Alert archive / Tennessee / Flash Flood Warnings in 2016
Flash Flood Warning 121, NWS Memphis, TN
NWS Memphis, TN issued this flash flood warning at Jul 15, 2016, 7:07 PM CDT for Henry County, Tennessee. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 15, 2016, 7:07 PM CDT (00:07 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 15, 2016, 10:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Memphis, TN
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
County Henry County, TN
The radar
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1061 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -14 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1405 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 14 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 16 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 44 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.6
The text
As transmitted.
117 WGUS54 KMEG 160007 FFWMEG TNC079-160315- /O.NEW.KMEG.FF.W.0121.160716T0007Z-160716T0315Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 707 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN HENRY COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE... * UNTIL 1015 PM CDT * AT 707 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST HOUR. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT HOUR. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... PARIS...MCKENZIE...ROUTON...HENRY...VAN DYKE...PORTER COURT... OSAGE AND COMO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. && LAT...LON 3615 8829 3616 8853 3635 8852 3637 8827 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 15, 6:18 PM CDT, 49 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 6:18 PM CDT, 49 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 618 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016 .DISCUSSION... Updated for aviation discussion && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 256 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016/ Skies are partly cloudy across much of the forecast area with temperatures from the mid 80s to lower 90s. Some thunderstorm activity was over portions of northeast Arkansas and also over portions of north-central Mississippi. A weak cold front extended from northeast Ohio through southern Missouri and into eastern Colorado. The front will drop south into the forecast area later tonight with additional thunderstorm development possible. Temperatures will remain on the warm side with lows Saturday morning in the low to mid 70s. The front will stall out briefly over the region Saturday morning and then start to lift back north as a warm front by Saturday afternoon. This will mean that there will be a chance of thunderstorms during the day on Saturday. Temperatures will be quite warm on Saturday with highs in the lower 90s. The warm front should be north of the region by Saturday evening so dry weather is expected. By Sunday, an upper level ridge will start to build into the region. This will mean more dry weather with temperatures warming some with highs in the low to mid 90s. More dry and hot weather is expected through Monday as well with heat index values exceeding 100 in many locations. Upper level disturbances will drop through Missouri and into the forecast area on Tuesday and Wednesday bringing a chance of thunderstorms each day. Temperatures will remain rather hot with highs in the low to mid 90s. Dry weather returns for Thursday and next Friday as the upper level ridge remains in control. ARS && .AVIATION... VFR conditions expected to prevail except in thunderstorms. Current round of thunderstorms will continue until 02-03z for KMEM...KJBR AND KMKL and through 06z for KTUP. Through the overnight hours some fog is possible, especially at KMKL. Light winds anticipated through the period. Best chance of thunderstorm development will be at KTUP Saturday afternoon. SJM && .MEG Watches/Warnings/Advisories... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 9:08 AM CDT, 9 hours 59 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 908 AM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-161615- ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY- COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR- DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD- HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE- LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION- PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN- RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON- TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 908 AM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MID SOUTH TODAY. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING...SMALL HAIL...AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. THE GREATEST RISK OF ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY DANGEROUS HEAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY EXCEED 105 DEGREES DURING THIS TIME PERIOD AND HEAT ADVISORIES MAY BECOME NECESSARY FOR LARGE PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS TENNESSEE.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 15, 5:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
525 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0450 PM HAIL 6 ESE MIDTOWN MEMPHIS 35.10N 89.89W
07/15/2016 E0.88 INCH SHELBY TN PUBLIC
NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT APPLE TREE CENTER ON MOUNT
MORIAH.
&&
AJCSpecial weather statement, Jul 15, 5:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 533 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016 ARZ028-TNZ048-049-152315- MISSISSIPPI AR-TIPTON TN-LAUDERDALE TN- 533 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR... SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... NORTHWESTERN TIPTON COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE... SOUTHWESTERN LAUDERDALE COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE... AT 533 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED NEAR WILSON VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. PEOPLE IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWESTERN TIPTON AND SOUTHWESTERN LAUDERDALE COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. LAT...LON 3560 9013 3573 8998 3563 8975 3544 8997 TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 313DEG 7KT 3562 9000
Local storm report, Jul 15, 5:38 PM CDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
538 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0531 PM TSTM WND DMG ROSELAND 35.85N 90.10W
07/15/2016 MISSISSIPPI AR TRAINED SPOTTER
A FEW TREE LIMBS GREATER THAN 6 INCHES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 18
IN ROSELAND.
&&
AJCSpecial weather statement, Jul 15, 6:13 PM CDT, 54 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
613 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016
ARZ028-TNZ048-050-051-160000-
MISSISSIPPI AR-LAUDERDALE TN-HAYWOOD TN-CROCKETT TN-
613 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR...
NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
LAUDERDALE COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
NORTHWESTERN HAYWOOD COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
WEST CENTRAL CROCKETT COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
AT 613 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR
LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED NEAR ASHPORT...OR 9
MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT PILLOW STATE PARK
VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.
PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...LAUDERDALE...NORTHWESTERN
HAYWOOD AND WEST CENTRAL CROCKETT COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM
CLOSELY.
LAT...LON 3588 8934 3589 8929 3558 8929 3561 8957
3563 8959 3563 8960 3565 8962 3565 8965
3563 8966 3564 8969 3564 8973 3565 8973
3565 8975 3564 8978 3565 8990 3588 8982
3593 8939
TIME...MOT...LOC 2313Z 264DEG 22KT 3574 8973Local storm report, Jul 15, 6:28 PM CDT, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
628 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0627 PM HAIL 1 N ROSEMARK 35.38N 89.77W
07/15/2016 E1.00 INCH SHELBY TN PUBLIC
QUARTER SIZE HAIL NEAR ROSEMARK
&&
AJCSpecial weather statement, Jul 15, 6:38 PM CDT, 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 638 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016 TNZ003-004-021-160030- CARROLL TN-WEAKLEY TN-HENRY TN- 638 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR... NORTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE... EAST CENTRAL WEAKLEY COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE... SOUTHWESTERN HENRY COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE... AT 638 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED NEAR ROUTON...OR NEAR MCKENZIE VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN CARROLL...EAST CENTRAL WEAKLEY AND SOUTHWESTERN HENRY COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. LAT...LON 3614 8857 3632 8858 3637 8825 3610 8824 TIME...MOT...LOC 2338Z 269DEG 8KT 3624 8849
The office that day
Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 7:18 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Shelby | 87 min |
| Jul 15, 7:30 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Shelby | 15 min |
| Jul 15, 7:45 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Crockett, Haywood, Madison | 3 hr |
| Jul 15, 7:46 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Henry | 119 min |
| Jul 15, 8:49 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Benton | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Tennessee, 2016Every flash flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.