Red Flag Warning 13, NWS Grand Junction, CO

016 
WWUS85 KGJT 110558
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1158 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS... LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO FIRE
ZONE 207... 

COZ207-111400-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160711T0600Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.160711T1800Z-160712T0200Z/
SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER FORECAST AREA-
1158 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
MONDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 207...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT (SUNDAY
NIGHT) FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 207...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 SOUTHWEST 
  COLORADO LOWER FORECAST AREA.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...HOT...DRY...AND BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY CAUSE EXISTING 
  OR NEW FIRES TO GROW RAPIDLY AND BE DIFFICULT TO CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ200-202-290-292-110700-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160711T0600Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA-
1158 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR GUSTY
WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...
202...290 AND 292...

ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS WILL BE BREEZY OVERNIGHT...WINDS WILL REMAIN
BELOW CRITERIA WITH RH RECOVERING SO WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.

$$

UTZ486-487-490-491-110700-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160711T0600Z/
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-BOOK CLIFFS-COLORADO RIVER BASIN-
SOUTHEAST UTAH-
1158 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR GUSTY
WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486...
487...490 AND 491 BELOW 7000 FEET...

ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS WILL BE BREEZY OVERNIGHT...WINDS WILL REMAIN
BELOW CRITERIA WITH RH RECOVERING SO WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.

$$

COZ203-205-110700-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160711T0600Z/
LOWER COLORADO RIVER-COLORADO RIVER HEADWATERS-
1158 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR GUSTY
WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
203 AND 205 BELOW 8500 FEET...

ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS WILL BE BREEZY OVERNIGHT...WINDS WILL REMAIN
BELOW CRITERIA WITH RH RECOVERING SO WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT

630 
WWUS85 KGJT 110946
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
346 AM MDT MON JUL 11 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT TODAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS... LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO FIRE ZONE
207...

COZ207-112100-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.160711T1800Z-160712T0200Z/
SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER FORECAST AREA-
346 AM MDT MON JUL 11 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 SOUTHWEST 
  COLORADO LOWER FORECAST AREA.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...HOT...DRY...AND BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY CAUSE EXISTING 
  OR NEW FIRES TO GROW RAPIDLY AND BE DIFFICULT TO CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT

799 
WWUS85 KGJT 111955
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
155 PM MDT MON JUL 11 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT TODAY FOR GUSTY
WINDS... LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO FIRE ZONE
207...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO FIRE ZONE
200...

COZ200-120600-
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0014.160712T1800Z-160713T0300Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-
155 PM MDT MON JUL 11 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
200...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE 
  SNAKE FORECAST AREA.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...9 TO 14 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...HOT...DRY...AND BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY CAUSE EXISTING 
  OR NEW FIRES TO GROW RAPIDLY AND BE DIFFICULT TO CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ207-120200-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160712T0200Z/
SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER FORECAST AREA-
155 PM MDT MON JUL 11 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 207...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 SOUTHWEST 
  COLORADO LOWER FORECAST AREA.

* WIND...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...9 TO 14 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...HOT...DRY...AND BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY CAUSE EXISTING 
  OR NEW FIRES TO GROW RAPIDLY AND BE DIFFICULT TO CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT

319 
WWUS85 KGJT 120158
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
758 PM MDT MON JUL 11 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO FIRE ZONE
200...

COZ207-120300-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160712T0200Z/
SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER FORECAST AREA-
758 PM MDT MON JUL 11 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
207...

HUMIDITY REMAINS LOW ACROSS THE FIRE ZONE AND WILL BE SLOW TO
RECOVER OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER WINDS ARE QUICKLY DROPPING OFF AND THIS
HAS ALLOWED THE WARNING TO BE EXPIRED. 

$$

COZ200-121000-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0014.160712T1800Z-160713T0300Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-
758 PM MDT MON JUL 11 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 200...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE 
  SNAKE FORECAST AREA.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...9 TO 14 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...HOT...DRY...AND BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY CAUSE EXISTING 
  OR NEW FIRES TO GROW RAPIDLY AND BE DIFFICULT TO CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
431 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 429 PM MDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Added UTZ027 to the wind advisory in effect until 8 pm this
evening as wind gusts are already exceeding criteria at Bryson
Canyon with gusts in the low 50s. Canyonlands Airport has had
gusts to 43 mph, just below criteria but winds should increase as
the front gets closer this evening before sunset. All other
highlites remain on track.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Monday Night)
Issued at 200 PM MDT Sun Jul 10 2016

An unseasonably strong Low Pressure system was working through
the Pacific NW today, then through the northern Rockies tonight.
The associated jet and moisture remain north of this forecast
area. Its dry cold front will work through NE Utah before sunset,
to near the I-70 corridor around midnight and into NW New Mexico
by Monday morning. Models are consistent with some Monday cooling
across region, around 15 degrees north, 10 degrees central, 5
degrees south.

Breezy conditions continue on Monday especially north near the
strongest pressure gradient, and south in the vicinity of the cold
front. Due to the dry conditions this keeps fire weather concerns
in the forecast. The slackening of the gradient Monday night will
allow for the coolest morning of the forecast period.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 200 PM MDT Sun Jul 10 2016

A fast west-to-east flow dominates at least through Thursday with
westerlies streaming along the northern tier of states and a
subtropical ridge elongated along the southern tier. Friday the
pattern begins to amplify with troughing along the West Coast that
slips the subtropical High eastward. This opens the door to
monsoonal moisture intrusion from the south into the weekend.
There is still low confidence on the important details of this
moisture surge.

Near normal temperatures on Tuesday soar to five or more degrees
above normal for Thursday-Friday, then drop to near normal again
over the weekend with clouds and showers.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 200 PM MDT Sun Jul 10 2016

VFR conditions dominate. However gusty winds remain a concern.
Strong pre-frontal southwest winds will continue until around
03z/sunset. The dry cold front will work from NW to SE through the
forecast area tonight. Frontal Passage will be around 03z at KVEL,
07z for KCNY KGJT, 10z for KMTJ KEGE KASE, 12z-14z for KTEX-KDRO.
Expect light to moderate turbulence tonight through Monday as
strong mixing winds continue.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 200 PM MDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Red Flag Warnings remain in effect until 9 PM as a cold front
works into NE Utah. The front sags through the region tonight,
into NW New Mexico by Monday morning. Though Monday temperatures
will not be as hot, dry and gusty winds may still bring critical
fire weather conditions to NW and SW Colorado, specifically
Colorado Fire zones 200 and the southern portion of zone 207. A
Fire Weather Watch has been issued for these zones.

&&

.GJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
CO...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ200-202-207-
     290-292.

     Wind Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for COZ001-002.

     Fire Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening
     for COZ200-207.

     Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for COZ203-205.

UT...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for UTZ486-487-490-
     491.

     Wind Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for UTZ024-027.

&&

UPDATE...MDA
SHORT TERM...Joe
LONG TERM...Joe
AVIATION...Joe
FIRE WEATHER...Joe

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
448 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-112300-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLAT TOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
448 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CAUSE
WINDS TO INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY TODAY WITH GUSTS OF 30 MPH BEING
COMMON WITH SOME GUSTS POSSIBLY REACHING 50 MPH. WIND ADVISORIES
HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST UTAH...NORTHWEST
COLORADO AND EAST CENTRAL UTAH.  DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE AND WITH THE STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY...CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE MET SO NUMEROUS RED FLAG WARNINGS HAVE
BEEN ISSUED ACROSS UTAH AND COLORADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SOME BREEZY WINDS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN MONDAY..MOSTLY UP
NORTH...WHILE THE REST OF THE AREA WILL SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES
DROP 10 TO 15 DEGREES. THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL SEE PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY WARM UP THROUGH SATURDAY. AN ODD
SHOWER OR STORM IS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON TOWARDS THE END OF
THE WEEK OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
500 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0407 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 15 NW MOAB              38.73N 109.74W
07/10/2016  M47 MPH          GRAND              UT   ASOS

            GUST MEASURED AT THE CANYONLANDS AIRPORT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1600739

DC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
741 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST MOUNT ABRAMS            37.96N 107.65W
07/10/2016  M52 MPH          OURAY              CO   MESONET

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1600740

DC