Small Craft Advisory 708, NWS Anchorage, AK

417 
FZAK52 PAFC 081417 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-090230-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1000 MB PACIFIC LOW 500 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 250 NM
SOUTH OF ADAK AT 985 MB BY FRI NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
OVER THE BERING THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH
FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-090230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT W OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ155-090230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 10 KT W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS.
SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-090230-
BRISTOL BAY-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-090230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 10 KT W OF PORT MOLLER. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-090230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-090230-
UNALASKA BAY-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TODAY...N WIND LESS THAN 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-090230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-090230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-090230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ175-090230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ176-090230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ177-090230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. BERING SIDE...E WIND 20 KT
INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT BERING SIDE...19 FT PAC SIDE. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ178-090230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT FROM SHEMYA W. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT FROM SHEMYA W. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-090230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ180-090230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ181-090230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-090230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
617 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

186 
FZAK52 PAFC 082322
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-091215-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 998 MB PACIFIC LOW 420 NM SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA INTENSIFIES TO
985 MB FRI AFTERNOON 260 NM SOUTH OF ADAK...THEN MOVES TO 310 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ADAK AT 989 MB SAT AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
REMAIN OVER THE BERING THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN
THROUGH FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-091215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-091215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-091215-
BRISTOL BAY-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-091215-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-091215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-091215-
UNALASKA BAY-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-091215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ173-091215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-091215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ175-091215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ176-091215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ177-091215-
ADAK TO KISKA-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT BERING SIDE...19 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-091215-
KISKA TO ATTU-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ179-091215-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-091215-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-091215-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-091215-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
322 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

364 
FZAK52 PAFC 091126
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-100000-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 992 MB LOW 370 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK MOVES TO 250 NM SOUTH OF
ADAK AT 986 MB FRI NIGHT...THEN MOVES TO 230 NM SOUTHEAST OF ATKA
AT 993 MB SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-100000-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-100000-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND 20 KT
INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-100000-
BRISTOL BAY-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-100000-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FROM PORT MOLLER E...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING
VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING
TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-100000-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-100000-
UNALASKA BAY-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-100000-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ173-100000-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-100000-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ175-100000-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ176-100000-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ177-100000-
ADAK TO KISKA-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT...INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT BERING SIDE...20 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-100000-
KISKA TO ATTU-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ179-100000-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT...BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-100000-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-100000-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-100000-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
326 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

850 
FZAK52 PAFC 092315
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-101200-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A 988 MB LOW 260 NM
SOUTH OF ADAK MOVES 290 NM SOUTHEAST OF ADAK AT 990 MB SAT
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES 90 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 996 MB SUN
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-101200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-101200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND 20 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT EARLY BUILDING TO
12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-101200-
BRISTOL BAY-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
1 FOOT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-101200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND TO 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING
E 20 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING
TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ170-101200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-101200-
UNALASKA BAY-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-101200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-101200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO
16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-101200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING
TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ175-101200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 17
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ176-101200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ177-101200-
ADAK TO KISKA-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT BERING
SIDE...22 FT PACIFIC SIDE. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
.SAT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ178-101200-
KISKA TO ATTU-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT N 25 KT FROM SHEMYA W.
SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT N 20 KT FROM SHEMYA W. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-101200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 20 KT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ180-101200-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-101200-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ185-101200-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
315 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

953 
FZAK52 PAFC 101140
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-110045-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 986 MB LOW 210 NM SOUTH OF ADAK MOVES TO 230 NM SOUTHEAST OF
ATKA AT 990 MB TONIGHT...THEN TO 80 NM NORTH OF NELSON LAGOON AT
999 MB SUN NIGHT. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 350 NM WEST OF
SHEMYA AT 987 MB SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-110045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-110045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND 25
KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 30 KT
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-110045-
BRISTOL BAY-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-110045-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 15 KT
INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ170-110045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-110045-
UNALASKA BAY-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-110045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-110045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-110045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ175-110045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ176-110045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ177-110045-
ADAK TO KISKA-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ178-110045-
KISKA TO ATTU-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-110045-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ180-110045-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-110045-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ185-110045-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
340 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...VARIABLE 10
KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
422 PM AKDT WED SEP 7 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
One quick look at the satellite reveals that it is indeed Fall in
Alaska. A cold core upper level low is swinging through Southwest
Alaska while there is plenty of activity riding along a swift
moving sub-tropical jet between 40N and 55N. South of the jet
there is plenty of tropical convection, to include the remnants of
former Hurricane Lester. So the 100+ knot jet represents a rough
dividing line between these two regimes.

On the eastern edge of the upper level low, low clouds and light
rain have been plaguing areas from Iliamna through the Susitna
Valley today. From the Cook Inlet through the Copper River Basin,
low clouds are finally starting to burn off and allow some
sunshine to break through. A weak shortwave in advance of the main
low is taking advantage of the instability associated with this
sunshine and triggering some weak showers across the Kenai
Peninsula and the Matanuska Valley. On the backside of the low,
some cold air aloft (-26C at 500mb) is triggering more showers
through Bristol Bay. A broad ridge over most of the Bering is
making for widespread marine stratus and some patchy fog.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The GFS model was preferred by all forecasters today. It has shown
good run to run consistency and represents a more moderate middle
ground among the models when compared to the NAM. Forecast
confidence is moderate to high in the overall synoptic pattern.
Some areas where there is a bit more uncertainty is with
convective potential along the mountains of South Central this
afternoon/evening and the progression of the low as it tracks
through the northern Gulf of AK Thu-Fri. First, some models are
showing the possibility of thunderstorms across much of the South
Central mountains later today. But with widespread low clouds
early today, instability will be limited. Have leaned the forecast
towards the more conservative models. Secondly, there is some
difference on how the energy from former Hurricane Lester affects
the Fri low in the Northern Gulf. The NAM is the outlier keeping
the energy slightly further east. The GFS and EC show the energy
"phasing" to some extent with the upper level low over the
Northern Gulf. This leads to a stronger surface low with gale-
force winds. This forecast trends towards the stronger solutions.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Southcentral is beginning to come under the influence of a closed
upper low over southwest Alaska with weak waves of energy moving
east around the eastern flank. This is helping to enhance some
afternoon convective showers, especially near the Alaska Range and
Talkeetna Mountains. Instability looks rather marginal, so any
thunderstorm threats will likely be relegated to a slight chance
across those aforementioned areas through early this evening.

Heading into Thursday, the closed upper low will drift east over
Cook Inlet, with continued shower threats across inland areas. A
deepening North Pacific low, along with the remnants of post-
tropical Lester, will merge with the closed low and form into a
rather deep Gulf of Alaska low Thursday night and Friday. This
will remain far enough south to keep the pressure gradient
offshore which will result in a dramatic uptick in offshore winds,
especially along the coast. Rapid inland drying will develop
Friday afternoon in conjunction with the offshore flow.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

As the upper level low crosses the Alaska and Aleutian ranges
tonight into Thu, bands of showers will move across the region.
High pressure will build in from the north Thu night behind a weak
front. This will end the showers and maintain generally clear and
dry conditions through Fri.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

Showers along the Aleutian chain will slowly diminish through Thu,
when high pressure builds in from the north. Thu night into Fri
will see rain from a north Pacific low spread across the western
and central Aleutians. This precipitation will be accompanied by
small craft and gale force winds during the period.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Forecast thinking in the extended term is largely unchanged from
the past few days. A pleasant start to the weekend is in store for
Southcentral AK as a high amplitude ridge builds into the region
on Saturday in the wake of a departing trough. Conditions will
then quickly change by Sunday as guidance continues to show good
agreement on a North Pacific low crossing the eastern Aleutians
on Sunday and moving over the southwest mainland Sunday night,
with an associated front moving through the Gulf of Alaska. This
model consistency lends increasing confidence that much of the
southern mainland will see a period of steady rain beginning
Sunday and lasting through Monday night. The potential for strong
southeast gap winds through Turnagain Arm and other favored areas
will also require additional forecast scrutiny in the coming days
as the low center is projected to take a favorable track near
Nunivak Island on Sunday night. Confidence begins to decrease
towards the middle of next week as the system departs to the
east, however a fairly progressive flow pattern and another Bering
low approaching from the west will generally support a continued
chance of rain across much of the region well into next week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gales 177 and 352.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DS
LONG TERM...CB