Wind Advisory 20, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

207 
WWUS72 KGSP 161656
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1156 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2016

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS OF
THE SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...

NCZ051-052-058-059-062>064-170100-
/O.EXT.KGSP.WI.Y.0020.161217T0000Z-161217T1800Z/
SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALARKA...ALMOND...BRYSON CITY...LUADA...
WESSER...WAYNESVILLE...WATERVILLE...CANTON...CRUSO...COVE CREEK...
ROBBINSVILLE...STECOAH...CULLOWHEE...TUCKASEGEE...SYLVA...
FRANKLIN...RAINBOW SPRINGS...KYLE...HIGHLANDS...WOLF MOUNTAIN...
CASHIERS...BREVARD...CEDAR MOUNTAIN...LITTLE RIVER
1156 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2016

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
SATURDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET...

* LOCATIONS...PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS OF THE SOUTHWEST NORTH 
  CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TONIGHT AND WILL
  REMAIN STRONG INTO EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY BLOW DOWN LIMBS...TREES...AND POWER 
  LINES. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$

ARK

640 
WWUS72 KGSP 170048
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
748 PM EST FRI DEC 16 2016

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS OF
THE SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...

NCZ051-052-058-059-062>064-171000-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-161217T1800Z/
SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALARKA...ALMOND...BRYSON CITY...LUADA...
WESSER...WAYNESVILLE...WATERVILLE...CANTON...CRUSO...COVE CREEK...
ROBBINSVILLE...STECOAH...CULLOWHEE...TUCKASEGEE...SYLVA...
FRANKLIN...RAINBOW SPRINGS...KYLE...HIGHLANDS...WOLF MOUNTAIN...
CASHIERS...BREVARD...CEDAR MOUNTAIN...LITTLE RIVER
748 PM EST FRI DEC 16 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY ABOVE
3500 FEET...

* LOCATIONS...PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS OF THE SOUTHWEST NORTH 
  CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TONIGHT AND 
  WILL REMAIN STRONG INTO EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY BLOW DOWN LIMBS...TREES...AND POWER 
  LINES. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$
07

279 
WWUS72 KGSP 170832
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
332 AM EST SAT DEC 17 2016

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS OF
THE WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TODAY AND TONIGHT...

NCZ033-048>050-171700-
/O.EXB.KGSP.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-161218T1200Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...LUCK
332 AM EST SAT DEC 17 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY ABOVE
3500 FEET...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY ABOVE 3500 FEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM
EST SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NORTH
  CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TODAY AND
  INCREASE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY BLOW DOWN LIMBS...TREES...AND POWER 
  LINES. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE EXPECTED. LIMITED 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$

NCZ051-052-058-059-062>064-171700-
/O.EXT.KGSP.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-161218T1200Z/
SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAYNESVILLE...TUCKASEGEE...
RAINBOW SPRINGS...KYLE...HIGHLANDS
332 AM EST SAT DEC 17 2016

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY ABOVE
3500 FEET...

* LOCATIONS...PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS OF THE SOUTHWEST NORTH 
  CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TODAY AND
  INCREASE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY BLOW DOWN LIMBS...TREES...AND POWER 
  LINES. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE EXPECTED. LIMITED 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$

CDG

912 
WWUS72 KGSP 171701
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1201 PM EST SAT DEC 17 2016

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS OF
THE WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THROUGH TONIGHT...

NCZ033-048>052-058-059-062>064-180115-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-161218T1200Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...LUCK...
WAYNESVILLE...TUCKASEGEE...RAINBOW SPRINGS...KYLE...HIGHLANDS
1201 PM EST SAT DEC 17 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY ABOVE
3500 FEET...

* LOCATIONS...PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
  MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TODAY AND 
  INCREASE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH
  OCCURRING TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. 
  WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES ARE EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE 
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LIMITED 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$
WIMBERLEY

613 
WWUS72 KGSP 171942
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
242 PM EST SAT DEC 17 2016

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS OF
THE WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THROUGH TONIGHT...

NCZ033-048>052-058-059-062>064-180400-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-161218T1200Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...LUCK...
WAYNESVILLE...TUCKASEGEE...RAINBOW SPRINGS...KYLE...HIGHLANDS
242 PM EST SAT DEC 17 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY ABOVE
3500 FEET...

* LOCATIONS...PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA 
  MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TODAY AND 
  INCREASE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 35 MPH. GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH ARE
  POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. A
  NUMBER OF POWER OUTAGES MAY BE EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$
WIMBERLEY

155 
WWUS72 KGSP 180357
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1057 PM EST SAT DEC 17 2016

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS OF
THE WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THROUGH TONIGHT...

NCZ033-048>052-058-059-062>064-181200-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-161218T1200Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...LUCK...
WAYNESVILLE...TUCKASEGEE...RAINBOW SPRINGS...KYLE...HIGHLANDS
1057 PM EST SAT DEC 17 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY ABOVE
3500 FEET...

* LOCATIONS...PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA 
  MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TODAY AND 
  INCREASE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 35 MPH. GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH ARE 
  POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. 
  A NUMBER OF POWER OUTAGES MAY BE EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE 
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$

351 
WWUS72 KGSP 180845
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
345 AM EST SUN DEC 18 2016

...STRONG WINDS TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS
OF THE WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THROUGH MID MORNING...

NCZ033-048>052-058-059-062>064-181500-
/O.EXT.KGSP.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-161218T1500Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...LUCK...
WAYNESVILLE...TUCKASEGEE...RAINBOW SPRINGS...KYLE...HIGHLANDS
345 AM EST SUN DEC 18 2016

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING ABOVE
3500 FEET...

* LOCATIONS...PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA 
  MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID MORNING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGING WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES.
  WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. TRAVEL WILL BE
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$

CDG

711 
WWUS72 KGSP 181456
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
956 AM EST SUN DEC 18 2016

...WINDS SUBSIDING AS COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE AREA...

.THE EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG SOUTHERLY PRE-FRONTAL WINDS WILL GIVE
WAY TO BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS...BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA.

NCZ033-048>052-058-059-062>064-181600-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-161218T1500Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...LUCK...
WAYNESVILLE...TUCKASEGEE...RAINBOW SPRINGS...KYLE...HIGHLANDS
956 AM EST SUN DEC 18 2016

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING ABOVE
3500 FEET...

BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...BUT NOT
STRONG ENOUGH TO WARRANT AN ADVISORY.

$$
WIMBERLEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
335 AM EST Fri Dec 16 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Strong Canadian high pressure will remain over the region and hold
temperatures below normal into Saturday. A moist cold front is
expected to push through Sunday and stall out south of the forecast
area through the early part of next week. Dry high pressure returns
late Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 330 AM EST Friday:  Cold high pressure will consume the region
today, beneath confluent flow aloft.  Said ridge will migrate east
through the day, moving atop the Delmarva by later this evening
all the while wedging southward in the lee of the southern/central
Appalachians across the Carolinas into northeast GA.  Meanwhile to
the west, a weak upper disturbance will promote surface cyclogenesis
across the Central Plains, eventually moving east toward the mid
MS river valley by periods end.  As such, guidance continues to
favor temperatures today nearly 15-20 degrees below normal as a
combination of the cooler airmass and increasing sky cover thanks
to downstream advection of mid/high clouds from the upstream
disturbance.

The fcst will remain dry through 00z before slight/chance pops are
introduced from the south as moist upglide atop the cold wedge
commences into late evening/overnight.  This precipitation will
likely initiate as light rain, changing to freezing rain/drizzle
as temperatures fall off to near/below freezing.  That said,
there remains some uncertainty in the fcst as it pertains to
these critical temperatures and how they relate to timing of
precipitation onset, as well as warming trends into the daylight
hours on Saturday morning.  Nevertheless, the latest guidance
does yield light icing across portions of northeast GA and the SC
Upstate, northward into western NC, with ice accumulations less than
five hundredths of an inch.  Given these lower accumulations, and a
slight warming trend in the guidance, will defer any fzra advisory
issuance to the day shift and newer 12z guidance.  Furthermore,
a rather robust swly llv jet will move into the region overnight
tonight ahead of the approaching cold front.  Latest Nam12/GFS20
favor advisory level winds across the higher elevations of the
southern mtns, generally above 3500ft.  Therefore, will issue a
high elevation wind advisory starting at 00z tonight for these
locales, where gusts nearing 50mph will be possible.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 320 AM Friday, guidance and overall pattern in good agreement
on Saturday. Light precip will continue through the day, but with
better chances over the SC/GA Blue Ridge and the SW NC Mountains.
With the cold surface air over the NC Blue Ridge and Piedmont, light
freezing rain may be continuing at the start of the day, but will
quickly change to rain as temps warm. With light precip and quick
changeover, any additional ice accretion would be very light. Even
with the warming temps during the day, highs will still show an
in-situ damming pattern with warmer temps along the TN border and
south of I-85, with cooler temps along and east of the Blue Ridge.

A cold front will move east to the NC/TN border Saturday night then
swing across the area Sunday. Expect temps to warm through the night
in the increasing SW flow and WAA. Precip chances will remain highest
over the mountains Saturday night then spread east on Sunday. There
is good forcing and moisture inflow with this front, so moderate QPF
amounts are forecast. Shear will be strong, but instability will be
low. Cannot rule out some thunder south of I-85. There is even a
non-zero severe weather chance over that area, but not enough to
mention yet in the HWO. Highs will be above normal Sunday.

Precip moves east of the area Sunday night with the cold front. Cold
air will move in across the area behind the front. Lows across the
mountains will be near normal, but a little above normal elsewhere.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 220 AM EST Friday: The ulvl flow remains aligned sw/ly thru a
deep layer to begin the ext range. This will hold a sta front south
of the CWFA and keep the best chances of precip across the srn zones
with continuous moist GOM flow in the sfc-h85 layer. A weak h5 s/w
crosses the Midwest Tue disrupting the downstream pattern and heights
rise slightly while becoming less defined over the region. In
response...an elongated sfc high will settle south over the SE
region and aide in clearing skies and reducing the pop potential to
nil Tues night thru the day Wed. The op models have varying ideas
with the height pattern and degree of deep subs...but the overall
drier pattern has good confidence.

There are more sigfnt differences wrt the synoptic pattern Thu/Fri
as a stronger h5 trof digs across the mid-conus. The GFS is much
deeper and farther south than the ECMWF with the trof axis...which
allows for better moisture flux to a weak low pressure area and an
increased qpf response with a late period fropa. In any regard...it
should be a quickly passing and stable system with rather low-end
precipitation. Temp curves each morning will support diurnally
induced -snsh or a -ra/sn mix mainly over the nrn half of the CWFA
with no measurable accums expected. Maxes will begin the period arnd
10 degrees below normal and modify to seasonal levels by end of the
period.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere:  VFR through the vast majority of the taf
cycle as high pressure migrates across the southern Appalachians,
eventually taking root atop the Mid Atlantic coastline all the while
wedging south in lee of the mountains.  In the meantime, quasizonal
flow will advect moisture downstream of a Rockies disturbance,
yielding mid/high clouds through much of the day on Friday.
Llv moisture will begin to spread in from south late on Friday as
the Rockies system slides east yielding sw flow and thus increasing
upglide atop the wedged high.  With that, included mention of
precipitation late at all sites, likely as ra changing to fzra as
wetbulbing and diurnal cooling yield subfreezing surface temps.
Cigs will lower in compliance with the increasing precipitation
potential into late evening/overnight from low VFR to MVFR.
Winds are fcst to remain nely tonight, veering sely through much
of the day Friday, before backing nely yet again late in the taf
cycle as precipitation commences and thus strengthens the surface
wedge pattern.  LLWS was included at KAVL on Friday night as llv
winds increase out of the sw atop weak ely surface flow.

Outlook: Sufficient moisture will linger about the region
through Saturday to keep chances for restrictions elevated,
then into/through Sunday as cold front pushes through.  Dry high
pressure will return to start the week leading to lower chances
for restrictions.

Confidence Table...

            08-14Z        14-20Z        20-02Z        02-06Z
KCLT       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High  82%
KGSP       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High  86%
KAVL       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High  95%
KHKY       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High  92%
KGMU       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High  88%
KAND       High 100%     High 100%     High  94%     High  90%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Saturday for
     NCZ051-052-058-059-062>064.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...CDG/Wimberley
SHORT TERM...RWH
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...CDG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
405 PM EST THU DEC 15 2016

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ059-062>065-068>072-082-507>510-
SCZ001>014-019-162115-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
405 PM EST THU DEC 15 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

..FRIDAY...WINTER WEATHER POSSIBLE. MOISTURE WILL OVERSPREAD
COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE...BRINGING A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN TO
THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING AFTER SUNSET. A GLAZE OF ICE MAY BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES...NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE.
..SATURDAY...WINTER WEATHER POSSIBLE. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN MAY
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BEFORE CHANGING TO RAIN
BY MID-MORNING. A GLAZE OF ICE IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE
PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL RAIN.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>058-501>506-162115-
AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
405 PM EST THU DEC 15 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT,
NORTHERN FOOTHILLS, AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...WINTER WEATHER POSSIBLE. MOISTURE WILL OVERSPREAD
COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE...BRINGING A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN TO
THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY. A GLAZE OF ICE IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
ON ELEVATED SURFACES. THE BEST CHANCES OF ICE ACCRETION WILL BE
ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE BLUE RIDGE EASTWARD. TEMPERATURES SHOULD
WARM AND PRECIPITATION CHANGE TO ALL RAIN BY MID TO LATE MORNING.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.