Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2016
Flash Flood Warning 21, NWS Flagstaff, AZ
NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 29, 2016, 7:04 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 3 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 29, 2016, 7:04 PM MST (02:04 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 29, 2016, 10:00 PM MST
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Flagstaff, AZ
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
County Yavapai County, AZ
The radar
The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 7:30 PM MST | FLASH FLOOD | 3 Ese Cordes Junction, AZ | AGUA FRIA RIVER ROSE 6.5 FT IN LESS THAN 15 MINUTES |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 00:00Z, 2.1 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 277 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -241 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3318 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 19 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -9 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 60 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
302 WGUS55 KFGZ 300204 FFWFGZ AZC025-300500- /O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0021.160730T0204Z-160730T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 704 PM MST FRI JUL 29 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... SOUTH CENTRAL YAVAPAI COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARIZONA... * UNTIL 1000 PM MST * AT 700 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN FROM CORDES JUNCTION SOUTHWARD TO BLACK CANYON CITY. ONE RAIN GAUGE NEAR CORDES JUNCTION REPORTED AROUND 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN ONE HOUR. EXPECT INCREASED FLOW THROUGH STREAMS AND DRAINAGES IN THE AREA. MUCH OF THE RUNOFF WILL FLOW INTO THE AQUA FRIA RIVER. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... CORDES JUNCTION...BUMBLE BEE...SPRING VALLEY...BLACK CANYON CITY... CORDES LAKES AND CORDES. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...BLACK CANYON...SYCAMORE CREEK...AGUA FRIA RIVER....AND BIG BUG CREEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. && LAT...LON 3443 11197 3406 11208 3406 11220 3443 11223 $$ RR
4 follow-up statements
330 WGUS75 KFGZ 300240 FFSFGZ FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 740 PM MST FRI JUL 29 2016 AZC025-300500- /O.CON.KFGZ.FF.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160730T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ YAVAPAI AZ- 740 PM MST FRI JUL 29 2016 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL YAVAPAI COUNTY... AT 733 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN FROM CORDES...TO BUMBLE BEE...TO BLACK CANYON CITY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS HAVE FALLEN IN SOME AREAS INCLUDING CORDES AND CORDES JUNCTION. FLASH FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 17 AND NEAR CORDES JUNCTION. RAPID RISES AND FLOODING ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE AGUA FRIA RIVER. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... CORDES JUNCTION...BUMBLE BEE...SPRING VALLEY...BLACK CANYON CITY... CORDES LAKES AND CORDES. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...NORTH FORK ROCK CREEK...HACKBERRY CREEK...SLATE CREEK...ANTELOPE CREEK...INDIAN CREEK...DRY CREEK...CASTLE CREEK...ROCK CREEK...BADGER SPRING WASH...BLACK CANYON CREEK...TANK CREEK...SYCAMORE CREEK...TURKEY CREEK...LITTLE ASH CREEK...BRUSHY WASH...ASH CREEK...AGUA FRIA RIVER...YARBER WASH...BIG BUG CREEK AND BISHOP CREEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. && LAT...LON 3443 11197 3406 11208 3406 11220 3443 11223 $$ JJ
429 WGUS75 KFGZ 300417 FFSFGZ FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 917 PM MST FRI JUL 29 2016 AZC025-300500- /O.CON.KFGZ.FF.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160730T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ YAVAPAI AZ- 917 PM MST FRI JUL 29 2016 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL YAVAPAI COUNTY... AT 911 PM MST...HEAVY RIN HAS MOVED SOUTH OF THE WARNING AREA...INCLUDING CORDES JUNCTION...BUMBLE BEE AND BLACK CANYON CITY. HEAVY RAIN FROM EARLIER THIS EVENING CONTINUES TO CAUSE INCREASED FLOW IN AREA STREAMS AND WASHES. AGUA FRIA RIVER JUST SOUTHEAST OF CORDES JUNCTION ROSE 6 FEET IN A FEW MINUTES AROUND 730 PM...AND THIS FLOOD WAVE WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTH THIS EVENING...AVOID THE AGUA FRIA RIVER SOUTH OF CORDES JUNCTION. PLEASE USE CAUTION AROUND STREAMS AND WASHES THIS EVENING...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. && LAT...LON 3443 11197 3406 11208 3406 11220 3443 11223 $$ JJ
693 WGUS75 KFGZ 300422 CCA FFSFGZ FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 922 PM MST FRI JUL 29 2016 AZC025-300500- /O.COR.KFGZ.FF.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160730T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ YAVAPAI AZ- 922 PM MST FRI JUL 29 2016 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL YAVAPAI COUNTY... AT 911 PM MST...HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED SOUTH OF THE WARNING AREA...INCLUDING CORDES JUNCTION...BUMBLE BEE AND BLACK CANYON CITY. HEAVY RAIN FROM EARLIER THIS EVENING CONTINUES TO CAUSE INCREASED FLOW IN AREA STREAMS AND WASHES. AGUA FRIA RIVER JUST SOUTHEAST OF CORDES JUNCTION ROSE 6 FEET IN A FEW MINUTES AROUND 730 PM...AND THIS FLOOD WAVE WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTH THIS EVENING...AVOID THE AGUA FRIA RIVER SOUTH OF CORDES JUNCTION. PLEASE USE CAUTION AROUND STREAMS AND WASHES THIS EVENING...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. LAT...LON 3443 11197 3406 11208 3406 11220 3443 11223 $$ JJ
239 WGUS75 KFGZ 300501 FFSFGZ FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 1001 PM MST FRI JUL 29 2016 AZC025-300505- /O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160730T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ YAVAPAI AZ- 1001 PM MST FRI JUL 29 2016 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL YAVAPAI COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 1000 PM MST... THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY FROM CORDES JUNCTION SOUTH ALONG THE AGUA FRIA RIVER TO NEAR BLACK CANYON CITY. FLOODING ALONG INTERSTATE 17 HAS ENDED AND ROAD CREWS HAVE CLEARED DEBRIS. RISES IN WATER LEVELS ALONG THE AGUA FRIA RIVER SOUTH OF CORDES JUNCTION WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...BUT SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH. LAT...LON 3443 11197 3406 11208 3406 11220 3443 11223 $$ JJ
The office that day
Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 5:02 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Yavapai | 13 min |
| Jul 29, 5:04 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Gila | 41 min |
| Jul 29, 5:05 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Gila | 115 min |
| Jul 29, 5:20 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino, Gila, Yavapai | 25 min |
| Jul 29, 5:32 PM MST | Areal Flood Advisory | FGZ | Gila | 118 min |
| Jul 29, 5:35 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | FGZ | Yavapai | 25 min |
| Jul 29, 5:48 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Gila, Yavapai | 42 min |
| Jul 29, 5:52 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Yavapai | 23 min |
| Jul 29, 6:14 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Yavapai | 31 min |
| Jul 29, 6:21 PM MST | Areal Flood Advisory | FGZ | Yavapai | 3 hr |
| Jul 29, 6:29 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Yavapai | 46 min |
| Jul 29, 9:36 PM MST | Areal Flood Advisory | FGZ | Yavapai | 114 min |
| Jul 29, 11:40 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | FGZ | 35 min | |
| Jul 30, 1:33 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino, Navajo | 27 min |
| Jul 30, 2:01 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino, Navajo | 29 min |
| Jul 30, 2:39 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Coconino, Navajo | 3 hr |
| Jul 30, 3:31 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | FGZ | Yavapai | 29 min |
| Jul 30, 4:22 PM MST | Areal Flood Advisory | FGZ | Yavapai | 113 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2016Every flash flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.