Red Flag Warning 3, NWS Hastings, NE

099 
WWUS83 KGID 051934
RFWGID

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
134 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2016

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...

.THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WITH DRY FUELS AND
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL RESULT IN POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY.

KSZ005-017-NEZ060-072-073-082-083-060000-
/O.CON.KGID.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160306T0000Z/
PHILLIPS-ROOKS-DAWSON-GOSPER-PHELPS-FURNAS-HARLAN-
134 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
005...017...060... 072...073...082 AND 083...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 005 PHILLIPS AND 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 ROOKS. IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  060 DAWSON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 072 GOSPER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  073 PHELPS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 082 FURNAS AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 083 HARLAN. 

* WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AND INCREASING NEAR 20 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  OF 25 MPH. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...15 TO 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY...
  EXHIBIT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR...AND BE DIFFICULT TO CONTROL. 
  USE CAUTION WHEN ENGAGING IN ACTIVITIES THAT COULD RESULT IN 
  A FIRE. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

185 
WWUS83 KGID 052025
RFWGID

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
225 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2016

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...

.THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WITH DRY FUELS AND
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL RESULT IN POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY.

KSZ006-018-NEZ039-040-046-047-061-062-074-075-084-085-060000-
/O.EXA.KGID.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160306T0000Z/
SMITH-OSBORNE-VALLEY-GREELEY-SHERMAN-HOWARD-BUFFALO-HALL-KEARNEY-
ADAMS-FRANKLIN-WEBSTER-
225 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR WIND
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
006...018...039...040... 046...047...061...062...074...075...084
AND 085...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. 

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 005 PHILLIPS AND 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 ROOKS. IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  060 DAWSON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 072 GOSPER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  073 PHELPS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 082 FURNAS AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 083 HARLAN. 

* WINDS...INCREASING TO NEAR 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...15 TO 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY... 
  EXHIBIT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR...AND BE DIFFICULT TO CONTROL. 
  USE CAUTION WHEN ENGAGING IN ACTIVITIES THAT COULD RESULT IN 
  A FIRE. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

KSZ005-017-NEZ060-072-073-082-083-060000-
/O.CON.KGID.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160306T0000Z/
PHILLIPS-ROOKS-DAWSON-GOSPER-PHELPS-FURNAS-HARLAN-
225 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
FOR WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
005...017...060... 072...073...082 AND 083...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 005 PHILLIPS AND 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 ROOKS. IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  060 DAWSON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 072 GOSPER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  073 PHELPS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 082 FURNAS AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 083 HARLAN. 

* WINDS...INCREASING TO NEAR 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...15 TO 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY... 
  EXHIBIT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR...AND BE DIFFICULT TO CONTROL. 
  USE CAUTION WHEN ENGAGING IN ACTIVITIES THAT COULD RESULT IN 
  A FIRE. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

174 
WWUS83 KGID 060004
RFWGID

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
604 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2016

KSZ005-006-017-018-NEZ039-040-046-047-060>062-072>075-082>085-
060115-
/O.EXP.KGID.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160306T0000Z/
PHILLIPS-SMITH-ROOKS-OSBORNE-VALLEY-GREELEY-SHERMAN-HOWARD-DAWSON-
BUFFALO-HALL-GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-
604 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 005...006...017...018...039...
040...046...047...060...061...062...072...073...074...075...082...
083...084 AND 085...

THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...AS WINDS HAVE TAPERED OFF AND
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AS TEMPERATURES COOL
EARLY THIS EVENING. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1052 PM CST FRI MAR 4 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 410 PM CST FRI MAR 4 2016

FOR THE MAJORITY OF THOSE READING THIS...THESE NEXT 24 HOURS
SIMPLY FEATURE A CONTINUATION OF RATHER "QUIET" WEATHER...WITH
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DRY CONDITIONS AND ANOTHER SEASONABLY-WARM
(ALBEIT BREEZY ESPECIALLY IN THE WEST) DAY ON SATURDAY AS MOST
AREAS AGAIN REACH THE LOW-MID 60S FOR HIGHS. HOWEVER...AS IS OFTEN
THE CASE DURING DRY WEATHER PATTERNS IN LATE WINTER/EARLY
SPRING...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE AN ISSUE FOR SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...AND THE EXTREME WESTERN CWA COULD EVEN BE FLIRTING
WITH "CRITICAL" THRESHOLDS. FOR FURTHER DISCUSSION OF THESE FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS...PLEASE REFER TO THE SEPARATE "FIRE WEATHER"
SECTION BELOW.

AS FOR THE HERE-AND-NOW AS OF 21Z/3PM...TODAY IS LARGELY TURNING
OUT AS EXPECTED FROM THE EARLY-MORNING FORECAST PACKAGE...AS TEMPS
ARE ON TRACK TO REACH THE LOW-MID 60S IN MOST AREAS...AND GUSTY
NORTH BREEZES HAVE ARRIVED BEHIND A RELATIVELY WEAK PASSING COLD
FRONT. IF ANYTHING HAS NOT QUITE "FOLLOWED THE SCRIPT"...IT HAS
BEEN A SOMEWHAT DENSER/THICKER STREAM OF HIGH LEVEL CIRRUS CLOUDS
OVER MAINLY THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA...WHICH ALONG WITH THE
COLD FRONT HAS KEPT THE MAJORITY OF NORTH CENTRAL KS ZONES FROM
REACHING THE UPPER 60S. IN THE MID-UPPER LEVELS...WATER VAPOR
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SHORT TERM MODEL DATA INDICATE QUASI-ZONAL
(MAINLY WEST-TO-EAST) FLOW OVER THE LOCAL AREA...AS WE ARE BARELY
BEING GLANCED BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEAST FROM
THE DAKOTAS TOWARD THE EASTERN MIDWEST STATES. ANY VERY LIGHT
PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE HAS SAFELY PASSED OFF TO OUR
EAST-NORTHEAST...ALTHOUGH LIFT WITHIN AN UPPER JET ENTRANCE
REGION HAS LIKELY CONTRIBUTED TO THE WEST-EAST BAND OF
AFOREMENTIONED THICKER CIRRUS OVER SOUTHERN ZONES. AT THE
SURFACE...THE COLD FRONT HAS NOW CLEARED THE ENTIRE CWA...WITH
NORTHERLY WIND GUSTING AS HIGH AS 25-30 MPH IN ITS WAKE. IT
APPEARS HIGH TEMPS WILL END UP BETWEEN 60-66 DEGREES IN MOST
AREAS.

NOW LOOKING AHEAD FORECAST-WISE THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON:

THIS EVENING/TONIGHT: BY EARLY THIS EVENING...NORTH BREEZES WILL
BE ON A NOTICEABLE DECREASE AS DAYTIME MIXING EASES AND SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHES. MEANWHILE...THE THICKER HIGH CLOUDS
CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHERN ZONES WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY VACATE TO
THE SOUTH AND EAST...PAVING THE WAY FOR A MOSTLY CLEAR TO CLEAR
NIGHT. IN THE MID-UPPER LEVELS...THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS IA AND POINTS
EAST...WHILE LOCALLY...SHORTWAVE RIDGING WILL MOVE IN FROM THE
WEST PROMOTING RISING MID LEVEL HEIGHTS. AT THE SURFACE...A HIGH
PRESSURE AXIS CURRENTLY CENTERED TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WILL
BECOME THE DOMINANT SURFACE FEATURE OVERNIGHT LOCALLY...PROVIDING
GENERALLY LIGHT/VARIABLE BREEZES OF AROUND 5 MPH OR LESS TO MOST
PLACES THROUGH MOST OF THE NIGHT. GIVEN THE COMBINATION OF MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT BREEZES...THIS LOOKS TO BE A FAIRLY IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING SETUP...AND NUDGED DOWN LOW TEMPS AT LEAST 2
DEGREES FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST...AND QUITE POSSIBLY NOT ENOUGH.
FOR NOW THOUGH WILL AIM MOST AREAS INTO THE 27-30 RANGE...WITH
MID-20S MORE LIKELY IN FAR NORTHERN/WEST-CENTRAL COUNTIES.

SATURDAY DAYTIME: AGAIN...SEE SEPARATE FIRE WEATHER SECTION BELOW
FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. SHORTWAVE RIDGING CONTINUES TO RULE
THE MID- UPPER LEVELS...OUT AHEAD OF THE MORE ACTIVE WEATHER
PATTERN THAT ARRIVES DURING THE LONG TERM PERIODS COVERED BELOW.
WHILE SKIES SHOULD START OUT NO WORSE THAN MOSTLY SUNNY...AN
INCREASE TO AT LEAST PARTLY CLOUDY (MAYBE MOSTLY CLOUDY?) IS
EXPECTED AS THE AFTERNOON WEARS ON THANKS TO INCREASING HIGH
CIRRUS SPILLING IN FROM THE WEST. AT THE SURFACE...INITIALLY LIGHT
BREEZES WILL GRADUALLY PICK UP OUT OF THE SOUTH AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS UP IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING HIGH PLAINS LEE
TROUGH TAKING SHAPE TO THE WEST...AND IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING
SURFACE HIGH. DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY
WIND SPEEDS WILL RANGE FROM GENERALLY 10-15 MPH IN EASTERN
COUNTIES...TO 15-20+ MPH WITH GUSTS POTENTIALLY 25+ MPH IN FAR
WESTERN ZONES. HIGH TEMPS CARRY AT LEAST A SMALL AMOUNT OF
UNCERTAINTY AS SOME MODELS/GUIDANCE VARY BY 5+ DEGREES. ON THE
POSITIVE SIDE FOR WARMING...LOW DEWPOINTS AND FAIRLY DEEP MIXING
SHOULD GIVE THINGS A GOOD BOOST. ON THE FLIP-SIDE...TEMPS COULD BE
SLOW TO RISE AFTER A COLD START...AND A BIG AFTERNOON RISE COULD
BE HELD DOWN BY INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS. ENDED UP MAKING VERY
LITTLE IF ANY CHANGE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST...AIMING FROM UPPER 50S
FAR NORTHEAST...LOW 60S CENTRAL AND MID 60S FAR SOUTH AND WEST.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 410 PM CST FRI MAR 4 2016

THIS PERIOD WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES...WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION.

SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BE IN FULL FORCE ON SUNDAY WITH STRONG
WARM/MOIST ADVECTION ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. LEE TROUGHING WILL
DEEPEN THROUGH THE PERIOD CAUSING SOUTHERLY WINDS TO BE BREEZY.
THE WARM MOIST ADVECTION AT THE LOW LEVELS WILL INCREASE CLOUD
COVER EARLY ON SUNDAY AND IT WILL PERSIST INTO MONDAY. DESPITE THE
CLOUD COVER...WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL HELP TEMPERATURES BE 15 TO
20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...NOW THESE TEMPERATURES COULD BE HAMPERED
SOME BY THE CLOUD COVER...BUT HAVE KEPT THE CURRENT TEMPS DUE TO
THE STRONG WARM ADVECTION AND MIXING.

SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY WILL BE DOMINATED BY STRONG
MOISTURE TRANSPORT AT THE LOWEST LEVELS WHICH COULD CAUSE DRIZZLE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

THE NEXT UPPER WAVE WILL KICK OUT DURING THE DAY MONDAY CAUSING
THE DRYLINE TO MOVE EAST AND A COLD FRONT TO TRANSITION ACROSS THE
AREA...WHICH WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. THE DRYLINE
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD TO ROUGHLY HIGHWAY 281 BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON AS THE DRY SLOT MOVES INTO SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THE
BEST INSTABILITY/MOISTURE WILL BE ALONG THE EASTERN FRINGES OF THE
AREA. THE NAM AND GFS CONTINUE TO INDICATE MUCAPE OF 1500-2000 EAST
OF HIGHWAY 281 INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA AND NORTHEAST KANSAS. THE
INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH 35-40KTS BULK SHEAR WILL MEAN THAT THIS
PERIOD COULD POSSESS SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. HOWEVER...THIS
BEING SAID...THIS IS DAY 4 AND THERE ARE STILL PLENTY OF
QUESTIONS...1. WILL THE MOISTURE REALLY GET THIS FAR NORTH AND 2.
WILL THE DRYLINE'S LOCATION SHIFT? A SLIGHT SHIFT TO THE EAST WILL
KEEP IT OUT OF THE AREA.

TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY FORECASTED TO BE 20-25 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL FOR MONDAY...WITH SOME NEAR RECORDS POSSIBLE. THE
DRYSLOT CLEARING AND ASSOCIATED DRYLINE WILL AID TEMPERATURES TO
REACH INTO THE MID AND UPPER 70S. SEE THE CLIMATE SECTION FOR MORE
RECORD DETAILS.

THE COLD FRONT WILL CATCH UP TO THE DRYLINE MONDAY EVENING WITH
SOME THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE BEHIND THE FRONT AS WELL. THE COLD
FRONT WILL USHER IN SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR AS WELL AS BRISK
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS.

TUESDAY - FRIDAY:
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TUESDAY...BUT WINDS WILL BE
BREEZY UNTIL THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SLACKENS TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS
WILL DECREASE BY LATE TUESDAY AND REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL BE CAUGHT BETWEEN THE MAIN UPPER
FLOW AND A CUT OFF LOW THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS TEXAS. THIS WILL KEEP
THE FORECAST DRY AND THE TEMPERATURES MILD FOR MARCH WITH TEMPS
ABOVE NORMAL. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED IN THE 50S AND 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1051 PM CST FRI MAR 4 2016

VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THRU THE TAF PERIOD. SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON ON THE BACK SIDE OF A SFC RIDGE
AXIS AND AHEAD OF A DEEPENING TROUGH ALONG THE HIGH PLAINS. CLOUDS
WILL BE MINIMAL AND LIMITED TO HIGH LEVELS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 410 PM CST FRI MAR 4 2016

REGARDING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR SATURDAY AND MONDAY
AFTERNOONS:

SATURDAY: CONCERNS CONTINUE TO GROW THAT THE MAJORITY OF THE CWA
(ESPECIALLY THE WESTERN HALF) WILL AT LEAST MEET "NEAR-CRITICAL"
FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS...THANKS TO SEASONABLY-WARM/DRY CONDITIONS
AND INCREASING SOUTHERLY BREEZES. WILL CERTAINLY KEEP HIGHLIGHTING
NEAR-CRITICAL CONCERNS IN THE LATEST HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
(HWOGID). HOWEVER...OF MOST CONCERN...THIS LATEST FORECAST HAS
RAISED WIND SPEEDS AND LOWERED RELATIVE HUMIDITY (RH) JUST ENOUGH
THAT OUR FAR WESTERN COUNTIES OF DAWSON/GOSPER/FURNAS ARE RIDING
THE BRINK OF MEETING OUTRIGHT- CRITICAL FIRE DANGER. NOT
SURPRISINGLY...THESE 3 COUNTIES ARE ESSENTIALLY THE ONLY PORTION
OF OUR CWA ALSO INCLUDED IN THE "ELEVATED" FIRE DANGER AREA ON THE
LATEST SPC DAY 2 FIRE WX OUTLOOK. IF CONFIDENCE WAS A BIT HIGHER
ON SOLIDLY-MEETING OUR LOCAL CRITICAL THRESHOLDS...MIGHT HAVE A
ISSUED A FORMAL FIRE WEATHER WATCH ON THIS SHIFT FOR THESE 3
COUNTIES. HOWEVER...BECAUSE NEIGHBORING OFFICES TO THE WEST HAVE
SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT CRITICAL RH CRITERIA...WE WOULD HAVE BEEN
"GOING SOLO" WITH THIS VERY SMALL WATCH AREA...WHICH WE PREFERRED
TO AVOID FOR COLLABORATION/"BIG- PICTURE" PURPOSES. THAT BEING
SAID...WITH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FIRE DANGER A MORE IMMINENT/FIRST
PERIOD ISSUE FOR THE UPCOMING OVERNIGHT SHIFT...THEY MIGHT HAVE TO
CONSIDER ISSUING A WARNING IN OUR FAR WESTERN CWA IF CONDITIONS
TREND ANY WORSE THAN THEY ALREADY ARE.

MONDAY: FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL INCREASE AGAIN WITH THE
DRYLINE HELPING TO DROP RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO LESS THAN 25
PERCENT ACROSS PHILLIPS AND ROOKS COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS. SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BE BRISK WITH SUSTAINED
SPEEDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER.

CLOSING WITH A QUICK REVIEW OF OUR LOCAL FIRE WEATHER
THRESHOLDS: "CRITICAL" FIRE WEATHER IN OUR CWA IS DEFINED AS THE
3+ HOUR OVERLAP OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY (RH) OF 20 PERCENT-OR-LOWER
AND SUSTAINED WINDS/GUSTS OF 20+ MPH/25+ MPH. "NEAR-CRITICAL" IS
DEFINED AS THE OVERLAP OF 25 PERCENT-OR-LOWER RH AND SUSTAINED
WINDS GUSTS OF 15+MPH/20+ MPH (IN THE PRESENCE OF SUFFICIENTLY-DRY
VEGETATION).

&&

.CLIMATE...
ISSUED AT 410 PM CST FRI MAR 4 2016

RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR MARCH 7TH:

GRAND ISLAND.....73 DEGREES IN 2000/1987
HASTINGS.........78 DEGREES IN 1987

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...PFANNKUCH
LONG TERM...BILLINGS WRIGHT
AVIATION...FAY
FIRE WEATHER...PFANNKUCH/BILLINGS WRIGHT
CLIMATE...BILLINGS WRIGHT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
350 PM CST FRI MAR 4 2016

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
051200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
350 PM CST FRI MAR 4 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON...NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY ACROSS MOST OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...ALONG WITH NEBRASKA
AREAS MAINLY WEST OF A LINE FROM ORD...TO HASTINGS...TO
SUPERIOR...AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLS TO 25 PERCENT OR LOWER AND
SOUTH WINDS GUST TO AT LEAST 20 MPH. DAWSON...GOSPER AND FURNAS
COUNTIES COULD EVEN FLIRT WITH CRITICAL FIRE DANGER...MAINLY DUE
TO SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OFF AND ON SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. WHILE THERE ARE SOME UNCERTAINTIES..SOME OF THESE
STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 281 LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.

IN ADDITION FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON...AT LEAST NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY IN ROOKS AND PHILLIPS
COUNTIES IN KANSAS...DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY
WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS

PFANNKUCH/BILLINGS WRIGHT