Flash Flood Warning 51, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

106 
WGUS74 KMAF 311654
FFSMAF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1054 AM MDT WED AUG 31 2016

NMC015-311745-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0051.000000T0000Z-160831T1745Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
EDDY NM-
1054 AM MDT WED AUG 31 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 AM MDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY...

AT 1051 AM MDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED SEVERAL STREET AND LOW
WATER CROSSINGS SITES BARRICADED DUE TO HIGH WATER IN THE CITY OF ARTESIA 
AND CARLSBAD.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED AND WILL INCREASE THE FLASH 
FLOOD THREAT. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
CARLSBAD...ARTESIA...SEVEN RIVERS AIRPORT...SEVEN RIVERS...
COTTONWOOD...LAKEWOOD...AVALON...LIVING DESERT STATE PARK...
BRANTLEY LAKE STATE PARK...CARLSBAD NORTH...LAKE AVALON...DAYTON...
ARTESIA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...ATOKA AND CAVERN CITY AIR TERMINAL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND
UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3296 10418 3256 10420 3232 10424 3224 10452
      3295 10454

$$

12

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
333 AM CDT WED AUG 31 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Seeing a bit of lull in precip overnight tonight with just some
light rain moving across portions of southeast New Mexico and
Permian Basin. Today, we begin to see a slight change in the upper
pattern as a weak upper ridge over OK/north TX region begins to
shift SW over the area. It looks as though easterly/upslope flow
will continue in low and mid levels, keeping abundant moisture in
place the next several days as well as fairly decent rain chances
across the region. Unfortunately, best chances for heavy rain and
localized flooding will remain over southeast New Mexico, Guadalupe
Mountains, upper Trans Pecos and NW Permian Basin today, where
flash flooding has been of some concern the last few days. Given
that widespread flooding is not expected, decided to go ahead and
cancel the Flash Flood Watch for the entire forecast area.
Temperatures will be similar or maybe a degree or two warmer than
what we saw on Tuesday with highs ranging from the upper 70s
across SE NM and the mountain regions to the mid/upper 80s
elsewhere. Rain chances hang on into Thursday and Friday although
coverage is expected to be lower than previous days. By the
weekend, we should see a little more sun and lowering rain
chances, resulting in temps returning to near normal readings with
highs in the upper 80s to low 90s through early next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     85  70  86  70 /  40  30  40  30
Carlsbad                       78  65  79  66 /  60  50  50  40
Dryden                         89  72  91  72 /  30  20  20  10
Fort Stockton                  84  67  84  67 /  40  30  40  20
Guadalupe Pass                 73  60  75  62 /  60  50  40  30
Hobbs                          78  64  78  65 /  50  50  50  40
Marfa                          77  61  79  62 /  40  30  30  20
Midland Intl Airport           85  68  85  68 /  40  40  40  30
Odessa                         84  68  84  68 /  40  40  40  30
Wink                           84  68  85  69 /  50  40  40  30

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

10/27

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
534 AM CDT WED AUG 31 2016

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-011045-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
534 AM CDT WED AUG 31 2016 /434 AM MDT WED AUG 31 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WESTERN TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TODAY. HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS WILL NOT BE AS WIDESPREAD AS
HAS BEEN SEEN THE PAST FEW DAYS THOUGH ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE GREATEST THREAT IN SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN BASIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
THOUGH RAIN CHANCES WILL BE DECREASING. ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING
WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
824 AM CDT WED AUG 31 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0822 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ARTESIA                 32.85N 104.43W
08/31/2016                   EDDY               NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WEST RAY AVENUE, 1.83 INCHES OF RAIN REPORTED. STREET
            FLOODED CURB TO CURB 3 TO 6 INCHES DEEP.

&&

CMR