River Flood Warning 22, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

296 
WGUS84 KEWX 180752
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
252 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Barton Creek At Loop 360 Affecting Travis County
  Onion Creek At Hwy 183 Affecting Travis County
  Colorado River At Bastrop Affecting Bastrop County
  Colorado River Near Smithville Affecting Bastrop and Fayette Counties
  Colorado River Above La Grange Affecting Fayette County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC453-190152-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160419T1251Z/
/ABTT2.1.ER.160418T1555Z.160418T1800Z.160419T0051Z.NO/
252 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Barton Creek At Loop 360.
* At 2:00 AM Monday the stage was 5.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue to rise to
  near 9.7 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by this
  evening.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches lowest secondary roads 
  and low bridges. Significant rise downstream in Barton Springs Pool..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Loop 360            8    8    5.0   Mon 02 AM   4.8   3.6   3.3   3.0      


&&

LAT...LON 3028 9788 3031 9785 3027 9781 3028 9778
      3025 9774 3022 9781             

$$

TXC453-190151-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0018.160418T1025Z-160419T0231Z/
/ATIT2.1.ER.160418T1025Z.160418T1200Z.160418T1431Z.NO/
252 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Onion Creek At Hwy 183.
* At 2:20 AM Monday the stage was 8.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early this morning and continue to rise 
  to near 21.5 feet by this morning. The river will fall below flood stage by 
  late this morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding is well into the flood 
  plain. Richard Moya Park on Burleson Road is flooded. Water is out of banks 
  near Champions Lane, but no residential structures in neighborhoods along 
  Onion Creek are impacted at this level..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Hwy 183            15   17    8.2   Mon 02 AM   6.6   6.4   6.1   5.9      


&&

LAT...LON 3012 9781 3018 9779 3023 9759 3019 9753


$$

TXC021-190151-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0019.160418T2320Z-160419T2130Z/
/BRTT2.1.ER.160418T2320Z.160419T0600Z.160419T0930Z.NO/
252 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Colorado River At Bastrop.
* At 2:45 AM Monday the stage was 8.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to rise to near
  23.7 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage by
  early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches lowest areas of the 
  flood plain. Secondary roads and low bridges are flooded.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Bastrop            14   23    8.7   Mon 03 AM  22.5   9.7   5.2   4.0      


&&

LAT...LON 3007 9737 3014 9731 3006 9717 2999 9718


$$

TXC021-149-190151-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0023.160419T0207Z-160420T0831Z/
/SMIT2.1.ER.160419T0207Z.160419T1200Z.160419T2031Z.NO/
252 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Colorado River Near Smithville.
* At 2:10 AM Monday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise to near 21.6
  feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding extends well into the flood 
  plain inundating lowest homes and bridges below Bastrop to above Columbus..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Smithville         10   20   10.5   Mon 02 AM  21.6  14.6   5.4   3.7      


&&

LAT...LON 2999 9718 3006 9717 2996 9686 2989 9692


$$

TXC149-190151-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0024.160418T2151Z-160420T0717Z/
/LGRT2.1.ER.160418T2151Z.160419T1200Z.160419T1917Z.NO/
252 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Colorado River Above La Grange.
* At 2:31 AM Monday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and continue to rise 
  to near 28.4 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  by tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Flow covers lowest areas of the flood plain with no 
  major damage. Lowest roads and bridges are flooded..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 La Grange          19   26    8.4   Mon 03 AM  28.4  16.7  10.4   7.6      


&&

LAT...LON 2989 9692 2996 9686 2982 9669 2976 9675


$$

169 
WGUS84 KEWX 181513
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1013 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  Barton Creek At Loop 360 Affecting Travis County
  Onion Creek At Hwy 183 Affecting Travis County
  
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Colorado River At Bastrop Affecting Bastrop County
  Colorado River Near Smithville Affecting Bastrop and Fayette Counties
  Colorado River Above La Grange Affecting Fayette County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC453-181543-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160419T1251Z/
/ABTT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for the Barton Creek At Loop 360.
* At  9:00 AM Monday the stage was 5.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The creek level will reach a lower secondary crest Monday morning
  then fall. The creek level did not go above flood stage as expected. The
  current and forecast levels are below action stage.
  This is the last forecast for this event.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Flow exceeds lowest sections of the banks..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Loop 360            8    8    5.0   Mon 09 AM   4.4   3.5   3.2   3.1   3.0


&&

LAT...LON 3028 9788 3031 9785 3027 9781 3028 9778
      3025 9774 3022 9781             

$$

TXC453-181543-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160419T0231Z/
/ATIT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for the Onion Creek At Hwy 183.
* At  9:20 AM Monday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The creek level crested well below action stage early Monday morning.
  The creek level did not go above flood stage as expected. The current and forecast
  levels are below action stage.
  This is the last forecast for this event.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Hwy 183            15   17    8.4   Mon 09 AM   6.8   6.2   5.9   5.9   5.8


&&

LAT...LON 3012 9781 3018 9779 3023 9759 3019 9753


$$

TXC021-190912-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0019.160419T0534Z-160419T1828Z/
/BRTT2.1.ER.160419T0534Z.160419T0600Z.160419T0628Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

 The flood warning continues for the Colorado River At Bastrop.
* At  9:45 AM Monday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level is expected to rise just above flood stage early
  Tuesday morning...then begin falling. The expected crest level is around 23.2
  feet.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches lowest areas of the 
  flood plain. Secondary roads and low bridges are flooded.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Bastrop            14   23   13.4   Mon 10 AM  20.7   7.5   5.4   4.8   4.5


&&

LAT...LON 3007 9737 3014 9731 3006 9717 2999 9718


$$

TXC021-149-190912-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0023.160419T0700Z-160420T0320Z/
/SMIT2.1.ER.160419T0700Z.160419T1200Z.160419T1520Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

 The flood warning continues for the Colorado River Near Smithville.
* At  9:10 AM Monday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will rise above flood stage by daybreak Tuesday continue to 
  rise to near 20.5 feet Tuesday morning. The river level is expected to fall below flood
  stage around noon Tuesday.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches secondary roads and low
  water crossings near the river.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Smithville         10   20   14.1   Mon 09 AM  20.5  12.4   5.5   3.7   3.1


&&

LAT...LON 2999 9718 3006 9717 2996 9686 2989 9692


$$

TXC149-190912-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-160420T1542Z/
/LGRT2.1.ER.160418T1136Z.160418T1800Z.160420T0342Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

 The flood warning continues for the Colorado River Above La Grange.
* At  9:46 AM Monday the stage was 30.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will continue rising to crest around 31.4 feet by Monday
  afternoon. The river level will begin falling by Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding reaches the flood plain near
  La Grange. Homes in the Fritsch Auf Subdivision on the south bank of the 
  Colorado River may be threatened if heavy runoff down Buckners Creek adds to 
  the Colorado River flow at this level..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 La Grange          19   26   30.9   Mon 10 AM  30.3  21.5  12.2   9.1   7.6


&&

LAT...LON 2989 9692 2996 9686 2982 9669 2976 9675


$$

sbs

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
638 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

.UPDATE...00Z AVIATION UPDATE BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...MAIN FOCUS FOR SHRAS AND TSTMS THRU 03Z WILL BE NEAR
A UVA-ERV-GTU LINE...OR WEST AND NORTH OF THE AUS/SAT TAF SITES.
CONCERN WILL BE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD CONVECTION OVERNIGHT
INITIALLY BACK INTO THE AUS AREA 04Z-08Z AS WELL AS WEST INTO THE
DRT AREA...THEN EXPANDING SOUTH INTO THE SAT AREA 08Z-12Z. SHRA/TSTMS
CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA. MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES AND INFLUENCES WILL MAKE IT TOUGH TO TIME
HEAVIER TSRA ACTIVITY. CEILINGS GENERALLY SHOWN TO GO DOWN INTO
IFR AT SAT/AUS OVERNIGHT WITH POSSIBLE LIFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 421 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...

..POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING DUE TO HEAVY
RAIN LIKELY OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW...

RAINFALL TOTALS HAVE ALREADY EXCEEDED 4-6 INCHES IN LOCAL AREAS
THIS AFTERNOON WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT,
MONDAY MORNING, AND AGAIN WITH ANOTHER ROUND POSSIBLE MONDAY
AFTERNOON. MAX RAINFALL TOTALS COULD REACH 8-12 INCHES WITH EVEN
HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES EAST OF U.S HIGHWAY 281 AND NORTH OF
I-10. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT AREA OF CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE ACROSS
BLANCO, BURNET, WILLIAMSON, TRAVIS, LEE, BASTROP, AND FAYETTE
COUNTIES THROUGH THIS PERIOD. PLEASE STAY ALERT DURING THIS TIME
FRAME. IN ADDITION...A BRIEF TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT GIVEN
LOW LCLS AND ESRH VALUES NEAR 150 M2/S2. POCKETS OF DIME TO
QUARTER SIZE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

TRAINING HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND PRODUCING LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING. AN EARLIER TRAINING COMPLEX OVER BASTROP AND LEE
COUNTIES PRODUCED NEARLY 4 INCHES IN ONE TO TWO HOURS.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO ALIGN ALONG AND WEST OF I-35
CORRIDOR THROUGH THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS AS AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY SHIFTS WEST. LAST NIGHT'S CONVECTION ALSO PRODUCED A
MESOSCALE BOUNDARY THAT IS SITUATED ACROSS UVALDE AND THE HILL
COUNTRY. ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED WHEN THESE TO BOUNDARIES
MERGE LATER THIS AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE HILL
COUNTRY. WITH MERGING STORMS AND THE DEEP LOW-LVL MOISTURE IN
PLACE WITH 10-14 G/KG MIXING RATIOS AND INSTABILITY NEAR 1500
J/KG; ROBUST CONVECTION YIELDING HIGH RAINFALL RATES IS EXPECTED
TO PERSIST.

FOR EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE HILL COUNTY AND THE MID TO UPPER 35
CORRIDOR CLOSER TO THE BETTER FORCING AND LOW-LVL CONVERGENCE NEAR
A WEAK COLD FRONT/POOL ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS. AS THIS BOUNDARY
SLOWLY SHIFTS SOUTH LATE TONIGHT AND OVERNIGHT, HI-RES MODELS
SUGGEST THIS BOUNDARY BECOMING MORE SW TO NE ORIENTATED WITH AN
ADDITIONAL H5 IMPULSE SET TO SHIFT ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE. THIS
IMPULSE WITH THE SUPPLY OF LOW-LVL MOISTURE SHIFTING OVER THE WEAK
FRONT SHOULD PROVIDE A STRONG FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. THE
INDIVIDUAL STORMS WILL LIKELY BE MOVING SW TO NE ALONG THE FRONT
AS IT SLOWLY SHIFTS SOUTH INTO DAYBREAK MONDAY ACROSS THE I-35
CORRIDOR AND POINTS NORTH AND EAST TOWARDS LEE AND FAYETTE. IT IS
FOR THIS REASON WE ARE HIGHLY CONCERNED ABOUT THIS AREA. RAINFALL
WILL BE LIKELY BE HEAVY AT TIMES AND COULD LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT
FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING.

THIS BOUNDARY WILL SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTHEAST THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON TOWARDS THE I-10 CORRIDOR. DEPENDING ON HOW STRONG THE
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM BECOMES AND DEVELOPS A COLD POOL, THIS MAY ACT
TO CUT OFF BETTER MOISTURE FARTHER NORTH BACK ACROSS AUSTIN AREA
LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT. THIS IS A LOW CONFIDENCE
FORECAST AT THIS POINT AND WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE NEXT 12-18
HOURS OF EVOLUTION TO HAVE BETTER HANDLE ON TOMORROW'S
EXPECTATIONS. IF THE SYSTEM BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT SHIFTS
SOUTH MONDAY MORNING, HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH POCKETS OF ENHANCED
WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

BY LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING...THE SYNOPTIC FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO LINGER OVER THE SOUTH HALF OF THE REGION WITH
CONTINUED WEAK H5 IMPULSES RIDING OVERTOP AND PROVIDE LIFT.
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE STILL LIKELY FOR AT LEAST THE COASTAL
PLAINS INTO TUESDAY MORNING. ORGANIZED AREAS OF STORMS AND THE
FLASH FLOODING RISK SHOULD DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY AS
STRONGER FORCING REMAINS NORTH OF THE REGION AS THE CLOSED LOW
PIVOTS INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...

FOR THE LONG RANGE...AN UNSETTLED PATTERN CONTINUES WITH BROAD
UPPER TROUGHING OCCURRING AS A RESULT OF THE OMEGA BLOCKING
PATTERN. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL TRANSITION TO A STRONGER
SHORTWAVE BY THURSDAY AND KEEP AT LEAST 20-40% RAIN CHANCES FOR
THE REGION. AS THIS SHORTWAVE PIVOTS THROUGH...A POTENTIALLY
STRONG ENOUGH FRONT LATE THURSDAY MAY BE ABLE TO CLEAR THROUGH
MOST OF THE AREA AND HELP REDUCE RAIN CHANCES BELOW 20% FRIDAY. A
QUICK SOUTHERLY FLOW TRANSITION SHOULD TAKE PLACE BY THE WEEKEND
HOWEVER AS ANOTHER SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS.
THIS NEXT TROUGHING SYSTEM COULD AGAIN RESULT IN ORGANIZED
RAINFALL FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              68  75  66  79  67 / 100 100  70  40  20
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  68  74  65  78  65 / 100 100  70  40  20
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     69  76  65  79  67 /  90 100  70  40  20
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            63  72  63  77  64 / 100  80  60  30  20
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           64  78  64  83  67 /  50  50  40  20  20
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        67  73  64  78  65 / 100  90  70  40  20
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             68  77  64  82  66 /  70  80  60  30  20
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        68  74  65  78  66 /  90 100  70  40  20
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   70  76  69  78  68 /  90 100  90  60  20
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       69  75  67  80  67 /  90  90  70  40  20
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           70  77  68  81  69 /  80  90  70  40  20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES: ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...
CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...FAYETTE...FRIO...GILLESPIE...
GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...LAVACA...
LEE...LLANO...MEDINA...TRAVIS...WILLIAMSON...WILSON.

&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...RUNYEN
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...05
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
518 AM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-181030-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
518 AM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10AM SUNDAY TO 10AM
TUESDAY FOR MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY LEAD TO AREAS OF RIVER AND FLASH
FLOODING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY...INCLUDING BOTH THE
AUSTIN AND SAN ANTONIO METRO AREAS. THE MOST CONCERNING LOCATIONS
ARE ALONG AND EAST OF A KERRVILLE TO PEARSALL LINE. ON
AVERAGE...THIS AREA IS LIKELY TO RECEIVE 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. IMPACTS WILL
BE GREATER IN THE LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS THAT ARE EXPECTED TO BE
NORTH OF I-10 AND EAST OF U.S. HIGHWAY 281. LOWER AMOUNTS OF
RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED FARTHER WEST ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS
AND EDWARDS PLATEAU BUT ENOUGH COULD FALL TO CAUSE LOCALIZED
FLOODING ISSUES THERE AS WELL. PLEASE STAY ALERT FOR RAPIDLY
CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL...THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE
MAIN SEVERE WEATHER CONCERN. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT
BE RULED OUT ON SUNDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE STORM COMPLEX RESULTING IN HEAVY RAINS SUNDAY WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBILITIES THROUGH MONDAY AND INTO
MONDAY NIGHT. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL ON MONDAY WILL LEAD TO
POSSIBLE RAPID FLASH FLOODING OR WORSEN ANY ONGOING FLOODING THAT
MAY DEVELOP TODAY.

IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL...THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER
SIZED HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER CONCERNS. AN ISOLATED
TORNADO CAN ALSO NOT BE RULED OUT ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY AND MONDAY.

TB3

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
725 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     HAIL             UTOPIA                  29.62N  99.53W
04/17/2016  M0.25 INCH       UVALDE             TX   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600226

CVP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
735 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0658 PM     HAIL             5 S SABINAL             29.25N  99.47W
04/17/2016  M0.25 INCH       UVALDE             TX   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600227

CVP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
802 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

TXZ186-187-180145-
BANDERA TX-KERR TX-
802 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL KERR AND NORTH CENTRAL
BANDERA COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM CDT...

AT 801 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
MEDINA...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MEDINA...HUNT...INGRAM AND WALTONIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT. DO NOT DRIVE
YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 2975 9916 2974 9938 3006 9952 3013 9922
TIME...MOT...LOC 0101Z 165DEG 11KT 2987 9931

RUNYEN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
846 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

TXZ186-180230-
KERR TX-
846 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN KERR COUNTY UNTIL
930 PM CDT...

AT 844 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
CENTER POINT...OR 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KERRVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CYPRESS CREEK...CENTER POINT...CAMP VERDE AND HIGHWAYS 173 AND 27.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 2982 9898 2989 9915 3012 9909 3011 9893
      2993 9893
TIME...MOT...LOC 0144Z 227DEG 34KT 2991 9906

PLATT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
858 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NW BANDERA            29.76N  99.11W
04/17/2016  M3.67 INCH       BANDERA            TX   COCORAHS

            RAINFALL IN THE PAST 2 HOURS

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600228

CVP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
952 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1213 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 N ALUM CREEK          30.10N  97.22W
04/17/2016                   BASTROP            TX   CITY OFFICIAL

            PARK RD 1C AT ALUM CREEK CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

1240 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PAIGE                   30.22N  97.12W
04/17/2016                   BASTROP            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HWY 21 EASTBOUND AT RAILROAD TRACKS IS FLOODED

1252 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BASTROP                 30.11N  97.31W
04/17/2016                   BASTROP            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL ROADS IN CENTRAL BASTROP COUNTY CLOSED DUE TO
            FLASH FLOODING

0130 PM     HEAVY RAIN       6 SW BASTROP            30.05N  97.38W
04/17/2016  M4.25 INCH       BASTROP            TX   COCORAHS

            RAINFALL IN THE PAST 4.5 HOURS

0138 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 WSW CIRCLE D-KC ESTAT 30.14N  97.27W
04/17/2016  M5.92 INCH       BASTROP            TX   MESONET

            RAINFALL IN THE PAST 3 HOURS

0153 PM     HAIL             GARNER STATE PARK       29.57N  99.74W
04/17/2016  M0.88 INCH       UVALDE             TX   PUBLIC

            TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR

0243 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 ENE ROUND ROCK        30.53N  97.61W
04/17/2016                   WILLIAMSON         TX   CITY OFFICIAL

            CR123 AT BRUSHY CREEK CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0246 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 ENE LEANDER           30.59N  97.80W
04/17/2016                   WILLIAMSON         TX   CITY OFFICIAL

            CR177 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0250 PM     HAIL             RANDOLPH AFB            29.52N  98.27W
04/17/2016  M0.25 INCH       BEXAR              TX   OTHER FEDERAL

0303 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 WNW SUNSET VALLEY     30.23N  97.86W
04/17/2016                   TRAVIS             TX   CITY OFFICIAL

            LOW WATER CROSSING AT JOE TANNER LANE CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING

0305 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 N LOST CREEK          30.34N  97.85W
04/17/2016                   TRAVIS             TX   CITY OFFICIAL

            WATER OVER THE ROAD AT RIVER HILLS RD AT CUERNAVACA
            CREEK

0311 PM     HAIL             CIBOLO                  29.57N  98.23W
04/17/2016  M0.25 INCH       GUADALUPE          TX   PUBLIC

0331 PM     HAIL             ELMENDORF               29.26N  98.33W
04/17/2016  M0.25 INCH       BEXAR              TX   PUBLIC

0338 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 SE MANSFIELD DAM      30.35N  97.87W
04/17/2016  M3.14 INCH       TRAVIS             TX   MESONET

            RAINFALL IN THE PAST 2 HOURS

0406 PM     HAIL             3 E HELOTES             29.57N  98.65W
04/17/2016  M0.70 INCH       BEXAR              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZED HAIL NEAR HAUSMAN ROAD AT LP 1604

0418 PM     HAIL             LEON SPRINGS            29.67N  98.63W
04/17/2016  M1.00 INCH       BEXAR              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL

0422 PM     HAIL             4 E CHARLOTTE           28.86N  98.63W
04/17/2016  M1.00 INCH       ATASCOSA           TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0424 PM     HAIL             3 ENE CEDAR PARK        30.53N  97.78W
04/17/2016  M0.25 INCH       WILLIAMSON         TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PEA SIZED HAIL AT SAM BASS RD AND SH 1431

0438 PM     HEAVY RAIN       TAYLOR                  30.57N  97.41W
04/17/2016  M3.00 INCH       WILLIAMSON         TX   CO-OP OBSERVER

            COOPERATIVE OBSERVER REPORTS 3 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE
            PAST 2.5 HOURS

0438 PM     HAIL             CHARLOTTE               28.86N  98.70W
04/17/2016  M1.00 INCH       ATASCOSA           TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

0518 PM     HAIL             FAIR OAKS RANCH         29.74N  98.64W
04/17/2016  M0.70 INCH       BEXAR              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

0543 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SSE HELOTES           29.54N  98.68W
04/17/2016                   BEXAR              TX   CITY OFFICIAL

            LESLIE RD CLOSED AT BRAUN RD DUE TO FLOODING

0550 PM     HAIL             3 N PEARSALL            28.93N  99.09W
04/17/2016  M1.00 INCH       FRIO               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 PM     HAIL             KERRVILLE               30.04N  99.14W
04/17/2016  M0.70 INCH       KERR               TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0601 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E HELOTES             29.56N  98.66W
04/17/2016                   BEXAR              TX   CITY OFFICIAL

            HAUSMAN RD AT CHAMPIONS GATE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0616 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SW GRANGER            30.69N  97.48W
04/17/2016                   WILLIAMSON         TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLASH FLOODING ON CR 377

0657 PM     HAIL             3 E SABINAL             29.32N  99.42W
04/17/2016  M0.88 INCH       UVALDE             TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0658 PM     HAIL             SABINAL                 29.32N  99.47W
04/17/2016  M0.70 INCH       UVALDE             TX   PUBLIC

0658 PM     HAIL             5 S SABINAL             29.25N  99.47W
04/17/2016  M0.25 INCH       UVALDE             TX   PUBLIC

0700 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SSE JOLLYVILLE        30.41N  97.73W
04/17/2016  M1.68 INCH       TRAVIS             TX   CO-OP OBSERVER

            COOPERATIVE OBSERVER MEASURED 1.68 INCHES OF RAIN
            BETWEEN 1 PM AND 7 PM TODAY

0711 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 ESE LEANDER           30.56N  97.84W
04/17/2016  M3.58 INCH       WILLIAMSON         TX   COCORAHS

            RAINFALL AMOUNT FOR TODAY

0712 PM     HEAVY RAIN       WALBURG                 30.74N  97.58W
04/17/2016  M3.40 INCH       WILLIAMSON         TX   COCORAHS

            RAINFALL SINCE 7 AM TODAY

0725 PM     HAIL             UTOPIA                  29.62N  99.53W
04/17/2016  M0.25 INCH       UVALDE             TX   PUBLIC

0830 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NW BANDERA            29.76N  99.11W
04/17/2016  M3.67 INCH       BANDERA            TX   COCORAHS

            RAINFALL IN THE PAST 2 HOURS

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600195 EWX1600196 EWX1600197 EWX1600199 EWX1600198
EWX1600202 EWX1600200 EWX1600201 EWX1600205 EWX1600203 EWX1600204
EWX1600208 EWX1600206 EWX1600207 EWX1600209 EWX1600210 EWX1600211
EWX1600212 EWX1600213 EWX1600214 EWX1600215 EWX1600216 EWX1600217
EWX1600219 EWX1600220 EWX1600218 EWX1600221 EWX1600222 EWX1600227
EWX1600225 EWX1600223 EWX1600224 EWX1600226 EWX1600228

CVP