Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2015

Flash Flood Warning 7, NWS Tucson, AZ

July 15, 2015Cochise County, Santa Cruz County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 15, 2015, 1:05 PM MST for Cochise County, Santa Cruz County, Arizona. It was in force for 115 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2015, 1:05 PM MST (20:05 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2015, 3:00 PM MST
In force
115 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Cochise County, AZ, Santa Cruz County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KDMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 90 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2015-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 115 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2015-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 31 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
115 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-282 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2324 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
19 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

884 
WGUS55 KTWC 152005
FFWTWC
AZC003-023-152200-
/O.NEW.KTWC.FF.W.0007.150715T2005Z-150715T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
105 PM MST WED JUL 15 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN COCHISE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA...
  EAST CENTRAL SANTA CRUZ COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA...

* UNTIL 300 PM MST
    
* AT 104 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING
  HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO
  BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  AREAS WEST OF SIERRA VISTA AND PARKER CANYON LAKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF WASHES
AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS
WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 11036 3137 11047 3151 11055 3157 11043

$$
2 follow-up statements
387 
WGUS75 KTWC 152038
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
138 PM MST WED JUL 15 2015

AZC003-023-152200-
/O.CON.KTWC.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150715T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COCHISE AZ-SANTA CRUZ AZ-
138 PM MST WED JUL 15 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM MST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN COCHISE AND EAST CENTRAL SANTA CRUZ COUNTIES...

AT 135 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM 
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN MAINLY NORTH OF PARKER CANYON LAKE AND 
IMPACTING STATE HIGHWAY 83. A REMOTE RAIN GUAGE NEAR PARKER CANYON 
LAKE REPORTED .67 OF AN INCH OF RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. 
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING IN THE AREA. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
AREAS WEST OF SIERRA VISTA AND AROUND PARKER CANYON LAKE. 

LAT...LON 3144 11036 3137 11047 3151 11055 3157 11043

$$
949 
WGUS75 KTWC 152203
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
303 PM MST WED JUL 15 2015

AZC003-023-152212-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150715T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COCHISE AZ-SANTA CRUZ AZ-
303 PM MST WED JUL 15 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN COCHISE AND EAST CENTRAL
SANTA CRUZ COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE
A THREAT. PLEASE CONTINUE TO HEED ANY ROAD CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 3144 11036 3137 11047 3151 11055 3157 11043

$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 5:13 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise, Santa Cruz2 hr
Jul 15, 12:57 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCSanta Cruz48 min
Jul 15, 1:34 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCCochise116 min
Jul 15, 4:32 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCPima28 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2015Every flash flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.