Gale Warning 27, NWS Anchorage, AK

132 
FZAK51 PAFC 020036
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-021400-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT APPROACHING THE NORTH GULF COAST DISSIPATES AS IT MOVES
INLAND LATE TONIGHT. ANOTHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF
LATE SAT NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE GULF FROM SUN
MORNING THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-021400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE
COAST...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 24 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-021400-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ121-021400-
RESURRECTION BAY-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT...HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-021400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-021400-
PORT VALDEZ-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-021400-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-021400-
VALDEZ ARM-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-021400-
PASSAGE CANAL-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-021400-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT
DURING THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-021400-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-021400-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-021400-
CHINIAK BAY-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-021400-
MARMOT BAY-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-021400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-021400-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-021400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-021400-
KACHEMAK BAY-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

463 
FZAK51 PAFC 021245
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030115-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL MOVE INLAND SAT MORNING.
A FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE SAT NIGHT WILL BECOME STATIONARY
IN THE CENTRAL GULF SUN THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-030115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-030115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ121-030115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-030115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-030115-
PORT VALDEZ-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-030115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-030115-
VALDEZ ARM-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-030115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-030115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-030115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-030115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-030115-
CHINIAK BAY-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-030115-
MARMOT BAY-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-030115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-030115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-030115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-030115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
534 AM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. AT THE UPPER LEVELS...THE JET
WHICH HELPED SPREAD COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF SNOW ACROSS THE PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND AREA YESTERDAY HAS NOW WEAKENED AND MOVED EASTWARD
OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND NORTHWESTERN CANADA. CURRENT SATELLITE
IMAGERY IS SHOWING A SIMILAR JET SETTING UP TO THE SOUTH OF THE
GULF AND TRACKING NORTHWARD...WHICH MEANS WE ARE LIKELY TO STAY
UNDER MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STRETCHING OVER MUCH OF THE BERING AND NORTH
PACIFIC CONTINUES TO BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED...AS A VERTICALLY
STACKED LOW ALONG THE BASE OF THE TROUGH BEGINS TO LIFT NORTHWARD
AND APPROACH THE ALASKA PENINSULA. SEVERAL EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES
CONTINUE TO BRING SHOWERY CONDITIONS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND...AS SEEN IN CURRENT OBSERVATIONS AND RADAR
IMAGERY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT IN TERMS OF SYNOPTIC
FEATURES...AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTH PACIFIC TRACKS
ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA TONIGHT...AND TOWARDS THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MODELS HAVE IMPROVED SLIGHTLY
WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE ASSOCIATED FRONT
ALONG THE GULF COAST LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...THERE ARE STILL SOME
MINOR DIFFERENCES REGARDING HOW LONG THE FRONT STALLS ALONG THE
COAST...AND HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE.
CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ANOTHER INTENSE PRECIPITATION
EVENT FOR THE AREAS SURROUNDING PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND...AS THIS
SYSTEM PUSHES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. CURRENTLY
A BLEND OF GFS AND NAM WERE FAVORED FOR THE FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE BEGINNING OF THIS YEAR IS LOOKING A LOT LIKE THE END OF LAST
YEAR AS YET ANOTHER FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA AND
WILL PUSH ONSHORE TONIGHT. THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES FROM
YESTERDAYS FRONT IN THAT THERE WILL BE MORE DOWNSLOPE OVER THE
CHUGACH MOUNTAINS AND THAT WILL DIMINISH PRECIPITATION IN THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN UNTIL THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. THOMPSON PASS IS EXPECTED TO GET BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON INTO LATE TONIGHT WITH THE STRONG WINDS AND SNOWFALL
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A NORTH PACIFIC LOW IS TRACKING TOWARDS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING. THIS WILL BRING PRESSURE
GRADIENT DRIVEN NORTHEAST WINDS TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND SCATTERED
SHOWERS. THE LOW WILL ALSO BRING STRONG EASTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE
ALEUTIAN RANGE AND AROUND BRISTOL BAY. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH
INTO THE BERING OVERNIGHT AND THEN FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE COAST
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE WITH MUCH OF
THE AREA AROUND BRISTOL BAY BEING RAIN WITH THE WARM PUSH FROM THE
SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A BROAD AREA OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE BERING WILL GIVE WAY TO
A LOW MOVING INTO THE EASTERN BERING TONIGHT. AS THIS HAPPENS
FLOW ACROSS THE BERING WILL BECOME MORE UNIFORMLY OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST. THIS FLOW WILL LAST THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL
BRING SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA WITH LOCATIONS FROM THE CENTRAL
BERING EAST SEEING THE SNOW MIX WITH RAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

A BLOCKING RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST OF NORTH AMERICA WILL
PERSIST ON SUNDAY. A SURFACE LOW WELL SOUTH OF THE AKPEN WILL
DEFORM ALONG THE RIDGE INTO AN ELONGATED LOW STRETCHING FROM
BEYOND NUNIVAK ISLAND...ACROSS THE AKPEN AND INTO THE NORTH
PACIFIC BY LATE SUN NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CONTINENT AND
THIS LOW WILL COMBINE TO KEEP A STRONG GRADIENT ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF...WITH CORRESPONDINGLY STRONG SOUTHEAST FLOW. THIS
SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL BE WARM AND MOIST...SPREADING RAIN TO THE COAST
AND BEYOND ON SUN.

FROM DAY 4 ONWARD...MODEL AGREEMENT ALOFT IS IN GROSS AGREEMENT
WITH A BROAD ELONGATED TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA AND THE LARGE
RIDGE FROM BRITISH COLUMBIA TO THE BEAUFORT SEA REMAINING IN
PLACE. THE POLAR JET DURING THIS TIME WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF
ALASKA AT AROUND 40N. WITHIN THE BROAD TROUGH...MODELS ARE
INDICATING MULTIPLE WEAKER SYSTEMS ROTATING AROUND A BROAD CLOSED
LOW ANCHORED OVER THE SEA OF OKHOTSK. HOWEVER AS IS USUALLY THE
CASE IN THIS PATTERN...MODEL AGREEMENT ON THE CHARACTER AND
LOCATION OF THESE SYSTEMS IS POOR. TOWARDS DAY 6 AND 7 /WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY/...BOTH THE GFS AND THE ECMWF ARE BRINGING A MORE
CONSOLIDATED STACKED LOW IN THE 960-965 MB RANGE SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIAN CHAIN THAT WILL MOVE EASTWARD WITH THE JET ALONG 45N.

ON DAY 3...THE NAM AND EC SOLUTIONS WERE USED TO CAPTURE HIGH
RESOLUTION FEATURES AND BEGIN A TREND TO THE DAY 4-7 FORECAST.
WITH THE LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS IN THE EXTENDED...
DAYS 4 THROUGH 7 LEANED HEAVY TO WPC WITH A BLEND OF THE EC EARLY
ON DAY 4.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING ZONE 131 THOMPSON PASS.
MARINE...STORMS 119 138 150
  GALES 120 125 130-132 136 137 139 155 160 165 172 180 181 185
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...TP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...RF/DS