Red Flag Warning 9, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

344 
WWUS84 KMAF 061002
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
402 AM CST SUN MAR 6 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT LATE MORNING SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MID
EVENING FOR FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND VAN HORN AND THE
HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...20 FT WINDS OF 20
MPH OR MORE...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS TODAY RESULTING IN CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER. CURED GRASSES AND POOR TO FAIR RECOVERY SUNDAY
MORNING WILL SUPPORT HIGH FIRE DANGER. DRY CONDITIONS AND WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON...BRINGING CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHWAY
54 CORRIDOR.

NMZ114-TXZ258-062100-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0009.160306T1700Z-160307T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0008.160307T1900Z-160308T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
402 AM CST SUN MAR 6 2016 /302 AM MST SUN MAR 6 2016/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CST /10 AM MST/
THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/ TONIGHT FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...

* AFFECTED AREA...THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH TODAY...25 TO 30 MPH MONDAY.
  HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE BOTH DAYS.

* HUMIDITY...NEAR 10 PERCENT TODAY...10 TO 15 PERCENT MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

TXZ057-062100-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0008.160307T1900Z-160308T0300Z/
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
402 AM CST SUN MAR 6 2016 /302 AM MST SUN MAR 6 2016/

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...

* AFFECTED AREA...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

* WIND...20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

* HUMIDITY...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

909 
WWUS84 KMAF 061939
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
139 PM CST SUN MAR 6 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... 20 FT WINDS
OF 20 MPH OR MORE AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MID
MONDAY EVENING FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
PLAINS AND VAN HORN HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR FOR LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED IN
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON RESULTING IN CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER. CURED GRASSES AND POOR TO FAIR RECOVERY SUNDAY
MORNING WILL SUPPORT HIGH FIRE DANGER. DRY CONDITIONS AND WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON...BRINGING CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO PLAINS AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

NMZ114-TXZ258-071200-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160307T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0008.160307T1900Z-160308T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
139 PM CST SUN MAR 6 2016 /1239 PM MST SUN MAR 6 2016/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM
MST/ TONIGHT FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...

* AFFECTED AREA...THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH TODAY...25 TO 30 MPH MONDAY. 
  HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE BOTH DAYS.

* HUMIDITY...NEAR 10 PERCENT TODAY...10 TO 15 PERCENT MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

NMZ115-071200-
/O.EXA.KMAF.FW.A.0008.160307T1900Z-160308T0300Z/
SOUTHEAST PLAINS-
1239 PM MST SUN MAR 6 2016

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...

* AFFECTED AREA...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS.

* WIND...20 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

* HUMIDITY...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

TXZ057-071200-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0008.160307T1900Z-160308T0300Z/
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
139 PM CST SUN MAR 6 2016 /1239 PM MST SUN MAR 6 2016/

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...

* AFFECTED AREA...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

* WIND...20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

* HUMIDITY...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
129 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Upper ridge will give way to next upper trough that moves onto the
West Coast early Sunday.  As this trough moves east it develops into
a cut off low that rolls along the US/Mex border.  This is a
favorable track for storms for this area.

A weak front has moved into the area early today before hanging
up... should lift northward but will keep temps a few degrees cooler
than yesterday... especially considering the extra cloud cover.  Low
level moisture already starting to come back with 50 degree dewpts
moving up across the southeast.  Some guidance even tries to develop
pops/qpf tonight over the east.  Was not willing to add mention of
it but did bump up the cloud cover tonight as low clouds expected to
surge into the area.

Lows should be on the warm side tonight with the increased
moisture/clouds.  Expect higher temps tomorrow... especially over
the west with a dryer SW wind.  Temps remain above normal the next
several days.  The next front moves into the area Tuesday with below
normal readings on Wednesday.

Rain/storm chances increase this week and could be some strong to
severe storms.  The eastern CWA already in a slight risk day3 along
a dryline with a better chance east of the region.  Models want to
take the cut off low into Mexico and wobble it around for a few
days... could result in several days of rain chances.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A dry southwest flow and temperatures running much warmer than
normal over the Guadalupe Mountains and much of the trans-Pecos will
result in minimum relative humidities from 5 to 10 percent across a
large portion of that region on Sunday. With southwest winds
increasing to between 20 and 25 mph over the Guadalupe Mountains by
mid-day Sunday, critical fire weather conditions are expected to
develop. A Red Flag Warning will be in effect for the Guadalupe
Mountains from late afternoon Sunday through Sunday evening.

On Monday, low humidities will extend well into the plains with
areas west of a line from Lamesa to Sanderson seeing afternoon
minimums mostly 10 to 15 percent with even drier conditions across
the Presidio Valley. Stronger winds in exceed of 20 mph will be
limited primarily to the Guadalupe Mountains south to near Van Horn.
A Fire Weather Watch will be in effect for that area Monday
afternoon through mid-evening. Near critical conditions are expected
over much of the rest of the area with winds generally 15 to 20 mph.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     55  78  54  79 /   0  10  10   0
Carlsbad                       42  84  46  73 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         58  79  55  82 /   0  10  10   0
Fort Stockton                  55  82  53  79 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 50  76  47  68 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          46  78  45  73 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          37  80  36  73 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           56  80  53  78 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         57  80  54  77 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           49  85  48  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...Fire Weather Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday evening
     for Guadalupe Mountains.

TX...Fire Weather Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday evening
     for Guadalupe Mountains.

&&

05/72

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
144 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2016

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-061945-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
144 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2016 /1244 PM MST SAT MAR 5 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WESTERN TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

A RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS TO NEAR VAN HORN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DRY AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL EXPAND ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS ON MONDAY BRINGING NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT FROM THE PERMIAN BASIN TO
THE LOWER TRANS PECOS. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM SEMINOLE TO MONAHANS TO THE BIG
BEND. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN ARE THE
PRIMARY THREATS. ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

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