Severe Thunderstorm Warning 46, NWS Mobile, AL

897 
WWUS54 KMOB 091319
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
819 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2015

ALC097-129-091329-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0046.000000T0000Z-150609T1345Z/
MOBILE AL-WASHINGTON AL-
819 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN MOBILE AND SOUTHERN
WASHINGTON COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

AT 819 AM CDT...THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING FOR NORTHERN
MOBILE AND SOUTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS THUS THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL (800) 284-9059.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8843 3150 8845 3142 8826 3153 8796
      3132 8795 3131 8796 3129 8795 3126 8799
      3126 8797 3125 8794 3116 8794 3116 8797
      3114 8794 3108 8797 3107 8796 3108 8794
      3103 8796 3102 8793 3095 8793 3094 8826
TIME...MOT...LOC 1315Z 000DEG 17KT 3133 8804 3124 8826 3130 8846 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
354 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...FOR TODAY AND
TONIGHT...UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO DIG ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
EARLY THIS MORNING. A SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE BASE OF THIS
TROUGH IS FORCING A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
NORTHERN ALABAMA INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. THE TAIL END OF THE
TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO LINGER ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY THROUGH TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...A WEAK SFC FRONT WILL ALSO MOVE
SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA TODAY AND STALL AS THE UPPER SHORTWAVE MOVES
AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST. THEREFORE...EXPECT THE CURRENT BAND OF
CONVECTION TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE AREA
LATER THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...INCREASING DEEP LAYER MOISTURE COMBINED
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE REGION AND OUTFLOWS EMANATING FROM
STORMS TO THE NORTH WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING RAPIDLY THROUGH THE MORNING. CURRENT RADAR
IMAGERY IS ALREADY INDICATING INCREASING SHOWERS OVER THE MARINE
AREA...LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING TROUGH. DUE TO THE
FEATURES IN PLACE...CANNOT REALLY PINPOINT A PERIOD OF HIGHEST
POPS...SO HAVE GONE NUMEROUS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY.
THE SEVERE RISK IS LOW TODAY...HOWEVER A FEW STRONGER STORM COULD
PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS. HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL
BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID 80S.

CONVECTION WILL DECREASE IN COVERAGE THIS EVENING...HOWEVER WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH LINGERING ACROSS THE REGION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. LOWS WILL BE IN THE
UPPER 60S/LOW 70S INLAND TO MID 70S ALONG THE COAST. /13

THIS AFTERNOON'S WET MICROBURST RISK IS LOW TO MODERATE.

FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...AN UPPER TROF OVER THE EASTERN
STATES EJECTS OFF TO THE EAST ON WEDNESDAY BUT LEAVES A BROAD UPPER
LOW ROUGHLY CENTERED OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST. THE BROAD
UPPER LOW RETREATS WESTWARD THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF AS UPPER RIDGING STRENGTHENS SOMEWHAT OVER THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC...WITH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES MEANWHILE ROTATING
THROUGH THE UPPER LOW.  A SURFACE RIDGE GRADUALLY STRENGTHENS OVER
THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH THURSDAY WITH A MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW
CONTINUING. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.5-1.8 INCHES WEDNESDAY
MORNING TREND HIGHER IN THE PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW REACHING VALUES
OF 1.9-2.0 INCHES BY THURSDAY. THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME VESTIGES OF
A SURFACE TROF LINGERING OVER THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY WHICH
WHEN COMBINED WITH A WEAK SEA BREEZE AND THE DEVELOPING UPPER LOW
WILL SUPPORT LIKELY POPS FOR MOST OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. WILL HAVE
CHANCE POPS WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR LINGERING CONVECTION...THEN FOR
THURSDAY THE BEST SUPPORT FOR CONVECTION LOOKS TO SHIFT MAINLY INTO
THE NORTHERN GULF AS A SHORT WAVE SLOWLY ROTATES THROUGH THE UPPER
LOW. HAVE GONE WITH CHANCE TO GOOD CHANCE POPS FOR MOST OF THE AREA
ON THURSDAY WITH SIMILAR POPS THURSDAY NIGHT EXCEPT FOR SOMEWHAT
HIGHER POPS NEAR COASTAL ALABAMA NEAR AN ANTICIPATED FAVORED REGION
OF MID TO UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. MAY SEE A STRONG STORM OR TWO EACH DAY
BUT AM NOT EXPECTED SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT IN THIS RATHER MOIST LOW
SHEAR ENVIRONMENT.  HIGHS EACH DAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 80S NEAR
THE COAST TO UPPER 80S FURTHER INLAND. LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S INLAND TO LOWER 70S CLOSER TO THE
COAST...THEN SOMEWHAT MILDER CONDITIONS FOLLOW FOR THURSDAY NIGHT
WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. /29

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...THE BROAD UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO
SHIFT WESTWARD AND EVENTUALLY DISSIPATES BY SATURDAY AS RIDGING
CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND
LATER FORMS AN UPPER HIGH OVER THE AREA. A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF SHIFTS INTO THE GULF COAST STATES EARLY IN PERIOD WITH
A LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW CONTINUING THROUGH THE PERIOD.
WILL HAVE CHANCE TO GOOD CHANCE POPS ON FRIDAY...WITH LIKELY POPS FOR
COASTAL ALABAMA WHERE FAVORABLE MID TO UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT PERSISTS
BEFORE THE BROAD UPPER LOW MOVES FURTHER TO THE WEST. DAYTIME CHANCE
POPS AND SLIGHT CHANCE NIGHTTIME POPS OTHERWISE FOLLOW FOR MOST OF
THE AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WHERE WARMER DAYTIME HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S WILL FAVOR SEA BREEZE DEVELOPMENT WITH
CONVECTION LINGERING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
MILD AND RANGE FROM THE LOWER 70S INLAND TO MID 70S CLOSER TO THE
COAST. /29

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z ISSUANCE...SHRA/TSRA WILL INCREASE AT ALL TERMINALS THIS MORNING
WITH CONTINUED CHANCES THROUGH TONIGHT. MVFR/IFR CIGS AND VISBYS
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA
THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. /13

&&

.MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH THE WEEK...BECOMING BETTER DEVELOPED LATE
IN THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED ONSHORE
FLOW WITH SEAS BUILDING LATE IN THE WEEK AS SOUTHERLY FLOW INCREASES.
WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE HIGHER NEAR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. /13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      87  70  86  70  86 /  60  40  60  30  50
PENSACOLA   86  72  86  72  86 /  60  40  60  40  50
DESTIN      85  74  85  74  85 /  60  30  50  40  50
EVERGREEN   87  69  89  68  88 /  60  40  60  30  50
WAYNESBORO  87  69  87  69  86 /  60  30  60  30  50
CAMDEN      87  69  89  68  88 /  60  30  60  30  40
CRESTVIEW   86  69  88  68  88 /  70  30  60  40  50

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
518 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2015

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101030-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
518 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
THE AREA TODAY. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD CONTAIN STRONG GUSTY WINDS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REGION EACH DAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. PERIODS OF LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY AND MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED INSTANCES OF
FLASH FLOODING.

AN INCREASED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL DEVELOP BY THE END OF THE
WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-101030-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
518 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY.
A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

INCREASING ONSHORE WINDS AND SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED BY THURSDAY...AND
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE HIGHER NEAR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
642 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2015

ALZ051>053-MSZ067-076-091245-
WASHINGTON AL-CHOCTAW AL-CLARKE AL-WAYNE MS-GREENE MS-
642 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON...
SOUTHWESTERN CHOCTAW...NORTHWESTERN CLARKE...NORTHEASTERN GREENE AND
WAYNE COUNTIES UNTIL 745 AM CDT...

AT 641 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST
OF MILL CREEK...OR 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF WAYNESBORO...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WAYNESBORO...          CHATOM...              STATE LINE...
MILLRY...              SILAS...               COFFEEVILLE...
GILBERTOWN...          BUCKATUNNA...          FRUITDALE...
CLARA...               BELMONT...             LATON HILL...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS. AVOID USING WIRED
TELEPHONES DIRECTLY CONNECTED TO OUTSIDE PHONE LINES.

HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
GREATLY RESTRICT VISIBILITY AND CREATE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS...WHICH MAY CAUSE VEHICLES TO HYDROPLANE. TRAVELERS ARE
URGED TO USE CAUTION.

LAT...LON 3183 8893 3185 8865 3190 8847 3193 8795
      3113 8846 3166 8894
TIME...MOT...LOC 1141Z 298DEG 32KT 3177 8888

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
717 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2015

ALZ052-053-261>264-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-091315-
MOBILE INLAND AL-MOBILE CENTRAL AL-BALDWIN INLAND AL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL AL-WASHINGTON AL-CLARKE AL-GEORGE MS-STONE MS-
PERRY MS-WAYNE MS-GREENE MS-
717 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN BALDWIN...
MOBILE...WASHINGTON...SOUTHWESTERN CLARKE...GEORGE...GREENE...EASTERN
STONE...SOUTHERN WAYNE AND PERRY COUNTIES UNTIL 815 AM CDT...

AT 716 AM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM SAINT STEPHENS TO NEAR OVETT...AND MOVING SOUTH
AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOBILE...              PRICHARD...            SARALAND...
BAY MINETTE...         SPANISH FORT...        SATSUMA...
CHICKASAW...           ROBERTSDALE...         CITRONELLE...
LUCEDALE...            CREOLA...              LOXLEY...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS. AVOID USING WIRED
TELEPHONES DIRECTLY CONNECTED TO OUTSIDE PHONE LINES.

HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
GREATLY RESTRICT VISIBILITY AND CREATE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS...WHICH MAY CAUSE VEHICLES TO HYDROPLANE. TRAVELERS ARE
URGED TO USE CAUTION.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL (800) 284-9059.

LAT...LON 3143 8894 3157 8894 3159 8797 3059 8762
      3061 8791 3075 8793 3065 8793 3074 8803
      3067 8802 3068 8803 3073 8804 3075 8804
      3062 8806 3064 8841 3074 8841 3073 8888
      3068 8908 3143 8911
TIME...MOT...LOC 1216Z 352DEG 26KT 3153 8805 3152 8904