Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2016
Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Grand Rapids, MI
NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this winter storm warning at Jan 11, 2016, 3:01 PM EST for 9 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Jan 11, 2016, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 24 hr. 39 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 11, 2016, 3:01 PM EST (20:01 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 11, 2016, 7:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Jan 12, 2016, 6:55 PM EST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Counties Allegan County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Lake County, MI, Mason County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Van Buren County, MI
The radar
The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 10:45 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 2 | 3 W Zeeland, MI | |
| Jan 12, 4:42 AM EST | SNOW 4.5 | Lawrence, MI | RECEIVED A SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT: ...BETWEEN 4 AND 5 INCHES ON THE GROUND. |
| Jan 12, 5:00 AM EST | SNOW 4.7 | 7 Nnw Scottville, MI | COCORAHS STATION SCOTTVILLE 6.6 NNW /MI-MS-1/ |
| Jan 12, 5:00 AM EST | SNOW 7 | Bloomingdale, MI | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION BLOOMINGDALE /BLMM4/ |
| Jan 12, 5:42 AM EST | SNOW 7 | 3 Wnw Bauer, MI | SNOWFALL SINCE 9PM ON 1/11. |
| Jan 12, 6:00 AM EST | SNOW 4 | 3 Wnw Zeeland, MI | COCORAHS STATION HOLLAND 3.9 NNE /MI-OW-2/ |
| Jan 12, 6:53 AM EST | SNOW 7 | Jenison, MI | REPORT RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. |
| Jan 12, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 1.4 | 2 Wsw Cloverville, MI | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION MUSKEGON 4 SE /MKNM4/ |
| Jan 12, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 1.8 | 5 Sse Woodville, MI | COCORAHS STATION WHITE CLOUD 7.5 ENE /MI-NW-8/ |
| Jan 12, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 3 | 1 Ene Beechwood, MI | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION HOLLAND /HOLM4/ |
| Jan 12, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 4 | 1 Sw Spring Lake, MI | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION GRAND HAVEN WWTP /GRDM4/ |
| Jan 12, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 4.5 | 4 Nne Paw Paw, MI | COCORAHS STATION PAW PAW 3.6 NNE /MI-VB-4/ |
| Jan 12, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 4.9 | 2 Sw Custer, MI | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION SCOTTVILLE 2 SE /SCOM4/ |
| Jan 12, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 5 | 4 W Portage, MI | COCORAHS STATION KALAMAZOO 6.0 SW /MI-KZ-1/ |
| Jan 12, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 6 | 2 W Wayland, MI | COCORAHS STATION WAYLAND 2.0 W /MI-AN-1/ |
| Jan 12, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 6.3 | 2 Nw Fulton, MI | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION FULTON/ FULM4/ |
| Jan 12, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 6.3 | 2 Wsw Cloverville, MI | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION MUSKEGON 4 SE /MKNM4/ 24HR TOTAL. 3.4 INCHES RECEIVED SINCE 7PM ON 1/11 |
| Jan 12, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 7.2 | 1 Ssw Mears, MI | COCORAHS STATION HART 3 WSW /MI-OC-3/ |
| Jan 12, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 7.2 | Hart, MI | CO-OP OBSERVER STATION HART /HRTM4/ |
| Jan 12, 7:43 AM EST | SNOW 4 | 3 E Castle Park, MI | 12 HOUR SNOWFALL. SPOTTER NOTED 6 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. |
| Jan 12, 7:45 AM EST | SNOW 6 | Kalamazoo, MI | REPORT COURTESY OF WWMT-TV |
| Jan 12, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 5 | Pentwater, MI | SNOWFALL RECEIVED OVERNIGHT |
| Jan 12, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 6 | 1 Sse Allendale, MI | 12 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL |
| Jan 12, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 6.4 | 2 N Hopkins, MI | COCORAHS STATION HOPKINS 2.0 N /MI-AN-14/ |
| Jan 12, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 7 | 1 Ssw Allendale, MI | COCORAHS STATION ALLENDALE 1.3 SSW /MI-OW-30/ |
| Jan 12, 8:15 AM EST | SNOW 6.1 | 6 Nnw Ludington, MI | LUDINGTON STATE PARK COOP SITE. DURATION 24 HOURS. |
| Jan 12, 8:16 AM EST | SNOW 8.3 | 4 Se Wabaningo, MI | SNOWFALL TOTAL SINCE MONDAY EVENING. PHOTO RELAYED FROM THE PUBLIC BY THE MEDIA. COURTESY WZZM-TV |
| Jan 12, 8:30 AM EST | SNOW 5 | Fennville, MI | SNOWFALL SINCE 7PM ON 1/11 |
| Jan 12, 8:30 AM EST | SNOW 6 | 2 Nnw Beechwood, MI | COCORAHS STATION HOLLAND 4.3 NNW /MI-OW-14/ |
| Jan 12, 8:30 AM EST | SNOW 8 | 2 S Bauer, MI | SNOWFALL TOTAL SINCE 12PM ON 1/11 |
| Jan 12, 8:45 AM EST | SNOW 9 | 1 Nw Hudsonville, MI | SNOWFALL TOTAL SINCE MONDAY EVENING. HEAVY SNOW WAS FALLING AT THE TIME OF REPORT. |
| Jan 12, 9:01 AM EST | SNOW 4 | Mattawan, MI | OVERNIGHT SNOWFALL THROUGH 9AM |
| Jan 12, 9:14 AM EST | SNOW 6 | Portage, MI | REPORTS SUBMITTED ON SOCIAL MEDIA. |
| Jan 12, 11:00 AM EST | SNOW 6 | Marne, MI | SNOW TOTAL THROUGH 11AM |
| Jan 12, 1:00 PM EST | SNOW 5.5 | 1 Sw Wolf Lake, MI | RUNNING SNOWFALL TOTAL THROUGH 1PM |
| Jan 12, 4:30 PM EST | SNOW 0 | 2 S Saugatuck, MI | INTERSTATE 196 BETWEEN MILE MARKER 36 AND 41 SHUT DOWN. MANY VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD, INCLUDING 6-8 LARGE TRUCKS. |
| Jan 12, 5:25 PM EST | SNOW 8 | 2 S Alamo, MI | STORM TOTAL |
| Jan 12, 5:25 PM EST | SNOW 10 | Paw Paw, MI | STORM TOTAL |
| Jan 12, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 6 | 1 Ene Grand Junction, MI | STORM TOTAL |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 219 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 632 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 76 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 61 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 118 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
811 WWUS43 KGRR 112001 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 301 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016 MIZ037-038-043-044-050-056-064-071-072-120415- /O.UPG.KGRR.WW.Y.0002.160112T0000Z-160113T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KGRR.WS.W.0002.160112T0000Z-160113T0000Z/ MASON-LAKE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN- KALAMAZOO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...HART...FREMONT... MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO 301 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY THIS EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS 3 TO 6 INCHES TONIGHT AND 3 TO 6 INCHES TUESDAY. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WHERE THE BANDS PERSIST. SNOWFALL RATES COULD TOP AN INCH PER HOUR IN THE STRONGER BANDS. * INCREASING WINDS TUESDAY WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * NEAR WHITEOUT VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE. * NORTH SOUTH ROADS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO DRIFTING. * INTERSTATES 96...196 AND 94 WILL BE IMPACTED ALONG WITH PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 131 AND ROUTE 31. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * THE MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REMINDS MOTORISTS TO ADJUST SPEEDS BASED ON THE CONDITIONS... AND TO TAKE IT SLOW IN ICE AND SNOW. * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. && $$ MIZ039-040-045-046-051-052-059-067-074-120415- /O.EXB.KGRR.WW.Y.0002.160112T0600Z-160113T0000Z/ OSCEOLA-CLARE-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-CLINTON-INGHAM- JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...REED CITY...CLARE...BIG RAPIDS... MOUNT PLEASANT...GREENVILLE...ALMA...ST. JOHNS...LANSING... JACKSON 301 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY THIS EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS 1 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT AND 1 TO 2 INCHES TUESDAY. * INCREASING WINDS TUESDAY WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. * NORTH SOUTH ROADS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO DRIFTING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * THE MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REMINDS MOTORISTS TO ADJUST SPEEDS BASED ON THE CONDITIONS... AND TO TAKE IT SLOW IN ICE AND SNOW. * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. && $$ MIZ057-058-065-066-073-120415- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0002.160112T0000Z-160113T0000Z/ KENT-IONIA-BARRY-EATON-CALHOUN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...HASTINGS... CHARLOTTE...BATTLE CREEK 301 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * THE SNOW MAY TAPER OFF THIS EVENING...BUT INCREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER MIDNIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS 2 TO 4 INCHES TONIGHT AND 2 TO 3 INCHES TUESDAY. * INCREASING WINDS TUESDAY WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. * NORTH SOUTH ROADS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO DRIFTING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * THE MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REMINDS MOTORISTS TO ADJUST SPEEDS BASED ON THE CONDITIONS... AND TO TAKE IT SLOW IN ICE AND SNOW. * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. && $$
5 follow-up statements
254 WWUS43 KGRR 120235 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 935 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016 MIZ037-038-043-044-050-056-064-071-072-121045- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0000Z/ MASON-LAKE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN- KALAMAZOO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...HART...FREMONT... MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO 935 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. * LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS 3 TO 6 INCHES TONIGHT AND 3 TO 6 INCHES TUESDAY. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WHERE THE BANDS PERSIST. SNOWFALL RATES COULD TOP AN INCH PER HOUR IN THE STRONGER BANDS. * INCREASING WINDS TUESDAY WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * NEAR WHITEOUT VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE. * NORTH SOUTH ROADS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO DRIFTING. * INTERSTATES 96...196 AND 94 WILL BE IMPACTED ALONG WITH PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 131 AND ROUTE 31. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * THE MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REMINDS MOTORISTS TO ADJUST SPEEDS BASED ON THE CONDITIONS... AND TO TAKE IT SLOW IN ICE AND SNOW. * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. && $$ MIZ039-040-045-046-051-052-059-067-074-121045- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0002.160112T0600Z-160113T0000Z/ OSCEOLA-CLARE-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-CLINTON-INGHAM- JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...REED CITY...CLARE...BIG RAPIDS... MOUNT PLEASANT...GREENVILLE...ALMA...ST. JOHNS...LANSING... JACKSON 935 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS 1 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT AND 1 TO 2 INCHES TUESDAY. * INCREASING WINDS TUESDAY WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. * NORTH SOUTH ROADS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO DRIFTING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * THE MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REMINDS MOTORISTS TO ADJUST SPEEDS BASED ON THE CONDITIONS... AND TO TAKE IT SLOW IN ICE AND SNOW. * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. && $$ MIZ057-058-065-066-073-121045- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0000Z/ KENT-IONIA-BARRY-EATON-CALHOUN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...HASTINGS... CHARLOTTE...BATTLE CREEK 935 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS 2 TO 4 INCHES TONIGHT AND 2 TO 3 INCHES TUESDAY. * INCREASING WINDS TUESDAY WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. * NORTH SOUTH ROADS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO DRIFTING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * THE MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REMINDS MOTORISTS TO ADJUST SPEEDS BASED ON THE CONDITIONS... AND TO TAKE IT SLOW IN ICE AND SNOW. * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. && $$
934 WWUS43 KGRR 120839 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 339 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 MIZ037-038-043-044-050-056-064-071-072-121645- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0000Z/ MASON-LAKE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN- KALAMAZOO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...HART...FREMONT... MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO 339 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * ADDITIONAL LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS 2 TO 4 INCHES TODAY. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WHERE THE BANDS PERSIST. SNOWFALL RATES COULD TOP AN INCH PER HOUR IN THE STRONGER BANDS. * NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * NEAR WHITEOUT VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE. * NORTH SOUTH ROADS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO DRIFTING. * INTERSTATES 96...196 AND 94 WILL BE IMPACTED ALONG WITH PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 131 AND ROUTE 31. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * THE MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REMINDS MOTORISTS TO ADJUST SPEEDS BASED ON THE CONDITIONS... AND TO TAKE IT SLOW IN ICE AND SNOW. * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. && $$ MIZ039-040-045-046-051-052-059-067-074-121645- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0000Z/ OSCEOLA-CLARE-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-CLINTON-INGHAM- JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...REED CITY...CLARE...BIG RAPIDS... MOUNT PLEASANT...GREENVILLE...ALMA...ST. JOHNS...LANSING... JACKSON 339 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * ADDITIONAL LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS 1 TO 2 INCHES TODAY. * NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. * NORTH SOUTH ROADS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO DRIFTING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * THE MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REMINDS MOTORISTS TO ADJUST SPEEDS BASED ON THE CONDITIONS... AND TO TAKE IT SLOW IN ICE AND SNOW. * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. && $$ MIZ057-058-065-066-073-121645- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0000Z/ KENT-IONIA-BARRY-EATON-CALHOUN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...HASTINGS... CHARLOTTE...BATTLE CREEK 339 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS 2 TO 4 INCHES TODAY. * NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. * NORTH SOUTH ROADS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO DRIFTING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * THE MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REMINDS MOTORISTS TO ADJUST SPEEDS BASED ON THE CONDITIONS... AND TO TAKE IT SLOW IN ICE AND SNOW. * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. && $$
070 WWUS43 KGRR 121551 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 1051 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 MIZ037-038-043-044-050-056-064-071-072-130000- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0000Z/ MASON-LAKE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN- KALAMAZOO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...HART...FREMONT... MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO 1051 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * ADDITIONAL LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS 2 TO 4 INCHES TODAY. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WHERE THE BANDS PERSIST. SNOWFALL RATES COULD TOP AN INCH PER HOUR IN THE STRONGER BANDS. * NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING OVER 30 MPH WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * NEAR WHITEOUT VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE. * NORTH SOUTH ROADS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO DRIFTING. * INTERSTATES 96...196 AND 94 WILL BE IMPACTED ALONG WITH PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 131 AND ROUTE 31. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * THE MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REMINDS MOTORISTS TO ADJUST SPEEDS BASED ON THE CONDITIONS... AND TO TAKE IT SLOW IN ICE AND SNOW. * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. && $$ MIZ039-040-045-046-051-052-059-067-074-130000- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0000Z/ OSCEOLA-CLARE-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-CLINTON-INGHAM- JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...REED CITY...CLARE...BIG RAPIDS... MOUNT PLEASANT...GREENVILLE...ALMA...ST. JOHNS...LANSING... JACKSON 1051 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * ADDITIONAL LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS 1 TO 2 INCHES TODAY. * NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. * NORTH SOUTH ROADS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO DRIFTING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * THE MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REMINDS MOTORISTS TO ADJUST SPEEDS BASED ON THE CONDITIONS... AND TO TAKE IT SLOW IN ICE AND SNOW. * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. && $$ MIZ057-058-065-066-073-130000- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0000Z/ KENT-IONIA-BARRY-EATON-CALHOUN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...HASTINGS... CHARLOTTE...BATTLE CREEK 1051 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS 2 TO 4 INCHES TODAY. * NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. * NORTH SOUTH ROADS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO DRIFTING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * THE MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REMINDS MOTORISTS TO ADJUST SPEEDS BASED ON THE CONDITIONS... AND TO TAKE IT SLOW IN ICE AND SNOW. * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. && $$
137 WWUS43 KGRR 122002 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 302 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 MIZ037-038-043-044-050-056-064-071-072-130000- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0000Z/ MASON-LAKE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN- KALAMAZOO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...HART...FREMONT... MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO 302 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * ADDITIONAL LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS 1 TO 2 INCHES EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS TO GENERALLY 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WHERE THE BANDS PERSIST. SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING COMMUTE. * NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING OVER 30 MPH WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THE WIND WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING. IMPACTS... * NEAR WHITEOUT VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE. * NORTH SOUTH ROADS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO DRIFTING. * INTERSTATES 96...196 AND 94 WILL BE IMPACTED ALONG WITH PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 131 AND ROUTE 31. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * THE MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REMINDS MOTORISTS TO ADJUST SPEEDS BASED ON THE CONDITIONS... AND TO TAKE IT SLOW IN ICE AND SNOW. * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. && $$ MIZ039-040-045-046-051-052-059-067-074-130000- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0000Z/ OSCEOLA-CLARE-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-CLINTON-INGHAM- JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...REED CITY...CLARE...BIG RAPIDS... MOUNT PLEASANT...GREENVILLE...ALMA...ST. JOHNS...LANSING... JACKSON 302 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * ADDITIONAL LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND AN INCH EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS UP TO GENERALLY 2 TO 4 INCHES. * NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THE WIND WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING. IMPACTS... * REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL FOR THE EVENING COMMUTE. * NORTH SOUTH ROADS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO DRIFTING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * THE MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REMINDS MOTORISTS TO ADJUST SPEEDS BASED ON THE CONDITIONS... AND TO TAKE IT SLOW IN ICE AND SNOW. * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. && $$ MIZ057-058-065-066-073-130000- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0000Z/ KENT-IONIA-BARRY-EATON-CALHOUN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...HASTINGS... CHARLOTTE...BATTLE CREEK 302 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * ADDITIONAL LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND AN INCH EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS UP TO GENERALLY 3 TO 7 INCHES. * NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THE WIND WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING. IMPACTS... * REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL FOR THE EVENING COMMUTE. * NORTH SOUTH ROADS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO DRIFTING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * THE MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REMINDS MOTORISTS TO ADJUST SPEEDS BASED ON THE CONDITIONS... AND TO TAKE IT SLOW IN ICE AND SNOW. * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. && $$
070 WWUS43 KGRR 122355 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 655 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 MIZ037-038-043-044-050-056-064-071-072-130100- /O.CAN.KGRR.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0000Z/ MASON-LAKE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN- KALAMAZOO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...HART...FREMONT... MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO 655 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. * ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION LESS THAN TWO INCHES. * WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. IMPACTS... * NUMEROUS SLIDEOFFS AND ACCIDENTS WERE REPORTED EARLIER TODAY. * NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES EARLIER TODAY IN HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS AND BLOWING SNOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * SEND REPORTS TO NWS GRAND RAPIDS OR VISIT WEATHER.GOV/GRR FOR MORE INFORMATION. && $$ MIZ039-040-045-046-051-052-057>059-065>067-073-074-130100- /O.CAN.KGRR.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0000Z/ OSCEOLA-CLARE-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA- CLINTON-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...REED CITY...CLARE...BIG RAPIDS... MOUNT PLEASANT...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA... ST. JOHNS...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...BATTLE CREEK... JACKSON 655 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LINGERING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TAPERING TO FLURRIES. * ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION UNDER AN INCH. * WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. IMPACTS... * NUMEROUS SLIDEOFFS AND ACCIDENTS WERE REPORTED EARLIER TODAY. * SNOWFALL TOTALS RANGED ANYWHERE FROM AROUND AN INCH TO NEAR 6 INCHES SINCE YESTERDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * SEND REPORTS TO NWS GRAND RAPIDS OR VISIT WEATHER.GOV/GRR FOR MORE INFORMATION. && $$ LAURENS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 11, 1:04 PM EST, 1 hour 57 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 11, 1:04 PM EST, 1 hour 57 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
104 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016
LATEST UPDATE...
AVIATION
.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 324 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016
WINTER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH SNOW, BLOWING SNOW, AND ARCTIC
AIR. THE COLDEST WEATHER WILL BE TODAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN
THE UPPER TEENS. WE MAY CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
AHEAD OF ANOTHER STORM BEFORE COOLING OFF INTO THE TWENTIES AGAIN
LATE IN THE WEEKEND.
&&
.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1132 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016
ON TRACK FOR IMPACTS ESPECIALLY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. MAY NEED
TO UPGRADE SOME OF THE COUNTIES TO A WARNING. WILL CONTINUE TO
ASSESS INCOMING GUIDANCE AND WILL HAVE NEW UPDATED HEADLINES OUT
BY 3 PM. MAIN CONCERNS ARE HIGHER SNOW RATES...COUPLED WITH
INCREASING WINDS...POSSIBLY OVER 30 KNOTS ALONG THE LAKESHORE
TUESDAY. DRY SNOW WILL EASILY BLOW AROUND SO AS FOR TRAVEL...QUITE
HAZARDOUS SETUP MAY OCCUR. KENT COUNTY SHOULD SEE THE MAIN BAND OF
SNOW SHIFT NORTHWEST OF THE COUNTY 00Z TO 03Z BEFORE RETURNING
TOWARDS MIDNIGHT. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ON TUESDAY EXTENDS WILL
INLAND SO LANSING AND JACKSON MAY NEED TO BE ADDED TO THE
HEADLINES.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 324 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016
FORECAST CONCERNS DEAL WITH THE SNOW POTENTIAL AND ASSOCIATED IMPACTS
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NOT TOO MUCH HAS CHANGED WITH REGARD TO THE
NEXT SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR AND LAKE EFFECT.
LATEST RADAR SHOWS SNOW CONTINUING NEAR THE LAKE SHORE AND THE SW
CWA. AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN LATER THIS MORNING WE SHOULD SEE THE SHSN
DECREASE A BIT BUT PROBABLY WON/T END DUE TO THE HIGH INSTABILITY
OVER THE LAKE. BY EARLY EVENING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM IOWA TO
SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN. THIS LOW IS PROGD TO DEEPEN RAPIDLY AS IT
MOVES BY AND SHOULD REALLY KICK UP THE LAKE EFFECT AS IT MOVES
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA TONIGHT. INVERSION HEIGHTS CLIMB TO AROUND
9K FT AND BUFKIT CROSS SECTIONS SHOW STRONG LIFT IN THE DGZ
OVERNIGHT WITH THE MAX AROUND 06Z. INITIALLY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW
WILL BE SWLY WHICH PAINTS AREAS FROM GRAND HAVEN AND GRAND RAPIDS
NORTHWEST BUT THEN VEERS TO THE WEST AND THEN NORTHWEST HITTING THE
SOUTHWEST CWA. THE SHIFTING BANDS OF SNOW ARE THE MAIN REASON WE
OPTED FOR A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY VS A WINTER STORM WARNING.
STILL...THE LAKE SHORE LOOKS LIKE IT COULD SEE 6-10 INCHES OF SNOW
OVER A 24-30 HR PERIOD WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW TONIGHT. FOR THE NEXT
ROW OF COUNTIES INLAND FROM THE LAKESHORE...4-6 INCHES SEEMS
POSSIBLE 00Z TUE-00Z WED.
WINDS WILL GUST TO 25-30 KNOTS TUESDAY WHICH WILL RESULT IN
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING/DRIFTING SNOW. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE
BRIEF WHITEOUTS WHICH WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT TRAVEL HAZARD
...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH/SOUTH ROADS. THIS LOOKS LIKE A HIGH END
ADVISORY AND MAY END UP BEING A WARNING DEPENDING ON HOW STRONG THE
WINDS GET AND HOW MUCH SNOW FALLS.
SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TUESDAY AFTERNOON BUT LIKELY WON'T QUIT AND
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY BUT ACCUMS WILL BE LIMITED DURING THIS TIME.
.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 324 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016
THERE IS A POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM YET AGAIN FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY. THE GLITCH I WROTE ABOUT YESTERDAY FOR EARLY THIS WEEKEND
REMAINS. THAT GLITCH BEING A SIGNIFICANT MODEL DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN
THE GFS AND ECMWF FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH THE TRACK OF THE
SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM. SEVERAL RUNS OF THE ECMWF BRING A
SIGNIFICANT SNOW STORM (5 TO 8 INCHES) TO THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON
INTO SATURDAY. MEANWHILE THE GFS IS ALL OVER THE PLACE FROM RUN TO
RUN AS TO WHAT WILL HAPPEN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE LATEST VERSION
OF THE GFS HAS THE STORM TRACK WELL WEST OF MICHIGAN. THAT BRINGING
A SURGE OF RAIN AND WARM AIR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY BEFORE THE COLD
AIR RETURNS ON ALL MODELS WITH LAKE EFFECT ON SUNDAY.
WHAT SEEMS TO ME TO BE THE ISSUE IS HOW MUCH PHASING HAPPENS BETWEEN
THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM AND JUST HOW FAR SOUTH THE NORTHERN
STREAM CLOSED LOW GETS BEFORE IT PHASES WITH THE SOUTHERN STREAM
SYSTEM. THE ECMWF AND FOR THAT MATTER THE CANADIAN MODEL BRING THE
NORTHERN STREAM UPPER LOW FARTHER SOUTH BEFORE TRYING TO PHASE WITH
THE NORTHERN STREAM. THAT RESULTS IN A FARTHER SOUTH TRACK OF THE
SURFACE LOW. FOR NOW I AM GOING WITH THE ECMWF ON THIS SINCE HAS A
BETTER TRACK RECORD IN THE LONGER RANGES. ALSO THE GFS TENDS TO NOT
BRING NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEMS FAR ENOUGH SOUTH AT THE LONGER RANGES.
ONE WAY OR THE OTHER WE WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHING THIS AS IF WE DO
GET A SURGE OF RAIN OVER ALL THIS FROZEN GROUND AND SNOW COVER... WE
COULD BE LOOKING AT A FLOODING EVENT.
OTHERWISE...ON THURSDAY THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH AS THE NEXT
UPSTREAM SYSTEMS MOVE INTO THE AREA AND THAT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF
LIGHT SNOW TO THE AREA THURSDAY.
&&
.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 104 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016
THROUGH 21Z...MAIN CONCERN IS A PERSISTENT EAST TO WEST SNOW BAND IMPACTING
PRIMARILY THE KGRR TERMINAL WITH IFR VSBY. THIS BAND SHOULD DRIFT
NORTH WITH GRADUALLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS AT THE GRR AND MKG TERMINALS.
BEGINNING AROUND 00Z...A RAPID REDUCTION TO IFR VSBY CAN BE
EXPECTED BY THE LAKESHORE AS AN INTENSE AREA OF SNOW DEVELOPS.
SNOW WILL SPREAD EASTWARD AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE WEST AND
STRENGTHEN. VISIBILITIES WILL BE HIGHLY VARIABLE ESPECIALLY
BETWEEN 00Z-10Z DUE TO PASSING SNOW BANDS.
EXPECT A TRANSITION TO MORE WIDESPREAD IFR OR FUEL ALTERNATE MVFR
VSBYS IS EXPECTED AFTER 12Z WITH BLOWING SNOW AN INCREASING
CONCERN...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE LAKESHORE.
&&
.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 324 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016
WAVE WILL DECREASE TO AROUND 2 TO 4 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER A LULL
TONIGHT WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS AND ANOTHER SCA WILL LIKELY
BE NEEDED.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 1121 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016
MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS ONGOING AT HOLT...MAPLE RAPIDS AND IONIA.
THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY CLIMB
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE STABILIZING. HOLT AND IONIA
HAVE BEGUN TO SHOW DECLINE. IMPROVEMENT SHOULD CONTINUE.
MANY OTHER SITES THROUGH SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN ARE FLOWING
WELL BELOW ACTION STAGE WHILE THE RISES AND HIGHER LEVELS ARE
CONCENTRATED SOUTH AND EAST OF GRAND RAPIDS. THESE ARE THE SAME
AREAS THAT WERE MORE SO AFFECTED BY MILD WEATHER AND RAINFALL
EARLY IN THE WEEKEND. GOING FORWARD...OVERALL STABILIZATION OR
IMPROVEMENT IS ANTICIPATED IN THE GRAND SCHEME OF THINGS. CONCERNS
ARE MINOR...WHICH INCLUDE THE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN AND ARCTIC
AIR MASS.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES EXIST AT SOME POINT EACH DAY OF THE WEEK.
THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT IT WILL ALL LIKELY BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW.
THE DOWN SIDE WITH THESE TEMPERATURES IS THE RISING CONCERN FOR
ICE FORMATION...ESPECIALLY IN CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE
TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN COLDER FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME. THIS
MAY BE THE WEEK WHERE WE SEE SOME ISSUES DEVELOP WITH MINOR ICE
JAMMING...ESPECIALLY ON LOWER VOLUME RIVERS THAT FREEZE UP IN A
QUICKER FASHION. IT IS NOTHING OF ALARM AT THIS POINT...BUT JUST
SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE ON WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPS IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS.
&&
.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
TUESDAY FOR MIZ037-038-043-044-050-056>058-064>066-071>073.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
LMZ844>849.
&&
UPDATE...MJS
SYNOPSIS...04
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM...WDM
AVIATION...TJT
HYDROLOGY...JAM
MARINE...04Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 11, 4:43 AM EST, 10 hours 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 443 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016 MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-120945- MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON- MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON- INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- 443 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH WEST OF US-131. TONIGHT SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE IN SIGNIFICANTLY AS WILL THE WIND. AREAS WEST OF US-131 MAY SEE 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW WITH SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. WIND CHILLS WILL BE NEAR ZERO. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW...BLOWING SNOW AND LOW WIND CHILLS WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE...HEAVY AT TIMES WEST OF US-131 INTO THE AFTERNOON WHILE WINDS MAY GUST AS HIGH AS 30 MPH. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH WIND CHILLS NEAR ZERO AT TIMES... WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM EVENT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THIS WEEK. LMZ844>849-120945- ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI- HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI- WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI- 443 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT STRONG WINDS... HIGH WAVES AND SNOW SQUALLS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS IN THE NEAR SHORE TODAY AND TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE STRONG WINDS...HIGH WAVES AND SNOW SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM LATE THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND WILL BRING THE TREAT OF MORE HIGH WINDS...WAVES ANS SNOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THIS WEEK. WDM
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 11, 9:34 AM EST, 5 hours 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
934 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0845 AM SNOW EAST GRAND RAPIDS 42.95N 85.61W
01/11/2016 M1.0 INCH KENT MI TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
JAMLocal storm report, Jan 11, 9:35 AM EST, 5 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
935 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0845 AM SNOW EAST GRAND RAPIDS 42.95N 85.61W
01/11/2016 M1.0 INCH KENT MI TRAINED SPOTTER
24-HR SNOWFALL REPORTED THROUGH 845AM
&&
NWS GRAND RAPIDS MI
IRIS SYSTEMLocal storm report, Jan 11, 10:27 AM EST, 4 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1027 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW 1 SE REED CITY 43.87N 85.50W
01/11/2016 M1.7 INCH OSCEOLA MI CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION REED CITY WWTP
/RDCM4/
0800 AM SNOW 1 SSW ALLENDALE 42.97N 85.96W
01/11/2016 M2.3 INCH OTTAWA MI COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION ALLENDALE 1.3 SSW
/MI-OW-30/
0730 AM SNOW 2 NNW BEECHWOOD 42.82N 86.15W
01/11/2016 M2.5 INCH OTTAWA MI COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION HOLLAND 4.3 NNW /MI-OW-14/
0700 AM SNOW 1 SSW MEARS 43.67N 86.42W
01/11/2016 M1.2 INCH OCEANA MI COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION HART 3 WSW /MI-OC-3/
0800 AM SNOW 4 W PORTAGE 42.21N 85.66W
01/11/2016 M2.2 INCH KALAMAZOO MI COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION KALAMAZOO 6.0 SW /MI-KZ-1/
0700 AM SNOW 1 WNW BELMONT 43.08N 85.63W
01/11/2016 M0.6 INCH KENT MI COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION BELMONT 1.0 WNW /MI-KN-65/
0700 AM SNOW 1 NNE WYOMING 42.90N 85.70W
01/11/2016 M2.0 INCH KENT MI COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION WYOMING 0.5 NNE /MI-KN-39/
0745 AM SNOW 3 NNE TOPKINS 42.41N 84.53W
01/11/2016 M1.6 INCH JACKSON MI COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION RIVES JUNCTION 4.0 NW
/MI-JC-14/
0755 AM SNOW 1 ESE PULASKI 42.11N 84.63W
01/11/2016 M0.9 INCH JACKSON MI COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION HANOVER 3.8 W /MI-JC-13/
0700 AM SNOW 2 WSW LANSING 42.70N 84.59W
01/11/2016 M1.5 INCH INGHAM MI COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION LANSING 1.9 WSW /MI-IH-31/
0700 AM SNOW BRECKENRIDGE 43.41N 84.47W
01/11/2016 M0.5 INCH GRATIOT MI COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION BRECKENRIDGE 0.2 ESE
/MI-GR-1/
0700 AM SNOW 1 N HASLETT 42.77N 84.40W
01/11/2016 M1.0 INCH CLINTON MI COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION HASLETT 1.2 N /MI-CT-2/
0630 AM SNOW 2 NE BATH 42.84N 84.42W
01/11/2016 M1.7 INCH CLINTON MI COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION LAINGSBURG 5.0 SW /MI-CT-1/
0800 AM SNOW 12 NNE CLARE 43.99N 84.70W
01/11/2016 M1.0 INCH CLARE MI COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION HARRISON 5.2 ESE /MI-CL-5/
0700 AM SNOW 4 SSW HASTINGS 42.59N 85.32W
01/11/2016 M1.1 INCH BARRY MI COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION HASTINGS 4.3 SSW /MI-BR-13/
0700 AM SNOW HART 43.70N 86.37W
01/11/2016 M1.2 INCH OCEANA MI CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION HART /HRTM4/
0700 AM SNOW 1 NNE BRUNSWICK 43.45N 86.03W
01/11/2016 M2.0 INCH NEWAYGO MI CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION 4 WSW FREMONT /FREM4/
0700 AM SNOW 1 WNW ALMA 43.38N 84.67W
01/11/2016 M0.1 INCH GRATIOT MI CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION ALMA /ALMM4/
&&
NWS GRAND RAPIDS MI
IRIS SYSTEMThe office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 8:59 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | GRR | 36 hr | |
| Jan 11, 3:35 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | GRR | Allegan, Barry, Calhoun, Clare, Clinton, Eaton and 17 more | 39 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2016Every winter storm warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.