Alert archive / California / Beach Hazards Statements in 2015

Beach Hazards Statement 12, NWS San Diego, CA

July 16, 2015Orange County, San Diego County, California

NWS San Diego, CA issued this beach hazards statement at Jul 16, 2015, 2:33 AM PDT for Orange County, San Diego County, California. It took effect at Jul 18, 2015, 5:00 AM PDT. It was in force for 64 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2015, 2:33 AM PDT (09:33 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 18, 2015, 5:00 AM PDT
Expired
Jul 20, 2015, 9:00 PM PDT
In force
64 hr
Issued by
NWS San Diego, CA

Counties Orange County, CA, San Diego County, CA

The radar

The San Diego radar (KNKX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

San Diego, CA (KNKX), launched 00:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, San Diego, CA at 00:00Z on 2015-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, San Diego, CA at 00:00Z on 2015-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -10 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1921 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-24 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

614 
WHUS46 KSGX 160933
CFWSGX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
233 AM PDT THU JUL 16 2015

...LARGE SOUTHERLY SWELLS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT
THE BEACHES THIS WEEKEND...

.HURRICANE DOLORES WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTHWEST AND WELL
OFFSHORE FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. LARGE SOUTHERLY SWELLS
GENERATED WILL REACH SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BEACHES AS EARLY AS
SATURDAY MORNING IN ORANGE COUNTY...AND SATURDAY EVENING FOR SAN
DIEGO COUNTY. ELEVATED SWELL OF 5 TO 7 FEET WILL BE
POSSIBLE...HIGHEST SWELL ALONG SOUTH FACING BEACHES. IN
ADDITION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY AT THE BEACHES.

CAZ043-552-161830-
/O.NEW.KSGX.BH.S.0012.150718T1200Z-150720T1000Z/
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
233 AM PDT THU JUL 16 2015

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN DIEGO HAS ISSUED A BEACH
HAZARDS STATEMENT FOR ELEVATED SURF...RIP CURRENTS...AND
LIGHTNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT.

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FEET SATURDAY WITH
  THE HIGHEST SURF LIKELY ALONG THE SOUTH FACING
  BEACHES...CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

* THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND
  SUNDAY.

* IMPACTS...HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND ELEVATED SURF.
  ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
  LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...ELEVATED SURF HEIGHTS...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW...OR
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE AT LOCAL BEACHES. OBEY POSTED WARNING
SIGNS AND FLAGS AND TALK TO A LIFEGUARD BEFORE SWIMMING. USE
CAUTION WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER AND ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A
LIFEGUARD.

&&

$$

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO

JMB
13 follow-up statements
087 
WHUS46 KSGX 161927
CFWSGX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
1227 PM PDT THU JUL 16 2015

...LARGE SOUTHERLY SWELLS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT
THE BEACHES THIS WEEKEND...

.HURRICANE DOLORES WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTHWEST AND WELL
OFFSHORE FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. LARGE SOUTHERLY
SWELLS WILL REACH SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BEACHES AS EARLY AS
SATURDAY MORNING IN ORANGE COUNTY...AND SATURDAY EVENING FOR SAN
DIEGO COUNTY. ELEVATED SWELL OF 5 TO 7 FEET WILL BE
POSSIBLE...HIGHEST SWELL ALONG SOUTH FACING BEACHES. IN
ADDITION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY AT THE BEACHES.

CAZ043-552-170330-
/O.CON.KSGX.BH.S.0012.150718T1200Z-150720T1000Z/
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
1227 PM PDT THU JUL 16 2015

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FEET SATURDAY WITH 
  THE HIGHEST SURF LIKELY ALONG THE SOUTH FACING BEACHES... 
  CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. 

* THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND 
  SUNDAY. 

* IMPACTS...HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND ELEVATED SURF. 
  ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND 
  LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...ELEVATED SURF HEIGHTS...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW...OR
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE AT LOCAL BEACHES. OBEY POSTED WARNING
SIGNS AND FLAGS AND TALK TO A LIFEGUARD BEFORE SWIMMING. USE
CAUTION WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER AND ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A
LIFEGUARD.

&&

$$

SMALL

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO
669 
WHUS46 KSGX 162039
CFWSGX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
139 PM PDT THU JUL 16 2015

...LARGE SOUTHERLY SWELLS THIS WEEKEND INTO MONDAY...AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE BEACHES THIS WEEKEND...

.HURRICANE DOLORES WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTHWEST...WELL OFFSHORE
FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. LARGE SOUTHERLY SWELLS WILL
REACH SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BEACHES AS EARLY AS SATURDAY MORNING IN
ORANGE COUNTY...AND SATURDAY EVENING FOR SAN DIEGO COUNTY.
ELEVATED SWELL OF 5 TO 7 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE... HIGHEST SWELL
ALONG SOUTH FACING BEACHES. IN ADDITION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AT THE BEACHES.

CAZ043-552-170445-
/O.EXT.KSGX.BH.S.0012.150718T1200Z-150721T0400Z/
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
139 PM PDT THU JUL 16 2015

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FEET SATURDAY WITH
  THE HIGHEST SURF LIKELY ALONG THE SOUTH FACING BEACHES...
  CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

* THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND 
  SUNDAY. 

* IMPACTS...HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND ELEVATED SURF. 
  ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND 
  LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...ELEVATED SURF HEIGHTS...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW...OR
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE AT LOCAL BEACHES. OBEY POSTED WARNING
SIGNS AND FLAGS AND TALK TO A LIFEGUARD BEFORE SWIMMING. USE
CAUTION WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER AND ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A
LIFEGUARD.

&&

$$

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO

SMALL
130 
WHUS46 KSGX 170311
CFWSGX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
811 PM PDT THU JUL 16 2015

...LARGE SOUTHERLY SWELLS THIS WEEKEND INTO MONDAY...AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE BEACHES THIS WEEKEND...

.HURRICANE DOLORES WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTHWEST...WELL OFFSHORE
FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. LARGE SOUTH SWELLS WILL REACH
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BEACHES AS EARLY AS SATURDAY MORNING IN ORANGE
COUNTY...AND SATURDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN SAN DIEGO COUNTY.
ELEVATED SWELL OF 5 TO 7 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE. HIGHEST SWELLS
WILL BE ALONG SOUTH FACING BEACHES. IN ADDITION...ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AT THE BEACHES.

CAZ043-552-171100-
/O.CON.KSGX.BH.S.0012.150718T1200Z-150721T0400Z/
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
811 PM PDT THU JUL 16 2015

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FEET SATURDAY WITH
  THE HIGHEST SURF LIKELY ALONG THE SOUTH FACING BEACHES OF ORANGE
  COUNTY...CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

* THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND 
  SUNDAY. 

* IMPACTS...HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND ELEVATED SURF. 
  ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND 
  LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...ELEVATED SURF HEIGHTS...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW...OR
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE AT LOCAL BEACHES. OBEY POSTED WARNING
SIGNS AND FLAGS AND TALK TO A LIFEGUARD BEFORE SWIMMING. USE
CAUTION WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER AND ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A
LIFEGUARD.

&&

$$

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO
885 
WHUS46 KSGX 171106
CFWSGX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
406 AM PDT FRI JUL 17 2015

...LARGE SOUTHERLY SWELLS FOR THIS WEEKEND THROUGH MONDAY...
...A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AT THE BEACHES THIS WEEKEND...

.HURRICANE DOLORES WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTHWEST...WELL OFFSHORE
FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. LARGE SOUTH SWELLS WILL REACH
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BEACHES AS EARLY AS SATURDAY MORNING IN
ORANGE COUNTY...AND SATURDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN SAN DIEGO
COUNTY. ELEVATED SWELL OF 5 TO 7 FEET WILL BE EXPECTED. HIGHEST
SWELLS WILL BE ALONG SOUTH FACING BEACHES. IN ADDITION...THERE
WILL BE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AT THE
BEACHES.

CAZ043-552-171930-
/O.CON.KSGX.BH.S.0012.150718T1200Z-150721T0400Z/
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
406 AM PDT FRI JUL 17 2015

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FEET SATURDAY WITH
  THE HIGHEST SURF ALONG SOUTH FACING BEACHES OF ORANGE
  COUNTY...CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

* THUNDERSTORMS...CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

* IMPACTS...HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND ELEVATED SURF. 
  ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND 
  LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...ELEVATED SURF HEIGHTS...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW...OR
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE AT LOCAL BEACHES. OBEY POSTED WARNING
SIGNS AND FLAGS AND TALK TO A LIFEGUARD BEFORE SWIMMING. USE
CAUTION WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER AND ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A
LIFEGUARD.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO

JMB
971 
WHUS46 KSGX 171937
CFWSGX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
1237 PM PDT FRI JUL 17 2015

...ELEVATED SURF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS THIS WEEKEND THROUGH
MONDAY...
...A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AT THE BEACHES THIS WEEKEND...

.TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTHWEST...WELL
OFFSHORE FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. LARGE SOUTH SWELLS
WILL REACH SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BEACHES AS EARLY AS SATURDAY
MORNING IN ORANGE COUNTY...AND SATURDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN SAN
DIEGO COUNTY. ELEVATED SURF OF 5 TO 7 FEET WILL BE EXPECTED.
HIGHEST SURF WILL BE ALONG SOUTH FACING BEACHES...WITH WIDESPREAD
STRONG RIP CURRENTS. IN ADDITION...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AT THE BEACHES.

CAZ043-552-180800-
/O.CON.KSGX.BH.S.0012.150718T1200Z-150721T0400Z/
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
1237 PM PDT FRI JUL 17 2015

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* SURF...BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FEET SATURDAY WITH THE HIGHEST SURF
  ALONG SOUTH FACING BEACHES OF ORANGE COUNTY...CONTINUING
  THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

* THUNDERSTORMS...CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
  ALONG THE BEACHES.

* IMPACTS...HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND ELEVATED SURF.
  ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
  DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY
  DOWNPOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...ELEVATED SURF HEIGHTS...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW...OR
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE AT LOCAL BEACHES. OBEY POSTED WARNING
SIGNS AND FLAGS AND TALK TO A LIFEGUARD BEFORE SWIMMING. USE
CAUTION WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER AND ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A
LIFEGUARD.

&&

$$

JJT

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO
143 
WHUS46 KSGX 180720
CFWSGX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
1220 AM PDT SAT JUL 18 2015

...ELEVATED SURF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS THIS WEEKEND THROUGH
MONDAY... ...A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AT THE BEACHES THIS
WEEKEND...

.TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTHWEST...WELL
OFFSHORE OF BAJA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. MODERATE
SHORT PERIOD SOUTH SWELLS WILL REACH SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BEACHES
AS EARLY AS SATURDAY MORNING IN ORANGE COUNTY...AND SATURDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHERN SAN DIEGO COUNTY. ELEVATED SURF OF 3 TO 6
FEET WITH LOCALLY HIGHER SETS IS EXPECTED ON SOUTH FACING
BEACHES...ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD STRONG RIP AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS.
IN ADDITION...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY AT THE BEACHES.

CAZ043-552-182100-
/O.CON.KSGX.BH.S.0012.150718T1200Z-150721T0400Z/
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
1220 AM PDT SAT JUL 18 2015

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM PDT EARLY
THIS MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* SURF...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET TODAY AND WITH THE HIGHEST SURF
  ALONG SOUTH FACING BEACHES OF ORANGE COUNTY...CONTINUING THROUGH
  MONDAY EVENING. ISOLATED SETS TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN
  ORANGE COUNTY ON SUNDAY.

* THUNDERSTORMS...CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AT THE BEACHES TODAY AND
  THROUGH LATE SUNDAY.

* IMPACTS...HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS AND
  ELEVATED SURF. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF
  PRODUCING DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND
  HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...ELEVATED SURF HEIGHTS...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW...OR
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE AT LOCAL BEACHES. OBEY POSTED WARNING
SIGNS AND FLAGS AND TALK TO A LIFEGUARD BEFORE SWIMMING. USE
CAUTION WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER AND ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A
LIFEGUARD.

&&

$$

SS

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SAN DIEGO
475 
WHUS46 KSGX 182054
CFWSGX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
154 PM PDT SAT JUL 18 2015

...ELEVATED SURF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS THIS WEEKEND THROUGH
MONDAY... ...A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AT THE BEACHES THROUGH 
THIS EVENING...

.TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE
NORTHWEST...WELL OFFSHORE OF BAJA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.
HOWEVER...MODERATE SHORT PERIOD SOUTH SWELLS GENERATED FROM THIS 
SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS THROUGH 
MONDAY. ELEVATED SURF OF 3 TO 5 FEET IS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER SETS ON SOUTH FACING BEACHES BY LATE SUNDAY.
WIDESPREAD STRONG RIP AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS WILL ACCOMPANY
THE ELEVATED SURF. IN ADDITION...SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING.

CAZ043-552-190600-
/O.CON.KSGX.BH.S.0012.000000T0000Z-150721T0400Z/
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
154 PM PDT SAT JUL 18 2015

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

* SURF...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGHEST 
  SURF ALONG SOUTH FACING BEACHES OF ORANGE COUNTY...CONTINUING 
  THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. ISOLATED SETS OF 7 TO 8 FEET POSSIBLE 
  IN NORTHERN ORANGE COUNTY BY LATE SUNDAY. 

* THUNDERSTORMS...SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. ISOLATED CLOUD TO BEACH
  LIGHTNING STRIKES REMAIN A THREAT.  

* IMPACTS...HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS AND 
  ELEVATED SURF. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE 
  OF PRODUCING DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS 
  AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...ELEVATED SURF HEIGHTS...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW...OR
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE AT LOCAL BEACHES. OBEY POSTED WARNING
SIGNS AND FLAGS AND TALK TO A LIFEGUARD BEFORE SWIMMING. USE
CAUTION WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER AND ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A
LIFEGUARD.

&&

$$
JT

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO
014 
WHUS46 KSGX 190450
CFWSGX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
950 PM PDT SAT JUL 18 2015

...ELEVATED SURF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS THIS WEEKEND THROUGH
MONDAY... 

.TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE
NORTHWEST...WELL OFFSHORE OF BAJA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.
HOWEVER...MODERATE SHORT PERIOD SOUTH SWELLS GENERATED FROM THIS
SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS THROUGH
MONDAY. ELEVATED SURF OF 3 TO 5 FEET IS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER SETS ON SOUTH FACING BEACHES BY LATE SUNDAY.
WIDESPREAD STRONG RIP AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
ELEVATED SURF. 

CAZ043-552-191300-
/O.CON.KSGX.BH.S.0012.000000T0000Z-150721T0400Z/
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
950 PM PDT SAT JUL 18 2015

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

* SURF...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGHEST
  SURF ALONG SOUTH FACING BEACHES OF ORANGE COUNTY...CONTINUING
  THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. ISOLATED SETS OF 7 TO 8 FEET POSSIBLE IN
  NORTHERN ORANGE COUNTY BY LATE SUNDAY. 

* IMPACTS...HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS AND
  ELEVATED SURF. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...ELEVATED SURF HEIGHTS...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW...OR
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE AT LOCAL BEACHES. OBEY POSTED WARNING
SIGNS AND FLAGS AND TALK TO A LIFEGUARD BEFORE SWIMMING. USE
CAUTION WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER AND ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A
LIFEGUARD.

&&

$$

TS

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO
337 
WHUS46 KSGX 191226
CFWSGX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
526 AM PDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...ELEVATED SURF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS THROUGH MONDAY...

.THE REMNANT LOW OF FORMER TROPICAL CYCLONE DOLORES WILL CONTINUE
TO WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTHWEST...WELL OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER...MODERATE SHORT PERIOD SOUTH SWELLS GENERATED
FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL
WATERS THROUGH MONDAY. ELEVATED SURF OF 3 TO 5 FEET IS EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER SETS ON SOUTH FACING BEACHES BY
LATE SUNDAY. WIDESPREAD STRONG RIP AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE ELEVATED SURF.

CAZ043-552-192100-
/O.CON.KSGX.BH.S.0012.000000T0000Z-150721T0400Z/
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
526 AM PDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

* SURF...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGHEST
  SURF ALONG SOUTH FACING BEACHES OF ORANGE COUNTY...CONTINUING
  THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. ISOLATED SETS OF 6 FEET POSSIBLE IN
  NORTHERN ORANGE COUNTY BY LATE SUNDAY.

* IMPACTS...HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS AND
  ELEVATED SURF AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...ELEVATED SURF HEIGHTS...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW...OR
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE AT LOCAL BEACHES. OBEY POSTED WARNING
SIGNS AND FLAGS AND TALK TO A LIFEGUARD BEFORE SWIMMING. USE
CAUTION WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER AND ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A
LIFEGUARD.

&&

$$

SS

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO
024 
WHUS46 KSGX 191442
CFWSGX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
742 AM PDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...ELEVATED SURF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS THROUGH MONDAY...

...SLIGHT LIGHTNING RISK FOR THE BEACHES TODAY...

.THE REMNANT LOW OF FORMER TROPICAL CYCLONE DOLORES WILL CONTINUE
TO WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTHWEST...WELL OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER...MODERATE SHORT PERIOD SOUTH SWELLS
GENERATED FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
COASTAL WATERS THROUGH MONDAY. ELEVATED SURF OF 3 TO 5 FEET IS
EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER SETS ON SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST FACING BEACHES BY LATE TODAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY.
WIDESPREAD STRONG RIP AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
ELEVATED SURF.

WHILE CHANCES ARE A BIT LOWER FOR BEACH LIGHTNING TODAY COMPARED
TO YESTERDAY...THERE IS STILL THE CHANCE FOR SOME THUNDERSTORMS AT
THE BEACHES TODAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...BUT
POSSIBLY INTO THE EVENING AS WELL.

CAZ043-552-200245-
/O.CON.KSGX.BH.S.0012.000000T0000Z-150721T0400Z/
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
742 AM PDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

* SURF...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGHEST
  SURF ALONG SOUTH FACING BEACHES OF ORANGE COUNTY...CONTINUING
  THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. ISOLATED SETS TO 6 FEET POSSIBLE IN
  NORTHERN ORANGE COUNTY BY LATE TODAY. SURF OF 3 TO 5 FEET
  POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SAN DIEGO COUNTY BY MONDAY.

* LIGHTNING...CHANCE FOR LIGHTNING AT THE BEACHES THIS AFTERNOON
  INTO THE EVENING.

* IMPACTS...HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS AND
  ELEVATED SURF AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS. ANY
  THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DEADLY
  CLOUD TO GROUND AND CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND
  HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...ELEVATED SURF HEIGHTS...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW...OR
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE AT LOCAL BEACHES. OBEY POSTED WARNING
SIGNS AND FLAGS AND TALK TO A LIFEGUARD BEFORE SWIMMING. USE
CAUTION WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER AND ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A
LIFEGUARD.

&&

$$

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO

HARRISON
687 
WHUS46 KSGX 200245
CFWSGX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
745 PM PDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...ELEVATED SURF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS THROUGH MONDAY...

...SLIGHT LIGHTNING RISK FOR THE ORANGE COUNTY BEACHES MONDAY...

.MODERATE SHORT PERIOD SOUTH SWELLS GENERATED FROM FORMER
HURRICANE DOLORES WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL
WATERS THROUGH MONDAY. ELEVATED SURF OF 3 TO 5 FEET IS EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER SETS ON SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST
FACING BEACHES THROUGH MONDAY. WIDESPREAD STRONG RIP AND
LONGSHORE CURRENTS WILL ACCOMPANY THE ELEVATED SURF.

WHILE CHANCES ARE LOWER FOR BEACH LIGHTNING MONDAY...THERE IS
STILL THE CHANCE FOR SOME THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY AT THE ORANGE
COUNTY BEACHES.

CAZ043-552-201045-
/O.CON.KSGX.BH.S.0012.000000T0000Z-150721T0400Z/
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
745 PM PDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

* SURF...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGHEST 
  SURF ALONG SOUTH FACING BEACHES OF ORANGE COUNTY...CONTINUING 
  THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. ISOLATED SETS TO 6 FEET POSSIBLE IN 
  NORTHERN ORANGE COUNTY BY LATE TODAY. SURF OF 3 TO 5 FEET 
  POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SAN DIEGO COUNTY BY MONDAY. 

* LIGHTNING...CHANCE FOR LIGHTNING AT THE ORANGE COUNTY BEACHES
  MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS AND 
  ELEVATED SURF AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS. ANY 
  THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DEADLY 
  CLOUD TO GROUND AND CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND 
  HEAVY DOWNPOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...ELEVATED SURF HEIGHTS...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW...OR
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE AT LOCAL BEACHES. OBEY POSTED WARNING
SIGNS AND FLAGS AND TALK TO A LIFEGUARD BEFORE SWIMMING. USE
CAUTION WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER AND ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A
LIFEGUARD.

&&

$$

TS

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO
155 
WHUS46 KSGX 201230
CFWSGX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
530 AM PDT MON JUL 20 2015

...ELEVATED SURF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS TODAY...

.MODERATE SHORT PERIOD SOUTH SWELLS GENERATED FROM FORMER
HURRICANE DOLORES WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL
WATERS TODAY. ELEVATED SURF OF 3 TO 5 FEET IS WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
SETS ON SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FACING BEACHES. WIDESPREAD STRONG RIP
AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS WILL ACCOMPANY THE ELEVATED SURF.

CAZ043-552-210400-
/O.CON.KSGX.BH.S.0012.000000T0000Z-150721T0400Z/
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
530 AM PDT MON JUL 20 2015

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* SURF...3 TO 5 FEET WITH ISOLATED SETS TO 6 FEET. THE HIGHEST
  SURF WILL BE ALONG SOUTH FACING BEACHES OF NORTHERN ORANGE
  COUNTY.

* IMPACTS...HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS AND
  ELEVATED SURF AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...ELEVATED SURF HEIGHTS...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW...OR
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE AT LOCAL BEACHES. OBEY POSTED WARNING
SIGNS AND FLAGS AND TALK TO A LIFEGUARD BEFORE SWIMMING. USE
CAUTION WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER AND ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A
LIFEGUARD.

&&

$$

SS

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO
002 
WHUS46 KSGX 210334
CFWSGX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
834 PM PDT MON JUL 20 2015

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT EXPIRES AT 9 PM...

.SURF AND RIP CURRENTS PRODUCED BY THE REMNANTS OF FORMER
HURRICANE DOLORES WILL STEADILY SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT.

CAZ043-552-210445-
/O.EXP.KSGX.BH.S.0012.000000T0000Z-150721T0400Z/
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
834 PM PDT MON JUL 20 2015

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING...

SURF IS LOWER AND RIP CURRENTS ARE WEAKENING. THIS TREND WILL
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Diego, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Jul 15, 8:57 PM PDT, 5 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 8:57 PM PDT, 5 hours 36 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
857 PM PDT WED JUL 15 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
FAIR AND SEASONAL JULY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL ACROSS SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA THROUGH FRIDAY UNDER A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH ALOFT.
AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP EACH NIGHT AND MOVE LOCALLY
INLAND BEFORE BURNING OFF MID MORNING...AND GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS
WILL CONTINUE LATE EACH DAY THROUGH LATE NIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND DESERTS. IT WILL BECOME MORE HUMID INTO THE WEEKEND AS MONSOONAL
MOISTURE INCREASES FROM THE SOUTH...ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

NO MAJOR CHANGES IN THE FORECAST TONIGHT...

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED MARINE CLOUDS OFFSHORE SPREADING INLAND
OVER COASTAL AREAS AT 8 PM PDT. ONSHORE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS
OF 4 TO 8 MBS WERE SLIGHTLY WEAKER THAN ON TUE...BUT STILL FUELING
30-45 MPH WIND GUSTS THROUGH AND BELOW THE WINDIER PASSES. THE 00Z
MIRAMAR SOUNDING HAD A 6 DEGREE C INVERSION BASED NEAR 1800 FT.

A MODERATELY DEEP MARINE LAYER AND ONSHORE FLOW WILL DRAW MORE
MARINE STRATUS INLAND OVERNIGHT AND KEEP DAYTIME TEMPERATURES IN
CHECK WEST OF THE MTS. THE PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO CHANGE ON FRI...
ALLOWING MORE CLOUDS AND HUMIDITY TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE
REGION.

HURRICANE DOLORES REMAINS JUST OVER 1000 MILES SE OF SAN DIEGO THIS
EVENING AND WAS DRIFTING NW AT ABOUT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 115 MPH. THE LATEST NHC FORECAST TRACK MOVES THE STORM
SLOWLY NW...WITH A CURVE TO A MORE NORTHERLY DIRECTION AND AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE WEEKEND. AS IT MOVES OVER COLDER
WATERS IT WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY. BY SAT EVENING THE STORM CENTER IS
FORECAST TO BE 537 MILES SW OF SAN DIEGO WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 35 KT. MODELS CARRY THE REMNANT MOISTURE FROM THE STORM NE
ACROSS CENTRAL CA NEXT WEEK.

FROM THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

THE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE REGION WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATELY
DEEP MARINE LAYER OVER SW CA THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS WILL DEVELOP
NIGHT/MORNING LOW CLOUDS OVER THE COAST AND INTO THE VALLEYS AND
INLAND EMPIRE...CREATE BREEZY AFTERNOON/EVENING WESTERLY WINDS
THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES AND ALONG DESERT MOUNTAIN SLOPES...AND
MODERATE HIGH TEMPERATURES TO 5 TO 10 DEG F BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS.
THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER TEXAS WILL BEGIN BUILDING WEST AT THE END
OF THE WEEK...WHICH WILL CREATE A SLIGHTLY SHALLOWER MARINE LAYER
AND RAISE HIGH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES ON FRIDAY.

BY SATURDAY...THE RIDGE WILL HELP SHIFT UPPER-LEVEL FLOW FROM
SOUTHWEST TO MORE SOUTHERLY AND ADVECT MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO
THE AREA. ADDITIONALLY...TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE
DOLORES MAY MOVE INTO THE REGION. RECENT MODEL RUNS HAVE MOVED THE
TRACK OF DOLORES FARTHER WEST AND LOWERED FORECAST PERCEPTIBLE
WATER VALUES OVER THE AREA TO BETWEEN 1.00 TO 1.60 INCHES. THE
ENHANCED MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE ENOUGH TO HELP ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ACROSS MOST AREAS
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...AND OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS ON MONDAY.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THIS WEEKEND WILL HELP DETER CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT FROM DIURNAL HEATING. HOWEVER...THE HUMID CONDITIONS AND
SOME UPPER-LEVEL INSTABILITY SHOULD SUFFICE FOR ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH BEST
CHANCES OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. FLASH FLOODING IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR CONCERN AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...SLOW MOVING
STORMS OR TRAINING STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO ELEVATE THE
THREAT...ESPECIALLY OVER RECENT BURN SCARS.

THE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST ON TUESDAY...SHIFTING OUR FLOW
BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST AND CREATE DRY WEATHER OVER THE REGION
THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK. THE GFS AND ECMWF DIFFER SLIGHTLY IN THE
OVERALL PATTERN OVER SW CA...BUT THE LIKELY RESULT WILL BE PATCHY
NIGHT/MORNING LOW CLOUDS SLOWLY REDEVELOPING ALONG THE COAST/
VALLEYS...AND HIGH TEMPERATURES JUST BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS.

&&

.AVIATION... 160400Z...COAST/VALLEYS...BKN/OVC LOW CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST THROUGH 06Z AND SPREAD 25-35 MI
INLAND BY 10Z...LIKELY REACHING KONT BY THEN. BASES WILL BE 1400-
1800 FT MSL WITH TOPS TO 2500 FT MSL. MOST VIS WILL REMAIN 5+ MILES
EXCEPT LOCALLY BELOW 3 MI IN THE VALLEYS...ESPECIALLY VCNTY KRNM.
MOST VALLEYS WILL CLEAR 15-16Z THU...WITH COASTAL AREAS CLEARING 16-
18Z. SIMILAR ONSET/HEIGHTS OF STRATUS WILL OCCUR THU EVENING.

MTNS/DESERTS...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH UNRESTRICTED VIS THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.

&&

.MARINE... 900 PM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. GUSTY WINDS...CLOUD-TO-WATER
LIGHTNING ANY CHOPPY SEAS MAY ACCOMPANY STORMS.

&&

.BEACHES... 900 PM...LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
SWELL FROM DOLORES WILL BE ABLE TO REACH PARTS OF ORANGE COUNTY LATE
SATURDAY...DUE TO THE 165 DEG INCOMING DIRECTION...AND PARTS OF
NORTHERN ORANGE COUNTY BY LATE SUNDAY OR EARLY MONDAY WITH AROUND A
180 DEG DIRECTION. ELEVATED SURF WILL BE LIKELY...AND ESPECIALLY
LONG-SHORE CURRENTS...THOUGH THE ANGLE WILL BE SUCH TO KEEP SURF
HEIGHTS DOWN SOMEWHAT. SOME SURF OF 5-7 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
ORANGE COUNTY AROUND SUN/MON...AND 4-6 FEET IN NORTHERN SAN DIEGO
COUNTY...THOUGH THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THESE
HEIGHTS BASED ON THE TRACK...INTENSITY AND SPEED OF DOLORES AS IT
MOVES BY TO THE SOUTH.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

PUBLIC...JAD/JJT
AVIATION/MARINE/BEACHES...MAXWELL

Nearby

Beach Hazards Statements in California, 2015Every beach hazards statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.