Red Flag Warning 9, NWS Los Angeles, CA

342 
WWUS86 KLOX 171710
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1010 AM PDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR THE LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS
DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED DRY
LIGHTNING STRIKES...

.A WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL LIKELY GENERATE NORTHEAST
WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH ACROSS THE LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS THIS WEEKEND ALONG WITH HOT AND VERY DRY
CONDITIONS. WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED EACH
DAY ALONG WITH VERY POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERIES AT NIGHT. ON
MONDAY...THE VERY WARM AND DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH
A REVERSAL TO GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IS ALSO EXPECTED
TO BE DRAWN NORTHWARD INTO THE MOUNTAINS ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED
DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES. THIS DRY LIGHTNING THREAT WOULD BRING THE
INCREASED THREAT FOR NEW FIRE IGNITIONS DUE TO THE PRECEDING HOT
AND DRY CONDITIONS AND EXTREMELY DRY FUELS. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED TO OTHER AREAS IF A
MORE WIDESPREAD DRY LIGHTNING EVENT MATERIALIZES.

CAZ253-254-180000-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160919T0300Z/
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.A.0008.160919T0300Z-160920T0300Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS / LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS / ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
1010 AM PDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR
THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY
MOUNTAINS DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
WITH ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  MPH THROUGH FAVORED MOUNTAIN PASSES TODAY AND SUNDAY... MAINLY
  DURING THE LATE NIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS ARE
  EXPECTED TO REVERSE TO ONSHORE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITIES EXPECTED
  THROUGH SUNDAY...RISING SLIGHTLY ON MONDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE 90S ACROSS LOWER
  ELEVATIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS TODAY AND MONDAY...BUT REACHING MID
  90S TO AROUND 100 DEGREES ON SUNDAY.

* THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
  THE MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES MONDAY
  AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. AT THIS TIME...THE GREATEST
  THREAT OF ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE AT THE LEADING
  EDGE OF THIS MOISTURE SURGE ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
  LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITH ANY STORMS.

* FIRE BEHAVIOR...THE HOT AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL LIKELY
  GENERATE A DEEP VERTICAL MIXING HEIGHT OF 15000 TO 20000 FEET
  EACH AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR OVER
  THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS IF A FIRE IGNITION OCCURS.

* IMPACTS...IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS...CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
  EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND RAPID SPREAD OF WILDFIRE WHICH WOULD
  THREATEN LIFE AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND
VERY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN USING POTENTIAL FIRE IGNITION
SOURCES. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN
THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

GOMBERG/MUNROE

306 
WWUS86 KLOX 172100
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
200 PM PDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MONDAY FOR THE LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR MUCH OF LOS ANGELES...VENTURA...AND SANTA
BARBARA COUNTIES DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING
STRIKES AND VERY DRY FUELS...

.A WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE NORTHEAST
TO EAST WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH ACROSS THE LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH CONTINUED HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS.
WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY
WITH VERY POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERIES AT NIGHT. THE VERY WARM AND
DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

A STRONGER ONSHORE WIND FLOW AND INFLUX OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE
FROM THE SOUTH WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE INTERACTION OF THIS SUBTROPICAL
MOISTURE WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFFSHORE WILL BRING A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO AREAS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION
FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. THE INITIAL SURGE
OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BRING THE GREATEST
THREAT OF ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR DRY LIGHTNING POTENTIAL HAS
BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE MUCH OF LOS ANGELES...VENTURA...AND SANTA
BARBARA COUNTIES. THIS DRY LIGHTNING THREAT WOULD BRING THE
INCREASED THREAT FOR NEW FIRE IGNITIONS DUE TO THE PRECEDING HOT
AND DRY CONDITIONS AND EXTREMELY DRY FUELS. IF ANY STORMS DEVELOP
LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE WETTER
WITH A REDUCED THREAT OF DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES. 

CAZ253-254-181730-
/O.EXT.KLOX.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160919T1900Z/
/O.EXT.KLOX.FW.A.0008.160919T1900Z-160920T0300Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS / LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS / ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
200 PM PDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT MONDAY FOR THE
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY
MOUNTAINS DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES
AND VERY DRY FUELS...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  MPH THROUGH FAVORED MOUNTAIN PASSES THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
  AFTERNOON...BECOMING MORE ONSHORE LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A
  STRONGER ONSHORE WIND PUSH IS EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
  EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES CONTINUING
  THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...THEN RISING MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO
  EVENING.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE 90S ACROSS LOWER
  ELEVATIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS TODAY AND MONDAY...BUT REACHING MID
  90S TO AROUND 100 DEGREES ON SUNDAY.

* THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
  THE MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES MONDAY
  AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. THE GREATEST THREAT OF
  ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE AT THE LEADING EDGE OF
  THIS MOISTURE SURGE ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH LITTLE
  OR NO RAINFALL EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITH ANY STORMS. 

* FIRE BEHAVIOR...THE HOT AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL LIKELY
  GENERATE A DEEP VERTICAL MIXING HEIGHT OF 15000 TO 20000 FEET
  EACH AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR OVER
  THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS IF A FIRE IGNITION OCCURS.

* IMPACTS...IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS...CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
  EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND RAPID SPREAD OF WILDFIRE WHICH WOULD
  THREATEN LIFE AND PROPERTY. THE THREAT OF DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES
  WITH VERY DRY FUELS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE
  IGNITIONS ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND
VERY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. 

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN USING POTENTIAL FIRE IGNITION
SOURCES. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN
THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

CAZ238>241-244>246-252-259-288-547-548-181730-
/O.EXB.KLOX.FW.A.0008.160919T1900Z-160920T0300Z/
CUYAMA VALLEY-SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-
VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-ANTELOPE VALLEY-
SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN GABRIEL VALLEY-
200 PM PDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR LOS ANGELES...VENTURA...AND PORTIONS OF SANTA
BARBARA COUNTY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING
STRIKES AND VERY DRY FUELS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING
STRIKES AND VERY DRY FUELS.


* THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
  LOS ANGELES...VENTURA...AND PORTIONS OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY
  MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. THE GREATEST THREAT OF
  ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE AT THE LEADING EDGE OF
  THIS MOISTURE SURGE ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH LITTLE
  OR NO RAINFALL EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITH ANY STORMS. 

* IMPACTS...IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS...CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
  EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND RAPID SPREAD OF WILDFIRE WHICH WOULD
  THREATEN LIFE AND PROPERTY. THE THREAT OF DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES
  WITH VERY DRY FUELS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE
  IGNITIONS ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR
FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH. LISTEN FOR
LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

GOMBERG/MUNROE

484 
WWUS86 KLOX 181657
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
957 AM PDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES THROUGH NOON MONDAY FOR THE LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR LOS ANGELES...VENTURA COUNTIES...AND PORTIONS
OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY
LIGHTNING AND VERY DRY FUELS...

.OFFSHORE WINDS WILL PREVAIL WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH CONTINUED HOT
AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS. WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITIES ARE
EXPECTED TODAY WITH VERY POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY AT NIGHT. THE VERY
WARM AND DRY AIR MASS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

A STRONGER ONSHORE WIND FLOW AND INFLUX OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE
FROM THE SOUTH WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE INTERACTION OF THIS SUBTROPICAL
MOISTURE WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFFSHORE WILL BRING A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO AREAS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION
FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. THE INITIAL SURGE
OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BRING THE GREATEST
THREAT OF ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR DRY LIGHTNING POTENTIAL HAS
BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE MUCH OF LOS ANGELES...VENTURA...AND
SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES. THIS DRY LIGHTNING THREAT WOULD BRING THE
INCREASED THREAT FOR NEW FIRE IGNITIONS DUE TO THE PRECEDING HOT
AND DRY CONDITIONS AND EXTREMELY DRY FUELS. IF ANY STORMS DEVELOP
LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE WETTER
WITH A REDUCED THREAT OF DRY LIGHTNING.

CAZ253-254-182300-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160919T1900Z/
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.A.0008.160919T1900Z-160920T0300Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS / LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS / ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
957 AM PDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT MONDAY FOR
THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY
MOUNTAINS DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES
AND VERY DRY FUELS...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  MPH THROUGH FAVORED MOUNTAIN PASSES THROUGH EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON...BECOMING MORE ONSHORE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A
  STRONGER ONSHORE WIND PUSH IS EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
  EXPECTED TODAY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY
  MORNING...THEN RISING MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO EVENING.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS MID 90S TO AROUND 100 IN THE LOWER
  ELEVATIONS TODAY AND IN THE 90S MONDAY.

* THUNDERSTORMS...SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY
  AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF WET
  THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

* FIRE BEHAVIOR...THE HOT AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL LIKELY CREATE A
  DEEP VERTICAL MIXING HEIGHT OF 15000 TO 20000 FEET EACH
  AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR OVER THE
  MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS IF A FIRE IGNITION OCCURS.

* IMPACTS...IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS...CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE 
  FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND RAPID SPREAD OF WILDFIRE WHICH 
  WOULD THREATEN LIFE AND PROPERTY. THE THREAT OF DRY LIGHTNING 
  STRIKES WITH VERY DRY FUELS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW 
  FIRE IGNITIONS ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND
VERY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN USING POTENTIAL FIRE IGNITION
SOURCES. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN
THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

CAZ238>241-244>246-252-259-288-547-548-182300-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.A.0008.160919T1900Z-160920T0300Z/
CUYAMA VALLEY-SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-
VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-ANTELOPE VALLEY-
SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN GABRIEL VALLEY-
957 AM PDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR LOS ANGELES...VENTURA...AND PORTIONS
OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY
LIGHTNING AND VERY DRY FUELS...

* THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 
  ACROSS LOS ANGELES...VENTURA...AND PORTIONS OF SANTA BARBARA 
  COUNTY MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. THE GREATEST 
  THREAT OF ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE AT THE 
  LEADING EDGE OF THIS MOISTURE SURGE ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  EVENING WITH LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITH ANY 
  STORMS.

* IMPACTS...IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS...CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE 
  FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND RAPID SPREAD OF WILDFIRE WHICH 
  WOULD THREATEN LIFE AND PROPERTY. THE THREAT OF DRY LIGHTNING 
  STRIKES WITH VERY DRY FUELS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW 
  FIRE IGNITIONS ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR
FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH. LISTEN FOR
LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

585 
WWUS86 KLOX 182219
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
319 PM PDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES THROUGH NOON MONDAY FOR THE LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES AS
WELL AS PORTIONS OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES WITH GUSTY
ERRATIC WINDS AND VERY DRY FUELS...

.WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW HAS BROUGHT HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA TODAY...WITH WIDESPREAD
SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITIES ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS. LIGHT
OFFSHORE WINDS WILL TRANSITION TO ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...BUT VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

A STRONGER ONSHORE WIND FLOW AND INFLUX OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE
FROM THE SOUTH WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE INTERACTION OF THIS SUBTROPICAL
MOISTURE WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFFSHORE WILL BRING A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO AREAS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION
FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...WITH ANOTHER
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES. THE INITIAL SURGE
OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BRING THE GREATEST
THREAT OF ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES WITH GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS
ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR DRY
LIGHTNING POTENTIAL INCLUDES LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...
AS WELL AS A PORTION OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY. THIS DRY LIGHTNING
THREAT WOULD BRING AN INCREASED THREAT FOR NEW FIRE IGNITIONS DUE
TO THE PRECEDING HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS AND EXTREMELY DRY FUELS.
ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO BE WETTER WITH A REDUCED THREAT OF DRY LIGHTNING.

CAZ253-254-191700-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160919T1900Z/
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.A.0008.160919T1900Z-160920T0300Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS / LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS / ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
319 PM PDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT MONDAY FOR
THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY
WINDS WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY
MOUNTAINS DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES
WITH GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS AND VERY DRY FUELS...

* WINDS...LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS WILL TRANSITION TO ONSHORE THIS
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A STRONGER ONSHORE WIND PUSH IS EXPECTED
  FROM THE SOUTH ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
  EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE
  THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...THEN RISE MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO
  EVENING.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE 90S TODAY AND MONDAY ACROSS THE
  MOUNTAINS.

* THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
  THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON
  THROUGH TUESDAY...AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE GREATEST
  THREAT OF ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS
  WILL BE AT THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS MOISTURE SURGE ON MONDAY
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL EXPECTED TO
  OCCUR WITH ANY STORMS.

* FIRE BEHAVIOR...THE HOT AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL GENERATE A
  DEEP VERTICAL MIXING HEIGHT OF 15000 TO 20000 FEET EACH
  AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR OVER THE
  MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS IF A FIRE IGNITION OCCURS.

* IMPACTS...IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS...CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE 
  FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND RAPID SPREAD OF WILDFIRE WHICH 
  WOULD THREATEN LIFE AND PROPERTY. THE THREAT OF DRY LIGHTNING 
  STRIKES WITH VERY DRY FUELS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW 
  FIRE IGNITIONS ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN USING POTENTIAL FIRE IGNITION
SOURCES. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN
THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

CAZ238>241-244>246-252-259-288-547-548-191700-
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.A.0008.160919T1900Z-160920T0300Z/
CUYAMA VALLEY-SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-
VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-ANTELOPE VALLEY-
SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN GABRIEL VALLEY-
319 PM PDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR LOS ANGELES...VENTURA...AND PORTIONS
OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY
LIGHTNING STRIKES WITH GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS AND VERY DRY FUELS...

* THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
  LOS ANGELES...VENTURA...AND PORTIONS OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY
  MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. THE GREATEST THREAT OF
  ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS WILL BE
  AT THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS MOISTURE SURGE ON MONDAY AFTERNOON
  AND EVENING WITH LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITH
  ANY STORMS.

* IMPACTS...IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS...CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE 
  FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND RAPID SPREAD OF WILDFIRE WHICH 
  WOULD THREATEN LIFE AND PROPERTY. THE THREAT OF DRY LIGHTNING 
  STRIKES WITH VERY DRY FUELS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW 
  FIRE IGNITIONS ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR
FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH. LISTEN FOR
LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

GOMBERG

534 
WWUS86 KLOX 191713
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1013 AM PDT MON SEP 19 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES THROUGH NOON MONDAY FOR THE LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS DUE TO LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

.THE RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE HIGH COUNTRY IN LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THROUGH NOON. A COOLING TREND IS
LIKELY TODAY BUT TEMPERATURE WILL CONTINUE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY HAD RECOVERED INTO THE 20'S AND 30'S
THIS MORNING AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RANGE IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO MIDDLE TEENS FOR SEVERAL HOURS TODAY. ONSHORE
WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND COMBINED WITH THE LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FOR
SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTH-
NORTHWEST AT 25 MPH.

CAZ253-254-191900-
/O.CAN.KLOX.FW.A.0008.160919T1900Z-160920T0300Z/
/O.CON.KLOX.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160919T1900Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS / LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS / ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
1013 AM PDT MON SEP 19 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT TODAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE HIGH COUNTRY
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR DRY LIGHTNING FOR THE HIGH
COUNTRY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS CANCELLED
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

* WINDS...LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME AREAS OF MODERATE
  ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...SINGLE DIGITS THIS AFTERNOON...THEN TREND
  HIGHER THIS EVENING.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE 80'S TO MIDDLE 90'S.

* THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
  THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS EACH AFTERNOON
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE GREATEST THREAT OF ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING
  STRIKES AND GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS WILL BE AT THE LEADING EDGE OF
  THIS MOISTURE SURGE TODAY. THEN WETTING RAINS ARE EXPECTED
  TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

* FIRE BEHAVIOR...THE HOT AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL GENERATE A 
  DEEP VERTICAL MIXING HEIGHT OF 15000 TO 20000 FEET EACH 
  AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR OVER 
  THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS IF A FIRE IGNITION OCCURS.

* IMPACTS...IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS...CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE 
  FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND RAPID SPREAD OF WILDFIRE WHICH 
  WOULD THREATEN LIFE AND PROPERTY. THE THREAT OF DRY LIGHTNING 
  STRIKES WITH VERY DRY FUELS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW 
  FIRE IGNITIONS ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN USING POTENTIAL FIRE IGNITION
SOURCES. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN
THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.


&&

$$

CAZ238>241-244>246-252-259-288-547-548-191815-
/O.CAN.KLOX.FW.A.0008.160919T1900Z-160920T0300Z/
CUYAMA VALLEY-SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-
VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-ANTELOPE VALLEY-
SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN GABRIEL VALLEY-
1013 AM PDT MON SEP 19 2016

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR DRY LIGHTNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS CANCELLED
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

THERE IS A THREAT OF ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING TODAY AND THE
LIGHTNING LEVEL IS 2. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST
AT 25 MPH.

$$

961 
WWUS86 KLOX 191908
RFWLOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1208 PM PDT MON SEP 19 2016



CAZ253-254-192015-
/O.EXP.KLOX.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160919T1900Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS / LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS / ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
1208 PM PDT MON SEP 19 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR THE HIGH COUNTRY...

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS HAVE ENDED. OTHERWISE ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON FOR SEVERAL
HOURS DUE TO INCREASING ONSHORE WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO MIDDLE TEENS. THE ONSHORE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND
THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL TREND UP THIS EVENING.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1130 AM PDT FRI SEP 16 2016

Updated Aviation Discussion

.SYNOPSIS...

High pressure building in aloft and a weak offshore flow will
lead to hot and dry conditions away from the coast Saturday
through Monday. A remnant trough of low pressure is expected to
approach the region from the south early next week, bringing an
increase in moisture with a slight chance of thunderstorms across
the mountains and desert.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TDY-SUN)

The marine inversion this morning ranged from 1300 ft deep at KVBG
to around 1600 ft deep at KLAX. Areas of low clouds and fog were
noted along the Central Coast into the Santa Ynez Vly this morning,
with just patchy low clouds for the L.A. County coast and along the
beaches of the s SBA County coast. The low clouds are expected to
clear off the coast by late this morning with sunny skies prevailing
in all areas this afternoon. Temps across the region this afternoon
are forecast to be several degrees below normal for the coast and
adjacent vlys, and near normal to several degrees above normal for
the interior vlys, mtns and Antelope Vly. The warmest vlys and
foothills this afternoon should reach the upper 80s to low 90s.

A broad but weak upper level trof over srn CA this morning will
develop into an upper level low over swrn CA by late today. This
upper low is forecast to drift s tonight and Sat to off the Baja
coast. The upper low will then drift w off the Baja coast Sat night
and Sun, with a broad ne to e flow aloft over the forecast area. At
the same time, an upper level ridge will build into central CA.

The marine inversion is expected to lower to near 1200 ft deep or so
by Sat morning, and to 800 ft or less by early Sun morning
in response to warming boundary layer temps and light offshore flow.
Night and morning low clouds and fog will become confined mainly to
the coastal plain tonight thru Sun morning. However, there is the
possibility of the low clouds being pushed off the Central Coast Sat
night into Sun morning, and being minimal at best along the SBA
County s coast due to persistent northerly flow over the Santa Ynez
range during the overnight hours. Otherwise, mostly clear skies will
cover the forecast area tonight thru Sun.

There should be weak offshore gradients each late night and morning
as well, with locally breezy offshore winds possible over portions
of SLO/SBA Counties and below and thru the favored passes and
canyons of VTU/L.A. Counties.

Temps are forecast to warm considerably over the weekend, with highs
about 3 to 10 deg above normal away from the coast Sat, and 5 to 15
deg above normal in most areas on Sun. The hottest day will be Sun,
with highs in the warmest vlys and foothills expected to reach the
upper 90s to 104.

***FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION***

.LONG TERM...(MON-THU)

The trough of low pressure, settling south of the Border off
Ensenada on Saturday, will retrograde west offshore through the
remainder of the weekend and into Monday. As it moves west, the
trough should entrain some subtropical moisture into the counter-
clockwise circulation around the trough. Southeast flow aloft
develops over the region between Sunday night and Monday morning.
This will transport a humid air mass north into the region for the
start of the workweek, while still remaining warm. There is a
chance that excessive heat criteria could be met briefly on Monday
as the moisture spills north into the area.

Shower and thunderstorm activity cannot be ruled out across the
entire area, especially south of Point Conception Tuesday, but
highest confidence is placed in showers and thunderstorms for the
Mountains and Desert. PoPs have been increased a bit more to add
mentions of a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between
Monday afternoon and Wednesday morning. Model solutions have a
high degree of confidence in the movement of the trough, but are
lacking consistency for the moisture and its transport north. Some
model solutions linger the moisture into late next week, while
lifting the trough out of the area.

Low confidence exists in the forecast after Monday for
temperatures and marine layer stratus as there is a wide-range of
possibilities that could develop in the scenario. Temperatures
have been cooled down for Tuesday in anticipation of increased
cloud cover. Inasmuch, the subtropical moisture could play tricks
with the marine inversion and inhibit stratus formation.

Consistency issues continue to plague the model after Tuesday. If
ECMWF solutions play out, the remnants of a tropical cyclone will
move north into the Southern California for the latter half of
next week. The National Hurricane Center is tracking this feature
and currently places a 90 percent chance of formation over the
next five days. Operational GFS solution hint at a similar
solution but are nowhere near as aggressive with the feature as
the ECMWF. Stay tuned as more is to come on this developing
situation.

&&

.AVIATION...16/1830Z.

At 18Z...The marine layer depth at KLAX was near 1200 feet. The
top of the inversion was around 4500 feet with a temperature of
19 degrees celsius.

Moderate confidence in VFR conditions persisting through 04Z at
all airports except at KSMX KSBP KOXR where IFR CIGS could leak
into those airports 22-02Z. Expecting a lower marine layer
everywhere tonight into Saturday with lower flight cats and
similar to later arrival times. IFR cats will be common at all
coastal airport with LIFR possible at KSMX KSBP and KSBA.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in VFR through 04Z with typical winds.
20 percent chance of IFR CIGS return around 04Z increasing to 70
percent chance by 10Z. CIGS under 005 are possible around 12Z but
not probable. MVFR HZ likely to linger through 18-20Z on Saturday
once clouds clear.

KBUR...High confidence in VFR conditions through 06Z. 20 percent
chance of LIFR/IFR flight cats 10-16Z on Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...16/845 AM.

Dense fog with visibilities around 1 mile likely to impact waters
off Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo Counties through the day.
Very complex sea story over the next couple of days with short
period northwest swell, mid-period west and south swells, and
long period southwest swell arriving by Saturday. None of these
swells are over 4 feet on their own right. Low end Small Craft
Advisory (SCA) winds are possible off the Central Coast down to
Santa Rosa Island this evening...and likely Saturday evening.
Sunday looks SCA-free except for the waters well off Morro Bay.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

16/930 AM...

Elevated fire danger is expected across interior portions of
Southwest California from Saturday through Monday due to the
combination of locally gusty offshore winds, hot temperatures,
low humidities, and critically dry fuel conditions. While this
will be the first offshore winds of the season, it will be a
fairly weak event with gusts generally in the 20 to 30 mph range
on Saturday and Sunday across interior sections of Ventura and Los
Angeles counties. During this time, humidities are expected to
fall to between 5 and 15 percent across the mountains, valleys,
and deserts with very poor overnight recoveries. The hottest day
of the period is expected to be Sunday when high temperatures
between 95 and 105 degrees are expected across interior sections.

The offshore flow is expected to diminish on Monday, however hot
and very dry conditions will continue to bring elevated fire
danger. The upper low off the Baja coast is expected to transport
some mid level moisture into Southwest California Monday afternoon
and evening, with increasing lower level moisture later Monday
night into Tuesday. While the greatest threat of showers and
thunderstorms will remain south and east of our forecast area,
there will be a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms for
interior portions of Los Angeles, Ventura, and Santa Barbara
counties from Monday afternoon through Tuesday evening. The
initial surge of mid level moisture and instability could bring an
isolated dry lightning threat Monday afternoon and evening
maintaining the elevated fire danger, with a better chance of
wetter storms by Tuesday.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC...Sirard/Hall
FIRE...Gomberg
AVIATION...Kittell
MARINE...Kittell
SYNOPSIS...Munroe

weather.gov/losangeles

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
600 AM PDT FRI SEP 16 2016

CAZ034>041-044>046-051>054-059-087-088-547-548-171300-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-CUYAMA VALLEY-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
ANTELOPE VALLEY-CATALINA ISLAND-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN GABRIEL VALLEY-
600 AM PDT FRI SEP 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE... TODAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

DEVELOPING OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BRING UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS
OVER THE WEEKEND. LOCAL GUSTY WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS TO BRING NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE
AREA. A DEVELOPING SOUTHEAST FLOW PATTERN AROUND AN UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH WILL BRING MONSOONAL MOISTURE NORTH INTO THE REGION. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT BETWEEN
LATE MONDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT..SEE WWUS86 KLOX - SPSLOX FOR DETAILS *

HALL