Gale Warning 381, NWS Anchorage, AK

825 
FZAK51 PAFC 301646 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

UPDATE FOR ZONE 125

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-010345-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT IN THE CENTRAL GULF MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF LATER THIS
MORNING AND WEAKENS IN PLACE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED 982 MB
LOW 170 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK DRIFTS TO 110 NM EAST OF SITKINAK
LATE SUN NIGHT AT 1001 MB.

$$

PKZ119-010345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND
LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-010345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-010345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-010345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HIGHER WINDS NEAR HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-010345-
PORT VALDEZ-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-010345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-010345-
VALDEZ ARM-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-010345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-010345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ131-010345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-010345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-010345-
CHINIAK BAY-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-010345-
MARMOT BAY-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ138-010345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ139-010345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-010345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-010345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
846 AM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

279 
FZAK51 PAFC 302300
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-011130-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE GULF MOVES ONSHORE ALONG THE NORTH GULF TONIGHT.
THE ASSOCIATED 986 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO
90 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY AND WEAKENS TO 1005 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-011130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ120-011130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-011130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-011130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-011130-
PORT VALDEZ-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-011130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-011130-
VALDEZ ARM-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-011130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-011130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ131-011130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-011130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-011130-
CHINIAK BAY-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-011130-
MARMOT BAY-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-011130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ139-011130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-011130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-011130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
300 PM AKDT SAT APR 30 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
411 PM AKDT FRI APR 29 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
WEATHER RADAR DEPICTS WIDESPREAD SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWER
COVERAGE ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH AND EAST-
FACING SLOPES OF THE COASTAL MOUNTAIN RANGES. GUSTY SOUTHEAST
WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST GAPS OF THE MOUNTAIN
RANGES...IMPACTING AREAS SUCH AS ANCHORAGE PALMER GLENNALLEN AND
BRISTOL BAY. OTHERWISE...CONDITIONS ARE RELATIVELY BENIGN ACROSS
MUCH OF THE SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST PARTS OF THE STATE.

A PAIR OF MID-LEVEL LOWS...ONE A REMNANT UPPER LOW NEAR THE
SOUTHERN AKPEN AND THE OTHER A PART OF A FAIRLY STRONG NORTH
PACIFIC LOW CENTERED ABOUT 625 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK
ISLAND...ARE CURRENTLY BEGINNING THE PROCESS OF CONSOLIDATING OVER
THE NORTH PACIFIC SOUTH OF THE AKPEN. THE LARGE CIRCULATION
ENCOMPASSES MOST OF THE ANCHORAGE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE FAR
SOUTHWEST BERING AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

THE SURFACE FEATURES OF NOTE ARE A FAIRLY ROBUST GALE-FORCE FRONT
WHICH EXTENDS WELL AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW AND IS HEADING TOWARD
ENTERING THE SOUTHERN GULF THIS EVENING.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...RESULTING
IN A FAIRLY HIGH CONFIDENCE FORECAST FOR MOST LOCATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A WARM FRONT CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL
QUICKLY MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE FRONT WILL BE
FAVORABLY ORIENTED WITH THE COASTAL RANGE WHICH WILL ALLOW A STORM
FORCE BARRIER JET TO DEVELOP RIGHT ALONG THE GULF COAST. FOR THE
MOST PART...MOST COASTAL WATERS AND OFFSHORE ZONES WILL SEE GALE
FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS QUICK MOVING FRONT BUT WILL BE
SHORT LIVED AS THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY BY THE TIME
IT MAKES IT TO THE GULF COAST. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT
COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST AS RAIN
UPSLOPES ALONG THE COASTAL RANGE. A FEW SPRINKLES COULD MAKE IT
INLAND LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY BUT DOWNSLOPING WINDS SHOULD
MITIGATE THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL THAT IS ABLE TO MAKE IT INLAND.

SPEAKING OF WINDS...THE COMBINATION OF A COASTAL RIDGE AND THE
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE A COMPACT GRADIENT
ORIENTED FROM EAST TO WEST. THIS WILL ALLOW THE GUSTY WINDS THAT
HAVE BEEN OBSERVED THROUGH THE PAST WEAK FROM EAST TO WEST
ORIENTED GAPS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. GUSTY WINDS IN THE
ANCHORAGE BOWL WILL COME TO AN END TONIGHT AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
STABILIZES AFTER SUNSET.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE PATTERN WILL REMAIN MUCH THE SAME THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BROAD
CYCLONIC FLOW...CENTERED AROUND A LOW APPROACHING KODIAK...WILL
DOMINATE. THIS WILL KEEP MOIST AND MILD SOUTHEAST FLOW PUSHING
OVER THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES. THE NET EFFECT AT THE SURFACE
WILL BE CONTINUED WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF
RAIN THROUGHOUT THE AREA. BY SUNDAY...THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH EARLY
SUN TO HELP TO BUILD SOME BETTER INSTABILITY ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY. AS YET ANOTHER WEAK PIECE OF ENERGY ROTATES AROUND THE
LOW...THIS COULD BE JUST ENOUGH TO HELP TRIGGER A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS. SO WE HAVE INTRODUCED SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF BRISTOL BAY AND MOST OF THE KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY. CONFIDENCE IS MARGINAL IN THIS EVENT...BUT A STRIKE OR TWO
IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AS THE PARENT NORTH PACIFIC LOW PULLS OFF TOWARDS KODIAK SAT...IT
WILL LEAVE WEAK NORTHERLY FLOW AND WIDESPREAD MARINE FOG/STRATUS
IN ITS WAKE. WHILE IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THIS WILL HOLD AS LOW
STRATUS...IT COULD DROP VISIBILITIES AT THE SURFACE FROM TIME TO
TIME. BY LATE SAT INTO SUN...A NEW WARM OCCLUSION WILL APPROACH
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS WILL BRING MINIMUM GALE FORCE WINDS
TO THE EXTREME WESTERN MARINE AREAS WITH MORE RAIN SPREADING FROM
THE WESTERN TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS ON SUN.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...MON THROUGH FRI)...
NOT A LOT OF CHANGE EXPECTED IN THE LONG TERM. ONE UPPER-LEVEL
WILL SLOWLY FILL AND WEAKEN OVER THE GULF EARLY IN THE WEEK.
ANOTHER NEW LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND TRACK
SLOWLY EAST. THIS WILL ALLOW A RIDGE TO BUILD IN FRONT OF THE
SECOND LOW OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA ON TUE AND WED. THIS WILL BRING A
BRIEF BREAK TO THE CONTINUOUS SOUTHEAST FLOW AND ASSOCIATED
FRONTS IMPACTING THE GULF COAST. IT COULD ALSO BRING THE BEST
CHANCE FOR SOME WIDESPREAD SUNSHINE ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND. BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK THOUGH...MODELS BEGIN TO
DIVERGE ON TWO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES. THE FIRST IS HOW MUCH ENERGY
PUSHES INTO THE RIDGE OVER SE ALASKA AND THE SECOND IS WHAT
STRUCTURE THE LOW APPROACHING FROM THE ALEUTIANS TAKES ON. IF
ENOUGH ENERGY PUSHES INTO THE RIDGE...IT WILL SIMPLY GIVE WAY AND
MOVE EAST. BUT IF SOME WARM AIR ADVECTED INTO IT CAUSING IT TO
BUILD...THE ENERGY MIGHT JUST RIDE UP ITS WESTERN FLANK STRAIGHT
INTO SOUTHERN AK. THE STRUCTURE OF THE LOW VARIES FROM THE GFS
DEPICTION OF A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW TRACKING SLOWLY EAST TO THE
EC SHOWING IT MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH A NEW TRIPLE-POINT LOW FORMING
OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF BY NEXT WEEKEND. THIS FORECAST PACKAGE
LEANED TOWARDS KEEPING THE HIGHEST POPS ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS AT
THIS TIME. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO REMAINS NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL AS
WE START MAY. THIS COULD LEAD TO SOME WEAK INSTABILITY...SO WE
WILL BE WATCHING CHANCES FOR CONVECTION.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 119 120 130 131.
 GALE WARNING 125 132 136 137 138 139 150.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MO
LONG TERM...MO