Small Craft Advisory 608, NWS Anchorage, AK

626 
FZAK51 PAFC 012357
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-021300-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1012 MB LOW 120 NM WEST OF DILLINGHAM WILL DISSIPATE TO A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AS IT MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE
OVER THE PANHANDLE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-021300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-021300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-021300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-021300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-021300-
PORT VALDEZ-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-021300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-021300-
VALDEZ ARM-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-021300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-021300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-021300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-021300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-021300-
CHINIAK BAY-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-021300-
MARMOT BAY-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-021300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-021300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-021300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-021300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
357 PM AKDT MON AUG 1 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

531 
FZAK51 PAFC 021133
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030030-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH ALONG THE NORTHWEST COAST MOVES EAST TO THE
NORTH GULF COAST BY THIS EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING BY WED AFTERNOON.
A WEATHER FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWEST GULF WED AFTERNOON AND MOVES
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-030030-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...WINDS BECOMING NW 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-030030-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-030030-
RESURRECTION BAY-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-030030-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-030030-
PORT VALDEZ-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-030030-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-030030-
VALDEZ ARM-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-030030-
PASSAGE CANAL-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-030030-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-030030-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-030030-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-030030-
CHINIAK BAY-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-030030-
MARMOT BAY-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-030030-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-030030-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-030030-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-030030-
KACHEMAK BAY-
333 AM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. FOG IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

101 
FZAK51 PAFC 022347
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-031245-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST DISSIPATES
EARLY WED MORNING NEAR THE PANHANDLE. A WEATHER FRONT ENTERS THE
WESTERN GULF WED AFTERNOON AND REACHES THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST
THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-031245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-031245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-031245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND BECOMING N IN THE EVENING 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-031245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-031245-
PORT VALDEZ-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-031245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-031245-
VALDEZ ARM-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-031245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-031245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-031245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-031245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-031245-
CHINIAK BAY-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-031245-
MARMOT BAY-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-031245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-031245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-031245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-031245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
347 PM AKDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
450 PM AKDT SUN JUL 31 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Southcentral is situated between an upper ridge over the Southeast
and a closed low spinning over the Kuskokwim Delta. Low to mid
level clouds cover the southern mainland and surrounding waters
as deep moisture advects from the Pacific. The only exception to
this is a small area of clearing in the northern Bering, as seen
on Visible Satellite this afternoon, where subsidence is mixing
down drier air along an advancing ridge from Kamchatka.

At the surface, a low associated with the upper system near the
Kuskokwim Delta, is moving a front across Bristol Bay and the
Kuskokwim Valley. A smaller area of rain is circulating westward around
the low into the northern Kuskokwim Delta across to Nunivak
Island. A surface ridge is working into the northwestern Bering
from Kamchatka with north to easterly flow across much of the
waters with variable flow across the Aleutian Chain and Alaska
Peninsula.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are in relatively good agreement through Tuesday with the
synoptic progression of the closed low tracking into the Gulf. To
the west of this system, a ridge moves into the eastern Bering
with the next low slowly edging into the western Bering and
Aleutians on Monday. The main challenge in the short range is how
the front the moves across Southcentral as the surface low
struggles to advance east due to a ridge amplifying along the
eastern gulf.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2...Mon and Tue)...
The start of the week will be dominated by cool, windy, and wet
conditions for most locations. The closed low that has developed
off the west coast of AK will drift into Bristol Bay Mon and then
take its time making into the Gulf of AK on Tue. In advance of the
low, a weak ridge will remain over the northeast Gulf and even
strengthen some as the low approaches. This will keep the
southeast to northwest gradient rather tight and allow the
southeast winds to remain rather gusty. The winds should peak Mon
afternoon as the occluded front associated with the system swings
through the area.

Precipitation associated with this system will favor southeast
facing terrain on Mon. The heaviest rain will certainly be along
the Gulf Coast with strong onshore flow and the best dynamics.
Rain should also start across much of the Susitna Valley by Mon
afternoon. The precipitation forecast is trickier across the Cook
Inlet where models continue to come in drier with stronger cross-
barrier flow. We toned downed PoPs a little bit with this package,
but they may need to come down further if future runs continue to
show this trend. Either way, does not look like much precipitation
makes it into the Anchorage Bowl until Tue morning when the upper
level low passes overhead.

The last component of this low is convective potential. As it
comes into the Gulf Tue, it will bring with it a -24C cold pool
aloft. As this passes over the warm Gulf waters, it could be
enough to produce a few thunderstorms. It also pushes a few
impulses of energy up into the Copper River Basin where
conditions have been very warm and moist. So we have introduced a
slight chance of thunderstorms for both these areas.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Latest satellite imagery and scatterometer data shows a weakening
area of low pressure just off the coast of Southwest Alaska in
Kuskokwim Bay. The low will continue to weaken as it slowly drifts
to the south on Monday before dissipating Monday evening. Rainfall
will continue across Southwest Alaska through Monday and finally
see some of the rainfall taper off from west to east on Tuesday as
the surface low dissipates and an upper level low pushes into the
Gulf of Alaska. Speaking of the upper level low, this low is
vertically stacked on top of the surface low and has a pretty
decent cold pool aloft (-22 to -24 degrees C at 500 mb) which has
created some instability. This has been observed with taller cloud
tops of visible satellite imagery but the lack of mid-level lapse
rates and surface instability has kept any thunderstorm activity
at bay today. However, some surface based and boundary layer based
instability is expected to develop which may be enough to spark a
thunderstorm or two along the Alaska and Aleutian Ranges.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

The area of low pressure near Kuskokwim Bay will drop into Bristol
Bay by Monday afternoon before dissipating. This will keep some
fairly gusty winds along the western coast of Alaska with gusts
between 30 to 40 mph seen near Nunivak Island. These winds should
diminish rapidly over the next 12 to 18 hours as the low weakens
and the pressure gradient begins to relax. High pressure over the
Bering Sea will keep fog in the forecast for much of the western
and central Bering Sea through Tuesday. Shemya will continue to be
impacted the hardest with visibilities struggling to raise over 1
mile while Adak and Atka could see visibilities less than a mile
overnight but should see some improvement during the daytime
hours.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The big story moving into the later part of the week is the broad
troughing over the Bering that will form a consolidated low center
over the northeastern Bering Thursday night. This setup will pull
up moisture from the south and the southwest flow produced by the
low will bring widespread rain to Southwest and Southcentral
Alaska for the end of the week into the weekend. Guidance is
coming more in line with this overall pattern which is increasing
confidence but there still remains variations in how the upper low
will move. If it tracks south into the Gulf instead of staying
along the coast as some models are indicating then rain amounts
will be more limited for inland locations.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...DK