Red Flag Warning 14, NWS Pueblo, CO

775 
WWUS85 KPUB 142109
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
309 PM MDT MON SEP 14 2015

...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TUESDAY FROM 1100 TO
2000 LOCAL TIME...FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
AND DRY FUELS...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES...222 AND 226 THROUGH 235
WHICH INCLUDES FREMONT...EL PASO...PUEBLO...CROWLEY...EASTERN
HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...OTERO...BENT AND KIOWA COUNTIES...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WEDNESDAY FROM
1100 TO 2000 LOCAL TIME...FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES...AND DRY FUELS...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND 226
THROUGH 233...WHICH INCLUDES...FREMONT...EL PASO...PUEBLO...CROWLEY...
OTERO...EASTERN HUERFANO...AND LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...

COZ222-151315-
/O.EXA.KPUB.FW.W.0014.150915T1700Z-150916T0200Z/
/O.EXA.KPUB.FW.A.0012.150916T1700Z-150917T0200Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-
309 PM MDT MON SEP 14 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 222...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 222...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS
ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 222.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ226>233-151315-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0014.150915T1700Z-150916T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0012.150916T1700Z-150917T0200Z/
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-
OTERO COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
309 PM MDT MON SEP 14 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
TUESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 226...227...228...229...230...231...232 AND 233...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226...227...228...229...230...
231...232 AND 233...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226...227...228...229... 
  230...231...232 AND 233.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 13 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ234-235-151315-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0014.150915T1700Z-150916T0200Z/
KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-
309 PM MDT MON SEP 14 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
TUESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 235...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 234 AND 235.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 13 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

049 
WWUS85 KPUB 150955
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
355 AM MDT TUE SEP 15 2015

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM...FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND DRY FUELS...FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES...222 AND 226 THROUGH 235 WHICH INCLUDES
FREMONT...EL PASO...PUEBLO...CROWLEY...EASTERN HUERFANO...LAS
ANIMAS...OTERO...BENT AND KIOWA COUNTIES...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY FROM 11 AM TO
8 PM LOCAL TIME...FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES...AND DRY FUELS...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND 226
THROUGH 233...WHICH INCLUDES FREMONT...EL PASO...PUEBLO...CROWLEY...EASTERN
HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS AND OTERO COUNTIES...

COZ222-226>233-160200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0014.150915T1700Z-150916T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0012.150916T1700Z-150917T0200Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
355 AM MDT TUE SEP 15 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND 226 THROUGH 233...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND 226 THROUGH 233...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...226...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232 AND 233.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...7 TO 12 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ234-235-160200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0014.150915T1700Z-150916T0200Z/
KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-
355 AM MDT TUE SEP 15 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 234 AND 235...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 234 AND 235.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

753 
WWUS85 KPUB 152103
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
303 PM MDT TUE SEP 15 2015

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2000 THIS EVENING...FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND DRY FUELS...FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES...222 AND 226 THROUGH 235 WHICH INCLUDES
FREMONT...EL PASO...PUEBLO...CROWLEY...EASTERN HUERFANO...LAS
ANIMAS...OTERO...BENT AND KIOWA COUNTIES...

...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WEDNESDAY FROM NOON
UNTIL 2000 LOCAL TIME...FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES...AND DRY FUELS...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND 226
THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES FREMONT...EL PASO...PUEBLO...
EASTERN HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...BENT...PROWERS
...KIOWA...AND BACA COUNTIES...

COZ222-226>233-161315-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0012.150916T1700Z-150917T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0015.150916T1800Z-150917T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150916T0200Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
303 PM MDT TUE SEP 15 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...226...227...228...229...230...231...232 AND 233...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...226...227...228...229...230...231...232 AND 233...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
WEDNESDAY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...226...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232 AND 233.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 12 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ234-235-161315-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0015.150916T1800Z-150917T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150916T0200Z/
KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-
303 PM MDT TUE SEP 15 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
234 AND 235...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
234 AND 235...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 234 AND 235.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 13 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ236-237-161315-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0015.150916T1800Z-150917T0200Z/
PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
303 PM MDT TUE SEP 15 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
236 AND 237...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 236 AND 237.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 14 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

617 
WWUS85 KPUB 160205
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
805 PM MDT TUE SEP 15 2015

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY FROM NOON UNTIL
2000 LOCAL TIME...FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES...AND DRY FUELS...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND 226
THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES FREMONT...EL PASO...PUEBLO... EASTERN
HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...BENT...PROWERS
...KIOWA...AND BACA COUNTIES...

COZ222-226>235-161815-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150916T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0015.150916T1800Z-150917T0200Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-
805 PM MDT TUE SEP 15 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...226...227...228...
229...230...231...232...233...234 AND 235... 

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS EVENING HAS EXPIRED... 

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...226...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233...234 AND 235.

* WINDS...ON WEDNESDAY...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
  30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 11 PERCENT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ236-237-161815-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0015.150916T1800Z-150917T0200Z/
PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
805 PM MDT TUE SEP 15 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 236 AND 237...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 236 AND 237.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 14 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH RAPID RATES OF FIRE 
  SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1131 AM MDT MON SEP 14 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1002 AM MDT MON SEP 14 2015

AN UPDATE TO THE LATEST FUELS CONDITIONS HAS PROMPTED AN
EXPANSION OF THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TUESDAY. APPEARS HUMIDITY
VALUES ACROSS MOST OF ZONE 221...TELLER COUNTY...WILL STAY JUST
ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR NOW...SO THEY HAVE NOT BEEN
INCLUDED IN THE WATCH. -KT

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 345 AM MDT MON SEP 14 2015

...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS STARTING TO RAMP UP...

CURRENTLY...

GENERALLY VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDINESS WAS OVER THE REGION...ESPECIALLY
WESTERN SECTIONS. TEMPERATURES WERE WARM...WITH 50S OVER MOST OF
THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AND 40S AND 50S IN THE VALLEYS. A FEW 30S WERE
NOTED IN THE MTNS.

FLOW ALOFT WAS GRADUALLY TRANSITIONING TO SOUTHWESTERLY...AND AN
AREA OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED OVER
UTAH AND ARIZ. SOME LTG WAS STILL ONGOING ACROSS W ARIZ AT 3 AM.

TODAY...

DISTURBANCE TO OUR IMMEDIATE WEST WILL MOVE NORTHEAST OVER THE
REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND TSRA WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE FROM LATE THIS MORNING...AND WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY OVER THE MTNS/VALLEYS WITH DAYTIME HEATING AS IT MOVES
NORTHEAST. ALL OF THE HIGHER TRRN AND VALLEYS COULD SEE SOME RAIN
THIS THIS SYSTEM...BUT AREAS ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE WILL
LIKELY SEE THE MOST PRECIP. AT THIS TIME IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT THE
PLAINS WILL SEE ANY SIGNIFICANT RAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM TODAY.

IT WILL BE WARM ONCE AGAIN...BUT WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN
YESTERDAY AS QUITE A BIT OF HIGH CLOUDINESS SHOULD MOVE OVER THE
REGION BY THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPS WILL BE IN THE I80S/L90S ALONG THE I-
25 CORRIDOR WITH MID 90S GENERALLY OVER THE REST OF THE PLAINS. 70S
TO AROUND 80 SHOULD OCCUR IN THE VALLEYS....WITH 50S AND 60S IN THE
MTNS.

FIRE WX CONCERNS WILL BE INCREASING TODAY AS MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR
EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE ON THE RISE. RH VALUES WILL LIKELY BE
IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE PLAINS BY THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...WINDS SHOULD BE BELOW CRITICAL (LESS THAN 25 MPH) VALUES.
SOME WIND GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND WEST OF THE I-
25 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON. IN THE MTNS AND VALLEYS...CLOUDS SHOULD
KEEP TEMPS DOWN A BIT...KEEPING MIN RH VALUES AT OR ABOVE 20
PERCENT. HAINES VALUES WILL MAINLY BE IN THE 6 CATEGORY...INDICATING
EXTREME LAPSE RATES ARE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION.

TONIGHT...

PRECIP OVER THE HIGHER TRRN WILL DECREASE AS THE EVENING
PROGRESSES...BUT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE CONTDVD...AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO MOVE
OVER THE MTNS. LOWS TONIGHT SHOULD BE MAINLY AOA 60F OVER THE
PLAINS...WITH 40S AND 50S OVER THE VALLEYS AND 30S IN THE MTNS.

SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TONIGHT WILL INTENSIFY AS THE 500 MB
GRADIENT INCREASES OVER THE FCST AREA. MTN TOPS WINDS....ESPECIALLY
OVER THE WETS AND SANGRES WILL BE IN THE G35 TO G40 MPH RANGE.
\/HODANISH

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 345 AM MDT MON SEP 14 2015

...DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...

MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. BOTH THE GFS
AND ECMWF ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT THIS MORNING COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY WITH A MORE PROGRESSIVE PATTERN AND LIMITED
PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR SOUTHERN COLORADO.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
STRENGTHEN OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND BEGIN TO MOVE EASTWARD
INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. THIS WILL ALLOW STRONG DRY SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT TO SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO. WEAK ENERGY MOVING
THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL LIKELY HAVE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS GOING EARLY IN THE DAY TUESDAY ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE...WITH INCREASED COVERAGE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
OVER THE PLAINS...MIXING OF THE STRONG AND DRY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
TO THE SURFACE WILL SET THE STAGE FOR DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE PLAINS. WIDESPREAD WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
25 MPH ALONG WITH HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING BELOW 15 PERCENT WILL
COMBINE WITH CRITICAL...TO NEAR CRITICAL FUELS TO PRODUCE THE
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. AREAS ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR
WILL SEE THE HIGHEST FIRE WEATHER THREAT. THERE IS ALSO THE
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...POSSIBLY STRONG TO
SEVERE...OUT NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
SEVERAL MODEL SOLUTIONS...INCLUDING VARIOUS NAM
SOLUTIONS...DEVELOP A DRYLINE NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER. IF STORMS
CAN DEVELOP...THEY WILL BE CAPABLE OF STRONG OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS
AND HAIL TO NEAR 1 INCH IN DIAMETER. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE OFF TO
THE EAST DURING THE EVENING HOURS...WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE PLAINS OVERNIGHT.

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN CONTINUES TO FAVOR DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY. THE MOUNTAINS WILL ONCE AGAIN SEE ANOTHER
ROUND OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT
LESS COVERAGE ON WEDNESDAY...WITH A WEAKER DISTURBANCE IN THE FLOW
MOVING ACROSS THE ROCKIES ALONG WITH LIMITED MOISTURE. STRONG
MIXING OF DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER AFTERNOON AND
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE PLAINS. THE I-25
CORRIDOR WILL SEE THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS BASED ON FUELS
BEING CRITICAL. FURTHER EAST...WE WILL HAVE TO SEE HOW FINE FUELS
RESPOND TO THE DRY CONDITIONS. EITHER WAY...WIND AND HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL BE DANGEROUS WITH ELEVATED FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE
REGION. EXTREME CAUTION IS ADVISED WITH ANY OUTDOOR BURNING
ACTIVITIES BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THE UPPER SYSTEM WILL TRACK OUT OF THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES AND INTO EASTERN CANADA WITH A MORE ZONAL
WESTERLY FLOW PATTERN SETTING UP ACROSS COLORADO.

MODELS INDICATING HIGHER DEWPOINTS AND A SLACKENING OF THE WINDS
ACROSS THE REGION AS THE UPPER TROUGH PASSES TO THE NORTH. WITH
THE INCREASED MOISTURE AND WEAKER WINDS...FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ON THURSDAY. FLOW ALOFT TURNS
WESTERLY AND WEAKENS FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. MODELS NOT
DEVELOPING MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY. IF CONVECTION CAN DEVELOP...IT WILL BE LIMITED
TO THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM ON THURSDAY
WITH 80S AND 90S ACROSS THE REGION. A COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE BY
FRIDAY MORNING...WITH 70S AND 80S EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

BY SUNDAY...MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO WORK NORTHWARD OUT OF THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL LIKELY BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE MOUNTAINS SUNDAY AFTERNOON...SPREADING EAST ACROSS THE
PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT.  MOZLEY

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1119 AM MDT MON SEP 14 2015

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT THE TERMINALS TODAY WITH BREEZY
SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS SPREADING IN AS SHOWERS PUSH OFF THE
MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS SHOULD STAY AROUND 25 MPH OR LESS
ON THE WHOLE...BUT COULD SEE SOME BRIEF LOCAL GUSTY WINDS UP TO
35 KTS IN VCNTY OF HIGH BASED -SHRA/-TSRA. THIS IS MORE LIKELY TO
OCCUR AT KALS SO HAVE INTRODUCED A TEMPO GROUP. CLOUDS WILL CLEAR
OUT OVERNIGHT WITH WINDS EXPECTED TO DROP UNDER 10 KTS. TUESDAY
SHOULD SEE AN EARLIER START TO GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH WINDS
BEGINNING AROUND 17Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 345 AM MDT MON SEP 14 2015

FUEL RECEPTIVITY WILL BE THE CHANGING FACTOR THROUGH MID WEEK AS
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL LEAD TO FURTHER CURING OF FUELS...ESPECIALLY
FINE FUELS. THE LATEST UPDATES FROM LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES
INDICATE THAT FUELS ACROSS EL PASO COUNTY ARE NOW IN THE CRITICAL
CATEGORY. SUSPECT OTHER AREAS ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR...INCLUDING
PUEBLO...HUERFANO AND WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...HAVE ALSO
TRANSITIONED TO CRITICAL. FARTHER EAST...THE GRASSLANDS OF BACA...LAS
ANIMAS AND OTERO COUNTIES WERE UPDATED AND STILL INDICATE NOT
CRITICAL...AS ARE THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS...ALONG WITH CHAFFEE
AND LAKE COUNTIES. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL CONTINUE TO BE
LIMITED TO THE I-25 CORRIDOR FOR TUESDAY AND WILL MONITOR HOW FUEL
CONDITIONS EVOLVE OVER THE COMING 24 TO 48 HOURS FURTHER TO THE
EAST. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR WEATHER CONDITIONS TO MEET CRITICAL
PARAMETERS WILL BE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS. MOZLEY

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
FOR COZ226>233-235.

&&

UPDATE...KT
SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...MOZLEY
AVIATION...KT
FIRE WEATHER...MOZLEY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1136 AM MDT MON SEP 14 2015

COZ058>089-093>099-151745-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1136 AM MDT MON SEP 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE THROUGH THIS EVENING. OVER THE REST OF THE
MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS...ISOLATED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE. ONCE THE
STORMS REACH THE I-25 CORRIDOR REGION...THEY ARE EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE BUT COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS. COMBINED WITH THE
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...AND THE CURING GRASSES AND FINE
FUELS...THIS WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED POCKETS OF ENHANCED FIRE
DANGER. WINDS SHOULD SUBSIDE WITHIN AN HOUR OR TWO IN THESE SPOTTY
AREAS. HOWEVER PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TODAY TO AVOID WILDFIRE
STARTS.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. STRONG SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH VERY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES AND DANGEROUSLY
DRY FUELS TO PRODUCE THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. OF
PRIMARY CONCERN WILL BE AREAS ALONG THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR
AND MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS. EXTREME CAUTION IS ADVISED WITH
ANY OUTDOOR BURNING ACTIVITIES BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG
THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. LESS
THUNDERSTORMS COVERAGE IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD COVERAGE ON SUNDAY.

THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG A
DRYLINE. LIGHTNING...GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AND HAIL NEAR ONE INCH IN
DIAMETER WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

31/23