by after midnight Saturday 
  then begin falling.
At 22.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in 
low lying areas will become cut off by high water.  

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

MSC039-041-059-251424-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0017.160226T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.160226T0000Z.160227T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
825 AM CST WED FEB 24 2016

* At 07AM Wednesday the stage was 16.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue to rise 
  near 23.0 feet by midnight Friday. Additional rises are possible thereafter.


&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$

863 
WGUS84 KMOB 241833
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1233 PM CST WED FEB 24 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-251833-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.160224T0732Z.160226T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1233 PM CST WED FEB 24 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until further notice.
* At 12 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25 feet by Friday morning then begin 
  falling.
* At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in 
  low lying areas will become cut off by high water.  

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

444 
WGUS84 KMOB 250333
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
933 PM CST WED FEB 24 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the rivers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-111-260333-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160228T1200Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.160224T1201Z.160225T0600Z.160228T0600Z.NO/
933 PM CST WED FEB 24 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* until Sunday morning.
* At 08PM Wednesday the stage was 20.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 20.8 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river will fall below flood stage early Sunday morning.
* At 18.0 feet, considerable lowland and agricultural flooding will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-260333-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.160224T0732Z.160226T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
933 PM CST WED FEB 24 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until further notice.
* At 08PM Wednesday the stage was 23.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet by Friday morning then begin 
  falling.
* At 22.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in 
  low lying areas will become cut off by high water.  

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

MSC039-041-059-260333-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0017.160226T0000Z-160229T1200Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.160226T0000Z.160227T1200Z.160229T0600Z.NO/
933 PM CST WED FEB 24 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* From tomorrow evening until Monday morning.
* At 08PM Wednesday the stage was 19.3 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue to rise 
  near 23.0 feet by Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by
  Monday morning.
* At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates
* At 20 feet...Water covers main road at Plum Bluff...in southern George County.
* At 18.5 feet...Water covers roads at Smith's Fish Camp in Southern George County.
* At 18 feet...Some roads west of the river will become flooded.
* At 15 feet...Water under homes in Cedar Creek Estates.
* At 14 feet...Roads to Cedar Creek Estates are impassable.
* At 13 feet...Water covers roads in Cedar Creek Estates in northern Jackson County.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$

286 
WGUS84 KMOB 251646
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1046 AM CST THU FEB 25 2016
 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-111-261646-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160228T1800Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.160224T1201Z.160225T0515Z.160228T1200Z.NO/
1046 AM CST THU FEB 25 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for the Leaf Near Mclain
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage was 20.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will commence a slow fall over the next few days and is forecast to
  fall below flood stage by late Sunday morning. 
At 19.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands and agricultural land will continue.

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-261646-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.160224T0732Z.160226T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1046 AM CST THU FEB 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until further notice.
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage was 24.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.2 feet through Friday morning then 
  commence a slow fall over the next few days. 
At 22.0 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in 
low lying areas will become cut off by high water.  

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

MSC039-041-059-261645-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0017.160226T0600Z-160229T1200Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.160226T0600Z.160227T1200Z.160229T0600Z.NO/
1046 AM CST THU FEB 25 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for the Pascagoula At Merrill
* From after midnight tonight until Monday morning.
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage was 20.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by midnight tonight and continue to 
  rise to near 23.0 feet by Saturday morning. The river will then commence a 
  slow fall through the weekend. 
At 20.0 feet, Water covers the main road at Plum Bluff, in southern George County.  

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$

720 
WGUS84 KMOB 260300
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
900 PM CST THU FEB 25 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-111-270300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160228T1559Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.160224T1201Z.160225T0515Z.160228T0959Z.NO/
900 PM CST THU FEB 25 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* until Sunday morning.
* At 8PM Thursday the stage was 20.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday morning.
At 19.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands and agricultural land will subside as the 
water level drops below 18 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-270300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160302T0300Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.160224T0732Z.160226T0600Z.160301T2100Z.NO/
900 PM CST THU FEB 25 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Tuesday evening.
* At 8PM Thursday the stage was 25.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.3 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
The river will fall below flood stage  Tuesday afternoon.
At 26.0 feet, Flooding at the highway bridge begins when the level rises above 
26 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

MSC039-041-059-270300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0017.160226T0800Z-160229T1200Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.160226T0800Z.160227T1200Z.160229T0600Z.NO/
900 PM CST THU FEB 25 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* From after midnight tomorrow until Monday morning.
* At 8PM Thursday the stage was 21.6 feet. 
* Nonflood flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and continue to 
  rise near 23.0 feet by Saturday morning. 
At 23.0 feet, Streets and portions of the old business section of Merrill will 
become flooded. At 24 feet the bridge becomes inacessible by automobile.  

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$

336 
WGUS84 KMOB 261459
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
859 AM CST FRI FEB 26 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-111-271459-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160228T0824Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.160224T1201Z.160225T0515Z.160228T0224Z.NO/
859 AM CST FRI FEB 26 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* until late Saturday night.
* At 8AM Friday the stage was 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow evening.
Flooding of lowlands and agricultural land will subside as the water level drops
below 18 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-271459-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160301T0936Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.160224T0732Z.160226T1415Z.160301T0336Z.NO/
859 AM CST FRI FEB 26 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until late Monday night.
* At 8AM Friday the stage was 25.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Monday before 
  midnight.


&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

MSC039-041-059-271459-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160229T1200Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.160226T1215Z.160228T0000Z.160229T0600Z.NO/
859 AM CST FRI FEB 26 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until Monday morning.
* At 8AM Friday the stage was 22.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.0 feet by tomorrow evening. The 
  river will fall below flood stage  early Monday morning.
At 23.0 feet, Streets and portions of the old business section of Merrill will 
become flooded. 

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$

529 
WGUS84 KMOB 270335
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
935 PM CST FRI FEB 26 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
Mississippi...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 
  Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam affecting Dallas...Monroe and Wilcox 
  Counties. 
  Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam affecting Clarke...Monroe and Wilcox Counties.
  
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-280335-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160302T0500Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.160224T1200Z.160227T1800Z.160301T2300Z.NO/
935 PM CST FRI FEB 26 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until Tuesday evening.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 33.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 34.1 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-280335-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-160302T2100Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.160225T0242Z.160228T0000Z.160302T1500Z.NO/
935 PM CST FRI FEB 26 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 26.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.7 feet by tomorrow evening. The 
  river will fall below flood stage late Wednesday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

ALC047-099-131-280335-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-160229T1200Z/
/MRFA1.1.ER.160224T1947Z.160226T1500Z.160229T0600Z.NO/
935 PM CST FRI FEB 26 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam
* until Monday morning.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 67.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 66.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Monday morning.
At 66.0 feet, Farm and pasturelands in the area will flood and cattle should be 
moved to higher ground.  

&&

LAT...LON 3215 8726 3205 8719 3203 8732 3184 8738
 3184 8756 3215 8749                  

$$

ALC025-099-131-280335-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160302T1912Z/
/CLBA1.1.ER.160225T0930Z.160227T0300Z.160302T1312Z.NO/
935 PM CST FRI FEB 26 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 45.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Wednesday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3184 8756 3184 8738 3146 8753 3114 8786
 3114 8797 3150 8766                  

$$

FLC091-271600-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-160227T1600Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.160224T1922Z.160226T0315Z.160227T1000Z.NO/
935 PM CST FRI FEB 26 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* until Saturday morning.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 8.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early tomorrow.
At 8.5 feet, Lowland flooding will diminish as the river drops below 8 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

MSC039-041-111-280335-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160228T1330Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.160224T1201Z.160225T0515Z.160228T0730Z.NO/
935 PM CST FRI FEB 26 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* until Sunday morning.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 19.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
At 19.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands and agricultural land will subside as the 
water level drops below 18 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-280335-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160302T1647Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.160224T0732Z.160227T0600Z.160302T1047Z.NO/
935 PM CST FRI FEB 26 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Wednesday morning.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 25.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.7 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
The river will fall below flood stage  Wednesday morning.
At 26.0 feet, Flooding at the highway bridge begins when the level rises above 
26 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

MSC039-041-059-280335-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160229T1400Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.160226T1215Z.160228T0000Z.160229T0800Z.NO/
935 PM CST FRI FEB 26 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until Monday morning.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 22.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.0 feet by tomorrow evening. The 
river will fall below flood stage  early Monday morning.
At 23.0 feet, Streets and portions of the old business section of Merrill will 
become flooded. At 24 feet the bridge becomes inacessible by automobile.  

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$

305 
WGUS84 KMOB 271716
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1116 AM CST SAT FEB 27 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-111-281716-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160301T1030Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.160224T1201Z.160225T0515Z.160301T0430Z.NO/
1116 AM CST SAT FEB 27 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* until late Monday night.
* At 10AM Saturday the stage was 19.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will remain near 19.8 feet through this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage Monday before midnight.
* At 18.0 feet...considerable lowland and agricultural flooding will occur.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-281716-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160303T0300Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.160224T0732Z.160227T0400Z.160302T2100Z.NO/
1116 AM CST SAT FEB 27 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Wednesday evening.
* At 10AM Saturday the stage was 25.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will remain near 25.6 feet through this evening. The river will fall 
  to below flood stage by Wednesday afternoon.
* At 26.0 feet, Flooding at the highway bridge begins. 
* At 22.0 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in 
  low lying areas will become cut off by high water.  

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

MSC039-041-059-281716-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160302T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.160226T1215Z.160227T1615Z.160301T1800Z.NO/
1116 AM CST SAT FEB 27 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until Tuesday evening.
* At 10AM Saturday the stage was 22.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* The river will remain near 22.4 feet through mid day Monday. The river will fall 
  to below flood stage by Tuesday early afternoon.
* At 20 feet...Water covers main road at Plum Bluff...in southern George County.
* At 18.5 feet...Water covers roads at Smith's Fish Camp in Southern George County.
* At 18 feet...Some roads west of the river will become flooded.
* At 15 feet...Water under homes in Cedar Creek Estates.
* At 14 feet...Roads to Cedar Creek Estates are impassable.
* At 13 feet...Water covers roads in Cedar Creek Estates in northern Jackson County.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$

565 
WGUS84 KMOB 280121
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
721 PM CST SAT FEB 27 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 


SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-111-290121-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160229T1200Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.160224T1201Z.160225T0515Z.160229T0600Z.NO/
721 PM CST SAT FEB 27 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* until Monday morning.
* At 6PM Saturday the stage was 19.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Monday morning.
* At 19 feet...Flooding of lowlands and agricultural land will subside as the 
  water level drops below 18 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-290121-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160303T0130Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.160224T0732Z.160227T0400Z.160302T1930Z.NO/
721 PM CST SAT FEB 27 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Wednesday evening.
* At 6PM Saturday the stage was 25.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Wednesday early 
  afternoon.
* At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins. 
* At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in 
  low lying areas will become cut off by high water.   

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

MSC039-041-059-290121-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160301T2100Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.160226T1215Z.160228T0015Z.160301T1500Z.NO/
721 PM CST SAT FEB 27 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 6PM Saturday the stage was 22.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late Tuesday morning.
* At 20 feet...Water covers main road at Plum Bluff...in southern George County.
* At 18.5 feet...Water covers roads at Smith's Fish Camp in Southern George County.
* At 18 feet...Some roads west of the river will become flooded.
* At 15 feet...Water under homes in Cedar Creek Estates.
* At 14 feet...Roads to Cedar Creek Estates are impassable.
* At 13 feet...Water covers roads in Cedar Creek Estates in northern Jackson County.  

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$

043 
WGUS84 KMOB 281544
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
944 AM CST SUN FEB 28 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-111-291030-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160229T1030Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.160224T1201Z.160225T0515Z.160229T0430Z.NO/
944 AM CST SUN FEB 28 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* until late tonight.
* At 9AM Sunday the stage was 18.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* At 18.0 feet...considerable lowland and agricultural flooding will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-291543-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160303T2100Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.160224T0732Z.160227T0400Z.160303T1500Z.NO/
944 AM CST SUN FEB 28 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues
for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 9AM Sunday the stage was 25.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late Thursday morning.  
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins. 
* At 22.0 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in 
  low lying areas will become cut off by high water. 
  
&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

MSC039-041-059-291543-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160302T0900Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.160226T1215Z.160228T1800Z.160302T0300Z.NO/
944 AM CST SUN FEB 28 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...The Flood Warning continues
for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until late Tuesday night.
* At 9AM Sunday the stage was 22.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* The river will remain near 22.5 feet through early Tuesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage Tuesday before midnight.
* At 20 feet...Water covers main road at Plum Bluff...in southern George County.
* At 18.5 feet...Water covers roads at Smith's Fish Camp in Southern George County.
* At 18 feet...Some roads west of the river will become flooded.
* At 15 feet...Water under homes in Cedar Creek Estates.
* At 14 feet...Roads to Cedar Creek Estates are impassable.
* At 13 feet...Water covers roads in Cedar Creek Estates in northern Jackson County.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$

781 
WGUS84 KMOB 290129
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
729 PM CST SUN FEB 28 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 


SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-010129-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160303T2100Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.160224T0732Z.160227T0400Z.160303T1500Z.NO/
729 PM CST SUN FEB 28 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 7PM Sunday the stage was 24.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
* At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins. 
* At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in 
  low lying areas will become cut off by high water.  

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

MSC039-041-059-010129-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160302T0900Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.160226T1215Z.160228T0930Z.160302T0300Z.NO/
729 PM CST SUN FEB 28 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until late Tuesday night.
* At 7PM Sunday the stage was 22.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.4 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river will fall below flood stage on Tuesday before midnight.
* At 20 feet...Water covers main road at Plum Bluff...in southern George County.
* At 18.5 feet...Water covers roads at Smith's Fish Camp in Southern George County.
* At 18 feet...Some roads west of the river will become flooded.
* At 15 feet...Water under homes in Cedar Creek Estates.
* At 14 feet...Roads to Cedar Creek Estates are impassable.
* At 13 feet...Water covers roads in Cedar Creek Estates in northern Jackson County.  

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$

436 
WGUS84 KMOB 291517
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
917 AM CST MON FEB 29 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-011517-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160303T1030Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.160224T0732Z.160227T0400Z.160303T0430Z.NO/
917 AM CST MON FEB 29 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...
...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 24.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Wednesday before 
  midnight.
* At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in
  low lying areas will become cut off by high water.
* At 20 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

699 
WGUS84 KMOB 010210
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
810 PM CST MON FEB 29 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-020210-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160303T0600Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.160224T0732Z.160227T0400Z.160303T0000Z.NO/
810 PM CST MON FEB 29 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 07PM Monday the stage was 23.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
* At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in
  low lying areas will become cut off by high water.
* At 20 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

310 
WGUS84 KMOB 011542
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
942 AM CST TUE MAR 1 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-020440-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160302T0440Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.160224T0732Z.160227T0400Z.160301T2240Z.NO/
942 AM CST TUE MAR 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...
...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until this evening.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 21.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* At 20 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

821 
WGUS84 KMOB 020157
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
757 PM CST TUE MAR 1 2016
 

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties.

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-020227-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160302T0440Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.160224T0732Z.160227T0400Z.160301T2256Z.NO/
757 PM CST TUE MAR 1 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until this evening.
* At 07PM Tuesday the stage was 19.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
At 20.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
737 AM CST TUE FEB 23 2016

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST MARINE DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.MARINE...AREAS OF DENSE FOG CONTINUES TO FORM OVER THE NEAR SHORE
WATERS OF AL AND NWFL. DENSE FOG SHOULD BEGIN TO LIFT SLOWLY LATER
THIS MORNING. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NEAR SHORE
WATERS OF AL AND NWFL UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. 32/EE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 639 AM CST TUE FEB 23 2016/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...
12Z ISSUANCE...A MIX OF LIFR TO MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL
IMPROVE SOMEWHAT LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON TO A MIX OF VFR AND
MVFR CEILINGS. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS RAPIDLY DETERIORATE AS WIDESPREAD
THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED SEVERE DEVELOP DURING AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS CREATING HAZARDOUS AND TURBULENT FLYING CONDITIONS.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BECOME VERY GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO
TOMORROW.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 527 AM CST TUE FEB 23 2016/

NEAR TERM /NOW THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...LITTLE CHANGE IN PREVIOUS
THINKING WITH REGARDS TO THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF STRONG, LONG TRACKED TORNADOES. DYNAMIC VARIABLES
REMAIN VERY IMPRESSIVE THE FORCING, SHEAR AND HELICITY ALL POINT TO
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE AS WBZ HEIGHTS FALL BELOW 10000
FEET...DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS FROM WELL DEFINED BOW ECHOES
DRIVEN BY WELL ORGANIZED COLD POOLS. THE ONLY POTENTIAL LIMITING
FACTOR IS THE LOW INSTABILITY PROJECTED BY THE GFS ML CAPES 200 TO
500 J/KG...PROBABLY WAY UNDER DONE...NAM PROJECTS 1000 TO 1500 J/KG.
EVEN IF THEY ARE LOW...GIVEN THE STRONG DIVERGENCE ALOFT, HIGH SHEAR
AND INTENSE FORCING LITTLE'S NEEDED. THESE ARE VERY UNUSUAL
CONDITIONS FOR THE GULF COAST AND AS A RESULT SPC HAS OUTLOOKED OUR
AREA AS A MODERATE RISK.

TIMING STILL REMAINS A CHALLENGE BUT CURRENT THINKING PUTS THE RISK
OF SEVERE BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AFTER THE MID LEVEL CAP BREAKS
ALLOWING ALL THIS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO MIX OUT SOME...SHEAR
INCREASING...INSTABILITY INCREASING...DIVERGENCE ALOFT
INCREASING...COULD START SEEING DISCRETE SUPER CELLS OVER SOUTHEAST
MS AND SW AL MID THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AND BY EVENING ACTIVITY WILL
SHIFT INTO SOUTH CENTRAL AL AND THE WESTERN FL PANHANDLE. TIMING ON
THE SQUALL LINE IS A BIT SKETCHY AS THE SYSTEM IS STILL ORGANIZING
BUT BEST GUESS PUTS IT INTO OUR MS COUNTIES MID EVENING AND THROUGH
MOBILE AROUND 10 PM AND THROUGH OUR SOUTH CENTRAL AL AND WESTERN FL
COUNTIES A LITTLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND
CONTINUE AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE...LIKELY THROUGH MOST OF WEDNESDAY.
/08

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...BY EARLY WED BOTH
THE GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO SHOW DEEP SFC TO H5 LOW CENTER OVER
EXTREME NORTH MS AND W TN LIFTING NORTHWARD MOVING TOWARDS THE TN
AND OHIO RIVER VALLEYS AS MAIN UPPER TROF AXIS SHIFTS EAST FROM EAST
TX TO THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND MID ATLANTIC REGION THROUGH THU
MORNING. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS
SOUTH FROM SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA TO THE LOWER PLAINS STATES BUILDING
MOSTLY EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF STATES AND NORTHERN GULF LATER IN
THE WEEK. WITH THIS PATTERN A BREEZY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA ON WED DIMINISHING
SLOWLY THROUGH THU MORNING. AS A RESULT A WIND ADVISORY THAT
CONTINUES THROUGH TUE NIGHT MAY BE NEED TO BE EXTENDED OVER LOWER
PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA MAINLY WED MORNING. WITH PLENTY OF LOW TO
MID LEVEL MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND THE DEEP LOW SKIES WILL REMAIN
MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON WED WITH MAYBE SOME LIGHT RAIN
OR DRIZZLE EARLY IN THE DAY DUE TO THE STRONG FORCING ALOFT AND
RESIDUAL MOISTURE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS UPPER SYSTEM. BY WED
EVENING 1000 TO 500 THICKNESS LEVELS DROP TO AROUND 540 DM REBOUNDING
SLOWLY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. DAYTIME TEMPS WILL CLIMB TO
THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON WED CREEPING INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S
BY THU AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST BY WED EVENING
LEADING TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES BY EARLY THU MORNING WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DURING THE DAY ON THU. WITH A MODERATE NORTHERLY FLOW
CONTINUING THROUGH THU MORNING WIND CHILLS WILL BE IN THE 30S EARLY
THU REBOUNDING TO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 50S BY THU AFTERNOON. FOR THU
NIGHT SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A LIGHT TO
MODERATE WIND FLOW FROM THE NORTH RESULTING SFC TEMPS IN THE 30S FOR
MOST AREAS. WILL USE A BLEND OF THE COOLER MOS GUIDANCE FOR TEMPS
THROUGH THU.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...FOR FRI MAIN UPPER TROF OVER
THE EASTERN CONUS BEGINS TO AMPLIFY AGAIN AS A WEAKER SHORT WAVE
DROPS DOWN FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE DEEP
SOUTH SAT THROUGH EARLY SUN. WITH THE LACK OF SUFFICIENT  MOISTURE
IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THIS SYSTEM TRACK EAST. WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE DURING THE DAY DAYTIME TEMPS WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL LEVELS
WITH NIGHT TIME LOWS BELOW AVERAGE. OTHERWISE...CONDITIONS WILL BE
RATHER PLEASANT OVER THE WEEKEND CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
32/EE

MARINE...ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES SIGNIFICANTLY TODAY AS A STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. STRONG AND POSSIBLY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS OUR COASTAL WATERS DURING THE
AFTERNOON THROUGH OVERNIGHT HOURS. A VERY STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST
WIND FLOW WILL FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...GRADUALLY MODERATING
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. /08

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR
     ALZ051>060-261>266.

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALZ265-266.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST WEDNESDAY
     FOR ALZ265-266.

FL...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR
     FLZ201>206.

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR FLZ202-204-
     206.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST WEDNESDAY
     FOR FLZ202-204-206.

MS...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR MSZ067-
     075-076-078-079.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ630>635-
     650-655-670-675.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO 6 AM CST
     FRIDAY FOR GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675.

     GALE WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675.

     DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR GMZ630>635-650-655.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
626 AM CST TUE FEB 23 2016

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-241230-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
626 AM CST TUE FEB 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
TORNADOES...SOME POTENTIALLY STRONG AND LONG TRACKED...ARE THE MAIN
THREAT. HOWEVER...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 80 MPH AND HAIL UP TO
GOLFBALL SIZE ARE ALSO SIGNIFICANT THREATS.

TIMING...WE COULD START SEEING DISCRETE SUPER CELLS OVER SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA MID THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AND BY
EVENING ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. TIMING ON THE SQUALL LINE IS A BIT MORE
CHALLENGING AS THE SYSTEM IS STILL ORGANIZING BUT AVAILABLE DATA
SUGGESTS IT WILL PUSH THROUGH OUR MS COUNTIES LATE AFTERNOON TO
EARLY EVENING AND THROUGH THE MOBILE AREA AROUND 6 TO 9 PM AND
THROUGH OUR SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND WESTERN FLORIDA COUNTIES
AROUND MIDNIGHT.

GUSTY SURFACE WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 TO 35 MPH.

HIGH SURF AND A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

GUSTY SURFACE WINDS...HIGH SURF AND A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS WILL LIKELY BE
NECESSARY TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-241230-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
626 AM CST TUE FEB 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND GALE WARNING PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN ISSUED
FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE SEE THOSE PRODUCTS FOR MORE
INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND GALE WARNING PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN ISSUED
FOR THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT PERIODS. PLEASE SEE THOSE PRODUCTS FOR
MORE INFORMATION.