Severe Thunderstorm Warning 6, NWS Milwaukee, WI

948 
WWUS53 KMKX 260004
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
704 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

WIC047-260030-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160526T0030Z/
GREEN LAKE WI-
704 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN GREEN LAKE COUNTY...

AT 703 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER GREEN LAKE...OR
8 MILES WEST OF RIPON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BERLIN...PRINCETON AND GREEN LAKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4376 8889 4376 8912 4385 8917 4398 8917
      4398 8889
TIME...MOT...LOC 0003Z 270DEG 25KT 4383 8901 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SPM

893 
WWUS53 KMKX 260011
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
711 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

WIC047-260030-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160526T0030Z/
GREEN LAKE WI-
711 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN GREEN LAKE COUNTY...

AT 711 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER GREEN LAKE...OR
NEAR RIPON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BERLIN AND GREEN LAKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4376 8889 4376 8912 4385 8909 4393 8916
      4398 8911 4398 8889
TIME...MOT...LOC 0011Z 270DEG 25KT 4383 8893 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SPM

036 
WWUS53 KMKX 260022
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
722 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

WIC047-260030-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160526T0030Z/
GREEN LAKE WI-
722 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN GREEN LAKE COUNTY...

AT 721 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER RIPON...MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BERLIN AND GREEN LAKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4376 8889 4376 8912 4385 8900 4389 8901
      4398 8911 4398 8889
TIME...MOT...LOC 0021Z 270DEG 25KT 4383 8882 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SPM

837 
WWUS53 KMKX 260029
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
729 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

WIC047-260038-
/O.EXP.KMKX.SV.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160526T0030Z/
GREEN LAKE WI-
729 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN GREEN LAKE COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM CDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4376 8889 4376 8912 4385 8900 4389 8901
      4398 8911 4398 8889
TIME...MOT...LOC 0026Z 270DEG 25KT 4383 8882 

$$

SPM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
408 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

.TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...Forecast Confidence Is Medium.

A broken north to south line of showers and thunderstorms continues
to slide northeast across Green Lake to Rock Counties. More showers
and storms were seen extending into north central Illinois. These
showers and storms were being driven by the main 500 mb shortwave
trough moving northeast through the region, as well as some focused
850 mb warm air/moisture advection. HRRR model has handled this
convection fairly well, and takes it out of the far east by middle
evening. Will follow this general trend with high pops shifting
northeastward into this evening.

A quasi-stationary surface boundary extended northwest to southeast
across the area as well, with a sharp temperature gradient. This
boundary has been helping some storms intensify, and per earlier SPC
Mesoscale Discussion may serve to add some low level rotation
potential to any storms that cross it. This will need to be watched
for quick spin-ups over the next few hours.

SPC has entire area in a marginal severe risk, which implies
isolated severe storms possible. Given the mean layer CAPEs to
around 1000 J/kg, and deep layer shear of 30-plus knots, could see
an isolated severe storm occur.

Other issue to watch is slow movement of storms, which may drop
heavy rainfall in a short period of time. This would bring minor
street flooding possibilities in urban and low lying areas.

Chances for showers and storms later this evening into Thursday are
more uncertain. HRRR and NAMNest try to bring a slowly decaying band
of showers and storms into the western area after 09Z Thursday, with
other mesoscale models dry or taking this area to the south of
Wisconsin. Area does get into warm sector airmass, as warm front
moves northward. Not a lot to latch onto as far as forcing for
upward vertical motion during this time period. For now, will keep
lower end chance pops for later tonight, with lower pops on
Thursday. A good part of Thursday may end up dry.

Some fog is possible later tonight into Thursday morning, with dew
points in the lower 60s and light winds. Areas near the lake may see
some fog as well later this evening. Warm temperatures are expected
tonight into Thursday. Highs in the middle 80s are expected over
most of the area with south southwest winds Thursday. They may get a
bit warmer if area remains precipitation-free and fewer clouds
result.

.THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM

All models bring weak short wave energy into srn WI overnight
Thursday night, with the 18Z NAM depicting a hefty meso-scale
convective vorticity maxima over the sw by 06Z. Will start dry in
the evening then trend pcpn in from sw to northeast with
strengthening 850mb winds/convergence. Better chances move in with
surface boundary lifting through the CWA Friday, followed by a short
wave for Friday night affecting mainly western sections of the CWA.

In spite of the precipitation still expect highs Friday to reach
around 80 inland with a south wind, with lakeside areas cooler
with onshore southeast winds. Expect lows in the lower to mid 60s
both nights.

.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM

Shower and storm chances continue with a persistent series of
vorticity maxima moving across the area ahead of the main 500 mb
trough, with the forecast area in the warm sector as the surface low
tracks to the west. Again, not an all-day rain but no one period
with low enough PoPs to have dry. Clouds and pcpn will hold highs
in the mid-upper 70s.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM

Models have slowed passage of the mid-level trough through the
region Sunday...keeping higher chance PoPs in the forecast into
Sunday evening. Mid-level flow becomes a bit more zonal over the
Upper Midwest for Monday before backing ahead of another trough
crossing the northern inter-mountain states into the Northern Plains
Monday night into Tuesday night...picking up a short wave in the
Central Plains and lifting it up into the area Tuesday/Tuesday
night.

While overall pattern similar, timing/location differences in the
details lead to slight chance/chance PoPs through the extended.
Above normal temperature trend continues, but not as warm as this
week.

&&

.AVIATION/00Z TAFS/...

Expect a broken line of showers and thunderstorms to continue to
move northeast across TAF sites through about 03Z Thursday. VFR
category conditions will prevail, though may see visibilities down
to fuel alternates in any showers/storms. Brief gusty winds and
small hail may occur as well. Easterly winds are expected at the
eastern sites into this evening, with south to southeast winds at
Madison.

Should see mainly quiet weather for most of the rest of tonight into
Thursday across TAF sites. There are outside chances for showers and
storms later tonight into early Thursday morning at Madison, but not
enough confidence to mention in TAFs at this point. Most of Thursday
may end up dry.

There should be a period of light fog and low clouds across the area
later tonight into Thursday morning. May see ceilings down to or
even below 1000 feet above ground level between 09Z and 15Z
Thursday, with visibilities down to around 2 miles. Some uncertainty
here with the timing and how low ceilings and visibilities will get.

&&

.MARINE...

A Marine Dense Fog Advisory continues for Sheboygan to Port
Washington until 00Z this evening. Webcams there continue to show
dense fog at Sheboygan. The rest of the waters do not show much in
the way of fog, but chances should increase later tonight with
higher dew points and warmer air moving back into the area. The
showers and storms should help improve visibilities by early this
evening. Fog should develop again later tonight into Thursday, as
more warmth and moisture move into the area.

The fog should linger through the upcoming weekend, as warm and
moist air lingers over the region. May see some dense fog at times,
as the moist airmass lingers over the cool lake waters.

&&

.MKX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
WI...None.
LM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY until 7 PM CDT this evening for LMZ643.

&&

TONIGHT/Thursday AND AVIATION/MARINE...Wood
Thursday NIGHT THROUGH Wednesday...REM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
358 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-262100-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
358 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A LINE OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO
CROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN INTO THIS EVENING. THERE IS A MARGINAL
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS..WHICH MEANS THAT AN ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION...SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN MINOR STREET
FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY...AS A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE REMAINS IN THE AREA...ALONG WITH A
WAVERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG
TO SEVERE AT SOME POINT.

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY.
THIS MEANS THAT AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING...AND AGAIN ON
THURSDAY.

LMZ643>646-262100-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
358 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SHEBOYGAN TO PORT
WASHINGTON. PATCHY DENSE FOG MAY DEVELOP AS MORE HUMID AIR FLOWS
ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN. THE DENSE FOG MAY LINGER OR DEVELOP AGAIN
INTO THE OVERNIGHT.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING. THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM JUST SOUTH OF
SHEBOYGAN TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL. THIS MEANS THAT AN ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT
TUESDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE REMAINS IN THE AREA...ALONG WITH A
WAVERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG
TO SEVERE AT SOME POINT.

DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES AS WARM...HUMID AIR LINGERS
OVER LAKE MICHIGAN THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

REM
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
507 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

WIZ064-065-070-252245-
JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-WALWORTH-
507 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON...
NORTHEASTERN WALWORTH AND WAUKESHA COUNTIES...

AT 506 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PALMYRA...OR 8
MILES NORTHWEST OF EAST TROY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM. AT 505 PM CDT...A TREE WAS REPORTED DOWN NORTH OF ELKHORN
WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WAUKESHA...BROOKFIELD...MENOMONEE FALLS...PEWAUKEE...SUSSEX...HARTLAND...
MUKWONAGO...DELAFIELD...EAST TROY...WALES...OKAUCHEE LAKE...OCONOMOWOC...
MERTON...DOUSMAN...NORTH PRAIRIE...PALMYRA...LANNON...LAC LA BELLE...POTTER
LAKE AND ROME.

LAT...LON 4287 8873 4320 8846 4319 8841 4319 8810
      4318 8806 4315 8807 4270 8846
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 210DEG 42KT 4287 8852

SPM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
516 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

WIZ047-051-252245-
FOND DU LAC-GREEN LAKE-
516 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN GREEN LAKE AND
NORTHWESTERN FOND DU LAC COUNTIES...

AT 516 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GREEN LAKE...OR
NEAR RIPON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RIPON...BERLIN...MARKESAN...GREEN LAKE...BRANDON...FAIRWATER AND WEST
ROSENDALE.

LAT...LON 4390 8888 4389 8864 4365 8886 4376 8907
      4398 8896 4398 8889
TIME...MOT...LOC 2216Z 207DEG 29KT 4377 8893

SPM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
531 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

WIZ063-068-252315-
GREEN-DANE-
531 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT GREEN COUNTY...

AT 531 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER MONROE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONROE...BELLEVILLE...NEW GLARUS...MONTICELLO...ALBANY...DAYTON AND JUDA.

LAT...LON 4251 8979 4286 8961 4286 8947 4282 8937
      4266 8937 4250 8951
TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 206DEG 29KT 4256 8963

SPM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
540 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

WIZ046-252330-
MARQUETTE-
540 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MARQUETTE COUNTY...

AT 540 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF
WISCONSIN DELLS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONTELLO...WESTFIELD...LAWRENCE...PACKWAUKEE...OXFORD...ENDEAVOR...
NESHKORO...SPRINGFIELD CORNERS...BRIGGSVILLE...GLEN OAK AND HARRISVILLE.

LAT...LON 4364 8942 4364 8960 4398 8960 4398 8921
TIME...MOT...LOC 2240Z 212DEG 18KT 4368 8966

SPM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
644 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

WIZ046-047-260030-
GREEN LAKE-MARQUETTE-
644 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN GREEN LAKE AND
NORTHEASTERN MARQUETTE COUNTIES...

AT 644 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PRINCETON...OR
15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BERLIN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BERLIN...PRINCETON...GREEN LAKE AND NESHKORO.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4386 8889 4375 8925 4387 8936 4399 8918
      4398 8889
TIME...MOT...LOC 2344Z 235DEG 29KT 4385 8920

BSH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
657 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GREEN LAKE              43.84N 88.96W
05/25/2016                   GREEN LAKE         WI   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL 8-12 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS DOWN

&&

SMARQUARDT