Gale Watch 3, NWS Buffalo, NY

195 
WHUS71 KBUF 181444
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
944 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016

LOZ043>045-182245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160119T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0003.160119T1500Z-160120T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
944 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. 
  NORTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-182245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160120T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
944 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-182245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160120T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
944 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-182245-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0003.160119T1500Z-160120T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
944 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

CHURCH

974 
WHUS71 KBUF 182046
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
346 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016

LOZ043>045-190500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160119T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.160119T1100Z-160119T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0003.160119T1500Z-160120T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0003.160119T1500Z-160120T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
346 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY. A GALE WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WARNING
IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...11 TO 15 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-190500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160119T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.160119T1100Z-160119T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0003.160119T1500Z-160120T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
346 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY. A GALE WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WARNING
IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...WEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-190500-
/O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.160119T1100Z-160119T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0003.160119T1500Z-160120T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0003.160119T1500Z-160120T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
346 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY. A GALE WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WARNING
IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS...WEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...11 TO 15 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-190500-
/O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.160119T1100Z-160119T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0003.160119T1500Z-160120T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
346 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY. A GALE WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WARNING
IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...WEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-190500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160120T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
346 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1157 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES
WILL BE THE MAIN STORY THROUGH MID-WEEK AS COLDER AIR SWEEPS ACROSS
THE REGION. OUTSIDE OF THE SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IN THE
INTENSE BANDS OF SNOW... THERE WILL ONLY BE A FEW SNOW SHOWERS TO
PRODUCE VERY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING AN END TO
MOST OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BY THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE STRONG ARCTIC FRONT IS CROSSING THE GENESEE VALLEY TO EASTERN
LAKE ONTARIO REGION THIS EVENING WITH SOME MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY
HEAVY SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. TEMPS WILL FALL
SHARPLY TONIGHT BEHIND THE ARCTIC FRONT WITH LOWS IN THE MID TEENS ON
THE LAKE PLAINS AND AROUND 10 HIGHER TERRAIN WITH WINDCHILLS DOWN
NEAR ZERO.

HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL ONLY BE IN THE TEENS WITH WINDCHILLS ONLY IN
THE +/- SINGLE DIGITS THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY.

HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL REDEVELOP IN THE WEST TO NORTHWEST
FLOW THIS EVENING. THE APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL ALLOW FOR
COOLING TEMPERATURES ALOFT... AND THUS INCREASING LAKE INDUCED
EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS TO 10KFT OVERNIGHT... BUT ESPECIALLY INTO MONDAY
WHEN IT WILL PUSH UP TO 15KFT IN THE DEEPEST PART OF THE COLD AIR.

OFF LAKE ERIE...

THIS EVENING BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL BECOME WESTERLY OVER LAKE ERIE
BEHIND THE ARCTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW RE-
ORIENTING AND DEVELOPING ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. THE
GREATEST AMOUNTS FROM MID EVENING ON SHOULD FOCUS ON THE CHAUTAUQUA
RIDGE. THE LAKE EFFECT MAY BE DISORGANIZED FOR A FEW HOURS FOLLOWING
THE ARCTIC FRONT GIVEN THE ABRUPT WIND SHIFT...BUT SHOULD IMPROVE
AGAIN OVERNIGHT AS INSTABILITY BECOMES STRONG.

EXPECT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER...WITH MEANDERING BANDS LIKELY PREVENTING
ANYTHING HIGHER IN ANY ONE LOCATION.

INTO THE DAY MONDAY... SNOWFALL RATES WILL INCREASE AS EQUILIBRIUM
LEVELS INCREASE UNDER THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND WITH THE FLOW
BECOMES LOCKED IN AT WESTERLY WITH LITTLE MEANDERING OF THE BANDS
THROUGH THE DAY. THE ONLY LIMITATION TO SNOWFALL RATES/AMOUNTS OF
LAKE ERIE ON MONDAY WILL BE THE SHORTER WESTERLY FETCH AND MORE
MULTIBANDED NATURE OF THE LAKE EFFECT. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6
INCHES WILL BE MOST COMMON ACROSS THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...

BAND OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW ALONG THE ARCTIC FRONT
WILL SWEEP EAST ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION THIS EVENING
WITH A 1-3 HOUR PERIOD OF MODERATE/HEAVY SNOW. THIS INITIAL BURST OF
HEAVY SNOW WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE ADIRONDACKS WITH THE ARCTIC FROPA.

MORE PURE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE ARCTIC
FRONT AS WINDS BECOME WESTERLY OVER LAKE ONTARIO AND INSTABILITY
DEEPENS FURTHER. THIS BAND OF SNOW WILL INITIALLY FOCUS ACROSS THE
TUG HILL PLATEAU...THEN MOVE SOUTH ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY LATE TONIGHT
WITH SNOW SPREADING INTO NORTHERN CAYUGA AND NORTHEAST WAYNE
COUNTIES TOWARD DAYBREAK.

THE COMBINATION OF THE LAKE ENHANCED ARCTIC FRONT AND LAKE EFFECT
SNOW OVERNIGHT WILL PRODUCE A GENERAL 3-5 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION...WITH 6-10 INCHES ACROSS THE TUG HILL
WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW INITIALLY DEVELOPS. LATE TONIGHT SOUTHERN
OSWEGO...NORTHERN CAYUGA...AND NORTHEAST WAYNE COUNTIES GET INTO THE
HEAVIER SNOW WITH 2-4 INCHES POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK.

INTO THE DAY MONDAY...UPSTREAM CONNECTIONS TO LAKE HURON AND
SUPERIOR WILL INCREASE THE INTENSITY/SNOWFALL RATES OF THE LAKE
ONTARIO LAKE EFFECT BAND. WITH THE UPSTREAM CONNECTIONS AND WNW
FLOW... EXPECT THE LAKE EFFECT BAND WILL HUG THE SOUTHERN SHORELINE
OF LAKE ONTARIO FROM ABOUT ORLEANS COUNTY ACROSS MONROE COUNTY
BEFORE MOVING INLAND ACROSS WAYNE/NORTHERN CAYUGA AND FAR SOUTHWEST
OSWEGO COUNTY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE HIGHEST ACROSS THE FAR
NORTH/NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF MONROE COUNTY...WAYNE COUNTY...NORTHERN
CAYUGA AND FAR SOUTHWEST OSWEGO COUNTIES... WHERE 5 TO 9 INCHES OF
SNOW ARE LIKELY THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY. LOWER AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST ORLEANS COUNTY.

WITH INCREASING CONFIDENCE IN THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW HUGGING THE SOUTH
SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT (FURTHER DISCUSSED
BELOW)... HAVE ADJUSTED HEADLINES ACCORDINGLY. HAVE UPGRADED MONROE
COUNTY TO A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING... AND POSTED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY FOR ORLEANS COUNTY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BOTH
LAKES MONDAY NIGHT WITH A COLD AND MOIST BACKGROUND ENVIRONMENT
PERSISTING IN THE PRESENCE OF STILL-SIGNIFICANT LAKE-INDUCED
INSTABILITY...AS LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS WILL REMAIN AOA
10 KFT FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF THE NIGHT...BEFORE FALLING
BELOW THIS LEVEL OVERNIGHT. AS FOR THEIR LOCATION...A GENERAL
WESTERLY TO WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DIRECT THE
MOST SIGNIFICANT LAKE ERIE LAKE SNOWS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE...WHILE THE WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS
LAKE ONTARIO SHOULD STEER THE MOST SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS ACROSS
THE MONROE-NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY CORRIDOR...WITH SOME OF THIS
ALSO AFFECTING PORTIONS OF ORLEANS COUNTY AT TIMES. IN BOTH OF
THESE REGIONS...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 9 INCHES WILL BE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS...WHILE AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF THESE TWO MAIN AREAS LOWER BUT STILL ADVISORY-WORTHY
AMOUNTS WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS WESTERN ALLEGANY AND NORTHERN
ORLEANS COUNTIES...WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN
ISSUED. COMPOUNDING ALL THIS WILL BE WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS OF 15
TO 30 MPH...WHICH WILL LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW.

TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...A CONTINUED GENERAL WESTERLY TO WEST-
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OF COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE LAKE
SNOWS EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES...THOUGH BY THIS TIME THE
ACTIVITY WILL BE TURNING CONSIDERABLY WEAKER AND LESS ORGANIZED
IN CONJUNCTION WITH A SHARPLY LOWERING CAP AND THE INTRODUCTION
OF DRIER AIR ALOFT. THIS DOWNWARD TREND WILL BE ESPECIALLY
NOTICEABLE OFF LAKE ERIE...WHERE THE CAPPING INVERSION WILL FALL
TO AROUND 3 KFT BY AFTERNOON.

OUTSIDE OF THE MAIN LAKE EFFECT AREAS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...IT WILL BE MUCH DRIER WITH JUST OCCASIONAL BOUTS OF MUCH
MORE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY/LIGHTER ACCUMS ATTENDANT TO
WEAK DISTURBANCES PERIODICALLY ROTATING THROUGH THE MEAN MID AND
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. OTHERWISE EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE TO
AVERAGE SOLIDLY BELOW NORMAL...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS ONLY RECOVERING
TO THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S ON TUESDAY.

AS WE PROGRESS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS PERIOD...BUILDING
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ALONG WITH INCREASING AMOUNTS OF DRIER AIR
AND SHEAR SHOULD RESULT IN THE LAKE SNOWS GENERALLY CONTINUING TO
WEAKEN EAST AND EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES...WITH THESE LIKELY
PRODUCING SOME ADDITIONAL NUISANCE-TYPE ACCUMULATIONS BEFORE
FINALLY COMING TO AN END SOMETIME DURING THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...
CONDITIONS SHOULD LARGELY BE DRY... WITH THE ON-AGAIN-OFF-AGAIN
GFS DEPICTION OF A STRONGER MID LEVEL WAVE BRINGING A GENERAL
LIGHT SNOW TO OUR REGION WEDNESDAY-WEDNESDAY NIGHT APPEARING
GREATLY OVERDONE COMPARED TO THE OTHER GUIDANCE PACKAGES. WITH
RESPECT TO TEMPERATURES...READINGS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
RECOVER FROM EARLIER IN THE WEEK...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS REACHING
THE MID AND UPPER 20S IN MOST PLACES BY THURSDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...THE GFS/GEM/ECMWF NOW ALL GENERALLY
TRACK A POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM ACROSS
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND VIRGINIAS/CAROLINAS...THEN FINALLY OUT
TO SEA. ON SUCH A TRACK...THE WORST EFFECTS OF THIS SYSTEM WOULD
REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH... WITH A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLY REACHING
AREAS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO DURING THE FRIDAY-SATURDAY TIME FRAME.

WHILE THE OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO MUCH BETTER
AGREEMENT COMPARED TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED THE PAST COUPLE OF
DAYS...IT NEEDS TO BE POINTED OUT THAT THIS AGREEMENT IS VERY
NEW...AND COULD JUST AS QUICKLY VANISH AGAIN GIVEN THE INHERENT
DIFFICULTIES THE MODELS HAVE IN RESOLVING THE AMOUNT OF PHASING
BETWEEN THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAMS THIS FAR IN ADVANCE...A
FACTOR THAT WILL BE CRUCIAL IN DETERMINING THIS SYSTEM'S ULTIMATE
TRACK AND STRENGTH. AS SUCH... ANY NUMBER OF OUTCOMES FROM THIS
SYSTEM REMAIN POSSIBLE...RANGING FROM A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW TO
POTENTIALLY MORE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL... OR NO SNOW AT ALL.

WITH THE ABOVE...OUR RECENT CONTINUITY...AND THE CURRENT RATHER
GLANCING APPROACH OF THIS SYSTEM DEPICTED BY THE GUIDANCE ALL IN
MIND...FOR NOW HAVE ELECTED TO STAY MORE OPTIMISTIC AND KEEP OUR
REGION GENERALLY DRY FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH JUST A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW DEPICTED IN THE FORECAST.

FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER
AIR SHOULD BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...
RESULTING IN WHAT SHOULD BE A QUIET AND DRY END TO THIS PERIOD.

TEMPERATURE-WISE...READINGS SHOULD CONTINUE A SLOW CLIMB THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK AND UPCOMING WEEKEND...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS
EVENTUALLY REACHING NORMAL LEVELS IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S
BY SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPPER TROUGH CROSSING THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION AND NORTHERN E
YORK WITH SEVERAL BANDS OF MODERATE SNOW. WHILE THIS IS NOW LAKE
EFFECT SNOW...IT WILL HAVE THE SAME EFFECT LIFR CONDITIONS IN THE
SNOW BANDS...THE MVFR OR VFR OUTSIDE EACH BAND. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WILL AGAIN REESTABLISH EAST OF THE LAKE AFTER 10Z UT WILL BE SOUTH
OF KART WHERE MVFR TO VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.

ON MONDAY...LAKE SNOW BECOME PERSISTENT ACROSS THE EASTERN SHORE OF
LAKE ERIE AND SETTLES SOUTH TO THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO...
AFFECTING KROC WITH LOW MVFR TO PERIODS OF IFR VSBYS IN LAKE SNOW
DURING THE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING...18Z TO 00Z...AND PERSISTING
THROUGH THE NIGHT.

OUTLOOK...

MONDAY AND TUESDAY...IFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST OF THE
LAKES...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ELSEWHERE.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR/IFR IN DIMINISHING LAKE EFFECT SNOWS SOUTHEAST OF
THE LAKES.
THURSDAY...MVFR/VFR IN CHANCE OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.

&&

.MARINE...
AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL CROSS LAKE ERIE AND ONTARIO DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BEHIND THE ARCTIC FRONT WESTERLY WINDS WILL
BECOME MODERATE TO STRONG AND LAST THROUGH TUESDAY WITH HIGH END
SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS. THERE IS A CHANCE OF WINDS APPROACHING GALE
FORCE AT TIMES FROM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT FOR NOW IT APPEARS
30 KNOTS SUSTAINED WILL BE PREDOMINANT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
SUSTAINED GALES ON LAKE ONTARIO WILL COME DURING THE DAY TUESDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF 30 KNOT WINDS...WAVE ACTION...AND COLD
TEMPERATURES WILL PRODUCE SOME FREEZING SPRAY...BUT IT DOES NOT
APPEAR TO REACH THE CRITERIA FOR A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ007-008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY FOR NYZ006.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY FOR NYZ004-005.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY
     FOR NYZ003.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY FOR NYZ002.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR NYZ012-019-
     020-085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR NYZ021.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
         LOZ043>045.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LOZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CHURCH
NEAR TERM...CHURCH/WCH
SHORT TERM...JJR
LONG TERM...JJR
AVIATION...WCH
MARINE...CHURCH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

NYZ001-010-011-190330-
NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ002-190330-
ORLEANS-
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ021-190330-
ALLEGANY-
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019-020-085-190330-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003-190330-
MONROE-
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 7 PM EST
TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-190330-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK
AND WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ013-014-190330-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-008-190330-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-190330-
OSWEGO-
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>045-062>065-190330-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-190330-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
125 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0608 PM     SNOW             KENMORE                 42.96N  78.87W
01/17/2016  M4.0 INCH        ERIE               NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

0931 PM     SNOW             1 ESE IRONDEQUOIT       43.20N  77.55W
01/17/2016  M4.2 INCH        MONROE             NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

1017 PM     SNOW             1 N SHERMAN             42.17N  79.59W
01/17/2016  M8.0 INCH        CHAUTAUQUA         NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1600326 BUF1600327 BUF1600328

SMITH