Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2015
Wind Advisory 2, NWS Raleigh, NC
NWS Raleigh, NC issued this wind advisory at Feb 14, 2015, 4:59 AM EST for 31 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Feb 14, 2015, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 12 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 14, 2015, 4:59 AM EST (09:59 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 14, 2015, 6:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 15, 2015, 6:00 AM EST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Raleigh, NC
All 31 counties
Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 93 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2471 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 39 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 81 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
117 WWUS72 KRAH 140959 NPWRAH URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 459 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TODAY WILL FURTHER STRENGTHEN LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... .A POWERFUL ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL BLAST ACROSS CENTRAL NC WITH WINDY AND FRIGID AIR THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING A THREE TO FOUR HOUR PERIOD IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT...THOUGH BLUSTERY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE NIGHT. NCZ007-021>023-038-039-142130- /O.NEW.KRAH.WI.Y.0002.150214T2100Z-150215T1100Z/ PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE... ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY 459 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * TIMING...FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS EXPECTED THIS EVENING. * WINDS...WILL BE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH. AN ISOLATED GUST OR TWO MAY REACH AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN LARGE BRANCHES AND EVEN SOME TREES. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES WILL LIKELY RESULT. DRIVING WILL PROVE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT FREQUENT WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH...OR ANY GUST BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. && $$ NCZ008>011-024>028-040>043-074>078-085-086-088-089-142130- /O.NEW.KRAH.WI.Y.0002.150215T0000Z-150215T1100Z/ GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH- EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE- HARNETT-WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR... HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...CHAPEL HILL... CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE... RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...SILER CITY... PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...SELMA... BENSON...WILSON...TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...SOUTHERN PINES... PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...SEVEN LAKES...SANFORD...DUNN...ERWIN... ANGIER...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD... ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON 459 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * TIMING...FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS EXPECTED BETWEEN 7 PM AND MIDNIGHT. * WINDS...WILL BE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH. AN ISOLATED GUST OR TWO MAY REACH AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN LARGE BRANCHES AND EVEN SOME TREES. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES WILL LIKELY RESULT. DRIVING WILL PROVE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT FREQUENT WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH...OR ANY GUST BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. && $$ WFO RAH
5 follow-up statements
400 WWUS72 KRAH 141509 NPWRAH URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 1009 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL FURTHER STRENGTHEN VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND MOVES THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... .A POWERFUL ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL BLAST ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA WITH VERY WINDY CONDITIONS AND FRIGID AIR THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING A THREE TO FOUR HOUR PERIOD IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT...THOUGH BLUSTERY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. NCZ007-021>023-038-039-150000- /O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0002.150214T2100Z-150215T1100Z/ PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE... ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY 1009 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * TIMING...FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... WITH THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS EXPECTED THIS EVENING. * WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH BEHIND A COLD FRONT...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH. AN ISOLATED GUST OR TWO MAY REACH AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN LARGE BRANCHES AND EVEN SOME TREES. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES WILL LIKELY RESULT. DRIVING WILL PROVE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT FREQUENT WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH...OR ANY GUST BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. && $$ NCZ008>011-024>028-040>043-074>078-085-086-088-089-150000- /O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0002.150215T0000Z-150215T1100Z/ GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH- EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE- HARNETT-WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR... HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...CHAPEL HILL... CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE... RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...SILER CITY... PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...SELMA... BENSON...WILSON...TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...SOUTHERN PINES... PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...SEVEN LAKES...SANFORD...DUNN...ERWIN... ANGIER...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD... ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON 1009 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * TIMING...FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS EXPECTED BETWEEN 7 PM AND MIDNIGHT. * WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH BEHIND A COLD FRONT...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH. AN ISOLATED GUST OR TWO MAY REACH AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN LARGE BRANCHES AND EVEN SOME TREES. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES WILL LIKELY RESULT. DRIVING WILL PROVE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT FREQUENT WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH...OR ANY GUST BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. && $$
302 WWUS72 KRAH 142016 NPWRAH URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 316 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN THIS EVENING AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND MOVES THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... .A POWERFUL ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY SWEEP ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. THE FRONT WILL BRING VERY WINDY CONDITIONS THIS EVENING AND FRIGID AIR OVERNIGHT. THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING A THREE TO FOUR HOUR PERIOD IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT...THOUGH BLUSTERY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. NCZ073-083-084-150500- /O.EXA.KRAH.WI.Y.0002.150215T0000Z-150215T1100Z/ STANLY-ANSON-RICHMOND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBEMARLE...WADESBORO...POLKTON... ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM 316 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * TIMING...FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS EXPECTED BETWEEN 7 PM AND MIDNIGHT. * WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH BEHIND A COLD FRONT...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH. AN ISOLATED GUST OR TWO MAY REACH AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN LARGE BRANCHES AND EVEN SOME TREES. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES WILL LIKELY RESULT. DRIVING WILL PROVE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT FREQUENT WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH...OR ANY GUST BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. && $$ NCZ007-021>023-038-039-150500- /O.EXT.KRAH.WI.Y.0002.150214T2300Z-150215T1100Z/ PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE... ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY 316 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * TIMING...FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS EXPECTED THIS EVENING. * WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH BEHIND A COLD FRONT...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH. AN ISOLATED GUST OR TWO MAY REACH AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN LARGE BRANCHES AND EVEN SOME TREES. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES WILL LIKELY RESULT. DRIVING WILL PROVE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT FREQUENT WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH...OR ANY GUST BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. && $$ NCZ008>011-024>028-040>043-074>078-085-086-088-089-150500- /O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0002.150215T0000Z-150215T1100Z/ GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH- EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE- HARNETT-WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR... HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...CHAPEL HILL... CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE... RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...SILER CITY... PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...SELMA... BENSON...WILSON...TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...SOUTHERN PINES... PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...SEVEN LAKES...SANFORD...DUNN...ERWIN... ANGIER...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD... ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON 316 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * TIMING...FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS EXPECTED BETWEEN 7 PM AND MIDNIGHT. * WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH BEHIND A COLD FRONT...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH. AN ISOLATED GUST OR TWO MAY REACH AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN LARGE BRANCHES AND EVEN SOME TREES. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES WILL LIKELY RESULT. DRIVING WILL PROVE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT FREQUENT WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH...OR ANY GUST BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. && $$ DJF
666 WWUS72 KRAH 150432 NPWRAH URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 1132 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN THIS EVENING AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND MOVES THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... .A POWERFUL ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY SWEEP ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. THE FRONT WILL BRING VERY WINDY CONDITIONS THIS EVENING AND FRIGID AIR OVERNIGHT. THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING A THREE TO FOUR HOUR PERIOD IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT...THOUGH BLUSTERY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. NCZ007-021>023-038-039-151100- /O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150215T1100Z/ PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE... ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY 1132 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * TIMING...FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS EXPECTED THIS EVENING. * WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH BEHIND A COLD FRONT...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH. AN ISOLATED GUST OR TWO MAY REACH AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN LARGE BRANCHES AND EVEN SOME TREES. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES WILL LIKELY RESULT. DRIVING WILL PROVE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT FREQUENT WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH...OR ANY GUST BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. && $$ NCZ008>011-024>028-040>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-151100- /O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150215T1100Z/ GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH- EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE- LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR... HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...CHAPEL HILL... CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE... RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...SILER CITY... PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...SELMA... BENSON...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD... SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...SEVEN LAKES...SANFORD... DUNN...ERWIN...ANGIER...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO... POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG... RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON 1132 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * TIMING...FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS EXPECTED BETWEEN 7 PM AND MIDNIGHT. * WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH BEHIND A COLD FRONT...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH. AN ISOLATED GUST OR TWO MAY REACH AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN LARGE BRANCHES AND EVEN SOME TREES. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES WILL LIKELY RESULT. DRIVING WILL PROVE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT FREQUENT WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH...OR ANY GUST BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. && $$
879 WWUS72 KRAH 150928 NPWRAH URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 428 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE THIS MORNING...BUT REMAIN BLUSTERY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON... .A FRIGID BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR CONTINUES TO POUR ACROSS CENTRAL NC THIS MORNING...THOUGH THE STRONGEST WINDS HAVE ALREADY PASSED. NCZ007-021>023-038-039-151100- /O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150215T1100Z/ PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE... ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY 428 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... * TIMING...OF WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH WILL END BY 6 AM...THOUGH WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 OR 35 MPH WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...WILL REMAIN NORTHWESTERLY...FROM 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH THROUGH 6 AM...BEFORE LESSENING TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 OR 35 MPH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN LARGE TREE BRANCHES...AND PERHAPS A FEW SMALL TREES. SOME ADDITIONAL POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE...AND THE CONTINUED BLUSTERY WINDS MAY ALSO SLOW THE RESTORATION OF POWER WHERE ALREADY OUT. DRIVING MAY PROVE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT FREQUENT WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH...OR ANY GUST BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. && $$ NCZ008>011-024>028-040>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-151100- /O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150215T1100Z/ GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH- EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE- LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR... HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...CHAPEL HILL... CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE... RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...SILER CITY... PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...SELMA... BENSON...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD... SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...SEVEN LAKES...SANFORD... DUNN...ERWIN...ANGIER...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO... POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG... RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON 428 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... * TIMING...OF WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH WILL END BY 6 AM...THOUGH WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 OR 35 MPH WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...WILL REMAIN NORTHWESTERLY...FROM 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH THROUGH 6 AM...BEFORE LESSENING TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 OR 35 MPH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN LARGE TREE BRANCHES...AND PERHAPS A FEW SMALL TREES. SOME ADDITIONAL POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE...AND THE CONTINUED BLUSTERY WINDS MAY ALSO SLOW THE RESTORATION OF POWER WHERE ALREADY OUT. DRIVING MAY PROVE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT FREQUENT WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH...OR ANY GUST BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. && $$ WFO RAH
459 WWUS72 KRAH 151103 NPWRAH URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 603 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY SINCE SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT WILL REMAIN BLUSTERY WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...STRONGEST OVER THE NC COASTAL PLAIN... NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-151215- /O.EXP.KRAH.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150215T1100Z/ PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE- ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM- WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE- ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR... HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS... WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM... CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON... NASHVILLE...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT... LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY... SILER CITY...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON... SELMA...BENSON...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...BISCOE... MOUNT GILEAD...SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN... SEVEN LAKES...SANFORD...DUNN...ERWIN...ANGIER...LILLINGTON... GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET... EAST ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY... FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON 603 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Feb 14, 4:42 AM EST, 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 14, 4:42 AM EST, 17 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
442 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE SOUTH ATLANTIC COAST
WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TODAY...IN ADVANCE OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT THAT
WILL BLAST ACROSS OUR REGION THIS EVENING. ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL
FOLLOW AND BUILD ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES TONIGHT THROUGH
MON.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 345 AM SATURDAY...
YET ANOTHER POTENT PV ANOMALY...DRIVEN BY A 130 KT MID LEVEL JET
STREAK IN NW FLOW...WILL AMPLIFY SHARPLY FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE
MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH TONIGHT. AN ACCOMPANYING SFC LOW WILL
UNDERGO DEEPENING AND ULTIMATELY BOMB AS IT TRACKS FROM THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES TO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND COAST...WITH A
TRAILING ARCTIC COLD FRONT POISED TO SURGE SSE ACROSS CENTRAL NC
THIS EVENING.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A BREEZY AND RELATIVELY MILD SW WIND WILL GUST
BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH...WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES FOR THE
MAJORITY OF THE DAY...AND HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SIMILAR TO WHAT OCCURRED ON THU...A SHIELD/BAND OF BKN TO
OVC STRATOCUMULUS AND PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD/DEVELOP EASTWARD
ACROSS CENTRAL NC DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SPOTTY
LIGHT SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES WILL OVERCOME AN OTHERWISE RELATIVELY
DEEP ~6 THOUSAND FT SUB-CLOUD LAYER...MAINLY FROM THE TRIANGLE AND
POINTS NORTHEAST...IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO A 240 M/12 HR PRESSURE
FALL CENTER FOCUSED OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND DELMARVA. ALSO
SIMILAR TO THU...SNOW MAY MIX WITH THE OTHERWISE LIQUID
PRECIPITATION AS IT DEPARTS DURING THE MID-LATE EVENING.
THE BIGGER STORY WILL BE THE WIND...COLD...AND COMBINATION OF THE
TWO IN THE FORM OF LOW WIND CHILLS...WHICH WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT.
THOUGH THE SFC LAYER MAY BRIEFLY DECOUPLE AND RESULT IN A RELATIVE
MINIMUM IN WIND AROUND SUNSET...BRUTAL CAA DRIVEN BY 3-HOURLY 7-10
MB MSL PRESSURE RISES (STRONGEST OVER WESTERN AND WEST CENTRAL VA)
WILL CAUSE THE BOUNDARY LAYER TO MIX STRONGLY AND SUPPORT...PER BUFR
FORECAST SOUNDINGS...A FEW HOUR PERIOD OF WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND
45 MPH - SLIGHTLY WEAKER OVER THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT AND WITH A FEW
GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 50 MPH POSSIBLE FROM THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT TO
THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL COASTAL PLAIN. WHILE EXTREME FOR CENTRAL NC
STANDARDS...THIS SYSTEM LOOKS EVEN MORE POTENT THAN THE ONE FROM
THU...WHICH PRODUCED A HANDFUL OR SO OF WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 45
MPH OVER THE NW PIEDMONT...SANDHILLS...AND CENTRAL COASTAL PLAIN. A
WIND ADVISORY WILL CONSEQUENTLY BE ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE CWFA.
THE COMBINATION OF WIND...LESSENING LATE WHEN LOW TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOW-MID TEENS TO AROUND 20 DEGREES OR SO ARE EXPECTED TO BE
ACHIEVED...WILL SUPPORT LOW MINIMUM WIND CHILL VALUES MOSTLY BETWEEN
ZERO AND TEN ABOVE. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MAY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY
FOR AREAS NORTH OF HWY 64.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 350 AM SATURDAY...
ARCTIC SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL MODIFY/WEAKEN AS IT BUILDS FROM THE
UPPER MIDWEST TOWARD THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS THROUGH MON MORNING.
SKIES WILL BE CLEAR SUNDAY IN STRONGLY SUBSIDENT CONDITIONS BEHIND
THE POTENT UPPER TROUGH FORECAST TO CROSS OUR REGION DURING THE NEAR
TERM...FOLLOWED BY INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS SUN EVE AND ESPECIALLY
OVERNIGHT...DOWNSTREAM OF THE COMPLEX AMALGAMATION OF SHORTWAVE
TROUGHS FORECAST TO AFFECT CENTRAL NC EARLY NEXT WEEK. AFTER
CONTIUED BLUSTERY CONDITIONS EARLY SUN...NW WINDS WILL LESSEN AND
CERTAINLY BECOME LESS GUSTY BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON. WITH THE LOW
LEVEL THERMAL TROUGH OVERHEAD...ONLY UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S ARE
ANTICIPATED FOR HIGHS. SIMILARLY VERY COLD LOWS IN THE TEENS...WITH
SOME SINGLE DIGITS PROBABLE IN THE TYPICALLY COLDER AREAS OF THE
PIEDMONT.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 345 AM SATURDAY...
WINTER WEATHER POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK..
CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW REGARDING POSSIBLE WINTRY PRECIP MONDAY AND
TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...AND THE 00Z MODEL QUITE DID NOT OFFER ANY
CONVERGENCE TOWARD A SIMILAR SOLUTION.
THE GENERAL SETUP WILL BE FOR A PAIR OF SHORTWAVES CURRENTLY OVER
OFF THE NORTHERN PACIFIC...WHICH IS A MESS ON WATER VAPOR WITH
NUMEROUS DISTURBANCES TOPPING THE UPPER RIDGE...TO DIVE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND THEN EAST. THE FIRST WAVE IS FORECAST TO
RACE EAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY ON MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A MORE
AMPLIFIED WAVE...WHICH ABSORBS A WEAK DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY OFF THE
CALIFORNIA BAJA...THAT CROSSES THE DEEP SOUTH ON TUESDAY. THE MAIN
QUESTIONS IN THE FORECAST ARE HOW QUICKLY PRECIP SPREADS EAST ACROSS
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND WHERE THE SURFACE LOW (OR MULTIPLE SURFACE
WAVES TRACK). MODELS SEEM TO BE STRUGGLING THE MOST WITH THE LEAD
WAVE...WITH THE ECMWF OUTPACING THE GFS BY 6 TO 12 HORUS RIGHT OFF
THE BAT BY BRINGING MEASURABLE PRECIP ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL NC BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. DRIVEN MAINLY BY RIGHT JET ENTRANCE UPPER
DIVERGENCE...THE ECMWF LOOKS TOO WET/FAST/NORTH AND IS NOT SUPPORTED
BY THE NAM OR GFS FOR MONDAY. WILL MAINTAIN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
ACROSS THE WESTERN/SOUTHERN PIEDMONT MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS POSSIBILITY. EXPECT HIGHS MONDAY TO BE
LOWER THAN GUIDANCE GIVEN THAT THERE SHOULD BE WIDESPREAD MID/HIGH
CLOUDS....EVEN WITHOUT PRECIP...AFTER A VERY COLD START AND GUIDANCE
IS CLOSE TO FULL SUN THICKNESS VALUES. HIGHS 30-35.
THE MORE IMPACTFUL WEATHER POTENTIAL COMES MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
AS STRONGER HEIGHT FALLS SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF THE
SECOND AND MORE AMPLIFIED SHORTWAVE. A SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED
DEVELOP FROM THE GULF COAST TOWARD THE CAROLINA COAST DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY...THOUGH THE LOW TRACK IS STILL VERY MUCH IN QUESTION. THE
GFS IS SEVERAL MB LOWER AND FURTHER WEST THAN THE WEAKER/OFFSHORE
ECMWF. AS USUAL...THIS WILL PLAY A MAJOR ROLE IN EXACTLY WHERE A
TRANSITION ZONE (LIKELY SHARP) BETWEEN MORE FROZEN AND MORE LIQUID
PRECIP WOULD END UP. BASED ON THE PRECEDING AIRMASS MONDAY/MONDAY
NIGHT AND PTYPE NOMOGRAMS...CURRENTLY FEEL THAT PRECIP WILL STAND A
GOOD CHANCE OF BEING ALL SNOW AT ONSET MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY
AND THAT A LARGER-THAN-TYPICAL AREA COULD SEE SEVERAL HOURS OF A
LEAST A WINTRY MIX TUESDAY. SURFACE TEMPS WOULD ALSO BE FAVORABLE
FOR ACCUMULATION. THUS...WHILE CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS OF THE
FORECAST IS LOW...CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM AND SLOWLY GROWING THAT THIS
SHOULD BE AT LEAST AN ADVISORY EVENT.
GIVEN THAT MODELS STILL AREN'T INITIALIZING WITH MUCH INFORMATION ON
THE MAIN PLAYERS IN THIS SYSTEM AND ARE STILL VERY DIFFERENT...THE
BEST COURSE OF ACTION WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE MAY BE TO JUST
CONTINUE THE ADVERTISED PTYPES.
THE SURFACE LOW WILL LIFT OFF TO THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY...WITH
PRECIP ENDING (POSSIBLY AS SNOW) BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER
BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR IS EXPECTED ON ITS HEELS FOR LATE WEEK AS THE
TRAIN OF SHORTWAVES INTO THE EAST COAST TROUGH CONTINUES. MODELS
ARE TRENDING COLDER FOR THURS THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH ANOTHER ROUND
OF LOWS IN THE TEENS OR SINGLE DIGITS AND HIGHS IN THE 30S POSSIBLE.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 130 AM SATURDAY...
CALM TO OCCASIONALLY LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME
SW TO SSW AND STEADILY INCREASE AFTER 14Z...IN STRENGTHENING FLOW
BETWEEN MODIFIED ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE ALONG AND OFFSHORE THE SE US
COAST...AND A POWERFUL ARCTIC COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE
NORTHWEST. AN AREA OF ALTOCUMULUS WILL SWEEP EAST AND GRAZE MAINLY
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AROUND MIDDAY...AMIDST AN
OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLEAR SKY.
THE APPROACHING ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL THEN BRING A FRIGID AND WINDY
BLAST OF AIR THROUGH CENTRAL NC THIS EVENING...AT WHICH TIME
NORTHWESTERLY WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON...THE
STRONGEST OF WHICH WILL OCCUR WITHIN THE FIRST FEW HOURS OF FRONTAL
PASSAGE. A TEMPO GROUP HAS BEEN ADDED TO HIGHLIGHT THIS OCCURRENCE
AND TIMING AT THE RESPECTIVE TAF SITES. A FEW SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES
WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...MOST LIKELY AT KRDU AND KRWI...THE
LATTER OF WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE A FEW WET SNOW FLAKES OR FLURRIES AS
WELL. WHILE THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A BRIEF MVFR CEILING AND/OR
VISIBILITY RESTRICTION IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANY LOCALLY HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION...ODDS ARE THAT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR EVEN WHERE
PRECIPITATION BRIEFLY OCCURS.
OUTLOOK: WIDESPREAD SUB-VFR CONDITIONS AND PRECIPITATION...
INCLUDING SOME WINTRY...WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
COASTAL LOW MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...THOUGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOWER THAN AVERAGE.
&&
.AVIATION /10Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 130 AM SATURDAY...
CALM TO OCCASIONALLY LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME
SW TO SSW AND STEADILY INCREASE AFTER 14Z...IN STRENGTHENING FLOW
BETWEEN MODIFIED ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE ALONG AND OFFSHORE THE SE US
COAST...AND A POWERFUL ARCTIC COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE
NORTHWEST. AN AREA OF ALTOCUMULUS WILL SWEEP EAST AND GRAZE MAINLY
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AROUND MIDDAY...AMIDST AN
OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLEAR SKY.
THE APPROACHING ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL THEN BRING A FRIGID AND WINDY
BLAST OF AIR THROUGH CENTRAL NC THIS EVENING...AT WHICH TIME
NORTHWESTERLY WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON...THE
STRONGEST OF WHICH WILL OCCUR WITHIN THE FIRST FEW HOURS OF FRONTAL
PASSAGE. A TEMPO GROUP HAS BEEN ADDED TO HIGHLIGHT THIS OCCURRENCE
AND TIMING AT THE RESPECTIVE TAF SITES. A FEW SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES
WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...MOST LIKELY AT KRDU AND KRWI...THE
LATTER OF WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE A FEW WET SNOW FLAKES OR FLURRIES AS
WELL. WHILE THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A BRIEF MVFR CEILING AND/OR
VISIBILITY RESTRICTION IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANY LOCALLY HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION...ODDS ARE THAT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR EVEN WHERE
PRECIPITATION BRIEFLY OCCURS.
OUTLOOK: WIDESPREAD SUB-VFR CONDITIONS AND PRECIPITATION...
INCLUDING SOME WINTRY...WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
COASTAL LOW MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...THOUGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOWER THAN AVERAGE.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
AS OF 330 PM FRIDAY
A STOUT SW SFC WIND WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS 15-20 MPH
AND GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH ALONG WITH LOW RH VALUES SIGNAL THE
POTENTIAL FOR RED FLAG CONDITIONS...MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF OF
CENTRAL NC SATURDAY AFTERNOON. IN COORDINATION WITH THE NC FORESTRY
SERVICE...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR
AREAS GENERALLY SOUTH OF A GOLDSBORO-SANFORD-ALBEMARLE LINE. IF
CONDITIONS EARLY SATURDAY APPEAR SIMILAR...THE WATCH WILL BE
UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING MEANING ANY FIRES THAT OCCUR MAY
QUICKLY BURN OUT OF CONTROL.
OVER THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL NC...AN INCREASE FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
WILL BE IN EFFECT AS PARAMETERS WILL BE JUST SHY OF RED FLAG
CRITERIA.
ESSENTIALLY...ANY OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE DELAYED UNTIL LESS
VOLATILE CONDITIONS OCCUR.
&&
.CLIMATE...
THE FOLLOWING ARE TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR FEBRUARY 15 AND 16:
RECORD LOWS
GSO RDU FAY
FEBRUARY 15: 6 IN 1943 6 IN 1899 12 IN 1943
FEBRUARY 16: 8 IN 1905 11 IN 1905 17 IN 1991
RECORD LOW MAXIMUMS
GSO RDU FAY
FEBRUARY 15: 28 IN 1943 29 IN 1943 36 IN 1965
&&
.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
NCZ028-042-043-073>078-083>086-088-089.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
NCZ008>011-024>028-040>043-074>078-085-086-088-089.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
NCZ007-021>023-038-039.
&&
SYNOPSIS...RAH
NEAR TERM...RAH
SHORT TERM...RAH
LONG TERM...SMITH
AVIATION...RAH
FIRE WEATHER...WSS
CLIMATE...WFO RAHHazardous weather outlook, Feb 13, 4:22 PM EST, 12 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 422 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2015 NCZ042-073>078-083>086-088-089-141100- JOHNSTON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND- SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- 422 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2015 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FIRE WEATHER WATCH. LOW HUMIDITY AND BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CREATE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR UNATTENDED FIRES TO GROW OUT OF CONTROL. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH SATURDAY EVENING. WIND CHILL VALUES BY EARLY SUNDAY WILL BE 5 TO 10 ABOVE ZERO. A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL BRING A THREAT OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ007>011-021>028-038>041-043-141100- PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE- ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE- WILSON- 422 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL CREATE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR ANY UNATTENDED FIRES TO SPREAD QUICKLY. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH SATURDAY EVENING. WIND CHILL VALUES BY EARLY SUNDAY WILL BE 2 TO 7 ABOVE ZERO. A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL BRING A THREAT OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 4:21 AM EST | Red Flag Warning | RAH | Alamance, Anson, Chatham, Cumberland, Davidson, Durham and 19 more | 14 hr |
| Feb 14, 3:28 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | RAH | Alamance, Chatham, Davidson, Durham, Forsyth, Franklin and 10 more | 18 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2015Every wind advisory in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.