Alert archive / New Mexico / Wind Advisories in 2016

Wind Advisory 3, NWS El Paso, TX

January 30, 2016Otero County, New Mexico; El Paso County, Texas

NWS El Paso, TX issued this wind advisory at Jan 30, 2016, 4:29 AM MST for Otero County, New Mexico; El Paso County, Texas. It took effect at Jan 30, 2016, 11:00 AM MST. It was in force for 18 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 30, 2016, 4:29 AM MST (11:29 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 30, 2016, 11:00 AM MST
Expired
Jan 31, 2016, 5:01 AM MST
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS El Paso, TX

Counties Otero County, NM, El Paso County, TX

The radar

The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 00:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 76 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Santa Teresa, NM at 00:00Z on 2016-01-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Santa Teresa, NM at 00:00Z on 2016-01-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 53 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3661 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

970 
WWUS74 KEPZ 301129
NPWEPZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
429 AM MST SAT JAN 30 2016

...STRONG WINDS TO AFFECT THE AREA THIS WEEKEND WITH DAMAGING
WINDS POSSIBLE ON MONDAY...

.INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND A STRENGTHENING SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS NEW MEXICO THIS WEEKEND WILL RESULT IN
GUSTY WINDS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS
AND ALONG EAST-FACING MOUNTAIN SLOPES IN THE LOWLANDS. WINDS OF 25
TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS 45 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS MAY RETURN AGAIN ON
SUNDAY...AND ADVISORIES MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED LATER. HOWEVER
THE MAIN EVENT WILL BE ON MONDAY AS AN INTENSE PACIFIC STORM
SYSTEM AFFECTS THE AREA. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ON MONDAY MAY EXCEED
60 MPH IN PLACES...ESPECIALLY IN THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS AND EAST
OF DESERT MOUNTAIN RANGES.

NMZ413-TXZ419-302300-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.WI.Y.0003.160130T1800Z-160131T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.HW.A.0001.160201T1300Z-160202T1200Z/
SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OROGRANDE...
WHITE SANDS RANGE HEADQUARTERS...CHAPARRAL...FORT BLISS...
SOCORRO...EAST AND NORTHEAST EL PASO
429 AM MST SAT JAN 30 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM MST
SUNDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS
MORNING TO 6 AM MST SUNDAY. A HIGH WIND WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN
ISSUED AND IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT.

WIND ADVISORY FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT... 

* AREA AFFECTED...EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE FRANKLIN...ORGAN...
  AND SAN ANDRES MOUNTAINS...INCLUDING NORTHEAST EL PASO AND WHITE
  SANDS MISSILE RANGE HEADQUARTERS.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE IN THE MORNING AND THROUGH THE
  AFTERNOON...THEN CONTINUING THROUGH THE NIGHT.

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BECOME DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY IN HIGH-
  PROFILE VEHICLES. 

HIGH WIND WATCH FOR MONDAY...

* AREA AFFECTED...MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
  AND FAR WEST TEXAS.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...PEAKING IN THE
  EARLY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...WEST 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH MOST AREAS. EAST
  SLOPE LOCATIONS WILL SEE WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER
  60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO STRUCTURES AND
  TREES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BLOW AWAY. DANGEROUS CROSS WINDS WILL
  MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF AT LEAST 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

NMZ414>416-302300-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.WI.Y.0003.160130T1800Z-160131T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.HW.A.0001.160201T1300Z-160202T1200Z/
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MESCALERO...MOUNTAIN PARK...TIMBERON...
CLOUDCROFT...SUNSPOT...APACHE SUMMIT...MAYHILL...SACRAMENTO...
PINON
429 AM MST SAT JAN 30 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 AM MST
SUNDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS
MORNING TO 11 AM MST SUNDAY. A HIGH WIND WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN
ISSUED AND IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT.

WIND ADVISORY FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...

* AREA AFFECTED...THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET
  ELEVATION.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE IN THE MORNING AND THROUGH THE
  AFTERNOON...CONTINUING THROUGH THE NIGHT.

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH...STRONGEST ALONG
  EXPOSED RIDGELINES.

* IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BECOME DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY IN HIGH-
  PROFILE VEHICLES. 

HIGH WIND WATCH FOR MONDAY...

* AREA AFFECTED...MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
  AND FAR WEST TEXAS.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...PEAKING IN THE
  EARLY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...WEST 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH MOST AREAS. 

* IMPACTS...LIGHT TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO STRUCTURES AND
  TREES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BLOW AWAY. DANGEROUS CROSS WINDS WILL
  MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF AT LEAST 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

NMZ403>412-417-TXZ418-420>424-302300-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.HW.A.0001.160201T1300Z-160202T0600Z/
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-OTERO MESA-WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIMBRES...FAYWOOD...HURLEY...
GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...LORDSBURG...REDROCK...VIRDEN...ANIMAS...
HACHITA...ANTELOPE WELLS...CLOVERDALE...DEMING...COLUMBUS...
HILLSBORO...WINSTON...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...DERRY...SPACEPORT...
GARFIELD...HATCH...RADIUM SPRINGS...LAS CRUCES...VADO...
SUNLAND PARK...ALAMOGORDO...TULAROSA...WHITE SANDS MONUMENT...
CROW FLATS...DOWNTOWN...WEST EL PASO...UPPER VALLEY...
HUECO TANKS...LOMA LINDA...DELL CITY...CORNUDAS...SALT FLAT...
SIERRA BLANCA...FABENS...TORNILLO...FORT HANCOCK
429 AM MST SAT JAN 30 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AFFECTED...MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
  AND FAR WEST TEXAS.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...PEAKING IN THE
  LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...WEST 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO STRUCTURES AND
  TREES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BLOW AWAY. DANGEROUS CROSS WINDS WILL
  MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

HARDIMAN
3 follow-up statements
854 
WWUS74 KEPZ 302231
NPWEPZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
331 PM MST SAT JAN 30 2016

...STRONG WINDS TO AFFECT THE AREA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
WITH DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE ON MONDAY...

.INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND A STRENGTHENING SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS NEW MEXICO THIS WEEKEND WILL RESULT IN
GUSTY WINDS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS
AND ALONG EAST-FACING MOUNTAIN SLOPES IN THE LOWLANDS. WINDS OF
25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS 45 TO 50 MPH WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
SATURDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS MAY RETURN AGAIN ON
SUNDAY... AND ADVISORIES MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED LATER. HOWEVER
THE MAIN EVENT WILL BE ON MONDAY AS AN INTENSE PACIFIC STORM
SYSTEM AFFECTS THE AREA. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ON MONDAY MAY EXCEED
60 MPH IN PLACES...ESPECIALLY IN THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS AND EAST
OF DESERT MOUNTAIN RANGES.

NMZ413-TXZ419-311315-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160131T1300Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.HW.A.0001.160201T1300Z-160202T1200Z/
SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OROGRANDE...
WHITE SANDS RANGE HEADQUARTERS...CHAPARRAL...FORT BLISS...
SOCORRO...EAST AND NORTHEAST EL PASO
331 PM MST SAT JAN 30 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MST SUNDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

WIND ADVISORY FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...

* AREA AFFECTED...EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE FRANKLIN...ORGAN... 
  AND SAN ANDRES MOUNTAINS...INCLUDING NORTHEAST EL PASO AND 
  WHITE SANDS MISSILE RANGE HEADQUARTERS. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AND THROUGH THE
  NIGHT.

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BECOME DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY IN HIGH- 
  PROFILE VEHICLES. 

HIGH WIND WATCH FOR MONDAY...

* AREA AFFECTED...MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO 
  AND FAR WEST TEXAS. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...PEAKING IN THE 
  EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...WEST 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH MOST AREAS. 
  EAST SLOPE LOCATIONS WILL SEE WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  OVER 60 MPH. 

* IMPACTS...LIGHT TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO STRUCTURES AND 
  TREES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BLOW AWAY. DANGEROUS CROSS WINDS WILL 
  MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF AT LEAST 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

NMZ414>416-311315-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160131T1800Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.HW.A.0001.160201T1300Z-160202T1200Z/
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MESCALERO...MOUNTAIN PARK...TIMBERON...
CLOUDCROFT...SUNSPOT...APACHE SUMMIT...MAYHILL...SACRAMENTO...
PINON
331 PM MST SAT JAN 30 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST SUNDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

WIND ADVISORY FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...

* AREA AFFECTED...THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET 
  ELEVATION. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AND THROUGH THE
  NIGHT.

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH...STRONGEST 
  ALONG EXPOSED RIDGELINES. 

* IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BECOME DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY IN HIGH- 
  PROFILE VEHICLES. 

HIGH WIND WATCH FOR MONDAY...

* AREA AFFECTED...MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO 
  AND FAR WEST TEXAS. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...PEAKING IN THE 
  EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...WEST 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH MOST AREAS.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO STRUCTURES AND 
  TREES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BLOW AWAY. DANGEROUS CROSS WINDS WILL 
  MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF AT LEAST 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

NMZ403>412-417-TXZ418-420>424-311315-
/O.CON.KEPZ.HW.A.0001.160201T1300Z-160202T0600Z/
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-OTERO MESA-WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIMBRES...FAYWOOD...HURLEY...
GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...LORDSBURG...REDROCK...VIRDEN...ANIMAS...
HACHITA...ANTELOPE WELLS...CLOVERDALE...DEMING...COLUMBUS...
HILLSBORO...WINSTON...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...DERRY...SPACEPORT...
GARFIELD...HATCH...RADIUM SPRINGS...LAS CRUCES...VADO...
SUNLAND PARK...ALAMOGORDO...TULAROSA...WHITE SANDS MONUMENT...
CROW FLATS...DOWNTOWN...WEST EL PASO...UPPER VALLEY...
HUECO TANKS...LOMA LINDA...DELL CITY...CORNUDAS...SALT FLAT...
SIERRA BLANCA...FABENS...TORNILLO...FORT HANCOCK
331 PM MST SAT JAN 30 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* AREA AFFECTED...MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO 
  AND FAR WEST TEXAS. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...PEAKING IN THE 
  LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...WEST 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO STRUCTURES AND 
  TREES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BLOW AWAY. DANGEROUS CROSS WINDS WILL 
  MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$
619 
WWUS74 KEPZ 310445
NPWEPZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
945 PM MST SAT JAN 30 2016

...WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA THIS EVENING..WITH
DAMAGING WINDS STILL POSSIBLE ON MONDAY...

.WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT HAS WEAKENED SOME...ALLOWING WINDS FOR MOST
AREAS TO DIMINISH. WINDS AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS WILL STILL LIKELY BLOW INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

NMZ413-TXZ419-311300-
/O.CAN.KEPZ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160131T1300Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.HW.A.0001.160201T1300Z-160202T1200Z/
SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OROGRANDE...
WHITE SANDS RANGE HEADQUARTERS...CHAPARRAL...FORT BLISS...
SOCORRO...EAST AND NORTHEAST EL PASO
945 PM MST SAT JAN 30 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE MONDAY NIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. 

HIGH WIND WATCH FOR MONDAY...

* AREA AFFECTED...MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO 
  AND FAR WEST TEXAS. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...PEAKING IN THE 
  EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...WEST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH MOST AREAS.
  HIGHER GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE ALONG EAST SLOPES OF MOUNTAINS.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO STRUCTURES AND 
  TREES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BLOW AWAY. DANGEROUS CROSS WINDS WILL 
  MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

NMZ414-311300-
/O.CAN.KEPZ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160131T1800Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.HW.A.0001.160201T1300Z-160202T1200Z/
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MESCALERO...MOUNTAIN PARK...TIMBERON
945 PM MST SAT JAN 30 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE MONDAY NIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. 

HIGH WIND WATCH FOR MONDAY...

* AREA AFFECTED...MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO 
  AND FAR WEST TEXAS. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...PEAKING IN THE 
  EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...WEST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO STRUCTURES AND 
  TREES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BLOW AWAY. DANGEROUS CROSS WINDS WILL 
  MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

NMZ415-416-311300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160131T1800Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.HW.A.0001.160201T1300Z-160202T1200Z/
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLOUDCROFT...SUNSPOT...APACHE SUMMIT...
MAYHILL...SACRAMENTO...PINON
945 PM MST SAT JAN 30 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST SUNDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

* AREA AFFECTED...THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET
  ELEVATION ALONG HIGHER RIDGES AND THE EAST SLOPES.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AND THROUGH THE 
  NIGHT. 

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...STRONGEST
  ALONG EXPOSED RIDGELINES.

* IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BECOME DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY IN HIGH- 
  PROFILE VEHICLES. 

HIGH WIND WATCH FOR MONDAY...

* AREA AFFECTED...MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO 
  AND FAR WEST TEXAS. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...PEAKING IN THE 
  EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...WEST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO STRUCTURES AND 
  TREES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BLOW AWAY. DANGEROUS CROSS WINDS WILL 
  MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF AT LEAST 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

NMZ403>412-417-TXZ418-420>424-311300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.HW.A.0001.160201T1300Z-160202T0600Z/
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-OTERO MESA-WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIMBRES...FAYWOOD...HURLEY...
GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...LORDSBURG...REDROCK...VIRDEN...ANIMAS...
HACHITA...ANTELOPE WELLS...CLOVERDALE...DEMING...COLUMBUS...
HILLSBORO...WINSTON...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...DERRY...SPACEPORT...
GARFIELD...HATCH...RADIUM SPRINGS...LAS CRUCES...VADO...
SUNLAND PARK...ALAMOGORDO...TULAROSA...WHITE SANDS MONUMENT...
CROW FLATS...DOWNTOWN...WEST EL PASO...UPPER VALLEY...
HUECO TANKS...LOMA LINDA...DELL CITY...CORNUDAS...SALT FLAT...
SIERRA BLANCA...FABENS...TORNILLO...FORT HANCOCK
945 PM MST SAT JAN 30 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* AREA AFFECTED...MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO 
  AND FAR WEST TEXAS. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...PEAKING IN THE 
  LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...WEST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO STRUCTURES AND 
  TREES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BLOW AWAY. DANGEROUS CROSS WINDS WILL 
  MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

HEFNER
780 
WWUS74 KEPZ 311201
NPWEPZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
501 AM MST SUN JAN 31 2016

...LOCALIZED STRONG WINDS THIS MORNING EAST OF THE ORGAN AND
FRANKLIN MOUNTAINS WITH WIDESPREAD STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS STILL
ON TAP FOR MONDAY...

.INCREASING LOW LEVEL WINDS AND AN INVERSION NEAR MOUNTAINTOP
LEVELS HAS RESULTED IN THE RETURN OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS
IMMEDIATELY EAST OF THE FRANKLIN MOUNTAINS IN NORTHEAST EL PASO...
AND EAST OF THE ORGAN MOUNTAINS INCLUDING WHITE SANDS MISSILE
RANGE HEADQUARTERS. WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 50 MPH
WILL DIMINISH BY MID-MORNING. A STRONG PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM IS
STILL SET TO BRING STRONG AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS TO THE
REGION MONDAY.


NMZ415-416-311700-
/O.CAN.KEPZ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160131T1800Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.HW.A.0001.160201T1300Z-160202T1200Z/
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLOUDCROFT...SUNSPOT...APACHE SUMMIT...
MAYHILL...SACRAMENTO...PINON
501 AM MST SUN JAN 31 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE MONDAY NIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS MORNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY WHICH WAS IN EFFECT FOR THIS MORNING.
WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA AND HAVE GENERALLY
BEEN GUSTING AROUND 30 MPH.

HIGH WIND WATCH STILL IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY...

* AREA AFFECTED...MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO 
  AND FAR WEST TEXAS. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...PEAKING IN THE 
  EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...WEST 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO STRUCTURES AND 
  TREES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BLOW AWAY. DANGEROUS CROSS WINDS WILL 
  MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

NMZ413-TXZ419-311700-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.WI.Y.0004.160131T1201Z-160131T1700Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.HW.A.0001.160201T1300Z-160202T1200Z/
SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OROGRANDE...
WHITE SANDS RANGE HEADQUARTERS...CHAPARRAL...FORT BLISS...
SOCORRO...EAST AND NORTHEAST EL PASO
501 AM MST SUN JAN 31 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM MST THIS MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM MST THIS
MORNING. A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY.

WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS MORNING...

* AREA AFFECTED...HIGHLY LOCALIZED AREA IMMEDIATELY EAST OF THE
  FRANKLIN AND ORGAN MOUNTAINS...INCLUDING MUCH OF NORTHEAST EL
  PASO AND WHITE SANDS MISSILE RANGE HEADQUARTERS.

* TIMING...WEST WINDS ARE CURRENTLY GUSTING 45 TO 50 MPH ACROSS
  THE ADVISORY AREA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY 10 AM. WINDS WILL
  BECOME GUSTY AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW
  ADVISORY CRITERIA.

* WINDS...WEST AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH. STRONGEST
  ALONG AND WEST OF THE US-54 CORRIDOR IN NORTHEAST EL PASO...AND
  IN THE VICINITY OF WHITE SANDS MISSILE RANGE HEADQUARTERS.

* IMPACTS...LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BLOW AWAY. DANGEROUS CROSS WINDS
  WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
  VEHICLES.

HIGH WIND WATCH FOR MONDAY...

* AREA AFFECTED...MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO 
  AND FAR WEST TEXAS. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...PEAKING IN THE 
  EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...WEST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH MOST AREAS. 
  HIGHER GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE ALONG EAST SLOPES OF 
  MOUNTAINS. 

* IMPACTS...LIGHT TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO STRUCTURES AND 
  TREES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BLOW AWAY. DANGEROUS CROSS WINDS WILL 
  MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

NMZ403>412-417-TXZ418-420>424-311700-
/O.CON.KEPZ.HW.A.0001.160201T1300Z-160202T0600Z/
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-OTERO MESA-WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIMBRES...FAYWOOD...HURLEY...
GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...LORDSBURG...REDROCK...VIRDEN...ANIMAS...
HACHITA...ANTELOPE WELLS...CLOVERDALE...DEMING...COLUMBUS...
HILLSBORO...WINSTON...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...DERRY...SPACEPORT...
GARFIELD...HATCH...RADIUM SPRINGS...LAS CRUCES...VADO...
SUNLAND PARK...ALAMOGORDO...TULAROSA...WHITE SANDS MONUMENT...
CROW FLATS...DOWNTOWN...WEST EL PASO...UPPER VALLEY...
HUECO TANKS...LOMA LINDA...DELL CITY...CORNUDAS...SALT FLAT...
SIERRA BLANCA...FABENS...TORNILLO...FORT HANCOCK
501 AM MST SUN JAN 31 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* AREA AFFECTED...MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO 
  AND FAR WEST TEXAS. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...PEAKING IN THE 
  LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...WEST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO STRUCTURES AND 
  TREES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BLOW AWAY. DANGEROUS CROSS WINDS WILL 
  MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

NMZ414-311700-
/O.CON.KEPZ.HW.A.0001.160201T1300Z-160202T1200Z/
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MESCALERO...MOUNTAIN PARK...TIMBERON
501 AM MST SUN JAN 31 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

HIGH WIND WATCH FOR MONDAY...

* AREA AFFECTED...MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO 
  AND FAR WEST TEXAS. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...PEAKING IN THE 
  EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...WEST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO STRUCTURES AND 
  TREES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BLOW AWAY. DANGEROUS CROSS WINDS WILL 
  MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

HARDIMAN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 29, 3:08 PM MST, 13 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 29, 3:08 PM MST, 13 hours 21 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
308 PM MST FRI JAN 29 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
INCREASING WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AND MUCH WARMER WEATHER ARE ON
TAP THIS WEEKEND...BEFORE A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH A COLD
FRONT MOVE INTO THE AREA. THIS WILL BRING LOWLAND RAIN AND MOUNTAIN
SNOW SHOWERS MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH SHOWERS STARTING AS EARLY
SUNDAY EVENING. MONDAY WILL BE THE WINDIEST DAY...WITH SOME BLOWING
DUST POSSIBLE. MUCH COLDER WEATHER WILL FOLLOW LATE MONDAY OR MONDAY
EVENING AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH...RESULTING IN HIGHS
WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
BROAD NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES OVER THE REGION...AS THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES CONTINUES TO BREAK DOWN
THIS IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MINOR SHORT WAVE DISTURBANCES
MOVING THROUGH THE RIDGE. AT THE SURFACE CONDITIONS ARE SIMILAR
TO YESTERDAY...WITH A CONTINUED DRY MID AND LOWER ATMOSPHERE
SUPPORTIVE OF AREA DEW POINTS AGAIN TO THE TEENS. LOWS OVERNIGHT
WERE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN THOSE OBSERVED THURSDAY MORNING BUT
MANAGED TO FALL TO THE 20S FOR MOST AREAS.

THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BREAK DOWN THROUGH THIS EVENING...IN
RESPONSE TO A PATTERN CHANGE THAT REMAINS FORECAST FOR OUR AREA
AND MUCH OF THE COUNTRY THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL FEATURE RESURGENCE
OF A STRONG PAC JET INTO THE WESTERN STATES...WITH UPSTREAM HIGH
PRESSURE FORECAST TO BUILD FROM ALASKA TO WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF
OF ALASKA. THIS TREND WILL ALLOW FOR THE ADEVECTION OF AIR FROM
COLDER SOURCE REGIONS IN WESTERN CANADA...INTO THE WESTERN U.S.A.
STATES. WITH SUPPORT OF THE STRONG PAC JET...A POTENT UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN STATES SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
EVENING. TROUGH WILL DEEPEN WHILE MOVING ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS
MONDAY/MON EVENING...BRINGING LOWLAND RAIN SHOWERS AND
ACCUMULATING MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL BEFORE DEPARTING TUESDAY FOR THE
PLAINS. SYSTEM WILL CARRY A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH LATER MONDAY
OR MONDAY EVENING....RESULTING IN HIGHS WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. DRIER WEATHER IS FORECAST TO FOLLOW THROUGH AT
LEAST NEXT WEEKEND...WITH HIGHS EXPECTED NEAR NORMAL BY THAT TIME.

IMPACTS SATURDAY AFTERNOON:
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH WEST
WINDS EXPECTED. SOME DIFFICULTY IN DRIVING FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES TRAVELING NORTH OR SOUTH. STRENGTHENING WINDS ALOFT OVER
THE REGION IN THE ABSENCE OF SIGNIFICANT HIGH CLOUD COVER...WILL
ALLOW EFFICIENT MIX DOWN OF H7 35-40 KT WINDS ACROSS THE AREA.
THIS WILL OCCUR IN THE PRESENCE OF A TIGHTENING PRESSURE
GRADIENT...AS A STRONG LEE CYCLONE REMAINS FORECAST TO DEVELOP
WITH CENTER JUST N OF THE TX PANHANDLE. LATEST SOLUTIONS WITH GFS
AND TO LESSER EXTENT WITH THE ECMWF...DEVELOP AND MOVE WK IMPULSE
ACROSS THE 4 CORNERS SATURDAY NIGHT. LEFT FRONT EXIT REGION
DYNAMICS OF PAC JET AND MODEST CAA ALOFT WILL SUPPORT ITS DVLPMNT.
THE EFFECT WILL BE TO ENHANCE GENERATION OF THE LEE CYCLONE
MENTIONED ABOVE FOR SATURDAY. THE RESULT SHOULD BE 20-30 MPH
SUSTAINED WINDS ACROSS THE AREA...WITH LOCAL DOWN SLOPE DRIVEN
GUSTS TO AT LEAST 40 MPH ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

IMPACTS SUNDAY:
WINDY WITH WEST WINDS 25-35 MPH. LOCAL GUSTS TO 45 MPH OR MORE
ESPECIALLY DOWN EAST SLOPES. PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL WEAKEN OVER
THE AREA COMPARED TO SATURDAY...WITH PERHAPS ONLY A 5 MPH INCREASE
IN H7 WINDS AVAILABLE FOR. H5 WIND SPEEDS INCREASE ROUGHLY 10-15
MPH FROM SATURDAYS SPEEDS. WE SHOULD SEE A LITTLE MORE IN WAY OF
CLOUD COVER...THUS NOR EXPECTING A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN SPEEDS
FROM SATURDAY.

IMPACTS SUNDAY NIGHT:
WINDY ALONG EAST SLOPES OF THE FRANKLIN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS.
GUSTS TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE FROM THE WEST.  WIND ADVISORIES MAY BE
NEEDED FOR THESE AREAS.  WINDY ALSO FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN THE
SACS. DIFFICULTY IN DRIVING ALONG NORTH- SOUTH ROUTES AND
GENERALLY ANYWHERE IN THE SACS.

ACCUMULATING SNOW IN THE GILL REGION AND SACS WITH SLICK ROADS
GENERALLY ABOVE 6000 FEET. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED
FOR THE GILA REGION. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS GENERALLY 4-6 INCHES WITH
VERY ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA THROUGH
TUESDAY.

IMPACTS MONDAY:
HIGHEST WINDS FOR THIS EVENT. THERE IS INCREASING CONFIDENCE THAT
HIGH WIND WARNINGS WILL BE NEEDED FOR ALL AREAS. SOME BLOWING DUST
POSSIBLE. BEST COMBINATION OF THE THREE FACTORS FAVORING
WIDESPREAD WEST WINDS HERE. ABSENCE OF CLOUDS. EFFICIENT MIX DOWN
OF STRONGEST MOMENTUM ALOFT FOR THIS EVENT. RE STRENGTHENING OF
LEE CYCLONE NEAR TX PANHANDLE. TIMING OF THESE REMAINS OPTIMIZED
FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THE STRONGEST WINDS FOR THIS EVENT. IN
ADDITION...DEPENDING ON TIMING OF FROPA...ASSCD DYNAMICS FROM THE
COLD FRONT MAY FURTHER LOCALLY ENHANCE THESE WINDS.

BLUSTERY TUESDAY...WITH BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED.

AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF COLD WEATHER WILL FOLLOW FOR MOST OF NEXT
WEEK...WITH LITTLE MOISTURE EXPECTED FOR OUR AREA. HOWEVER 12Z GFS
SOLN DOES BRING MORE ENERGY DOWN BACK SIDE OF BROAD CONUS
TROUGH IN WAKE OF EXITING SYSTEM...SO PRECIP CHANCES MAY BE
INTRODUCED LATER PERIODS IF IMPULSES CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AS A
RESULT. REMEMBER THE FOUR P'S EVENINGS NEXT WEEK. PROTECT PEOPLE
PETS PLANTS AND PIPES AGAINST THE COLD.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 30/00Z-31/00Z...
P6SM FEW-SCT150-200 SCT-BKN200-250 THRU PD. WINDS GENERALLY WEST AOB
12KTS THRU 15Z...THEN INCREASING TO 15-20G30KTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION WILL
LEAD TO BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND WITH A STRONG
STORM SYSTEM PASSING TO THE NORTH WHICH WILL BRING STRONGEST WINDS
MONDAY ACCOMPANIED BY A COLD FRONT AND MOUNTAIN SNOW AND LOWLAND
RAIN SHOWERS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE FALLING INTO THE TEENS THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...ESPECIALLY IN THE LOWLANDS WITH SOME AREAS
SEEING A COUPLE HOURS OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS. STRONGER WINDS
EXPECTED SUNDAY...SO WILL ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THIS PERIOD
ACROSS THE LOWLANDS. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE IN THE AREA
MOUNTAINS MONDAY WITH COLD FRONT AND WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH. COOLER
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH DECREASING WINDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 37  73  45  72 /   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           35  71  42  72 /   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              33  70  40  70 /   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              34  69  41  68 /   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              28  52  31  49 /   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   34  70  42  67 /   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             32  62  35  59 /   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  32  71  38  69 /   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               31  68  37  66 /   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      39  72  45  72 /   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               33  73  41  73 /   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            37  74  45  75 /   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              37  69  43  69 /   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  35  73  44  73 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            35  72  42  71 /   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          36  71  43  70 /   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           30  70  37  69 /   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   31  72  39  69 /   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                34  71  41  70 /   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               36  70  43  70 /   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 35  62  39  59 /   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               30  59  34  56 /   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                33  59  37  57 /   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 32  64  37  60 /   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               32  69  38  65 /   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               31  72  38  69 /   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            28  62  29  57 /   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  31  64  35  61 /   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   28  66  30  63 /   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              27  65  28  62 /   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 32  66  36  63 /   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  32  71  40  69 /   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 32  71  39  70 /   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          33  71  40  69 /   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              33  68  38  65 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR NMZ111-112.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR TXZ055-056.

&&

99/22/26

TRIPOLI/GRZYWACZ
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 29, 4:45 AM MST, 23 hours 44 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
445 AM MST FRI JAN 29 2016

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-301400-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA
HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-EASTERN BLACK
RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-
SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-
SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500
FEET-SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-
EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO
MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-RIO GRANDE VALLEY
OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF
EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
445 AM MST FRI JAN 29 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER WILL OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

BREEZY TO WINDY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND
30 MPH SATURDAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH SUNDAY.

VERY WINDY ON MONDAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 TO 60 MPH. IN ADDITION
THERE WILL BE SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS OR RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW ACROSS
THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WITH SNOW LIKELY HIGHER MOUNTAINS. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ABOVE 7000 FEET.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

ROGASH

The office that day

Everything else NWS El Paso, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 30, 4:29 AM MSTHigh Wind WatchEPZDoña Ana, Grant, Hidalgo, Luna, Otero, Sierra33 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in New Mexico, 2016Wind Advisories in Texas, 2016Every wind advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.