Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 8, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

April 17, 2016Caldwell County, Gonzales County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at Apr 17, 2016, 4:41 PM CDT for Caldwell County, Gonzales County, Texas. It took effect at Apr 18, 2016, 3:24 PM CDT. It was in force for 57 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 17, 2016, 4:41 PM CDT (21:41 UTC)
In effect from: Apr 18, 2016, 3:24 PM CDT
Expired: Apr 21, 2016, 12:06 AM CDT
In force: 57 hr
Issued by: NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Caldwell County, TX, Gonzales County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point San Marcos River at Luling (LLGT2). The gauge peaked at 13.23 ft at Apr 19, 2016, 4:00 AM CDT.

Action stage: 11 ft
Minor stage: 20 ft
Moderate stage: 24 ft
Major stage: 30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08172000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

942 
WGUS44 KEWX 172141
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
441 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Blanco River...Comal River...Guadalupe River...Plum Creek...San Marcos River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC091-187-181541-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0004.160418T0844Z-160418T2327Z/
/NBRT2.1.ER.160418T0844Z.160418T0900Z.160418T1127Z.NO/
441 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Guadalupe River At NB Abv Comal.
* from late tonight to Monday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  4:30 PM Sunday the stage was 2.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to rise to 
  near 8.0 feet by early tomorrow.The river will fall below flood stage by 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the lowest sections of 
  River Road above New Braunfels threatening sleeping campers, autos and gear on
  low areas near and above Gruene. The bridge on Gruene Road becomes flooded and
  impassable..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 NB Abv Comal        6    7    2.4   Sun  4 PM   5.9   2.7   2.4   2.4   2.4


&&

LAT...LON 2972 9812 2974 9809 2971 9809 2969 9812


$$

TXC091-177-187-181540-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0005.160418T0832Z-160418T1750Z/
/NBCT2.1.ER.160418T0832Z.160418T0900Z.160418T1150Z.NO/
441 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Comal River At Comal.
* from late tonight to Monday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:45 PM Sunday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to rise to 
  near 13.1 feet by early tomorrow.The river will fall below flood stage by 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding closes many secondary roads 
  and streets making them and low bridges dangerous to motorists.  The tube 
  chute at Prince Solms Park is flooded to the walkway across the low dam..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Comal               9   11    4.2   Sun  4 PM  10.7   4.9   4.6   4.5   4.5


&&

LAT...LON 2971 9815 2973 9813 2972 9812 2971 9811
      2969 9812 2970 9814             

$$

TXC091-187-181540-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0006.160418T0832Z-160419T0218Z/
/GBCT2.1.ER.160418T0832Z.160418T1200Z.160418T1418Z.NO/
441 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Guadalupe River At NB Below Comal.
* from late tonight to Monday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  4:16 PM Sunday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to rise to 
  near 13.8 feet by tomorrow morning.The river will fall below flood stage by 
  tomorrow late morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding closes several roads, 
  streets and businesses in New Braunfels. Upstream River Road is extremely 
  dangerous..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 NB Below Comal     13   13   10.0   Sun  4 PM  13.8  10.4  10.2  10.1  10.1


&&

LAT...LON 2969 9812 2971 9809 2963 9801 2958 9797
      2952 9801 2959 9807             

$$

TXC209-181540-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0007.160418T1314Z-160419T0842Z/
/WMBT2.1.ER.160418T1314Z.160418T1800Z.160418T2042Z.NO/
441 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Blanco River At Wimberley.
* from Monday morning to late Monday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  4:30 PM Sunday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise to 
  near 15.3 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.The river will fall below flood 
  stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water recreation in the Blanco river is dangerous from
  above Blanco to the San Marcos river confluence. Secondary roads and bridges 
  in the flood plain are flooded and dangerous. Much of Dudley Johnson park at 
  Five Mile Dam is flooded..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Wimberley          10   13    4.2   Sun  4 PM  12.4   6.7   4.9   4.5   4.5


&&

LAT...LON 2995 9812 3002 9813 3001 9791 2969 9768
      2963 9775 2994 9797             

$$

TXC055-177-181540-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0008.160418T2024Z-160421T0506Z/
/LLGT2.1.ER.160418T2024Z.160420T0000Z.160420T1706Z.NO/
441 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the San Marcos River below Luling.
* from Monday afternoon to late Wednesday night...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  3:45 PM Sunday the stage was 5.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and continue to rise 
  to near 23.8 feet by early Wednesday morning.The river will fall below flood 
  stage by Wednesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Moderate flooding in Palmetto State Park five miles 
  below Luling inundates many park facilities and roads..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Luling             11   20    5.8   Sun  4 PM  13.5  21.7  22.3  11.9   8.3


&&

LAT...LON 2963 9775 2969 9768 2964 9755 2952 9746
      2950 9752 2956 9760             

$$

TXC055-177-181540-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0009.160418T1737Z-160419T1930Z/
/LULT2.1.ER.160418T1737Z.160419T0000Z.160419T0730Z.NO/
441 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Plum Creek near Luling.
* from Monday afternoon to Tuesday afternoon...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  4:00 PM Sunday the stage was 5.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and continue to 
  rise to near 23.9 feet by tomorrow evening.The river will fall below flood 
  stage by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding escapes banks into lower 
  sections of the flood plain..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Luling             20   23    5.3   Sun  4 PM  20.0  22.1  17.1  11.8   8.8


&&

LAT...LON 2975 9765 2975 9756 2964 9755 2966 9763


$$

TXC177-181540-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0010.160419T0618Z-160421T1717Z/
/GNLT2.1.ER.160419T0618Z.160420T0600Z.160421T0517Z.NO/
441 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Guadalupe River at Gonzales.
* from late Monday night to Thursday afternoon...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  3:45 PM Sunday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 31.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Tuesday morning and continue to 
  rise to near 36.5 feet by early Wednesday morning.The river will fall below 
  flood stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding inundates pasture and 
  cropland between the Guadalupe/San Marcos river confluence and Gonzales. 
  Secondary roads, low bridges and much of the city park and facilities near the
  river in Gonzales are flooded..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Gonzales           17   31   13.2   Sun  4 PM  14.2  32.9  36.2  28.6  18.0


&&

LAT...LON 2944 9746 2952 9746 2942 9727 2912 9729
      2909 9737 2939 9736             

$$

TXC123-181540-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0011.160419T1002Z-000000T0000Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.160419T1002Z.160421T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
441 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* from late Monday night until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  4:30 PM Sunday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and continue to rise to 
  near 32.8 feet by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet...Moderate flooding threatens lowest homes 10 miles 
  downstream near Thomaston. Most primary roads and low bridges near Cuero flood
  in lowest areas. Livestock should be moved from the flood plain immediately..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Cuero              19   24    9.7   Sun  4 PM   9.9  25.8  32.4  32.8  29.7


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$

3 follow-up statements

000 
WGUS44 KEWX 180234
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
934 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Blanco River...Comal River...Guadalupe River...Plum Creek...San Marcos River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC091-187-182034-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0004.160418T1041Z-160419T0122Z/
/NBRT2.1.ER.160418T1041Z.160418T1100Z.160418T1322Z.NO/
934 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

The flood warning continues for 
 the Guadalupe River At NB Abv Comal.
* from late tonight to Monday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  9:15 PM Sunday the stage was 2.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to rise to 
  near 7.7 feet by tomorrow morning.The river will fall below flood stage by 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the lowest sections of 
  River Road above New Braunfels threatening sleeping campers, autos and gear on
  low areas near and above Gruene. The bridge on Gruene Road becomes flooded and
  impassable..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 NB Abv Comal        6    7    2.4   Sun  9 PM   2.9   2.5   2.4   2.4      


&&

LAT...LON 2972 9812 2974 9809 2971 9809 2969 9812


$$

TXC091-177-187-182034-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0005.160418T1246Z-160419T0056Z/
/NBCT2.1.ER.160418T1246Z.160418T1500Z.160418T1856Z.NO/
934 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

The flood warning continues for 
 the Comal River At Comal.
* from Monday morning to Monday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  8:45 PM Sunday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise to 
  near 14.9 feet by tomorrow late morning.The river will fall below flood stage 
  by tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding closes many secondary roads 
  and streets making them and low bridges dangerous to motorists.  The tube 
  chute at Prince Solms Park is flooded to the walkway across the low dam..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Comal               9   11    4.2   Sun  9 PM   5.2   4.8   4.6   4.6      


&&

LAT...LON 2971 9815 2973 9813 2972 9812 2971 9811
      2969 9812 2970 9814             

$$

TXC091-187-182034-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0006.160418T1336Z-160419T0830Z/
/GBCT2.2.ER.160418T1336Z.160418T1600Z.160418T2030Z.NO/
934 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity... 
The flood warning continues for 
 the Guadalupe River At NB Below Comal.
* from Monday morning to late Monday night...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  8:45 PM Sunday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise to 
  near 14.0 feet by tomorrow late morning.The river will fall below flood stage 
  by tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding closes several roads, 
  streets and businesses in New Braunfels. Upstream River Road is extremely 
  dangerous..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 NB Below Comal     13   13   10.0   Sun  9 PM  10.7  10.3  10.2  10.1      


&&

LAT...LON 2969 9812 2971 9809 2963 9801 2958 9797
      2952 9801 2959 9807             

$$

TXC209-182034-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0007.160418T1356Z-160419T0908Z/
/WMBT2.1.ER.160418T1356Z.160418T1800Z.160418T2108Z.NO/
934 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

The flood warning continues for 
 the Blanco River At Wimberley.
* from Monday morning to late Monday night...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  9:27 PM Sunday the stage was 4.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise to 
  near 15.3 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.The river will fall below flood 
  stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water recreation in the Blanco river is dangerous from
  above Blanco to the San Marcos river confluence. Secondary roads and bridges 
  in the flood plain are flooded and dangerous. Much of Dudley Johnson park at 
  Five Mile Dam is flooded..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Wimberley          10   13    4.5   Sun  9 PM   7.6   5.5   4.9   4.7      


&&

LAT...LON 2995 9812 3002 9813 3001 9791 2969 9768
      2963 9775 2994 9797             

$$

TXC055-177-182034-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0008.160419T0430Z-160421T0733Z/
/LLGT2.1.ER.160419T0430Z.160420T0000Z.160420T1933Z.NO/
934 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

The flood warning continues for 
 the San Marcos River below Luling.
* from Monday evening to late Wednesday night...or until the warning is 
  cancelled. 
* At  8:45 PM Sunday the stage was 5.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late evening and continue to 
  rise to near 23.9 feet by Tuesday evening.The river will fall below flood 
  stage by Wednesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Moderate flooding in Palmetto State Park five miles 
  below Luling inundates many park facilities and roads..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Luling             11   20    5.8   Sun  9 PM  22.9  22.6  13.9   9.6      


&&

LAT...LON 2963 9775 2969 9768 2964 9755 2952 9746
      2950 9752 2956 9760             

$$

TXC055-177-182034-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0009.160418T1930Z-160419T2149Z/
/LULT2.1.ER.160418T1930Z.160419T0000Z.160419T0949Z.NO/
934 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

The flood warning continues for 
 the Plum Creek near Luling.
* from Monday afternoon to Tuesday afternoon...or until the warning is 
  cancelled. 
* At  9:00 PM Sunday the stage was 5.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and continue to 
  rise to near 23.9 feet by tomorrow evening.The river will fall below flood 
  stage by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding reaches significant areas of
  the flood plain flooding secondary roads and low bridges. Livestock in the 
  flood plain may be cut off in low areas and drowned..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Luling             20   23    5.3   Sun  9 PM  22.6  16.9  11.0   8.1      


&&

LAT...LON 2975 9765 2975 9756 2964 9755 2966 9763


$$

TXC177-182034-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0010.160419T1328Z-160421T1921Z/
/GNLT2.1.ER.160419T1328Z.160420T0600Z.160421T0721Z.NO/
934 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

The flood warning continues for 
 the Guadalupe River at Gonzales.
* from Tuesday morning to Thursday afternoon...or until the warning is 
  cancelled. 
* At  8:45 PM Sunday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 31.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and continue to rise to 
  near 36.6 feet by early Wednesday morning.The river will fall below flood 
  stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding inundates pasture and 
  cropland between the Guadalupe/San Marcos river confluence and Gonzales. 
  Secondary roads, low bridges and much of the city park and facilities near the
  river in Gonzales are flooded..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Gonzales           17   31   13.2   Sun  9 PM  29.9  36.6  29.3  19.4      


&&

LAT...LON 2944 9746 2952 9746 2942 9727 2912 9729
      2909 9737 2939 9736             

$$

TXC123-182034-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0011.160419T2215Z-000000T0000Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.160419T2215Z.160421T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

The flood warning continues for 
 the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* from Tuesday afternoon until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled. 
* At  8:30 PM Sunday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday afternoon and continue to rise to
  near 30.8 feet by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet...Approaches to all highway bridges leading into Cuero 
  are flooded except Highway 87. Flow approaches the lowest homes in the River 
  Haven, River Oaks and Cypress Valley Subdivisions ten miles downstream near 
  Thomaston. Secondary roads and low bridges are flooded and very dangerous to 
  motorists..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Cuero              19   24    9.6   Sun  8 PM  17.7  28.6  30.8  28.0      


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$

872 
WGUS84 KEWX 180707
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
207 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River At NB Abv Comal Affecting Comal and Guadalupe Counties
  Comal River At Comal Affecting Comal...Gonzales and Guadalupe Counties
  Guadalupe River At NB Below Comal Affecting Comal and Guadalupe Counties
  Blanco River At Wimberley Affecting Hays County
  San Marcos River below Luling Affecting Caldwell and Gonzales Counties
  Plum Creek near Luling Affecting Caldwell and Gonzales Counties
  Guadalupe River at Gonzales Affecting Gonzales County
  Guadalupe River Near Cuero Affecting De Witt County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC091-187-190107-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0004.160418T1049Z-160419T0130Z/
/NBRT2.1.ER.160418T1049Z.160418T1100Z.160418T1330Z.NO/
207 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River At NB Abv Comal.
* At 1:45 AM Monday the stage was 2.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early this morning and continue to rise 
  to near 7.8 feet by this morning. The river will fall below flood stage by 
  this morning.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the lowest sections of 
  River Road above New Braunfels threatening sleeping campers, autos and gear on
  low areas near and above Gruene. The bridge on Gruene Road becomes flooded and
  impassable..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
  NB Abv Comal       6    7    2.4   Mon 02 AM   7.8   2.8   2.5   2.5   2.5


&&

LAT...LON 2972 9812 2974 9809 2971 9809 2969 9812


$$

TXC091-177-187-190107-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0005.160418T1335Z-160419T0154Z/
/NBCT2.1.ER.160418T1335Z.160418T1700Z.160418T1954Z.NO/
207 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Comal River At Comal.
* At 1:45 AM Monday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to rise to near
  14.7 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding closes many secondary roads 
  and streets making them and low bridges dangerous to motorists.  The tube 
  chute at Prince Solms Park is flooded to the walkway across the low dam..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
  Comal              9   11    4.2   Mon 02 AM   7.2   5.3   4.9   4.7   4.6


&&

LAT...LON 2971 9815 2973 9813 2972 9812 2971 9811
      2969 9812 2970 9814             

$$

TXC091-187-190107-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0006.160418T1530Z-160419T0920Z/
/GBCT2.2.ER.160418T1530Z.160418T1700Z.160418T2120Z.NO/
207 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River At NB Below Comal.
* At 1:45 AM Monday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue to rise to
  near 14.0 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding closes several roads, 
  streets and businesses in New Braunfels. Upstream River Road is extremely 
  dangerous..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
  NB Below Comal    13   13   10.0   Mon 02 AM  11.7  10.8  10.3  10.2  10.1


&&

LAT...LON 2969 9812 2971 9809 2963 9801 2958 9797
      2952 9801 2959 9807             

$$

TXC209-190107-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0007.160418T1341Z-160419T0900Z/
/WMBT2.1.ER.160418T1341Z.160418T1800Z.160418T2100Z.NO/
207 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Blanco River At Wimberley.
* At 1:45 AM Monday the stage was 4.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to rise to near
  15.3 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by late 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water recreation in the Blanco river is dangerous from
  above Blanco to the San Marcos river confluence. Secondary roads and bridges 
  in the flood plain are flooded and dangerous. Much of Dudley Johnson park at 
  Five Mile Dam is flooded..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
  Wimberley         10   13    4.4   Mon 02 AM  12.1   7.6   5.6   4.9   4.7


&&

LAT...LON 2995 9812 3002 9813 3001 9791 2969 9768
      2963 9775 2994 9797             

$$

TXC055-177-190107-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0008.160419T0451Z-160421T0649Z/
/LLGT2.1.ER.160419T0451Z.160420T0000Z.160420T1849Z.NO/
207 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the San Marcos River below Luling.
* At 1:45 AM Monday the stage was 5.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise to near 23.8
  feet by tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday 
  early afternoon.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Moderate flooding in Palmetto State Park five miles 
  below Luling inundates many park facilities and roads..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
  Luling            11   20    5.8   Mon 02 AM   7.5  22.8  22.4  13.8   9.4


&&

LAT...LON 2963 9775 2969 9768 2964 9755 2952 9746
      2950 9752 2956 9760             

$$

TXC055-177-190107-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0009.160418T1800Z-160419T2120Z/
/LULT2.1.ER.160418T1800Z.160419T0000Z.160419T0920Z.NO/
207 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Plum Creek near Luling.
* At 1:00 AM Monday the stage was 5.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to rise to 
  near 23.8 feet by this evening. The river will fall below flood stage by early
  tomorrow.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding reaches significant areas of
  the flood plain flooding secondary roads and low bridges. Livestock in the 
  flood plain may be cut off in low areas and drowned..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
  Luling            20   23    5.3   Mon 01 AM  16.2  22.6  17.0  11.1   8.2


&&

LAT...LON 2975 9765 2975 9756 2964 9755 2966 9763


$$

TXC177-190107-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0010.160419T1333Z-160421T1900Z/
/GNLT2.1.ER.160419T1333Z.160420T0600Z.160421T0700Z.NO/
207 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River at Gonzales.
* At 1:45 AM Monday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 31.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise to 
  near 36.5 feet by Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by 
  early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding inundates pasture and 
  cropland between the Guadalupe/San Marcos river confluence and Gonzales. 
  Secondary roads, low bridges and much of the city park and facilities near the
  river in Gonzales are flooded..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
  Gonzales          17   31   13.0   Mon 02 AM  13.3  29.7  36.5  29.0  19.5


&&

LAT...LON 2944 9746 2952 9746 2942 9727 2912 9729
      2909 9737 2939 9736             

$$

TXC123-190107-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0011.160419T2206Z-160423T1451Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.160419T2206Z.160421T1200Z.160423T0251Z.NO/
207 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At 1:30 AM Monday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and continue to rise 
  to near 30.8 feet by Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  by Friday before midnight.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet...Approaches to all highway bridges leading into Cuero 
  are flooded except Highway 87. Flow approaches the lowest homes in the River 
  Haven, River Oaks and Cypress Valley Subdivisions ten miles downstream near 
  Thomaston. Secondary roads and low bridges are flooded and very dangerous to 
  motorists..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
  Cuero             19   24    9.6   Mon 01 AM   9.6  18.1  28.4  30.8  28.3


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$

097 
WGUS84 KEWX 181709
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1209 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River At NB Abv Comal Affecting Comal and Guadalupe Counties
  Comal River At Comal Affecting Comal...Gonzales and Guadalupe Counties
  Guadalupe River At NB Below Comal Affecting Comal and Guadalupe Counties
  Blanco River At Wimberley Affecting Hays County
  San Marcos River below Luling Affecting Caldwell and Gonzales Counties
  Plum Creek near Luling Affecting Caldwell and Gonzales Counties
  Guadalupe River at Gonzales Affecting Gonzales County
  Guadalupe River Near Cuero Affecting De Witt County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC091-187-181739-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160419T0130Z/
/NBRT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1209 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for the Guadalupe River At New Braunfels
Above the Comal river.
* At 11:16 AM Monday the stage was 3.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level will rise slightly on Monday, but at this time it is
  expected to crest below action stage...then fall.
  This is the last forecast for this event.
  

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 NB Abv Comal        6    7    3.6   Mon 11 AM   2.5   2.3   2.3   2.2   2.2


&&

LAT...LON 2972 9812 2974 9809 2971 9809 2969 9812


$$

TXC091-177-187-181739-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160419T0154Z/
/NBCT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1209 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for the Comal River At Comal.
* At 10:45 AM Monday the stage was 4.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level is only expected to rise to between 4.0 and 5.0 feet
  by Monday afternoon and remain there for the next few days. This is below 
  action stage.
  This will be the last forecast for this event.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Comal               9   11    4.5   Mon 11 AM   4.5   4.3   4.2   4.2   4.2


&&

LAT...LON 2971 9815 2973 9813 2972 9812 2971 9811
      2969 9812 2970 9814             

$$

TXC091-187-181739-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160419T0920Z/
/GBCT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1209 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for the Guadalupe River At New Braunfels Below Comal.
* At 10:45 AM Monday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level will rise slightly to around 10.6 feet by Monday afternoon
  then slowly fall. This is below action stage.
  This is the last forecast for this event.
  

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 NB Below Comal     13   13   10.3   Mon 11 AM  10.1   9.9   9.8   9.8   9.8


&&

LAT...LON 2969 9812 2971 9809 2963 9801 2958 9797
      2952 9801 2959 9807             

$$

TXC209-181739-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160419T0900Z/
/WMBT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1209 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for the Blanco River At Wimberley.
* At 11:15 AM Monday the stage was 4.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level has not responded as previously forecasted. A very
  slight rise may occur but the level is now expected to stay well below action
  stage.
  This is the last forecast for this event.
  

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Wimberley          10   13    4.4   Mon 11 AM   4.6   4.0   3.9   3.8   3.8


&&

LAT...LON 2995 9812 3002 9813 3001 9791 2969 9768
      2963 9775 2994 9797             

$$

TXC055-177-181739-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160421T0649Z/
/LLGT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1209 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for the San Marcos River below Luling.
* At 10:45 AM Monday the stage was 5.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level is expected to rise to around 11.3 feet by early
  Tuesday then fall. This is well below minor flood stage level.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Luling             11   20    5.9   Mon 11 AM   9.8   7.1   6.3   5.8   5.6


&&

LAT...LON 2963 9775 2969 9768 2964 9755 2952 9746
      2950 9752 2956 9760             

$$

TXC055-177-181739-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160419T2120Z/
/LULT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1209 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for the Plum Creek near Luling.
* At 11:00 AM Monday the stage was 5.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level is expected to rise to crest around 20.1 feet by
  early Tuesday morning...then begin falling.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Luling             20   23    5.3   Mon 11 AM  19.3  15.7  11.9   8.8   7.0


&&

LAT...LON 2975 9765 2975 9756 2964 9755 2966 9763


$$

TXC177-181739-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-160421T1900Z/
/GNLT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1209 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for the Guadalupe River at Gonzales.
* At 10:45 AM Monday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 31.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level is now expected to rise to crest around 18.7 feet
  by early Tuesday evening...then fall.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Gonzales           17   31   13.1   Mon 11 AM  15.9  17.8  15.5  14.2  13.6


&&

LAT...LON 2944 9746 2952 9746 2942 9727 2912 9729
      2909 9737 2939 9736             

$$

TXC123-181739-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-160423T1451Z/
/CUET2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1209 PM CDT MON APR 18 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At 10:30 AM Monday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level is now expected to rise to crest around 21.2 feet
  Wednesday evening.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Cuero              19   24    9.7   Mon 10 AM  12.0  20.1  20.5  16.5  12.1


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$

sbs

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 17, 4:21 PM CDT, 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 17, 4:21 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
421 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...

...POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING DUE TO HEAVY
RAIN LIKELY OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW...

RAINFALL TOTALS HAVE ALREADY EXCEEDED 4-6 INCHES IN LOCAL AREAS
THIS AFTERNOON WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT,
MONDAY MORNING, AND AGAIN WITH ANOTHER ROUND POSSIBLE MONDAY
AFTERNOON. MAX RAINFALL TOTALS COULD REACH 8-12 INCHES WITH EVEN
HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES EAST OF U.S HIGHWAY 281 AND NORTH OF
I-10. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT AREA OF CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE ACROSS
BLANCO, BURNET, WILLIAMSON, TRAVIS, LEE, BASTROP, AND FAYETTE
COUNTIES THROUGH THIS PERIOD. PLEASE STAY ALERT DURING THIS TIME
FRAME. IN ADDITION...A BRIEF TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT GIVEN
LOW LCLS AND ESRH VALUES NEAR 150 M2/S2. POCKETS OF DIME TO
QUARTER SIZE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

TRAINING HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND PRODUCING LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING. AN EARLIER TRAINING COMPLEX OVER BASTROP AND LEE
COUNTIES PRODUCED NEARLY 4 INCHES IN ONE TO TWO HOURS.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO ALIGN ALONG AND WEST OF I-35
CORRIDOR THROUGH THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS AS AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY SHIFTS WEST. LAST NIGHT'S CONVECTION ALSO PRODUCED A
MESOSCALE BOUNDARY THAT IS SITUATED ACROSS UVALDE AND THE HILL
COUNTRY. ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED WHEN THESE TO BOUNDARIES
MERGE LATER THIS AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE HILL
COUNTRY. WITH MERGING STORMS AND THE DEEP LOW-LVL MOISTURE IN
PLACE WITH 10-14 G/KG MIXING RATIOS AND INSTABILITY NEAR 1500
J/KG; ROBUST CONVECTION YIELDING HIGH RAINFALL RATES IS EXPECTED
TO PERSIST.

FOR EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE HILL COUNTY AND THE MID TO UPPER 35
CORRIDOR CLOSER TO THE BETTER FORCING AND LOW-LVL CONVERGENCE NEAR
A WEAK COLD FRONT/POOL ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS. AS THIS BOUNDARY
SLOWLY SHIFTS SOUTH LATE TONIGHT AND OVERNIGHT, HI-RES MODELS
SUGGEST THIS BOUNDARY BECOMING MORE SW TO NE ORIENTATED WITH AN
ADDITIONAL H5 IMPULSE SET TO SHIFT ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE. THIS
IMPULSE WITH THE SUPPLY OF LOW-LVL MOISTURE SHIFTING OVER THE WEAK
FRONT SHOULD PROVIDE A STRONG FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. THE
INDIVIDUAL STORMS WILL LIKELY BE MOVING SW TO NE ALONG THE FRONT
AS IT SLOWLY SHIFTS SOUTH INTO DAYBREAK MONDAY ACROSS THE I-35
CORRIDOR AND POINTS NORTH AND EAST TOWARDS LEE AND FAYETTE. IT IS
FOR THIS REASON WE ARE HIGHLY CONCERNED ABOUT THIS AREA. RAINFALL
WILL BE LIKELY BE HEAVY AT TIMES AND COULD LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT
FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING.

THIS BOUNDARY WILL SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTHEAST THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON TOWARDS THE I-10 CORRIDOR. DEPENDING ON HOW STRONG THE
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM BECOMES AND DEVELOPS A COLD POOL, THIS MAY ACT
TO CUT OFF BETTER MOISTURE FARTHER NORTH BACK ACROSS AUSTIN AREA
LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT. THIS IS A LOW CONFIDENCE
FORECAST AT THIS POINT AND WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE NEXT 12-18
HOURS OF EVOLUTION TO HAVE BETTER HANDLE ON TOMORROW'S
EXPECTATIONS. IF THE SYSTEM BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT SHIFTS
SOUTH MONDAY MORNING, HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH POCKETS OF ENHANCED
WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

BY LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING...THE SYNOPTIC FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO LINGER OVER THE SOUTH HALF OF THE REGION WITH
CONTINUED WEAK H5 IMPULSES RIDING OVERTOP AND PROVIDE LIFT.
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE STILL LIKELY FOR AT LEAST THE COASTAL
PLAINS INTO TUESDAY MORNING. ORGANIZED AREAS OF STORMS AND THE
FLASH FLOODING RISK SHOULD DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY AS
STRONGER FORCING REMAINS NORTH OF THE REGION AS THE CLOSED LOW
PIVOTS INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

&&

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...

FOR THE LONG RANGE...AN UNSETTLED PATTERN CONTINUES WITH BROAD
UPPER TROUGHING OCCURRING AS A RESULT OF THE OMEGA BLOCKING
PATTERN. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL TRANSITION TO A STRONGER
SHORTWAVE BY THURSDAY AND KEEP AT LEAST 20-40% RAIN CHANCES FOR
THE REGION. AS THIS SHORTWAVE PIVOTS THROUGH...A POTENTIALLY
STRONG ENOUGH FRONT LATE THURSDAY MAY BE ABLE TO CLEAR THROUGH
MOST OF THE AREA AND HELP REDUCE RAIN CHANCES BELOW 20% FRIDAY. A
QUICK SOUTHERLY FLOW TRANSITION SHOULD TAKE PLACE BY THE WEEKEND
HOWEVER AS ANOTHER SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS.
THIS NEXT TROUGHING SYSTEM COULD AGAIN RESULT IN ORGANIZED
RAINFALL FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              68  75  66  79  67 / 100 100  70  40  20
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  68  74  65  78  65 / 100 100  70  40  20
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     69  76  65  79  67 /  90 100  70  40  20
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            63  72  63  77  64 / 100  80  60  30  20
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           64  78  64  83  67 /  50  50  40  20  20
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        67  73  64  78  65 / 100  90  70  40  20
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             68  77  64  82  66 /  70  80  60  30  20
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        68  74  65  78  66 /  90 100  70  40  20
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   70  76  69  78  68 /  90 100  90  60  20
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       69  75  67  80  67 /  90  90  70  40  20
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           70  77  68  81  69 /  80  90  70  40  20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES: ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...
CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...EDWARDS...FAYETTE...FRIO...GILLESPIE...
GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...
LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...MEDINA...REAL...TRAVIS...UVALDE...VAL
VERDE...WILLIAMSON...WILSON.

&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...09
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...ALLEN
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...LH

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 17, 5:18 AM CDT, 11 hours 23 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
518 AM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-181030-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
518 AM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10AM SUNDAY TO 10AM
TUESDAY FOR MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY LEAD TO AREAS OF RIVER AND FLASH
FLOODING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY...INCLUDING BOTH THE
AUSTIN AND SAN ANTONIO METRO AREAS. THE MOST CONCERNING LOCATIONS
ARE ALONG AND EAST OF A KERRVILLE TO PEARSALL LINE. ON
AVERAGE...THIS AREA IS LIKELY TO RECEIVE 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. IMPACTS WILL
BE GREATER IN THE LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS THAT ARE EXPECTED TO BE
NORTH OF I-10 AND EAST OF U.S. HIGHWAY 281. LOWER AMOUNTS OF
RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED FARTHER WEST ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS
AND EDWARDS PLATEAU BUT ENOUGH COULD FALL TO CAUSE LOCALIZED
FLOODING ISSUES THERE AS WELL. PLEASE STAY ALERT FOR RAPIDLY
CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL...THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE
MAIN SEVERE WEATHER CONCERN. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT
BE RULED OUT ON SUNDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE STORM COMPLEX RESULTING IN HEAVY RAINS SUNDAY WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBILITIES THROUGH MONDAY AND INTO
MONDAY NIGHT. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL ON MONDAY WILL LEAD TO
POSSIBLE RAPID FLASH FLOODING OR WORSEN ANY ONGOING FLOODING THAT
MAY DEVELOP TODAY.

IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL...THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER
SIZED HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER CONCERNS. AN ISOLATED
TORNADO CAN ALSO NOT BE RULED OUT ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY AND MONDAY.

TB3

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 17, 4:20 PM CDT, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
420 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0418 PM     HAIL             LEON SPRINGS            29.67N  98.63W
04/17/2016  M1.00 INCH       BEXAR              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600210

CVP

Local storm report, Apr 17, 4:23 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
423 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0422 PM     HAIL             4 E CHARLOTTE           28.86N  98.63W
04/17/2016  M1.00 INCH       ATASCOSA           TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600211

CVP

Local storm report, Apr 17, 4:28 PM CDT, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
428 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0424 PM     HAIL             3 ENE CEDAR PARK        30.53N  97.78W
04/17/2016  M0.25 INCH       WILLIAMSON         TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PEA SIZED HAIL AT SAM BASS RD AND SH 1431

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600212

CVP

Special weather statement, Apr 17, 4:31 PM CDT, 10 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
431 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

TXZ173-172215-
WILLIAMSON TX-
431 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL WILLIAMSON COUNTY
UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

AT 430 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
SUN CITY...OR OVER SERENADA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GEORGETOWN...SERENADA...FLORENCE...JARRELL...WEIR...SUN CITY...GEORGETOWN
DAM...WALBURG...SCHWERTNER AND THEON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3087 9763 3081 9746 3057 9764 3064 9783
      3090 9779
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 203DEG 34KT 3068 9771

Local storm report, Apr 17, 4:39 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
439 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0438 PM     HEAVY RAIN       TAYLOR                  30.57N  97.41W
04/17/2016  M3.00 INCH       WILLIAMSON         TX   CO-OP OBSERVER

            COOPERATIVE OBSERVER REPORTS 3 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE
            PAST 2.5 HOURS

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600213

CVP

Local storm report, Apr 17, 4:40 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
440 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0438 PM     HAIL             CHARLOTTE               28.86N  98.70W
04/17/2016  M1.00 INCH       ATASCOSA           TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600214

CVP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 17, 3:53 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Edwards	67 min
Apr 17, 6:30 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Edwards, Val Verde	3 hr
Apr 17, 8:56 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Real	64 min
Apr 17, 10:03 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Edwards, Kinney	3 hr
Apr 17, 11:11 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Val Verde	23 hr
Apr 17, 12:10 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Bastrop, Lee	3 hr
Apr 17, 12:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Uvalde	45 min
Apr 17, 12:48 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Bastrop	6 hr
Apr 17, 1:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Real	45 min
Apr 17, 1:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Real	46 min
Apr 17, 2:23 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Travis, Williamson	6 hr
Apr 17, 2:27 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Real, Uvalde	3 hr
Apr 17, 2:51 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Hays, Travis	3 hr
Apr 17, 3:09 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Bexar	51 min
Apr 17, 3:18 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Blanco	27 min
Apr 17, 3:34 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Atascosa	26 min
Apr 17, 4:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Bexar	45 min
Apr 17, 4:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Atascosa	41 min
Apr 17, 4:14 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	EWX	Atascosa	31 min
Apr 17, 4:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Bexar, Comal, Kendall	52 min
Apr 17, 4:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Williamson	44 min
Apr 17, 4:41 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Gonzales	4 days
Apr 17, 4:41 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	DeWitt	24 hr
Apr 17, 4:41 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Comal, Guadalupe	26 hr
Apr 17, 4:41 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Comal, Gonzales, Guadalupe	20 hr
Apr 17, 4:41 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Comal, Guadalupe	29 hr
Apr 17, 4:41 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Hays	35 hr
Apr 17, 4:41 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Caldwell, Gonzales	46 hr
Apr 17, 4:45 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Bexar, Comal, Kendall	3 hr
Apr 17, 4:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Atascosa, Frio	45 min
Apr 17, 5:10 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Gillespie	50 min
Apr 17, 5:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Bandera, Kendall, Kerr	22 min
Apr 17, 5:15 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Williamson	3 hr
Apr 17, 5:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Frio	34 min
Apr 17, 5:27 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Bexar	34 hr
Apr 17, 5:27 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Bexar	58 hr
Apr 17, 5:27 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Bexar	36 hr
Apr 17, 5:27 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Bexar, Guadalupe	32 hr
Apr 17, 5:27 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Bexar, Wilson	59 hr
Apr 17, 5:27 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Karnes	4 days
Apr 17, 5:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Frio	30 min
Apr 17, 5:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Kendall	27 min
Apr 17, 5:52 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Williamson	4 hr
Apr 17, 6:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Bandera	30 min
Apr 17, 6:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Medina	30 min
Apr 17, 6:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Bandera	31 min
Apr 17, 6:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Uvalde	31 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2016 Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.