Small Craft Advisory 125, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

959 
WHUS71 KPHI 262338
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
738 PM EDT SUN APR 26 2015

ANZ450>455-271045-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0125.150428T0000Z-150428T1600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
738 PM EDT SUN APR 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO
NOON EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

* SEAS...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-271045-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0125.150428T0000Z-150428T1600Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
738 PM EDT SUN APR 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO
NOON EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

* SEAS...1 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

552 
WHUS71 KPHI 270729
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
329 AM EDT MON APR 27 2015

ANZ450>455-272200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0125.150428T0000Z-150428T1600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
329 AM EDT MON APR 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-272200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0125.150428T0000Z-150428T1600Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
329 AM EDT MON APR 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

183 
WHUS71 KPHI 271911
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
311 PM EDT MON APR 27 2015

ANZ450>455-280315-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0125.150428T0000Z-150428T1600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
311 PM EDT MON APR 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-280315-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0125.150428T0000Z-150428T1600Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
311 PM EDT MON APR 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

502 
WHUS71 KPHI 280144
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
944 PM EDT MON APR 27 2015

ANZ450>455-281445-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0125.000000T0000Z-150428T1600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
944 PM EDT MON APR 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-281445-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0125.000000T0000Z-150428T1600Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
944 PM EDT MON APR 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

693 
WHUS71 KPHI 280726
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
326 AM EDT TUE APR 28 2015

ANZ450>455-281600-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0125.000000T0000Z-150428T1600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
326 AM EDT TUE APR 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-281600-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0125.000000T0000Z-150428T1600Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
326 AM EDT TUE APR 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

866 
WHUS71 KPHI 281552
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1152 AM EDT TUE APR 28 2015

ANZ450>455-281700-
/O.EXP.KPHI.SC.Y.0125.000000T0000Z-150428T1600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1152 AM EDT TUE APR 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT NOON EDT TODAY...

WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVER THE WATER THIS
AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT, THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT
NOON.

$$

ANZ430-431-281700-
/O.EXP.KPHI.SC.Y.0125.000000T0000Z-150428T1600Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1152 AM EDT TUE APR 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT NOON EDT TODAY...

WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVER THE WATER THIS
AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT, THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT
NOON.

$$

IOVINO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
938 AM EDT SUN APR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WILL MOVE OUT TO SEA
TODAY AND MERGE INTO A LARGE LOW PRESSURE CIRCULATION NEAR NOVA
SCOTIA EARLY THIS WEEK. LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE GULF COAST TUESDAY
MOVES TO THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST WEDNESDAY THEN
INTENSIFIES NORTHEASTWARD THURSDAY. IT BECOMES A LARGE CIRCULATION
FRIDAY TO THE EAST OF NEW ENGLAND.  WARMER HIGH PRESSURE SPREADS TO
OUR SOUTH NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
FOR THE 930 AM UPDATE...THE CURRENT FORECAST SEEMS PRETTY MUCH ON
TRACK SO NO BIG CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST GRIDS FOR
TODAY. OCEAN WATER TEMPS ARE STILL IN THE 40S AND THERE WILL BE
SOMEWHAT OF AN ONSHORE BREEZE TODAY SO MAX TEMPS NEAR THE SHORE
WERE LOWERED A BIT. OTHERWISE...MAX TEMPS TODAY SHOULD BE 5 TO 10
DEG F WARMER THAN YDAY...ESPECIALLY FROM PHL SWD WHERE CLOUDS ARE
CLEARING OUT AND A MOSTLY SUNNY AFTN IS EXPECTED. LIGHT NLY WINDS
WILL PREVAIL IN THE RELATIVELY WEAK PRES GRAD BETWEEN THE OFFSHORE
LOW AND HIGH PRES RIDGE OVER THE MS VLY.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW...
LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NC COAST WILL CONTINUE TO PULL AWAY TO THE
EAST WHILE HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALY BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA. A DRY
DAY IS EXPECTED WITH VARYING AMOUNTS OF CLOUDS. THERE WILL STILL
BE SOME CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OFFSHORE LOW ACROSS THE SOUTH
THIS MORNING AND THEN IT SHOULD BECOME SUNNY THERE LATER. SOME
DAYTIME CU WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS
WILL BE MOSTLY N OR NE AT 5 TO 10 MPH. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...BUT MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 50S OR LOW 60S...SO
OVERALL QUITE PLEASANT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM MONDAY/...
THE FAIR WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE REMAIN TO THE
WEST WHILE AN UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH.
OVERALL...SKY CONDITIONS WILL AVERAGE PARTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE MILDER THAN THIS MORNING WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S NORTH
AND LOW TO MID 40S ELSEWHERE. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT...MOSTLY FROM THE
NW.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
500 MB: COLDER THAN NORMAL HEIGHTS PREVAIL HERE MOST OF THIS
FORECAST PERIOD WITH A LARGE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC NEAR NOVA SCOTIA, DOMINATING THE FLOW HERE THROUGH TUESDAY.
THEN A POTENTIALLY COMPLEX INTERACTION BETWEEN THE NORTHERN AND
SOUTHERN STREAMS MAY YIELD ANOTHER CLOSED LOW NEAR LONG ISLAND BY
FRIDAY. RIDGING FOLLOWS NEXT WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES: CALENDAR DAY AVERAGES AROUND 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
MONDAY, MAYBE A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY THEN NEAR NORMAL
WEDNESDAY - FRIDAY, WITH A DEFINITE WARMING TREND TO FOLLOW NEXT
WEEKEND!

THE 12/25 NAEFS SITUATIONAL AWARENESS TABLE HAS NOTHING EXTREME FOR
OUR FORECAST AREA THE NEXT 6 DAYS.

HAZARDS THIS 6 DAY PERIOD: FIRE WEATHER IS THE MOST LIKELY CONSIDERATION
PRIOR TO NEXT WEEKEND.

FORECAST BASIS: UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED, A 50 50 BLEND 00Z/26 GFS/NAM
MOS GUIDANCE MONDAY-TUESDAY, 00Z/26 MEX MOS TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY, THEN THE 0521Z/26 WPC GRIDDED ELEMENTS OF MAX/MIN TEMP,
12 HOUR POP, 6 HOUR DEWPOINT-SKY-WIND FROM THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT
SATURDAY.

THE DAILIES...

MONDAY...BREEZY WITH NORTHWEST GUSTING 20-30 MPH DURING THE DAY,
DIMINISHING AT NIGHT. CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS DURING THE DAY WITH
SCATTERED INSTABILITY SHOWERS, MAINLY THE DAYLIGHT HOURS.
CONFIDENCE: ABOVE AVERAGE.

TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY DAY,  PROBABLY CLEARING AT NIGHT.  NNW WIND
GUSTING TO 20 MPH DURING THE DAY, DIMINISHING AT NIGHT. CONFIDENCE:
ABOVE AVERAGE.

WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LIGHT WEST WIND.  CONFIDENCE: AVERAGE
EXCEPT BELOW AVERAGE ON THE SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS MENTIONED IN
THE AFTERNOON.

THURSDAY...CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS WITH CHANCE OF A SPRINKLE OR
SHOWER AS THE WESTERN LOBE OF THE THE ATLANTIC TROUGH ROTATES SEWD
OVERHEAD AND TRIES TO FORM A CLOSED LOW. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND
GUSTING TO 20 MPH DURING THE DAY, POSSIBLY HIGHER COAST. CONFIDENCE:
BELOW AVERAGE.

A CAVEAT FOR THURSDAY...THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THE INTERACTION OF
THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVES MAY YET RESULT IN A
STRONG RAINY GALE FOR OUR COAST THURSDAY.

FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLEAR. NORTHWEST WIND GUSTING 20 TO 25 MPH.
CONFIDENCE: ABOVE AVERAGE.

SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NORTHWEST WIND. CONFIDENCE: ABOVE
AVERAGE. 00Z/26 GFS MOS GUIDANCE.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

VFR CONDS EXPECTED TODAY AT ALL TAF SITES WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.
LIGHT NNE WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING...SHIFTING TO NNW THIS
AFTERNOON. SOMEWHAT GUSTY NE WINDS HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT PHL THIS
MORNING...THIS SEEMS TO BE A LOCAL EFFECT AND SHOULD DIMINISH THIS
AFTERNOON.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW...
GOOD FLYING WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS MOVING WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA WHILE WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE REMAIN ACROSS OUR AREA. CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW
WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION BEFORE MOVING EAST. CLOUDS ARE OF THE
MID VARIETY ACROSS THE DELMARVA AND SRN NJ WITH HIGH CLOUDS FATHER
NORTH. WINDS ARE MOSTLY LIGHT NW/W AND THEY WILL TURN NE AFTER
SUNRISE. LATER TODAY...A CONTINUATION OF VFR WITH DAYTIME CU SCT
ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS MOSTLY NE 5 TO 10 KNOTS. TONIGHT...VFR
(MOSTLY CLEAR) WITH NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY...MAINLY VFR CIGS WITH SCT SHOWERS, MAINLY DAYLIGHT HOURS.
NW WIND GUSTY 20-25 KT DURING THE DAY DIMINISHING AT NIGHT.
CONFIDENCE: ABOVE AVERAGE.

TUESDAY...VFR SCT-BKN AOA 5000 FT.  NNW WIND GUSTY 20 KT.
CONFIDENCE: ABOVE AVERAGE.

WEDNESDAY...VFR WITH SCT-BKN AOA 5000 FT. SMALL CHANCE OF AN
AFTERNOON SHOWER. LIGHT WEST WIND. CONFIDENCE: AVERAGE.

THURSDAY...VFR CIGS WITH A CHANCE OF A SHOWER, MAINLY DAYLIGHT
HOURS. N-NE WIND GUSTY 20 KT. CONFIDENCE: AVERAGE. UNCERTAINTY
EXISTS REGARDING THE POTENTIAL OF THE DEVELOPING OCEAN GALE
COMING CLOSER TO THE COAST THAN NOW GENERALLY EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
NOT A BAD DAY TO BE OUT ON THE WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE GENTLE
WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE WATERS. WINDS WILL MOSTLY NE
TODAY AND THEN TURN MORE NWRLY TONIGHT. WINDS SPEEDS MOSTLY UNDER 10
KNOTS. SEAS ON THE OCEAN MOSTLY AROUND 2 FT TODAY AND TONIGHT
AND ON THE BAY 1 TO 2 FT THROUGH THE PERIOD. A FEW SHOWERS FAR S
BEFORE DAWN TODAY...THEN DRY THE REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY...SCA MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHERE IT WILL BE MORE UNSTABLE WITH NW WIND
GUSTS NEAR 25 KT ALONG THE NEAREST MILE OF THE COAST BUT LESS WIND
ONCE AWAY FROM THE DOCK. NO SCA HAZARD YET. CONFIDENCE FOR A
NEARSHORE SCA IS ABOVE AVERAGE BUT NOT YET CATEGORICAL.

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...NO MARINE HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED. NW
WIND TUESDAY GUST TO 20 KT AND THEN A LIGHT WIND WEDNESDAY.
CONFIDENCE: ABOVE AVERAGE.

THURSDAY...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY APPEARS LIKELY, ESPECIALLY THE
ATLANTIC WATERS WHERE HAZARDOUS SEAS WILL PROBABLY EXCEED 5 FEET
OFF NJ AND 7 FEET EAST OF DELAWARE. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF
GALE FORCE GUSTS AND 13 FEET SEAS. CONFIDENCE: BELOW AVERAGE DUE
TO THE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE SIZE, STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE
NEWD MOVING COASTAL CAROLINA LOW.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
DRY FUELS AND MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH'S OF 25 TO 35 PCT MAY NECESSITATE
STATEMENTS FOR INCREASED FIRE DANGER SOMETIME BETWEEN THIS
AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS TODAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE
CLOSE TO THE NEEDED CRITERIA OR JUST BELOW. RH'S ARE MARGINAL.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DRAG
NEAR TERM...AMC/O'HARA
SHORT TERM...O'HARA
LONG TERM...DRAG
AVIATION...AMC/DRAG/O'HARA
MARINE...DRAG/O'HARA
FIRE WEATHER...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
809 AM EDT SUN APR 26 2015

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-
055-060>062-070-071-101>106-271215-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
809 AM EDT SUN APR 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
DELAWARE...NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST
NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

ANZ430-431-450>455-271215-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
809 AM EDT SUN APR 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.