Storm Warning 40, NWS Juneau, AK

197 
FZAK52 PAJK 210458 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
858 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-212300-
858 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF TUESDAY
NIGHT AND THEN INTO THE EASTERN GULF ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PANHANDLE WILL SHIFT EAST AND WEAKEN
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.  

$$

PKZ041-212300-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
858 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SE GALE TO 45 KT
LATE. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT LATE. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 65
KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-212300-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
858 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 17 FT
BUILDING TO 25 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 9 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-212300-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
858 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO
16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT.
SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 27 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-212300-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
858 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS
8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING
TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT INCREASING TO STORM FORCE
WIND TO 55 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 26 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-212300-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
858 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. GUSTS
TO 55 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN LATE.
.WED...E WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 21 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS
26 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING. GUSTS TO 50
KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

224 
FZAK52 PAJK 211220
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-220100-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PANHANDLE
WILL SHIFT EAST AND WEAKEN THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.  

$$

PKZ041-220100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016 

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO
23 FT LATE. 
.THU...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING S GALE TO 35 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 26 FT
SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-220100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016 

...STORM WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 28 FT SUBSIDING TO
20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-220100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016 

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO
17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 80 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 28 FT SUBSIDING TO
20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-220100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016 

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 60 KT. GUSTS TO 80 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 85 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 28 FT SUBSIDING TO
19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-220100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016 

...STORM WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS
13 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

710 
FZAK52 PAJK 212330
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-221400-
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THEN THROUGH THE PANHANDLE ON THURSDAY. SW WINDS WILL
SPREAD ACROSS THE GULF BEHIND THE FRONT ON THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-221400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO
23 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL IN THE
EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-221400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016 

...STORM WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO
23 FT. RAIN LATE.
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 28 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL IN THE
EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-221400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016 

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT.
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 80 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 28 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL IN THE
EVENING. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-221400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016 

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 60 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT.
SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 30 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 60 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 85 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 28 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-221400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016 

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

347 
FZAK52 PAJK 221149
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
349 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-230600-
349 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE INTO THE
PANHANDLE TODAY.  

$$

PKZ041-230600-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
349 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 65 KT EARLY IN THE MORNING. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. SW
SWELL IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-230600-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
349 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 65 KT EARLY IN THE MORNING. SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-230600-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
349 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 60 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 80 KT EARLY IN THE MORNING. OUT OF CROSS SOUND...GUSTS TO 65 KT
EARLY IN THE MORNING. SEAS 29 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. S
SWELL IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS
LATE. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-230600-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
349 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 60 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 80 KT EARLY IN THE MORNING. SEAS 29 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-230600-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
349 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 26 FT
SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

131 
FZAK52 PAJK 222320
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-231400-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A FRONT OVER THE PANHANDLE WILL MOVE INTO CANADA THU NIGHT.
BEHIND THE FRONT SW WINDS TO 20 KT WILL BLOW ACROSS THE GULF AND
INTO THE OUTER COAST THROUGH FRI NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-231400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. SW
SWELL IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-231400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. SW
SWELL IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS
LATE. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-231400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. SW
SWELL. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-231400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-231400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL IN THE EVENING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
335 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

.SHORT TERM...Extensive very low level marine layer was a long
time in clearing out today with a dense fog advisory that lasted
into the afternoon for southern portions of the panhandle. As the
high pressure ridge shifts east over the panhandle, another night
of light winds is expected. Mostly clear skies tonight will be
favorable for radiation fog to form once again, with the thickest
fog over the inner channels and immediate coastal areas. Areas
that saw significant sunshine today will be less likely to see
dense fog again tonight due to surface drying. Another limiting
factor for another night of dense fog will be encroaching cloud
cover from the approaching front. A cirrus shield has already
spread over the northern two thirds of the panhandle with thicker
mid level clouds now moving into Yakutat from the west. For
tomorrow, variable cloudiness across southeast Alaska - ranging
from overcast in the north to mostly clear over the south - once
the fog dissipates. Tomorrow also represents one last day of dry
weather for areas south of Cape Fairweather. Rain will have moved
into the Yakutat area by late tonight and become heavy at times by
tomorrow afternoon.

Winds over the eastern gulf will steadily increase through
tomorrow afternoon - southerly or southeasterly - except for an
easterly storm force barrier jet west of Icy Cape by late morning
tomorrow. Strong wind gusts to 40 mph also expected in Yakutat by
tomorrow afternoon. At that time, gales will extend down to Cape
Edgecumbe with small craft winds down to the Dixon Entrance. Also
will have small craft easterlies out of Cross Sound and the
western half of Icy Strait. Conditions will continue to
deteriorate into the extended range forecast period.

No changes to pressure, winds, or temps today. Updated PoP and QPF
with the latest high resolution models. Overall forecast
confidence is average.

.LONG TERM.../Wednesday night through Tuesday/ Wet and windy
weather continues into the start of the long range for the gulf
and northern gulf coast, and will start to spread to the rest of
the panhandle through Thu. Highest winds and seas are expected
Wed night and early Thu with storm force winds and seas of 20
plus feet for a large portion of the NE gulf. Some of these winds
will impact the Yakutat area though the highest winds should stay
offshore due to barrier jet effects. However, I am still
expecting gusts to reach 50 mph late Wed night. The wind max is
due to a weak wave riding north along the front wed night. Mid
range models are still playing around with track as current
guidance has trended a little faster and farther west compared to
24 hours ago sending it to Cape Suckling now rather then Cape
Yakataga. Otherwise the rest of the gulf will still experience
gale force winds for most of Wed night.

Into Thu, the westerly flow on the south side of the wave will
push the front rapidly through the panhandle. Southerly winds will
be increasing late Wed night across the inner channels with the
highest winds expected early Thu morning. low level jet strength
along the front is expected to be around 55 to 65 kt at 850 mb.
So Gusts to 45 to 55 mph will likely be common along the outer
coast with gusts to 40 or 50 mph in many inner channel areas as
the front moves through. Winds will diminish throughout the Thu
afternoon and evening.

Heavy rain will also be a concern as there is still plenty of
sub-tropical moisture for the front to work with. Yakutat will
bare the brunt of it as the wave working north along the front
will briefly stall it over the northern gulf coast. Total
rainfall amounts will likely be in the 3 to 4 inch range before
the rain changes to showers on Thu. Farther east, the main
panhandle will see rain as well but the forward speed of the front
will have increased to the point that the heaviest rain will not
stick over a certain area for an extended period of time.
Expecting around a total of 1 inch to 1.5 inches at the highest in
these area before the rain diminishes Thu afternoon through Thu
evening.

The rest of the extended period is rather quiet comparatively
speaking. Upper level trough over the Bering Sea and western
Alaska will keep SW onshore flow and showers going through early
next week. Overall forecast remains damp through next week.
Several shortwave are embedded in this flow that could enhance
rainfall but long range models are still trying to figure out
when and where for each. Current models are starting to reach a
consensus on a wave aiming for the southern panhandle Sun but
timing is questionable. Used mainly WPC for long range updates.

&&

.AVIATION...Low CIGS and reduced VSBY will be an issue once again
tomorrow morning, but conditions are expected to improve earlier
than what was experienced today. Low level turbulence and wind
shear will only be a concern tomorrow afternoon west of Cape
Fairweather.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning
     for AKZ017.
MARINE...Storm Warning for PKZ052.
     Gale Warning for PKZ042-043-051-053.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ021-022-041.
&&

Fritsch/EAL

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