Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2016

Winter Storm Warning 6, NWS Gaylord, MI

February 1, 2016Cheboygan County, Emmet County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Feb 1, 2016, 4:14 PM EST for Cheboygan County, Emmet County, Michigan. It took effect at Feb 2, 2016, 4:00 PM EST. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 1, 2016, 4:14 PM EST (21:14 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 2, 2016, 4:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 3, 2016, 12:55 AM EST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

Counties Cheboygan County, MI, Emmet County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 190 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2016-02-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2016-02-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 127 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1021 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
127 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
191 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

154 
WWUS43 KAPX 012114
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
414 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

MIZ008-015-020515-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0003.160202T1800Z-160203T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0006.160202T2100Z-160203T1200Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
414 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATER THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND PICK UP IN
  INTENSITY TUESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 7 PM TUESDAY 
  AND 1 AM WEDNESDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 7 INCHES.

* GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN PERIODIC
  SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. 
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. FOR THE
LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ016-017-019-020515-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0006.160202T1800Z-160203T0600Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX
414 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 1 PM TUESDAY AND THEN DIMINISH
  LATE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A PERIOD OF DRIZZLE AND FREEZING
  DRIZZLE.  

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 3 PM TUESDAY AND
  9 PM TUESDAY EVENING.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. 

* A GLAZE OF ICE IS POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY DAYBREAK.

* GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN PERIODIC
  SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND HAZARDOUS
  TRAVEL...INCLUDING THE EVENING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ018-020>028-031>033-020515-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.160202T1800Z-160203T0600Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
414 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM
EST WEDNESDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 1 PM TUESDAY AND THEN DIMINISH 
  AROUND 1 AM WEDNESDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 PM AND 7 PM 
  TUESDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. 

* GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN PERIODIC
  SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND HAZARDOUS
  TRAVEL...INCLUDING THE EVENING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

SMD
8 follow-up statements
454 
WWUS43 KAPX 012120 CCA 
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
420 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

MIZ008-015-020545-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0003.160202T1800Z-160203T1800Z/
/O.COR.KAPX.WS.W.0006.160202T2100Z-160203T1200Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
420 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATER THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND PICK UP IN
  INTENSITY TUESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 7 PM TUESDAY 
  AND 1 AM WEDNESDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 7 INCHES.

* GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN PERIODIC
  SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY IN FALLING AND BLOWING
  SNOW. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. 
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. FOR THE
LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ016-017-019-020545-
/O.COR.KAPX.WS.W.0006.160202T1800Z-160203T0600Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX
420 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 1 PM TUESDAY AND THEN DIMINISH
  LATE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A PERIOD OF DRIZZLE AND FREEZING
  DRIZZLE.  

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 3 PM TUESDAY AND
  9 PM TUESDAY EVENING.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. 

* A GLAZE OF ICE IS POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY DAYBREAK.

* GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN PERIODIC
  SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY IN FALLING AND BLOWING
  SNOW.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND HAZARDOUS
  TRAVEL...INCLUDING THE EVENING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ018-020>028-031>033-020545-
/O.COR.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.160202T1800Z-160203T0600Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
420 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM
EST WEDNESDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 1 PM TUESDAY AND THEN DIMINISH 
  AROUND 1 AM WEDNESDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 PM AND 7 PM 
  TUESDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. 

* GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN PERIODIC
  SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY IN FALLING AND BLOWING
  SNOW.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND HAZARDOUS
  TRAVEL...INCLUDING THE EVENING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

SMD
898 
WWUS43 KAPX 020216
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
916 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

MIZ008-015-021030-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.160202T2100Z-160203T1200Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
916 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO
7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATER THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND PICK UP 
  IN INTENSITY TUESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 7 PM TUESDAY 
  AND 1 AM WEDNESDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 7 INCHES.

* GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN PERIODIC 
  SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY IN FALLING AND BLOWING 
  SNOW. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. FOR THE
LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ016-017-019-021030-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.160202T1800Z-160203T0600Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX
916 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO
1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 1 PM TUESDAY AND THEN DIMINISH 
  LATE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A PERIOD OF DRIZZLE AND FREEZING 
  DRIZZLE. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 3 PM TUESDAY 
  AND 9 PM TUESDAY EVENING. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* A GLAZE OF ICE IS POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY DAYBREAK.

* GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN PERIODIC 
  SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY IN FALLING AND BLOWING 
  SNOW. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL... 
  INCLUDING THE EVENING COMMUTE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ018-020>028-031>033-021030-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.160202T1800Z-160203T0600Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
916 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO
1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 1 PM TUESDAY AND THEN DIMINISH 
  AROUND 1 AM WEDNESDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 PM AND 7 PM 
  TUESDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN PERIODIC 
  SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY IN FALLING AND BLOWING 
  SNOW. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL... 
  INCLUDING THE EVENING COMMUTE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 020917
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
417 AM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

MIZ016-017-019-021730-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0006.160202T2100Z-160203T0600Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX
417 AM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN
  DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF FREEZING
  DRIZZLE AND DRIZZLE OVERNIGHT.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 6 PM AND 10 PM
  TODAY.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* A GLAZE OF ICE IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT.

* GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN PERIODIC 
  SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY IN FALLING AND BLOWING 
  SNOW. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL... 
  INCLUDING THE EVENING COMMUTE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ008-015-021730-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.160202T2100Z-160203T1200Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
417 AM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND PICK UP IN INTENSITY
  THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.

* A PERIOD OF FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 7 PM THIS EVENING
  AND 1 AM WEDNESDAY.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES.

* GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN PERIODIC 
  SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY IN FALLING AND BLOWING 
  SNOW. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. FOR THE
LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ029-030-034-035-021730-
/O.EXB.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.160202T2100Z-160203T0600Z/
OSCODA-ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIO...HARRISVILLE...HOUGHTON LAKE...
WEST BRANCH
417 AM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN
  DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF DRIZZLE
  OVERNIGHT.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 4 PM AND 8 PM
  TODAY.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN PERIODIC 
  SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY IN FALLING AND BLOWING 
  SNOW. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL... 
  INCLUDING THE EVENING COMMUTE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ018-020>028-031>033-021730-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.160202T2100Z-160203T0600Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
417 AM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN
  DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF FREEZING
  DRIZZLE AND DRIZZLE OVERNIGHT.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 5 PM AND 9 PM TODAY.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* A GLAZE OF ICE IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT.

* GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN PERIODIC 
  SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY IN FALLING AND BLOWING 
  SNOW. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL... 
  INCLUDING THE EVENING COMMUTE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

AJS
372 
WWUS43 KAPX 021809
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
109 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

MIZ008-015-030215-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.160202T2100Z-160203T1200Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
109 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 4 PM AND MIX WITH SLEET IN PARTS
  OF MACKINAC COUNTY LATER THIS EVENING...DIMINISHING TO LIGHT
  SNOW AND A PERIOD OF DRIZZLE AND FREEZING FOR THE LATE OVERNIGHT
  HOURS.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 8 PM THIS EVENING
  AND 2 AM WEDNESDAY.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES AIDED BY
  BLOWING SNOW.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. 
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. FOR THE
LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ016-017-019-030215-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.160202T2100Z-160203T0600Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX
109 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP BETWEEN 4 PM TO 5 PM...MIX WITH SLEET
  THIS EVENING...THEN DIMINISH TO DRIZZLE FOR MUCH OF THE
  OVERNIGHT HOURS.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 6 PM AND 11 PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES AIDED BY
  BLOWING SNOW.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ018-020>028-031>033-030215-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.160202T2100Z-160203T0600Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
109 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP BETWEEN 4 PM AND 6 PM...MIXING WITH SLEET
  AND POSSIBLE RAIN INTO THE EVENING...BEFORE DIMINISHING TO
  DRIZZLE THROUGH A MAJORITY OF THE NIGHT.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 6 PM AND 10 PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES AIDED BY BLOWING
  SNOW.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE 
  EVENING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ029-030-034-035-030215-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.160202T2100Z-160203T0600Z/
OSCODA-ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIO...HARRISVILLE...HOUGHTON LAKE...
WEST BRANCH
109 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP BETWEEN 4 PM AND 6 PM THEN DIMINISH TO
  DRIZZLE FOR MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 7 PM AND 10 PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR A PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITY THIS
  EVENING AIDED BY BLOWING SNOW.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$
514 
WWUS43 KAPX 022024
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
324 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

MIZ008-015-030430-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.160202T2100Z-160203T1200Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
324 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 4 PM AND MIX WITH SLEET IN PARTS
  OF MACKINAC COUNTY LATER THIS EVENING WHILE THERE WILL LIKELY
  ALSO BE A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER. PRECIPITATION DIMINISHES TO
  LIGHT SNOW WITH FOG...AND A PERIOD OF DRIZZLE AND FREEZING
  DRIZZLE FOR THE LATE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 8 PM THIS EVENING
  AND 2 AM WEDNESDAY.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES AIDED BY
  BLOWING SNOW.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. 
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. FOR THE
LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ016-017-019-030430-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.160202T2100Z-160203T0600Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX
324 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP BETWEEN 4 PM TO 5 PM...MIX WITH SLEET
  THIS EVENING WHILE ALSO HEARING A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER.
  PRECIPITATION WILL DIMINISH TO DRIZZLE WITH FOG AND SOME LIGHT
  SNOW FOR MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 6 PM AND 11 PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES AIDED BY
  BLOWING SNOW.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ018-020>028-031>033-030430-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.160202T2100Z-160203T0600Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
324 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING...EVENTUALLY MIXING
  WITH SLEET AND POSSIBLE RAIN...WHILE ALSO HEARING A FEW RUMBLES
  OF THUNDER. THE PRECIPITATION WILL DIMINISH TO DRIZZLE WITH FOG
  THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE OVERNIGHT.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 6 PM AND 10 PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES AIDED BY BLOWING
  SNOW.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE EVENING
  COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ029-030-034-035-030430-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.160202T2100Z-160203T0600Z/
OSCODA-ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIO...HARRISVILLE...HOUGHTON LAKE...
WEST BRANCH
324 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON
  HOURS. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING...MIXING WITH
  SLEET AND A POSSIBLE PERIOD OF RAIN...WHILE ALSO HEARING A FEW
  RUMBLES OF THUNDER. THE PRECIPITATION WILL DIMINISH TO DRIZZLE
  WITH FOG THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE OVERNIGHT.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 7 PM AND 10 PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR A PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITY THIS
  EVENING AIDED BY BLOWING SNOW.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

SMD
827 
WWUS43 KAPX 030045
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
745 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

MIZ008-015-030845-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160203T1200Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
745 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WIDESPREAD SNOW MAY MIX WITH SOME SLEET IN PARTS OF MACKINAC
  COUNTY LATER THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL DIMINISH TO LIGHT
  SNOW WITH FOG...AND A PERIOD OF DRIZZLE AND FREEZING DRIZZLE
  OVERNIGHT..

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 8 PM THIS 
  EVENING AND 2 AM WEDNESDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES AIDED 
  BY BLOWING SNOW. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. FOR THE
LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ016-017-019-030600-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160203T0600Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX
745 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WIDESPREAD SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET THIS EVENING WHILE ALSO
  HEARING A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER. PRECIPITATION WILL DIMINISH TO
  DRIZZLE WITH FOG AND SOME LIGHT SNOW FOR MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT
  HOURS.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR THROUGH 11 PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES AIDED 
  BY BLOWING SNOW. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ018-020>028-031>033-030600-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-160203T0600Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
745 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE
  FOR THE REST OF THE EVENING...WHILE ALSO HEARING A FEW RUMBLES
  OF THUNDER. THE PRECIPITATION WILL DIMINISH TO DRIZZLE WITH FOG
  THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE OVERNIGHT.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR THROUGH 10 PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES AIDED BY BLOWING 
  SNOW. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE 
  EVENING COMMUTE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ029-030-034-035-030600-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-160203T0600Z/
OSCODA-ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIO...HARRISVILLE...HOUGHTON LAKE...
WEST BRANCH
745 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE
  FOR THE REST OF THE EVENING...WHILE ALSO HEARING A FEW RUMBLES
  OF THUNDER. THE PRECIPITATION WILL DIMINISH TO DRIZZLE WITH FOG
  THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE OVERNIGHT. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR THROUGH 10 PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR A PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITY THIS 
  EVENING AIDED BY BLOWING SNOW. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$
698 
WWUS43 KAPX 030350
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1050 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

MIZ008-015-031200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160203T1200Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
1050 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WIDESPREAD SNOW MAY MIX WITH SOME SLEET WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
  OVERNIGHT HOURS. PRECIPITATION MAY DIMINISH TO DRIZZLE OR FREEZING
  DRIZZLE AND FOG OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN MACKINAC COUNTY.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES.

* SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AIDED BY BLOWING SNOW.

* PLAN ON HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. FOR THE
LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ016-017-019-030600-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160203T0600Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX
1050 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WIDESPREAD SNOW POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET WILL DIMINISH TO
  DRIZZLE OR FREEZING DRIZZLE AND FOG OVERNIGHT.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AIDED BY BLOWING SNOW.

* PLAN ON HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ018-020>028-031>033-030600-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-160203T0600Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
1050 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN WILL DIMINISH TO
  DRIZZLE OR FREEZING DRIZZLE AND FOG OVERNIGHT.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AIDED BY BLOWING SNOW.

* PLAN ON HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ029-030-034-035-030600-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-160203T0600Z/
OSCODA-ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIO...HARRISVILLE...HOUGHTON LAKE...
WEST BRANCH
1050 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN WILL DIMINISH TO
  DRIZZLE OR FREEZING DRIZZLE AND FOG OVERNIGHT.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITY AIDED BY BLOWING SNOW.

* PLAN ON HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$
076 
WWUS43 KAPX 030555
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1255 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

MIZ016-017-019-030700-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160203T0600Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX
1255 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

PRECIPITATION HAS DIMINISHED TO DRIZZLE ACROSS THE REGION.
HOWEVER...UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL REMAIN SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY
EARLY THIS MORNING.

$$

MIZ008-015-030700-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160203T1200Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
1255 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

ONLY LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR LESS
OF SNOW ACCUMULATION. HOWEVER...UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL REMAIN
SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY EARLY THIS MORNING.

$$

MIZ018-020>035-030700-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-160203T0600Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...HARRISVILLE...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...
LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH
1255 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

PRECIPITATION HAS DIMINISHED TO DRIZZLE ACROSS THE REGION.
HOWEVER...UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL REMAIN SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY
EARLY THIS MORNING.

$$

AJS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 1, 4:01 PM EST, 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 1, 4:01 PM EST, 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
401 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

.NEAR TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 356 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

THIS EVENING INTO EARLY TUESDAY...THE STORM SYSTEM WHICH LIFTED UP
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES SUNDAY...WILL CONTINUE TO EXIT NORTHEAST
ACROSS QUEBEC TONIGHT. A WEAK SFC BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
EXITING SYSTEM WILL LINGER OVER THE NRN LAKES INTO THIS EVENING.
850/700MB QVECTORS SHOW ANY CONVERGENCE WITH THE SFC BOUNDARY
DIMINISHING GREATLY ACROSS NRN MI BETWEEN 18Z AND 00Z TUESDAY. AT
UPPER LVLS...NEARLY ZONAL 500MB FLOW DEVELOPED OVER THE GREAT LAKES
AND UPPER MIDWEST EARLIER...AS AN UPPER TROUGH FROM THE WEEKEND
EXITS EAST WHILE A 500MB LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST. 850MB TEMPS IN THE UPPER FLOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STEADY BETWEEN -8C AND -12C THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY. THESE MID LVL TEMPS
COMBINED WITH MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES OVERNIGHT...SHOULD KEEP OVERNIGHT
TEMPS ABOVE NORMAL IN THE LOW TO MID 20S. NORMAL LOW TEMPS ACROSS
NRN MI THIS TIME OF YEAR ARE GENERALLY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.

LAKE INFLUENCES WILL BE LIMITED ACROSS NRN MI THROUGH THE PERIOD AND
CONFINED MAINLY TO THIS EVENING. SUFFICIENT OVER LAKE INSTABILITY
THIS EVENING (MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW INVERSION HEIGHTS AROUND 2500 FT)
WITH 850MB TEMPS AROUND -10C...WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY BY THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AS 850MB TEMPS WARM TO -8C BY 06Z TUESDAY IN ADVANCE
OF APPROACHING PLAINS STORM SYSTEM. ALSO...SFC-850MB WINDS TREND
FROM WESTERLY THIS EVENING TO EAST-SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS
APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM LIFTS IN TO THE SRN LAKES.

OVERALL WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION A MAINLY DRY FORECAST ACROSS NRN MI
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS THE CWA REMAINS TRAPPED BETWEEN
DIMINISHING LAKE EFFECTS TONIGHT AND SNOW DEVELOPING TUESDAY AFTN IN
RESPONSE TO APPROACHING PLAINS STORM SYSTEM. ANY MENTION OF SNOW IN
THE SHORT TERM WILL BE THIS EVENING...AS MID LVL QVECTORS SHOW SOME
CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH WEAKENING SFC BOUNDARY DROPPING SOUTH
ACRS THE CWA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 356 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

HIGH IMPACT WEATHER: TUESDAY THROUGH MAINLY TUESDAY NIGHT...HEAVY
SNOW ACCUMULATION EASTERN UPPER WITH LESSER AMOUNTS SOUTH. STRONG
GUSTY WINDS WITH BLOWING SNOW AND SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN
VISIBILITY. RESULTING HEADLINE DECISIONS.

PATTERN EVOLUTION:

ALL DATA SETS COMING TOGETHER NOW ON THE STRENGTH AND TRACK OF
STRONG LOW PRESSURE MOVING FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS...LIFTING
NORTHEAST THROUGH NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. STRONG LOW TO MID LEVEL
WARM ADVECTION ARRIVES TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH SOLID LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE...WHILE THE CLOSED LOW ALOFT OPENS UP WITH TIME
AND PICKS UP A LITTLE BIT OF SPEED...WHILE LOSING A LITTLE BIT OF
THE DPVA AND UPPER LEVEL JET DIVERGENCE FROM DOUBLE JET STRUCTURE.
AFTER THE STRONG FORCING FROM WAA...THE SYSTEM DRY SLOT MOVES IN
ACROSS NRN LOWER MICHIGAN AND POSSIBLY THE DRUMMOND ISLAND AREA AND
WILL QUICKLY CUT PRECIPITATION RATES DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY. THE SFC LOW
EXITS NE OF US...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT ACROSS NRN MICHIGAN THROUGH
THE DAY. THE DEFORMATION AXIS...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE A LITTLE
STRONGER ARRIVES ALONG WITH COLDER AIR. THERE IS STILL SOME DEEPER
MOISTURE LINGERING INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE
DEFORMATION WHILE TEMPERATURES GET COLD ENOUGH FOR LAKE EFFECT...SO
WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS TIME PERIOD FOR SOME ENHANCEMENT.
THIS DEEPER MOISTURE AND FORCING DEPARTS BY THURSDAY...WHILE THE
NEXT SHORTWAVE IS ALREADY QUICKLY INTO OUR AREA BY LATER THURSDAY
WHILE TEMPERATURES ARE STILL COLD ENOUGH FOR LAKE EFFECT.

ASSOCIATED WEATHER:

TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT: THE MORNING WILL BE QUIET FOR THE MOST
PART...WITH ONLY SOME POTENTIAL LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING BY LATE
MORNING. THE SNOW WILL EXPAND ACROSS NRN LOWER MICHIGAN DURING THE
EARLY AFTERNOON AND WORK IT'S WAY INTO EASTERN UPPER LATE IN THE
DAY. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THIS TIME FRAME...AND
ALSO INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THIS WILL BE COUPLED WITH QUITE GUSTY
EASTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH...HIGHEST ACROSS THE STRAITS REGION
AND THE COASTLINE OF NE LOWER...WHERE IT WILL BE PARTICULARLY NASTY.
TUESDAY NIGHT WE WILL START TO SEE A TRANSITION IN PRECIPITATION
TYPE AS THE SYSTEM DRY SLOT STRIPS OUT MOISTURE ALOFT...WHILE WARMER
AIR ALOFT ALSO AND SFC TEMPS JUST ABOVE FREEZING WILL RESULT IN A
CHANGEOVER TO RAIN THEN DRIZZLE AND FREEZING DRIZZLE. HARD TO SAY IF
FAR NW LOWER WILL GET IN ON A PERIOD OF DRIZZLE...AS WELL AS THE
DRUMMOND ISLAND AREA...WHERE THEY WILL BE NEAREST THE DEFORMATION
JUST TO THE WEST...BUT IT'S LIKELY. THE FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL LIKELY
PINPOINT THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NRN LOWER...AND AREAS NE OF
THERE...AHEAD OF THE WARMER AIR. REGARDLESS OF THE FREEZING
DRIZZLE...DOUBT THAT THIS WILL POSE TOO MUCH OF AN IMPACT WITH
SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW AHEAD OF IT.

SNOWFALL TOTALS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
TUESDAY NIGHT TIME PERIOD WILL BE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT PART OF THE
STORM. SNOWFALL WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 8 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN
UPPER...NEAR 6 INCHES IN FAR NW LOWER (EMMET...CHARLEVOIX...
CHEBOYGAN COUNTIES)...TO AS LITTLE AS AN INCH NEAR SAGINAW BAY WHERE
TEMPERATURES WILL BE TOO WARM AND THE TIME IT'S ONLY SNOW WILL BE
RATHER MINIMAL. DUE TO THE EASTERLY WINDS AND RESPECTABLE SNOWFALL
ACROSS FAR NW LOWER...WILL ADD THEM TO A WINTER STORM WARNING
THROUGH EVENING (SNOWFALL TOTAL OVERNIGHT REALLY DROPS OFF...AS DO
THE WINDS). ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED FOR COUNTIES EAST AND SOUTH OF
THERE...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A HANDFUL OF COUNTIES NEARING SAGINAW
BAY. FOLKS IN THE ADVISORY ALONG THE NE LOWER COASTLINE...THERE WILL
BE TIMES WHEN THINGS ARE NASTY...BUT SNOWFALL ONLY 2-4 INCHES
RESULTING IN THE ADVISORY. THE MAIN IDEA IS TO FOCUS THE WARNINGS
AND ADVISORIES AROUND THE PRIMARY TIME PERIODS OF BIGGEST SNOW/WIND
IMPACTS. EXTENSIONS OF THE HEADLINES CAN ALWAYS BE DONE.

WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT: DEFORMATION LIGHT SNOW (MAYBE AN INCH
TO AN INCH AND A HALF) IS ANTICIPATED FOR WEDNESDAY...ENHANCING
LAKE EFFECT SNOW DEVELOPMENT IN THE NW FLOW REGIMES LATER WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANOTHER 1-2 INCHES THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ARE THERE...BUT
INVERSION HEIGHTS ARE RATHER LOW...4KFT OR LESS.

THURSDAY: LAKE EFFECT IS SURELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY WITH A
CLIPPER COMING IN TO POSSIBLY ENHANCE THAT LATE IN THE DAY AND
EVENING...BUT ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 20S NORTH TO THE MIDDLE 30S SE FOR
BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...COOLING OFF TO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20S
THURSDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 356 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BE AN ACTIVE ONE...WITH SEVERAL DIFFERENT SHORT
WAVE TROUGHS AND A COUPLE CLIPPER SYSTEMS PASSING OVER THE GREAT
LAKES REGION. THE LONG TERM MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT OF A
SHORT WAVE EARLY FRIDAY FIRING OFF SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE
FORECAST AREA AND DRYING OUT A BIT AS THE DAY GOES ON...BUT IT WON'T
LAST FOR LONG. THE FIRST CLIPPER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN
IMPACTING NORTHERN MICHIGAN'S WEATHER FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...WITH POSSIBLE LAKE EFFECT ENHANCEMENT WITH 850MB
TEMPERATURES BETWEEN -10 TO -15C AND PURE LAKE EFFECT SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE DEEPER SYNOPTIC MOISTURE
MOVES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND 850MB
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN -15 TO -22C ON NORTHWEST
WINDS. ANOTHER CLIPPER SYSTEM MAY BEGIN TO IMPACT THE CWA LATER
SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH SOME WARM ADVECTION PRECIP.

DAYTIME HIGHS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
THE YEAR...REACHING INTO THE MID 20S TO LOW 30S. AND LOWS WILL BE IN
THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO TO THE LOW 20S...WITH THE COLDEST
TEMPERATURES OCCURRING SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1248 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

MAINLY MVFR CIGS AND VFR VSBYS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NRN MI TAF SITES
THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS NEARLY ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT AND WEAK SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GREAT LAKES. THOUGH
A WEAK SFC BOUNDARY ON THE BACKSIDE OF A SYSTEM EXITING THE GREAT
LAKES...WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES AND IFR CIGS POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE CIGS AND VSBY FALL TO IFR ACROSS THE TAF
SITES TUES AFTERNOON...IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG STORM SYSTEM LIFTING
INTO THE SRN LAKES.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 356 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...BEFORE A STRONG
STORM SYSTEM BRINGS A TIGHT EASTERLY GRADIENT INTO THE GREAT LAKES
FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. SOLID ADVISORY WINDS
EVERYWHERE...WITH LOW END GALES EXPECTED IN THE NEARSHORES
SURROUNDING THE STRAITS. WINDS EXPECTED DROP BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...ONLY TO RAMP BACK UP INTO ADVISORY LEVEL
OVER MANY NEARSHORE WATERS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY
     FOR MIZ018-020>028-031>033.

     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     MIZ008-015.

     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     MIZ016-017-019.

LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY
     FOR LHZ349.

     GALE WARNING FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     LHZ345>348.

LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY
     FOR LMZ323-344>346.

     GALE WARNING FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LMZ341-
     342.

LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     LSZ321-322.

&&

NEAR TERM...DICKSON
SHORT TERM...SWR
LONG TERM...TJL
AVIATION...SWR
MARINE...DICKSON
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 1, 4:08 AM EST, 12 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
408 AM EST MON FEB 1 2016

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-
042-020915-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
408 AM EST MON FEB 1 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A POTENTIAL WINTER STORM IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WHILE ALL OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN WILL SEE SOME SNOW FROM
THIS SYSTEM...THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL AT THIS POINT IN TIME WILL
LIKELY FALL ACROSS EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND THE STRAITS REGION
OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. SNOW WILL LIKELY TAPER OFF TO DRIZZLE
AND FREEZING DRIZZLE ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN LATER
TUESDAY EVENING. SEE ONGOING WINTER STORM WATCH FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

DURING THE UPCOMING WINTER STORM...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
REPORT SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS. REPORTS MAY BE MADE IN ANY OF
THESE THREE WAYS:

ONLINE:   WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

FACEBOOK: FACEBOOK.COM/NWSGAYLORD

TWITTER:  TWITTER.COM/NWSGAYLORD

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD.

JPB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 1, 4:04 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchAPX12 hr
Feb 1, 3:57 PM ESTGale WarningAPX36 hr
Feb 1, 3:57 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryAPX60 hr
Feb 1, 4:14 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPXAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Benzie, Crawford, Grand Traverse and 11 more33 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2016Every winter storm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.