Alert archive / New York / Wind Chill Warnings in 2016
Wind Chill Warning 1, NWS Albany, NY
NWS Albany, NY issued this wind chill warning at Feb 12, 2016, 4:15 AM EST for 4 states. It took effect at Feb 13, 2016, 3:00 AM EST. It was in force for 34 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 12, 2016, 4:15 AM EST (09:15 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 13, 2016, 3:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 14, 2016, 1:00 PM EST
- In force
- 34 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Albany, NY
Counties Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT
The radar
The Albany radar (KENX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 7 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1204 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 221 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 295 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
593 WWUS41 KALY 120915 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 415 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 NYZ032-033-038-042-047-051-058-063-082-VTZ013>015-122200- /O.UPG.KALY.WC.A.0001.160213T0800Z-160214T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WC.W.0001.160213T0800Z-160214T1800Z/ NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-NORTHERN WARREN- SCHOHARIE-WESTERN ALBANY-WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER- NORTHERN FULTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY... MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR... ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT... DOLGEVILLE...WARRENSBURG...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...ALTAMONT... HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE... BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 415 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY. THE WIND CHILL WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...EASTERN CATSKILLS...WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY... HELDERBERGS AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILL VALUES...25 TO 50 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES * TIMING...LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...WIND CHILLS WILL REACH DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING LEVELS. FRIGID TEMPERATURES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT IN FROZEN PIPES...FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...15 BELOW TO 30 BELOW BY SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. && $$ CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ039>041-043-048>050-052>054-059>061- 064>066-083-084-122200- /O.UPG.KALY.WC.A.0001.160213T1800Z-160214T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WC.W.0001.160213T1800Z-160214T1800Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY- SOUTHERN SARATOGA-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER- EASTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA- EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM... WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM... BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALBANY...TROY... HOOSICK FALLS...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ... POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS... MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH 415 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY. THE WIND CHILL WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...MOHAWK VALLEY...GREATER CAPITAL REGION...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...MID HUDSON VALLEY...TACONICS... BERKSHIRES AND LITCHFIELD HILLS. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILL READINGS...AS LOW AS 25 BELOW TO 40 BELOW. * TIMING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...WIND CHILLS WILL REACH DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING LEVELS. FRIGID TEMPERATURES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT IN FROZEN PIPES...FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...5 BELOW TO 20 BELOW BY SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. && $$
6 follow-up statements
965 WWUS41 KALY 122032 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 332 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 NYZ032-033-038-042-047-051-058-063-082-VTZ013>015-131000- /O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0001.160213T0800Z-160214T1800Z/ NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-NORTHERN WARREN- SCHOHARIE-WESTERN ALBANY-WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER- NORTHERN FULTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY... MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR... ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT... DOLGEVILLE...WARRENSBURG...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...ALTAMONT... HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE... BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 332 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATIONS...WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...EASTERN CATSKILLS...WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY... HELDERBERGS AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILL VALUES...30 TO 60 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES * TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...WIND CHILLS WILL REACH DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING LEVELS. FRIGID TEMPERATURES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT IN FROZEN PIPES...FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...15 BELOW TO 30 BELOW BY SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. && $$ CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ039>041-043-048>050-052>054-059>061- 064>066-083-084-131000- /O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0001.160213T1800Z-160214T1800Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY- SOUTHERN SARATOGA-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER- EASTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA- EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM... WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM... BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALBANY...TROY... HOOSICK FALLS...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ... POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS... MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH 332 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATIONS...MOHAWK VALLEY...GREATER CAPITAL REGION...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...MID HUDSON VALLEY...TACONICS... BERKSHIRES AND LITCHFIELD HILLS. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILL READINGS...AS LOW AS 25 BELOW TO 45 BELOW. * TIMING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...WIND CHILLS WILL REACH DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING LEVELS. FRIGID TEMPERATURES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT IN FROZEN PIPES...FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...5 BELOW TO 20 BELOW BY SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. && $$
899 WWUS41 KALY 130950 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 450 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 NYZ032-033-038-042-047-051-058-063-082-VTZ013>015-132200- /O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160214T1800Z/ NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-NORTHERN WARREN- SCHOHARIE-WESTERN ALBANY-WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER- NORTHERN FULTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY... MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR... ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT... DOLGEVILLE...WARRENSBURG...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...ALTAMONT... HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE... BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 450 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATIONS...WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...EASTERN CATSKILLS...WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY... HELDERBERGS AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILL READINGS...30 TO 50 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...WIND CHILLS WILL REACH DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING LEVELS. FRIGID TEMPERATURES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT IN FROZEN PIPES...FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...15 BELOW ZERO TO 30 BELOW ZERO BY LATE TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. && $$ CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ039>041-043-048>050-052>054-059>061- 064>066-083-084-132200- /O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0001.160213T1800Z-160214T1800Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY- SOUTHERN SARATOGA-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER- EASTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA- EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM... WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM... BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALBANY...TROY... HOOSICK FALLS...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ... POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS... MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH 450 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATIONS...MOHAWK VALLEY...GREATER CAPITAL REGION...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...MID HUDSON VALLEY...TACONICS... BERKSHIRES AND LITCHFIELD HILLS. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILL READINGS...25 TO 40 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. * TIMING...EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...WIND CHILLS WILL REACH DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING LEVELS. FRIGID TEMPERATURES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT IN FROZEN PIPES...FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...5 BELOW ZERO TO 20 BELOW ZERO BY LATE TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. && $$
574 WWUS41 KALY 132028 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 328 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-141000- /O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160214T1800Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 328 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATIONS...ALL OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. * HAZARD TYPES...LIFE THREATENING WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILL READINGS...25 TO 60 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. THE COLDEST WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN GREENS. * TIMING...THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE COLDEST WIND CHILL VALUES TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...WIND CHILLS WILL REACH LIFE THREATENING LEVELS. FRIGID TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN FROZEN AND BURSTING PIPES...FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 WITH GUSTS 30 TO 45 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...AIR TEMPERATURES 5 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. THE COLDEST READINGS WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGHEST TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. && $$
894 WWUS41 KALY 140524 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1224 AM EST SUN FEB 14 2016 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-141330- /O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160214T1800Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 1224 AM EST SUN FEB 14 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * LOCATIONS...ALL OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. * HAZARD TYPES...LIFE THREATENING WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILL READINGS...25 TO 60 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. THE COLDEST WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS. * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE COLDEST WIND CHILL VALUES THIS MORNING. * IMPACTS...WIND CHILLS WILL REACH LIFE THREATENING LEVELS. FRIGID TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN FROZEN AND BURSTING PIPES...FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 WITH GUSTS 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...AIR TEMPERATURES 5 TO 30 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. THE COLDEST READINGS WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGHEST TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. && $$
845 WWUS41 KALY 141032 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 532 AM EST SUN FEB 14 2016 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-141800- /O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160214T1800Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 532 AM EST SUN FEB 14 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * LOCATIONS...ALL OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. * HAZARD TYPES...LIFE THREATENING WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILL READINGS...25 TO 60 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. THE COLDEST WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS. * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE COLDEST WIND CHILL VALUES THIS MORNING. * IMPACTS...WIND CHILLS WILL REACH LIFE THREATENING LEVELS. FRIGID TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN FROZEN AND BURSTING PIPES... FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...AIR TEMPERATURES 5 TO 30 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. THE COLDEST READINGS WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGHEST TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. && $$
083 WWUS41 KALY 141801 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 101 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2016 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-141915- /O.EXP.KALY.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160214T1800Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 101 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING HAS EXPIRED... TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED UP SLIGHTLY FROM THE FRIGID LEVELS OF THIS MORNING...AND WINDS HAVE DECREASED. THEREFORE...THE WIND CHILL WARNINGS HAVE EXPIRED. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind chill warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill warning went out at Feb 12, 4:08 AM EST, 7 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 12, 4:08 AM EST, 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
408 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
FOLLOWED BY AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT WITH SNOW SHOWERS AND
SOME SNOW SQUALLS. IN THE WAKE OF THIS COLD FRONT...WINDY AND
BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGHOUT
THE WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE CONFINED ACROSS OUR WESTERN
AREAS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS DURING THE DAYTIME
HOURS. A WEST SOUTHWESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WIND UPSTREAM OF A
SMALL AMPLITUDE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IN CONJUNCTION WITH A
WESTERLY FLOW ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF A SOUTHEASTWARD MOVING UPPER
LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ORIENT THE BANDS OF SNOW SHOWERS FROM
SW TO NE. SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ARE REFLECTED ACROSS FAR NORTHERN
HERKIMER AND HAMILTON COUNTIES THAT BEST REFLECT THE ORIENTATION
OF THE WIND FIELD AND SNOW BANDS SET UP. OTHERWISE...MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES FOR THE REST OF THE REGION. CLOUDS WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
ENTIRE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST AS WE GO INTO THE EVENING HOURS
AHEAD OF OUR NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM.
HIGH TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW
AVERAGE WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE UPPER TEENS IN THE HIGH TERRAIN
TO LOWER AND MID 20S FOR THE REST OF THE REGION.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
WIND CHILL WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY-SUNDAY MORNING FOR ALL
AREAS...
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...AS WE GO THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY..A NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHIFT ALONG
AN ARCTIC FRONT AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
WORK ITS WAY EAST ACROSS THE REGION. CHANCE AND LIKELY POPS ARE
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS WESTERN AREAS WHERE 500 HPA
VORTICITY ADVECTION WILL ELEVATE THE CHANCES OF SNOW SHOWERS/SNOW
SQUALLS NEAR THE FRONT CLOSER TO THE GREAT LAKES. AS WE GO THROUGH
THE DAY ON SATURDAY...SLIGHT CHANCE AND CHANCE POPS...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS WESTERN AREAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT
SNOW SHOWERS WITH A DOMINANT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.
THE MAIN WEATHER IMPACT WITH THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM IS IN ITS
WAKE...VERY COLD AND LIKELY DANGEROUS WINDCHILL TEMPERATURES WILL
FOLLOW AS WE GO THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.
LATEST 12/00Z MODEL AND NUMERICAL DATA SHOWS A PREDOMINANT
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ADVECTING VERY COLD AIR INTO THE REGION. SOME OF
THE LATEST DATA SHOWS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
MOVING SOUTHEAST INTO NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND BY SATURDAY
NIGHT. TEMPERATURE DATA FOR H925 AND H850 BY 06Z SUNDAY ACROSS THE
REGION WILL RANGE FROM -24C TO -29C AND -30C TO -35C RESPECTIVELY.
WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WINDS BETWEEN 10 TO 15 KTS WITH
GUSTS HIGHER THAN 20 KTS AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON
SATURDAY...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE VERY LOW WELL BELOW ZERO ACROSS
THE ENTIRE REGION. HIGH TEMPS ON SATURDAY WILL BE REACHED IN THE
EARLY MORNING BEFORE FALLING STEADILY THROUGHOUT THE DAY. LOW
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY AND HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL REMAIN
WELL BELOW NORMAL. AS WE GO INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL BE THE COLDEST VALUES WE HAVE SEEN SO FAR THIS SEASON. LOW TEMP
VALUES WILL RANGE BETWEEN -5 AND -10 ACROSS THE LOWER MID HUDSON
VALLEY AND SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD COUNTY TO
-10 TO -20 ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE
ADIRONDACKS WHERE LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM -25 TO -35.
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...THE LARGE COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE GULF OF MAINE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
ANOTHER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL MODIFY SLIGHTLY WITH
A WIND SHIFT TO MORE OF A DUE WESTERLY DIRECTION. WITH HIGH
PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION...TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL
STILL REMAIN WELL BELOW AVERAGE FOR MID FEBRUARY.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A SIGNIFICANT STORM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION DURING THE
EXTENDED PERIOD...HOWEVER...THE EXACT TYPES OF PRECIPITATION AND
AMOUNTS ARE STILL FAR FROM CERTAIN.
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE DEPARTING
OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. AFTER A VERY COLD START ON MONDAY
MORNING...THE SOUTHERLY FLOW AROUND THE DEPARTING AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO REBOUND INTO THE 20S. ALTHOUGH SKIES
WILL START OFF MOSTLY TO PARTLY CLEAR...THEY WILL BECOME MOSTLY
CLOUDY BY LATE IN THE DAY.
BY MONDAY EVENING...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BE HEADING
NORTHWARD FROM THE DEEP SOUTH TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC
COAST. THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE A SURGE OF GULF OF MEXICO AND ATLANTIC
MOISTURE RUNNING UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD. AT THE SAME TIME...ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE SYSTEM WILL BE DIVING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...AND WILL BE
HELPING TO INFLUENCE THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THIS DEEPENING SOUTHERN
STREAM SYSTEM.
MODELS SUGGEST PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF SNOW WILL BREAK OUT
OUR REGION FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ON MONDAY NIGHT THANKS TO THE
STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION IN PLACE. A FEW INCHES OF SNOW WILL
LIKELY ACCUMULATE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION ON MONDAY NIGHT.
HOWEVER...BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE LATEST DETERMINISTIC AND
ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE...THE STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPS
TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING ALOFT FROM SOUTH TO NORTH OVERNIGHT. PRECIP
WILL START TO MIX WITH SLEET/FREEZING RAIN ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS
BY AROUND 06Z...AND START MIXING IN THE CAPITAL REGION TOWARDS
DAYBREAK.
ULTIMATELY...THE DURATION/LENGTH OF THE CHANGEOVER WILL DEPEND ON
THE EXACT TRACK OF THE STORM....WHICH IS STILL YET TO BE DETERMINED.
A PERIOD OF ICING DUE TO FZRA COULD BE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS IF
COLD AIR IS ABLE TO HANG IN. THE MODELS CURRENTLY SUGGEST A TRACK
VERY CLOSE TO THE ALY CWA...AND A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE WEST TO
EAST COULD MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE ON P-TYPE...QPF AMOUNTS...AND
TEMPS. BASED ON THE LATEST GUIDANCE...PRECIP WILL START TO CHANGE
FROM MIXED TO PLAIN RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH DURING TUESDAY
MORNING...WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING A PLAIN RAIN BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE MODELS ARE SHOWING A LARGE AMOUNT OF QPF ON
TUESDAY...AND THE PRECIP COULD BE LOCALLY MODERATE TO HEAVY AT
TIMES. EAST OF THE STORM TRACK...TEMPS COULD RISE WELL INTO THE
40S...WHILE WEST OF THE STORM TRACK WILL REMAIN IN THE LOW TO MID
30S. WITH THE STORM EXPECTED TO BE UNDER 990 HPA AND FEATURE A
STRONG LLJ...THERE WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME GUSTY WINDS...ESP
FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND ACROSS WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION ALL THESE HAZARDS IN OUR HWO STATEMENT.
AS THE STORM LIFTS INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHERN
CANADA...IT WILL CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY STRENGTH. WITH COLD AIR RUSHING
BEHIND THE STORM...ANY LINGERING PRECIP WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW
BEFORE ENDING ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY OF SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW ACCUMS WITH THE BACKSIDE
PRECIP...BUT AGAIN...THIS WILL DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THE
STORM.
MAINLY DRY WEATHER WILL SEASONABLE TEMPS WILL OCCUR BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM FOR WED NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATE IN THE WEEK WITH SOME PASSING NORTHERN
STREAM CLIPPER SYSTEMS AS WELL.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FLYING CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY VFR AT ALL TERMINALS. ASIDE FROM A
FEW PASSING LEFTOVER CLOUDS FROM LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY TO THE WEST OF
THE REGION...SKIES ARE MAINLY CLEAR AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE SO
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WEST WINDS CONTINUE TO
BE AROUND 5-10 KTS FOR MOST SITES...WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS AT TIMES
NEAR KPOU/KPSF. HOWEVER...APPROACHING HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW WINDS
TO DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH WINDS EXPECTED TO BE 5
KTS OR LESS BY LATE TONIGHT.
DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY...WINDS WILL BE S-SW AT AROUND 5 KTS. SKIES
WILL BE FAIRLY CLEAR TO START THE DAY...BUT WILL SLOWLY INCREASE BY
THE LATE AFTN HOURS OR INTO THE EVENING...WITH SCT-BKN CIGS AT 4-8
KFT...WITH CONTINUED VFR CONDITIONS.
AN APPROACHING ARCTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY ALLOW FOR A ROGUE SNOW
SHOWER OR SNOW SQUALL BY LATER FRIDAY EVENING INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT...WHICH COULD TEMPORARILY LOWER FLYING CONDITIONS FROM THE
VFR CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE...IT SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE VFR INTO FRI
NIGHT WITH BKN-OVC CIGS AROUND 4 KFT...AND SW WINDS AROUND 5 KTS.
OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. WINDY. SCATTERED SHSN.
SATURDAY NIGHT: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY. NO SIG WX.
SUNDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SUNDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
WASHINGTON'S BIRTHDAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SN.
MONDAY NIGHT: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SN.
TUESDAY: HIGH OPERATIONAL IMPACT. LIKELY RA...SN...SLEET.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
WITH BITTER COLD AIR IN PLACE...ICE COVERAGE ON RIVERS AND LAKES
WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A
FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY THIS EVENING...BUT THIS
WILL AMOUNT TO LITTLE OF HYDROLOGIC SIGNIFICANCE.
HOWEVER...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HEAVY PRECIPITATION EVENT TO
IMPACT THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE REMAINS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TYPES OF PRECIPITATION THAT
MAY OCCUR...WHICH WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS
POTENTIAL STORM SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME...MODEL GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTING
ONE TO THREE INCHES OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT COULD OCCUR...AND MUCH OF
THIS COULD BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN. IF THIS RAIN WERE TO
MATERIALIZE...IT COULD HAVE A HIGH IMPACT ON RIVERS AND
STREAMS...ESP CONSIDERING THE GROUND WILL BE FULLY FROZEN BY THAT
TIME...ALLOWING MUCH OF THE PRECIP TO BE RUNOFF. DETAILS WILL
BECOME MORE CERTAIN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING OBSERVED
AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE VISIT THE
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WIND CHILL WARNING FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
CTZ001-013.
NY...WIND CHILL WARNING FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
NYZ032-033-038-042-047-051-058-063-082.
WIND CHILL WARNING FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
NYZ039>041-043-048>050-052>054-059>061-064>066-083-084.
MA...WIND CHILL WARNING FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
MAZ001-025.
VT...WIND CHILL WARNING FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
VTZ013>015.
&&
SYNOPSIS...LFM
NEAR TERM...LFM
SHORT TERM...LFM
LONG TERM...FRUGIS
AVIATION...FRUGIS
HYDROLOGY...FRUGISHazardous weather outlook, Feb 12, 3:50 AM EST, 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 350 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ039>041-043-048>050-052>054-059>061-064>066- 083-084-131200- NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY- SOUTHERN SARATOGA-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER- EASTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHEAST WARREN- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON- 350 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...GREATER CAPITAL REGION...CENTRAL AND EASTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...MID HUDSON VALLEY...AND THE TACONICS IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND CHILL WARNING. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WITH HEAVY PRECIPITATION AND STRONG WINDS MAY IMPACT THE AREA BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...THE TYPES OF PRECIPITATION AND AMOUNTS REMAIN UNCERTAIN...AND WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS STORM SYSTEM. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NYZ032-033-038-042-047-051-058-063-082-VTZ013>015-131200- NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-NORTHERN WARREN- SCHOHARIE-WESTERN ALBANY-WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER- NORTHERN FULTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- 350 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...HELDERBERGS...AND EASTERN CATSKILLS IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND CHILL WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND CHILL WARNING. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WITH HEAVY PRECIPITATION AND STRONG WINDS MAY IMPACT THE AREA BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...THE TYPES OF PRECIPITATION AND AMOUNTS REMAIN UNCERTAIN...AND WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS STORM SYSTEM. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Feb 11, 10:51 PM EST, 5 hours 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1051 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-121730- NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 1051 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016 ...POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION WITH EXTREME COLD THIS WEEKEND... * TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND BELOW ZERO ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. VALLEY LOCATIONS WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 5 AND 10 DEGREES FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES WHILE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL REMAIN AT OR BELOW ZERO. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL DROP BELOW ZERO. * NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL VALUES BETWEEN 25 AND 45 DEGREES BELOW ZERO...WITH THE COLDEST VALUES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THESE VALUES WILL RESULT IN FROSTBITE TO OCCUR IN 10 MINUTES OR LESS ON EXPOSED SKIN. RESIDENTS ARE HIGHLY ENCOURAGED TO TAKE PROPER PRECAUTIONS WITH LIMITING EXPOSED SKIN. * IF YOU HAVE NOT DONE SO ALREADY...BE SURE TO COVER EXPOSED PIPES TO REDUCE THE THREAT OF FROZEN PIPES OR PIPE BURSTS. * ENSURE YOUR FURNACES ARE IN WORKING ORDER. FOLLOW MANUFACTURES INSTRUCTIONS OR UTILIZE A QUALIFIED TECHNICIAN TO ENSURE PROPER AND SAFE OPERATION OF YOUR FURNACE. * NEVER VENTURE OUTDOORS WITHOUT WEARING GLOVES...A HAT AND SEVERAL LAYERS OF CLOTHING. * RUN WATER AT A TRICKLE AND KEEP CABINET DOORS OPEN TO PREVENT PIPES FROM FREEZING. * NEVER USE A STOVE OR OVEN TO HEAT YOUR HOME OR USE AN OPEN FLAME TO MELT FROZEN PIPES. MANY HOUSE FIRES RESULT FROM THESE PRACTICES. * NEVER USE A GENERATOR NEAR OR INSIDE YOUR HOME. CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING IS DEADLY. CHECK OR INSTALL CARBON MONOXIDE DETECTORS. * CHECK TIRE PRESSURE AND YOUR CAR BATTERY. BE SURE YOUR CAR HAS A WINTER SAFETY KIT THAT INCLUDES A BLANKET...WARM CLOTHES AND GLOVES IN CASE YOUR CAR BREAKS DOWN OR BECOMES STRANDED. * TAKE EXTRA STEPS TO KEEP YOUR PETS WARM AND KNOW THEIR LIMITS TO COLD.
Nearby
Wind Chill Warnings in New York, 2016Wind Chill Warnings in Vermont, 2016Wind Chill Warnings in Massachusetts, 2016Every wind chill warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.