Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
403 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTH WILL MOVE EASTWARD VERY SLOWLY
THIS EVENING, AS A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLOWLY MAKES ITS WAY
TOWARDS OUR REGION. THE TROUGH TO OUR SOUTH WILL MERGE WITH THIS
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ON THURSDAY, STALLING THE FRONT OVER OUR AREA.
SEVERAL AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY MOVE INTO THE
REGION FOR THE WEEKEND, BEFORE A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES TO OUR
NORTH ON MONDAY. A TROUGH LOOKS TO PERSIST OVER OUR AREA THROUGH
MOST OF NEXT WEEK, AS A RESULT OF A DOMINANT RIDGE OVER THE
MIDWEST.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WAS PASSING OVERHEAD IN THE MID LEVEL FLOW THIS
AFTERNOON. THE FEATURE WAS HELPING TO ENHANCE THE SCATTERED SHOWER
ACTIVITY IN OUR REGION. MIXED LEVEL CAPE VALUES WERE PEAKING IN THE
1000 TO 1500 J/KG RANGE AT MID AFTERNOON IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND
IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. A BIT OF DRYING ALOFT IN THE
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALONG WITH THE GRADUAL LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING
SHOULD CAUSE THE CAPE VALUES TO DECREASE SLOWLY DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE MID LEVEL TROUGH SHOULD PASS
TO OUR NORTHEAST AND EAST EARLY THIS EVENING AND IT WILL LIKELY TAKE
THE LAST OF THE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH IT AT THAT
TIME.

WE ARE ANTICIPATING A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY FROM ABOUT SUNSET UNTIL
SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT, THEN CLOUDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD OVER OUR REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST
LATE TONIGHT.

IT WILL REMAIN HUMID TONIGHT WITH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S TO THE MIDDLE 70S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM THE CATSKILLS ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA TO AROUND PITTSBURGH EARLY ON WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THE BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO SINK SLOWLY INTO OUR
NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. MEANWHILE, A SURFACE
TROUGH IS ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP TO THE LEE OF THE APPALACHIANS IN
THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

THE CONVECTION THAT WAS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND THE LOWER
OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD REACH OUR REGION ON
WEDNESDAY. AS A RESULT, WE WILL INDICATE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST.

THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTING ONLY MARGINAL INSTABILITY FOR
WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER, PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL LIKELY INCREASE
TO 2 INCHES OR MORE. AS A RESULT, WE WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION THE
POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE MAINLY IN THE
80S WITH SOME UPPER 70S IN THE FAR NORTH AND SOME LOWER 90S IN THE
FAR SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HEMISPHERIC WAVE GUIDANCE SHOWS DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE U.S. AT THE START OF THE LONGTERM PERIOD. BY THE
WEEKEND THE WAVELENGTH ACROSS THE CONTIGUOUS U.S. BECOMES LONGER
ALLOWING THE SOUTHEAST RIDGING TO RETROGRADE TOWARDS THE CENTRAL
U.S. THIS SETS UP A PSEUDO-HIGH LATITUDE OMEGA BLOCK, WITH OUR
REGION ON THE PERIPHERY OF AN EAST COAST TROUGH. THIS PATTERN LOOKS
TO REMAIN IN PLACE, WHILE LIFTING AND WEAKENING A BIT, GOING INTO
NEXT WORK WEEK, ADDING TO OUR DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

THURSDAY - FRIDAY NIGHT...THE SLOW SAGGING COLD FRONT THAT BEGINS TO
CROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY LOOKS TO MAKE IT AS FAR SOUTH AS
DELMARVA ON THURSDAY AND REMAIN NEARLY IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY.
MULTIPLE WAVES MOVE ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AS IT PRESSES SOUTHWARD
ADDING TO THE INCREASED CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDER. GUIDANCE TRIES TO ADVECT IN MORE INSTABILITY FROM THE SOUTH
ON THURSDAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT BUT THE TIMING DOESN'T LOOK LIKE IT
OVERLAPS THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THAT BEING SAID PWATS WILL STILL BE
WELL ABOVE NORMAL, POSSIBLY 2+ INCHES GIVING US MORE LOCALIZED
FLOODING ISSUES...SAME AS IT EVER WAS. WE CONTINUE WITH THE HEAVY
RAIN WORDING IN THE FORECAST THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING, BUT
CONFINE IT TO OUR NORTHERN HALF...BETTER LIFT/DYNAMICS AND SOME
ELEVATED INSTABILITY TO WORK WITH. AFTER WHAT COULD BE A GREAT LAKES
MCS PASSAGE FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS OUR NORTH, THE FRONT CONTINUES TO
SAG SOUTHWARD DURING THE DAY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE ACROSS DELMARVA...DRYING OUT BEHIND THE FRONT ACROSS THE
NORTH. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT FFG ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES IS
RUNNING QUITE LOW WITH A LOT OF AREAS ONLY NEEDING 1.5 INCHES IN AN
HOUR TO CAUSE ISSUES...SOMETHING TO WATCH.

SATURDAY...THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT SHOULD BE FARTHER TO OUR SOUTH
THIS WEEKEND WHILE LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE TAKES OVER...THE LONGWAVE
RIDGING RETROGRADING ALL THE WHILE. WE STILL EXPECT SATURDAY TO BE
RAIN FREE BUT THERE COULD BE LINGERING MID-LEVEL ENERGY MOVING BY TO
OUR SOUTHWEST THAT MAY TOUCH OFF A FEW ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
IN OUR EXTREME SOUTHWEST ZONES...HAVE TIME TO BETTER DEFINE THESE
CHANCES IF ANY.

SUNDAY - TUESDAY...WARM FRONT PASSAGE, FROM WHAT WAS ONCE THE COLD
FRONT EARLIER IN THE PERIOD, MOVES BACK TOWARDS THE NORTH ON SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY. COLD FRONT THEN NEARS FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE
ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS TROUGHING TAKES BACK OVER AGAIN.
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT LOOKS TO PREVAIL AS CENTRAL U.S. RIDGING
AMPLIFIES. THIS MAY SEND SEVERAL SHORTWAVES THROUGH THE REGION
FROM LATE MONDAY ONWARD...NORTHERN PLAINS MCS SEASON.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN OUR REGION THIS
AFTERNOON SHOULD PULL AWAY TO OUR NORTHEAST THIS EVENING. WE HAVE
THE MENTION OF PRECIPITATION IN THE TAFS FOR KABE AND KTTN UNTIL
2100Z.

MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT. THE SKY IS FORECAST
TO BE MAINLY CLEAR BEFORE MIDNIGHT WITH AN INCREASE IN VFR CLOUDS
FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT.

A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON
WEDNESDAY. MVFR CEILINGS ALONG WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH KRDG AND KABE IN THE MORNING.
THE LOWERING CONDITIONS AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD REACH OUR REMAINING
SIX TAF SITES IN THE AFTERNOON.

A SOUTHWESTERLY WIND AROUND 10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD DROP TO 4
TO 8 KNOTS FOR TONIGHT. A WEST SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 5 TO 10 KNOTS
IS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY.

OUTLOOK...

THURSDAY...POTENTIAL MVFR AND IFR RESTRICTIONS IN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS, HIGHEST CHANCES EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WEST-
SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS AT OR UNDER 20 KNOTS.

FRIDAY - SATURDAY NIGHT...VFR. WINDS AT OR UNDER 10 KNOTS, MAINLY
NORTHERLY.

SUNDAY...MOSTLY VFR. SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDER
POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL INFLUENCE THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY
AND DELAWARE FOR TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 TO 15 KNOTS IS
ANTICIPATED. SPEEDS MAY INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS FOR A TIME
TONIGHT ON OUR OCEAN WATERS.

WAVE HEIGHTS ON OUR OCEAN WATERS SHOULD FAVOR THE 2 TO 4 FOOT RANGE
FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 2 FEET OR LESS
ON DELAWARE BAY.

OUTLOOK...

SUB-SCA WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED. ANY WIND GUSTS LOOK TO REMAIN
BELOW 20 KNOTS, MORE NORTHERLY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. SEAS
AROUND FOUR FEET ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THEN AGAIN LATER
THURSDAY.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SPIVEY
NEAR TERM...IOVINO
SHORT TERM...IOVINO
LONG TERM...HEAVENER
AVIATION...IOVINO/HEAVENER/GAINES
MARINE...IOVINO/HEAVENER/GAINES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
358 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

NJZ001-007>010-012-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-101-103-105-106-082000-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-CARBON-
MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
358 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING THAT MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY RAINFALL.
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE IS
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ013-016>023-027-PAZ070-071-102-
104-082000-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-WESTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-
358 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING THAT MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY RAINFALL.
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE IS
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NJZ014-024>026-082000-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-
358 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING THAT MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY RAINFALL.
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE IS
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

DEZ004-082000-
DELAWARE BEACHES-
358 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY THAT
MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY RAINFALL. LOCALIZED FLOODING OF
ROADWAYS AND AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE IS POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

ANZ430-431-450>455-082000-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
358 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
326 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

NJZ001-007>009-PAZ062-072030-
MORRIS-SUSSEX-HUNTERDON-WARREN-NORTHAMPTON-
326 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...A CLUSTER OF HEAVY SHOWERS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN
HUNTERDON...SOUTHERN WARREN... WESTERN MORRIS...SOUTH CENTRAL
SUSSEX...NORTHERN BUCKS AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTHAMPTON COUNTIES...

AT 324 PM EDT...A CLUSTER OF HEAVY SHOWERS WAS OVER WASHINGTON...OR
15 MILES NORTHEAST OF EASTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE SHOWERS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE
YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

THESE SHOWERS WILL BE NEAR...
  CALIFON AND GREAT MEADOWS-VIENNA AROUND 340 PM EDT.
  BEATYESTOWN AROUND 350 PM EDT.
  LONG VALLEY AND ALLAMUCHY-PANTHER VALLEY AROUND 355 PM EDT.
  HACKETTSTOWN AROUND 400 PM EDT.
  CHESTER AROUND 410 PM EDT.
  STANHOPE AND BUDD LAKE AROUND 420 PM EDT.
  MENDHAM...NETCONG AND SUCCASUNNA AROUND 425 PM EDT.
  DOVER...HOPATCONG...WHARTON...MOUNT ARLINGTON...VICTORY GARDENS AND
SUCCASUNNA-KENVIL AROUND 430 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SHOWER INCLUDE PALMER HEIGHTS...
BEATTYESTOWN AND PHILLIPSBURG.

LAT...LON 4081 7448 4059 7519 4061 7520 4058 7527
      4068 7536 4105 7464
TIME...MOT...LOC 1924Z 243DEG 14KT 4078 7495

ROBERTSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
328 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

PAZ054-055-061-062-072030-
CARBON-MONROE-NORTHAMPTON-LEHIGH-
328 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN WARREN...
SOUTHEASTERN CARBON...CENTRAL NORTHAMPTON...SOUTHWESTERN MONROE AND
NORTH CENTRAL LEHIGH COUNTIES...

AT 327 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER EMERALD...OR NEAR
LEHIGHTON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE SHOWERS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE
YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  EMERALD AND SCHNECKSVILLE AROUND 330 PM EDT.
  SLATINGTON AND NEFFS AROUND 335 PM EDT.
  PALMERTON...WALNUTPORT...BERLINSVILLE AND BELTZVILLE STATE PARK
AROUND 340 PM EDT.
  NORTHAMPTON AND DANIELSVILLE AROUND 350 PM EDT.
  BEERSVILLE AROUND 355 PM EDT.
  KRESGEVILLE AROUND 400 PM EDT.
  BATH AND KUNKLETOWN AROUND 405 PM EDT.
  ROSSLAND AND GILBERT AROUND 410 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE BOWMANSTOWN...EASTLAWN
GARDENS...WEISSPORT EAST...PARRYVILLE...CHAPMAN...EFFORT...
FIDDLETOWN...PALMER HEIGHTS...STOCKERTOWN AND WEISSPORT.

LAT...LON 4100 7524 4067 7519 4067 7574 4088 7574
TIME...MOT...LOC 1927Z 255DEG 18KT 4077 7567

ROBERTSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
354 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

PAZ054-055-072030-
CARBON-MONROE-
354 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN CARBON AND
NORTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTIES...

AT 354 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER JONAS...OR 12 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MOUNT POCONO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE SHOWERS...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS
STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK
A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  SUN VALLEY AND POCONO RACEWAY AROUND 400 PM EDT.
  LONG POND AROUND 405 PM EDT.
  MCMICHAEL AROUND 410 PM EDT.
  POCONO PINES AROUND 415 PM EDT.
  TANNERSVILLE AND REEDERS AROUND 420 PM EDT.
  MOUNT POCONO AND SCOTRUN AROUND 425 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE BARTONSVILLE AND
MERWINSBURG.

LAT...LON 4092 7558 4103 7566 4117 7534 4100 7524
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 242DEG 20KT 4099 7552

ROBERTSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
412 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

NJZ010-012-015-072045-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-
412 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL MERCER...SOUTH CENTRAL
SOMERSET AND SOUTHWESTERN MIDDLESEX COUNTIES...

AT 411 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER PRINCETON...OR 8 MILES
NORTHEAST OF TRENTON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS
STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK
A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PRINCETON AROUND 420 PM EDT.
  ROCKY HILL...KINGSTON AND PLAINSBORO CENTER AROUND 425 PM EDT.
  HIGHTSTOWN AND PRINCETON MEADOWS AROUND 430 PM EDT.
  SOUTH BRUNSWICK...CRANBURY AND KENDALL PARK AROUND 435 PM EDT.
  DAYTON AND CLEARBROOK PARK AROUND 440 PM EDT.
  EAST BRUNSWICK...JAMESBURG...WHITTINGHAM AND NORTH BRUNSWICK
TOWNSHIP AROUND 445 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE ROSSMOOR...PRINCETON
JUNCTION...CONCORDIA...MONMOUTH JUNCTION...PRINCETON NORTH AND
HEATHCOTE.

LAT...LON 4030 7439 4024 7475 4034 7481 4040 7471
      4050 7453
TIME...MOT...LOC 2011Z 249DEG 20KT 4033 7469

ROBERTSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
420 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

PAZ055-072100-
MONROE-
420 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN WARREN...WESTERN SUSSEX
AND NORTHEASTERN MONROE COUNTIES...

AT 420 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER SCOTRUN...OR NEAR
MOUNT POCONO...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS
STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK
A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PARADISE VALLEY AROUND 430 PM EDT.
  HERNYVILLE...ALPINE MOUNTAIN AND ANALOMINK AROUND 435 PM EDT.
  CANADENSIS AND MOUNTAINHOME AROUND 440 PM EDT.
  ECHO LAKE AROUND 455 PM EDT.
  WERRY LAKE AROUND 500 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE BARTONSVILLE...
CRESCO...MARSHALLS CREEK AND ARLINGTON HEIGHTS.

LAT...LON 4115 7515 4114 7513 4114 7509 4108 7503
      4109 7499 4108 7498 4096 7542 4111 7547
      4125 7522 4125 7513
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 248DEG 20KT 4107 7534

ROBERTSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
436 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

NJZ010-012>014-072115-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-EASTERN MONMOUTH-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
436 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...A SHOWER WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN MONMOUTH...SOUTHEASTERN SOMERSET
AND CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTIES...

AT 435 PM EDT...A SHOWER WAS OVER DAYTON...OR NEAR NEW BRUNSWICK...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS SHOWER...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS
SHOWER. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK
A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SHOWER.

THIS SHOWER WILL BE NEAR...
  NEW BRUNSWICK AROUND 440 PM EDT.
  OLD BRIDGE AND EAST BRUNSWICK AROUND 450 PM EDT.
  EDISON...SAYREVILLE AND BROWNVILLE AROUND 455 PM EDT.
  PERTH AMBOY AND MATAWAN AROUND 500 PM EDT.
  CARTERET AROUND 510 PM EDT.
  KEANSBURG AROUND 515 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SHOWER INCLUDE FORDS...MONMOUTH
JUNCTION...LAURENCE HARBOR...PORT READING...SOUTH RIVER...SEWAREN...
HEATHCOTE...MILLTOWN...WOODBRIDGE AND KEYPORT.

LAT...LON 4032 7456 4041 7463 4060 7422 4060 7421
      4056 7421 4055 7425 4050 7426 4050 7428
      4046 7426 4044 7420 4046 7417 4044 7408
      4046 7401 4047 7401 4046 7400 4045 7398
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 246DEG 24KT 4040 7446

ROBERTSON