Gale Warning 439, NWS Anchorage, AK

884 
FZAK52 PAFC 212312
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-221200-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1002 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 100 NM WEST OF
SAINT PAUL WED AFTERNOON AT 1005 MB THEN TO 50 NM SOUTH OF CAPE
NEWENHAM AT 1008 MB THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-221200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-221200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ160-221200-
BRISTOL BAY-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-221200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT...EXCEPT SE 15 KT FROM PORT
MOLLER E. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT EXCEPT S 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-221200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ171-221200-
UNALASKA BAY-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-221200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ173-221200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ174-221200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ175-221200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ176-221200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ177-221200-
ADAK TO KISKA-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ178-221200-
KISKA TO ATTU-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ179-221200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ180-221200-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ181-221200-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-221200-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
312 PM AKDT TUE JUN 21 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.WED...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 20 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

396 
FZAK52 PAFC 221141
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-230045-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1005 MB LOW 175 NM NORTH OF ADAK DISSIPATES INTO A BROAD TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE WED EVENING 150 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS INTO THE WESTERN BERING THROUGH THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-230045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-230045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ160-230045-
BRISTOL BAY-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-230045-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT EXCEPT S 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 6
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-230045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ171-230045-
UNALASKA BAY-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-230045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ173-230045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ174-230045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ175-230045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ176-230045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ177-230045-
ADAK TO KISKA-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ178-230045-
KISKA TO ATTU-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ179-230045-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ180-230045-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ181-230045-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-230045-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
341 AM AKDT WED JUN 22 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 20 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...W 20 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
415 PM AKDT MON JUN 20 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
There is an upper level trough over Alaska oriented north-south
with its axis slicing across the middle of the state. There are
two vort-maxes (just barely closed lows) in this trough, one in
the northern stream near Bettles and one just south of the Kenai
Peninsula. The Kenai vort-max is quickly moving into the northern
Gulf of Alaska. With plenty of cyclonic flow and moisture in this
trough, plenty of showers are occurring across southern Alaska.
There is an upper level ridge building over the Bering Sea,
behind the Alaska trough and ahead of the next system. This next
system is located south of the western and central Aleutians and
is moving north.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The numerical models are in good agreement for the short term
portion of the forecast (through Wednesday afternoon). There are
some minor differences as a low moves through the Bering Sea
Tuesday night and Wednesday, with the Canadian GEM and ECMWF
keeping the low center further south than the Nam and GFS. There
are also some differences in how the GFS and NAM handle the
convective parameters over the next couple of days. The NAM is
quite aggressive with convection over inland portions of
Southcentral Alaska, while the GFS is fairly weak.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
As the Gulf low pushes off to the southeast showers over the
Southcentral will diminish overnight. Tuesday afternoon a
shortwave will move through the area from the north that could
trigger thunderstorms around the Talkeetna Mountains and the
Copper River Basin with showers elsewhere. Then ridging will
build in from the west and change the pattern to a very weak
outflow on Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The departing trough will support a few more showers across the
Kuskokwim Valley and interior portions of Bristol Bay tonight
before a building ridge ushers in warmer and drier conditions
through the middle of the week. Relatively weak low level flow
and subsidence beneath the ridge will aid in patchy diurnally
driven fog development for the next few nights, primarily for
areas along the coast. A deteriorating front will approach the
coast on Wednesday, bringing a renewed chance for rain to the
Kuskokwim Delta.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
A front lifting into the Bering Sea from the North Pacific will
bring rain to a wide swath of the Aleutian chain tonight before
pushing into the central Bering and towards the Pribilof Islands
by Tuesday afternoon. The front will weaken significantly by
Tuesday night as it progresses eastward, but a broad upper trough
lifting into the Bering will keep rainy conditions over much of
the region through the middle of the week.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The long range pattern is progressive through the beginning of
next week as both the polar and subtropical jet streams usher low
pressure systems across the Bering to the Gulf of Alaska. The
first system at the start of the mid range forecast originates
from the subtropical jet pushing a developing low into the Central
Bering from the North Pacific. This will bring rain across the
eastern half of the Bering and the southwest mainland on Thursday.
A tighter zonal flow regime in the wake of this system will bring
a gustier pattern along the Bering and Aleutians. Late Thursday,
rain activity shifts inland spreading across the southern
mainland through the weekend. Lingering showers are expected to
continue into Monday as shortwaves move around the low which moves
into the Gulf, along with energy diving south from yet another
low tracking across the northern coast.

A ridge amplifies across the Bering during the upcoming weekend with
a stable air mass trapping low clouds and fog as it tracks to the
eastern Bering. The next front approaches the western Aleutians
late weekend.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
LONG TERM...KH