Alert archive / New Jersey / Small Craft Advisories in 2015

Small Craft Advisory 158, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

October 16, 2015

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this small craft advisory at Oct 16, 2015, 2:39 PM EDT. It took effect at Oct 17, 2015, 3:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 16, 2015, 2:39 PM EDT (18:39 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 17, 2015, 3:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 19, 2015, 3:20 AM EDT
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

977 
WHUS71 KPHI 161839
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
239 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2015


ANZ450-451-170745-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0157.000000T0000Z-151016T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.151017T0700Z-151018T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
239 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY...
...THIS REPLACES THIS AFTERNOONS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WHICH IS 
CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY ATLANTIC 
  COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KT ARE
  EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AND THEN TURNING NORTHERLY
  LATER SUNDAY NIGHT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ452-453-170745-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.151017T0700Z-151018T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
239 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY.

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KT ARE
  EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AND THEN TURNING NORTHERLY
  LATER SUNDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ454-455-170745-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.151017T1100Z-151018T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
239 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY.

* LOCATIONS...THE ATLANTIC WATERS EAST OF DELAWARE AND THE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 KT. HIGHEST
  CONFIDENCE FOR 25 TO 30 KT GUSTS IS EAST OF THE ENTRANCE TO
  DELAWARE BAY. MEANWHILE, EAST OF FENWICK ISLAND...25 KT GUSTS
  MAY BE DELAYED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KT ARE EXPECTED
  SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AND THEN TURNING NORTHERLY LATER
  SUNDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-170745-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.151017T1100Z-151018T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
239 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY.

* LOCATIONS...DELAWARE BAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET. HIGHEST SEAS NEAR THE BAY ENTRANCE.

* OUTLOOK...WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS OF 25 KT ARE EXPECTED
  SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AND THEN TURNING NORTHERLY LATER
  SUNDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
9 follow-up statements
580 
WHUS71 KPHI 170124
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
924 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2015

 
ANZ450>453-170930-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.151017T0700Z-151018T0900Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
924 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 5 AM
EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KT ARE
  POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND THEN TURNING NORTHERLY LATER SUNDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ454-455-170930-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.151017T1100Z-151018T0900Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
924 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 5 AM
EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE ATLANTIC WATERS EAST OF DELAWARE AND THE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 KT. HIGHEST 
  CONFIDENCE FOR 25 TO 30 KT GUSTS IS EAST OF THE ENTRANCE TO 
  DELAWARE BAY. MEANWHILE... EAST OF FENWICK ISLAND...25 KT 
  GUSTS MAY BE DELAYED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KT ARE
  POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND THEN TURNING NORTHERLY LATER SUNDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-170930-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.151017T1100Z-151018T0400Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
924 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET. HIGHEST SEAS NEAR THE BAY ENTRANCE.

* OUTLOOK...WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS OF 25 KT ARE POSSIBLE
  AGAIN ON SUNDAY AND THEN TURNING NORTHERLY LATER SUNDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
038 
WHUS71 KPHI 170723
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
323 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015



ANZ450>453-172030-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151018T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
323 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE NEW JERSEY COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...A FEW GUSTS TO 25 KT MAY LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENING
  HOURS ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ454-455-172030-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.151017T1100Z-151018T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
323 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE ATLANTIC WATERS EAST OF DELAWARE AND THE
  DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...A FEW GUSTS TO 25 KT MAY LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENING
  HOURS ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-172030-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.151017T1100Z-151018T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
323 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
625 
WHUS71 KPHI 171935
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
335 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015


ANZ450>453-180845-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T0400Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
335 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT SUNDAY
NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...THE NEW JERSEY COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS 25 TO 30 KT,
  ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* SEAS...GENERALLY 3 TO 5 FEET.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ454-455-180845-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T0100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
335 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE ATLANTIC WATERS EAST OF DELAWARE.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 KT, ESPECIALLY
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-180845-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T0100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
335 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...LOWER DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 25 KT,
  ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* SEAS...2 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-180845-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151018T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
335 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...UPPER DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 25 KT,
  ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* SEAS...1 TO 2 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
022 
WHUS71 KPHI 172224
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
624 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015
 
ANZ454-455-181000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
624 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE ATLANTIC WATERS EAST OF DELAWARE.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 KT... 
  ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>453-181000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T0400Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
624 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
SUNDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...THE NEW JERSEY COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS 25 TO 30 
  KT... ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* SEAS...GENERALLY 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-181000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T0100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
624 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...LOWER DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT... ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-181000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151018T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
624 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...UPPER DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 25
  KT...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
374 
WHUS71 KPHI 180710
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
310 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015



ANZ450>453-182015-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T0400Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
310 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...THE NEW JERSEY COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ454-455-182015-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
310 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE ATLANTIC WATERS EAST OF DELAWARE AND DELAWARE
  BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-182015-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T0100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
310 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...LOWER DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-182015-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151018T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
310 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...UPPER DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
074 
WHUS71 KPHI 181435
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1035 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

ANZ450>453-182200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T0400Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
1035 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ454-455-182200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1035 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-182200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T0100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1035 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-182200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151018T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1035 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...AROUND 2 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
310 
WHUS71 KPHI 181931
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
331 PM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

ANZ430-182045-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151018T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
331 PM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

THE WINDS AND SEAS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

$$

ANZ450>455-190900-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
331 PM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS MAY GUST TO 25 KNOTS LATE MONDAY
  NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MAINLY IN THE NEW JERSEY ATLANTIC COASTAL
  WATERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-190400-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T0400Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
331 PM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS.

* SEAS...2 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
745 
WHUS71 KPHI 190339
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1139 PM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015


ANZ431-190800-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T0800Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1139 PM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>455-191000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1139 PM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS MAY GUST TO 25 KNOTS LATE MONDAY 
  NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MAINLY IN THE NEW JERSEY ATLANTIC COASTAL 
  WATERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
786 
WHUS71 KPHI 190720
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
320 AM EDT MON OCT 19 2015



ANZ450>455-190830-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
320 AM EDT MON OCT 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW 25 KT AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

$$

ANZ431-190830-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0158.000000T0000Z-151019T0800Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
320 AM EDT MON OCT 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW 25 KT AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 16, 12:43 PM EDT, 1 hour 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 16, 12:43 PM EDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1243 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COOLING TREND BEGINS IN EARNEST THIS WEEKEND BEHIND ANOTHER
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE TOMORROW. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER OUR
REGION FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS
POSSIBLE LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1230 PM ESTF: TEMPS/WINDS LOOK VERY CLOSE FROM EARLIER FORECASTS
AND SO NO CHANGES THERE. SKYCOVER ADJUSTED A LITTLE FOR CLEARING
CAPE MAY TO KGED SEWD THIS AFTN, AND A TEMPORARY INCREASE IN SCU
NORTHWEST OF I-95 THIS AFTERNOON (P/SUNNY) WHILE ITS MOSTLY SUNNY
I-95 EWD. SHOWER RISK TRIMMED BACK SLIGHTLY TO MAINLY SOUTHERN
DELAWARE BORDER AND ANY SPRINKLES ARE AN UNLIKELY OCCURRENCE THERE
THOUGH RADAR SHOWS VIRGA NEAR S BORDER DE AROUND 1630Z.

STILL A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES IN THE POCONOS LATE TODAY.

BASED ON DEEPENING MIXING THIS AFTERNOON UP THROUGH 850 MB, WE
WILL EXPERIENCE A WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND WITH GUSTS 20-25 MPH.

MAX TEMPS NEAR NORMAL AND SIMILAR TO YESTERDAYS VALUES.

CONFIDENCE: ABOVE AVERAGE.

TONIGHT...ANY SHOWERS THAT DO DEVELOP SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE POCONOS
LATE TODAY SHOULD DISSIPATE THIS EVENING AS INSTABILITY WANES AFTER
DARK. THE REST OF THE NIGHT IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY, EVEN THOUGH ANOTHER
FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT/TOWARD
DAYBREAK SATURDAY. THIS FRONT SHOULD BE DRY AS ANY SHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH IT SHOULD DISSIPATE TO OUR WEST BEFORE THEY REACH
OUR AREA. SKIES SHOULD BE CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT NORTHWEST AFTER GUSTINESS DIMINISHES BETWEEN 7 AND 10 PM EDT
THIS EVENING.

MINIMUM TEMPS NEAR OR JUST BELOW NORMAL.

CONFIDENCE; ABOVE AVERAGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/...
A SUNNY START GIVES WAY TO CONSIDERABLE AFTERNOON CLOUDINESS. IT WILL
BE BREEZY WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH AND MAX TEMPERATURES ABOUT 8 DEGREES
COOLER THAN TODAYS VALUES WITH 850 TEMPS ALMOST 11 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...THE BIG STORY THROUGH THIS PERIOD
WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR FROST AND FREEZE. INLAND AREAS ARE
EXPECTED TO SEE PRIME RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS BOTH
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS, COMBINED WITH THE COLD AIR
ADVECTION THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WILL SET THE STAGE FOR WIDESPREAD
FROST AND FREEZE THIS WEEKEND.

ON SATURDAY NIGHT, IT LOOKS LIKE ANY FREEZE POTENTIAL SHOULD BE
CONFINED TO POCONOS, NW NJ, AND THE LEHIGH VALLEY. SOME AREAS OF
THE PINE BARRENS MAY ALSO REACH OR GO JUST BELOW FREEZING IF WINDS
DECOUPLE. AT THIS POINT HAVE HELD OFF ON A FREEZE WATCH FOR NOW AS
IT IS AT THE VERY END OF THE 48 HOUR PERIOD, BUT ONE MAY BE NEEDED
LATER.

SUNDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE EVEN COLDER. A FREEZE LOOKS POSSIBLE
EVERYWHERE EXCEPT THE I95 URBAN CORRIDOR, THE COAST, AND MOST OF
DELMARVA.

A SECONDARY STORY THROUGH THIS TIME BE LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES
ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH
SHOULD PIVOT SOUTH ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL LOW.
AS IT DOES SO, SHOULD HAVE SIGNIFICANT SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT. THE
PROBLEM IS, BY THIS POINT WE WILL HAVE ALSO HAD SIGNIFICANT DRY
AIR ADVECTION, SO ANY NEAR SATURATED LAYER WILL BE VERY SHALLOW
(GENERALLY NEAR 800 MB ACCORDING TO GFS AND ECMWF MODEL
SOUNDINGS). SO EVEN IF THERE IS PRECIPITATION, IT IS VERY UNLIKELY
THAT CLOUDS WILL BE IN A LAYER COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW GROWTH,
EVEN OVER THE POCONOS AND NW NJ. THUS, PRECIPITATION, IF ANY,
SHOULD BE RAIN.

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW LIFTS FURTHER
AWAY, AND THE SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS OFF SHORE, DOWNSLOPING LOW LEVEL
FLOW AND AIR MASS MODIFICATION SHOULD PROMOTE A WARMING TREND
THROUGH MID WEEK, WITH HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY BACK TO NEAR OR EVEN
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH
FROM THE WEST, BUT AT THIS POINT, THE TRACK OF THE ASSOCIATED
CLOSED LOW AND THE TIMING OF THE FRONT REMAINS UNCERTAIN.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON...VFR SCT CLOUDS AOA 4000 FT THIS AFTERNOON
EXCEPT A FEW AREAS OF BKN CIGS VCNTY KABE AND KRDG. WEST NORTHWEST WIND
GUSTS 20-25 KT.

TONIGHT...VFR CLEAR OR SCT CLOUDS AOA 4000 FT. LIGHT NORTHWEST
WIND.

SATURDAY...VFR CLEAR OR SCT CLOUDS AOA 4500 FEET DURING THE MORNING
BECOMING BKN-OVC CIGS DURING THE AFTERNOON. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS
WITH GUSTS NEAR 25 KT.

OUTLOOK...

SUNDAY...MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WITH RAIN SHOWERS DURING THE
DAY, BUT OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
REMAINDER OF TODAY...SCA CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY WATERS AND ELSEWHERE WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS AROUND
20 KT. ATLC SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. DE BAY 1 TO 3 FEET, HIGHEST AT THE
BAY ENTRANCE.

SATURDAY: CONSIDERING WIDESPREAD SCA FOR WIND.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS LIKELY WITH NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS GUSTING 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS MAY APPROACH 5 FT.

MONDAY...WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD FALL BELOW SCA CONDITIONS EARLY IN
THE DAY.

TUESDAY...GUSTS ABOVE 20 KT, AND SEAS APPROACHING 5 FT ARE
POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY ON THE ATLANTIC WATERS.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ450-
     451.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JOHNSON
NEAR TERM...DRAG 1244
SHORT TERM...DRAG 1244
LONG TERM...JOHNSON
AVIATION...DRAG/JOHNSON 1244
MARINE...DRAG/JOHNSON 1244
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 16, 3:30 AM EDT, 11 hours 9 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
330 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2015

NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-060>062-105-170730-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-UPPER BUCKS-
330 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

FREEZE AND FROST IS LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT. A
WIDESPREAD KILLING FREEZE IS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ012-013-015>023-027-PAZ070-071-101>104-106-170730-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
330 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

FROST IS POSSIBLE MAINLY AWAY FROM URBAN CENTERS SATURDAY NIGHT.
ON SUNDAY NIGHT, FROST IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION, WHILE
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR JUST BELOW FREEZING ARE POSSIBLE AWAY FROM
URBAN CENTERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ014-024>026-170730-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-
330 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-170730-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
330 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 16, 3:12 PM EDTFreeze WatchPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Cumberland, Hunterdon, Morris, Ocean and 3 more12 hr
Oct 16, 3:12 PM EDTFreeze WatchPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 10 more24 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New Jersey, 2015Every small craft advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.