Severe Thunderstorm Warning 86, NWS Green Bay, WI

065 
WWUS53 KGRB 062127
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
427 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2016

WIC009-015-071-062145-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0086.000000T0000Z-160906T2145Z/
MANITOWOC WI-BROWN WI-CALUMET WI-
427 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN MANITOWOC...SOUTH CENTRAL BROWN AND NORTHEASTERN CALUMET
COUNTIES...

AT 427 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BRILLION...OR
15 MILES NORTHWEST OF MANITOWOC...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE 
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
         ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MANITOWOC...BRILLION...TWO CREEKS...TWO RIVERS...MORRISON...CATO...
MISHICOT...LARRABEE...COOPERSTOWN AND REEDSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4417 8817 4433 8808 4429 8747 4413 8752
      4407 8760 4404 8761
TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 285DEG 36KT 4419 8793 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

RDM

304 
WWUS53 KGRB 062135
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
435 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2016

WIC009-015-071-062145-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0086.000000T0000Z-160906T2145Z/
MANITOWOC WI-BROWN WI-CALUMET WI-
435 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN MANITOWOC...SOUTH CENTRAL BROWN AND NORTHEASTERN CALUMET
COUNTIES...

AT 435 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR VALDERS...OR
11 MILES NORTHWEST OF MANITOWOC...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE 
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
         ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MANITOWOC...BRILLION...TWO CREEKS...TWO RIVERS...MORRISON...CATO...
MISHICOT...LARRABEE...COOPERSTOWN AND REEDSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4417 8817 4433 8808 4429 8747 4413 8752
      4407 8760 4404 8761
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 288DEG 32KT 4415 8786 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

RDM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
325 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2016

Forecast discussion for routine afternoon forecast issuance

.SHORT TERM...Tonight and Wednesday
Issued at 325 PM CDT Tue Sep 6 2016

The first of showers and thunderstorms brought 1 to 3 inches of
rain to far northern Wisconsin this morning. This cluster of
storms sent several outflow boundaries southward into central
and northeast Wisconsin this afternoon. To the south of the
outflow boundaries, temperatures warmed into the middle 80s
to around 90 with dewpoints around 70. Scattered thunderstorms
were occurring in the warm humid air. The storms extended westward
into western Wisconsin and southeast Minnesota.

There is still a small window for several storms south of Wausau
to Sturgeon Bay line for the remainder of the afternoon into early
this evening. There are a few storms on radar that have been
intensifying. Later tonight, there may be a break in the activity
across the north as front sags slowly southeast. Confidence is
low on the break in the rain as models are struggling with timing
and location.

Confidence is higher for locally heavy rain on Wednesday into
Wednesday evening as low pressure moves along the front. The big
question is how far north the heavy rain will make it into
northern Wisconsin.

.LONG TERM...Wednesday Night Through Tuesday
Issued at 325 PM CDT Tue Sep 6 2016

The upper air pattern is forecast to remain almost summerlike
over the next week or so with a few shortwaves moving through the westerlies
across the northern part of the lower 48 states.

One of these will be exiting the region early Thursday. A surface high
passing by to the south should provide dry weather Thursday afternoon
through part of Friday before the upper flow becomes southwest and a
wave of low pressure at the surface lifts northeast towards southern
Lake Michigan from the southern Plains. This system should bring showers
and elevated thunderstorms late in the day Friday through early Saturday.

Then northwest upper flow and surface high pressure should provide
a dry and pleasant weather for Saturday afternoon through at least
Sunday night.
&&

.AVIATION...for 18Z TAF Issuance
Issued at 1122 AM CDT Tue Sep 6 2016

Poor flying conditions will continue tonight and Wednesday due to
showers and storms in the area, and the possibility of low clouds
and fog. Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms will move
across the area through Wednesday afternoon. A few of the storms
could be strong or severe this afternoon with strong winds and
hail south of a Marinette to Wausau line. Between the rounds of
storms tonight into Wednesday morning, low clouds and some fog
should develop, especially across northern Wisconsin.
&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 325 PM CDT Tue Sep 6 2016

A few more rounds of thunderstorms expected late this afternoon
through Wednesday evening. An additional 1 to 3 inches of rain
is possible from central into northeast Wisconsin.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through late Wednesday night FOR WIZ010-011-013-
018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074.
&&

SHORT TERM.....Eckberg
LONG TERM......RDM
AVIATION.......Eckberg
HYDROLOGY......Eckberg

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1114 AM CDT TUE SEP 6 2016

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-071615-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE COUNTY-LINCOLN-
LANGLADE-MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO COUNTY-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-
WOOD-PORTAGE-WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-
CALUMET-MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE COUNTY-
SOUTHERN OCONTO COUNTY-
1114 AM CDT TUE SEP 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE AT TIMES THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. THERE
IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING GENERALLY SOUTH OF A WAUSAU TO MARINETTE LINE. A FEW OF
THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY AT TIMES THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. THE
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO
2 INCHES PER HOUR, STREET FLOODING AND PONDING OF WATER
ON AREA ROADWAYS. DITCHES, CREEKS AND RIVERS WILL BE ON THE
RISE ALONG WITH FAST CURRENTS. RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR RIVER
LEVELS AND FORECASTS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THE HEAVY
RAIN EVENT. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR SEVERAL MORE ROUNDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES, WITH LOCALIZED
HIGHER AMOUNTS, ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA FROM TODAY
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY RESULT IN URBAN
STREET FLOODING AND RAPID RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS AND CREEKS SHOULD MONITOR WATER
LEVELS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN LATE IN THE WORK WEEK. IT IS
TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SPOTTERS ARE ALSO URGED TO RELAY ANY REPORTS OF FLOODING OR HEAVY
RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF AN INCH.

LMZ521-522-541>543-071615-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-
1114 AM CDT TUE SEP 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LAKE
MICHIGAN AND THE WATERS OF GREEN BAY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT.  SOME OF THE STORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BECOME STRONG OR SEVERE, WITH
STRONG WINDS, TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT, AND POSE A HAZARD TO MARINERS.

ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS WEEK...RESULTING IN
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR BOATERS ON THE LAKE AND BAY.

ECKBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1014 AM CDT TUE SEP 06 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1012 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S LAKE TOMAHAWK       45.80N 89.59W
09/06/2016  E2.24 INCH       ONEIDA             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RECEIVED BETWEEN 2.00-2.24 INCHES OF RAIN IN 4 HOURS.

&&

AK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1048 AM CDT TUE SEP 06 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1012 AM     HEAVY RAIN       THREE LAKES             45.79N 89.16W
09/06/2016  M1.95 INCH       ONEIDA             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.95 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN A 5-HOUR PERIOD THIS MORNING.
            LOCALIZED STREET FLOODING IN THREE LAKES.

&&

AK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
302 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2016

WIZ031-037>039-062100-
WAUPACA WI-BROWN WI-SHAWANO WI-OUTAGAMIE WI-
302 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2016

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL WISCONSIN...

AT 300 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A SMALL LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS FROM NEAR NAVARINO WILDLIFE AREA TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST
OF NEW LONDON TO NEAR WAUPACA. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 30 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL, WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GREEN BAY...APPLETON...WAUPACA...NEW LONDON...BLACK CREEK...ONEIDA...
HOWARD...ASHWAUBENON...SUAMICO AND GREENVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH
FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4428 8911 4447 8885 4465 8850 4465 8793
      4463 8793 4465 8788 4465 8784 4444 8819
      4425 8848
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 274DEG 26KT 4462 8855 4448 8882 4437 8898

AK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
336 PM CDT TUE SEP 06 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0318 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 S NEW LONDON          44.37N 88.75W
09/06/2016  M48.00 MPH       WAUPACA            WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER IS ABOUT A HALF MILE SOUTH OF NEW LONDON.

0320 PM     TSTM WND GST     NEW LONDON              44.38N 88.75W
09/06/2016  M48.00 MPH       WAUPACA            WI   MESONET

            TIMES ESTIMATED.

&&

ECKBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
406 PM CDT TUE SEP 06 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0359 PM     TSTM WND GST     LITTLE CHUTE            44.28N 88.26W
09/06/2016  M51 MPH          OUTAGAMIE          WI   MESONET

            REPORT FROM WBAY WEATHERBUG LITTE CHUTE HIGH SCHOOL SITE.
            TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

ECKBERG