River Flood Warning 64, NWS Mobile, AL

500 
WGUS44 KMOB 291636 CCA
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA
1028 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...The National Weather Service in New Orleans La has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida... 

  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER affecting Covington...Escambia...
  Okaloosa and Santa Rosa Counties.
  
  BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON affecting Okaloosa and Santa Rosa 
  Counties.

.Heavy rainfall is forecast to occur over the next 24 hours. As a 
result...river levels are forecast to rise and a flood warning is now
in effect.  It is emphasized that the following forecast is based on 
the expected rainfall during the next 24 hours.  If less rainfall 
occurs...it may be necessary to revise this stage forecast downward.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-301628-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0063.151231T1800Z-160101T2024Z/
/BAKF1.3.ER.151231T1800Z.160101T0600Z.160101T1424Z.NR/
1028 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The National Weather Service in New Orleans La has issued a 

* FLOOD WARNING for 
  The BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER
* From Thursday afternoon until Friday afternoon
* At 09AM Tuesday the stage was...7.8 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is forecast 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet. 
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday afternoon and 
  continue to rise near 11.4 feet by early Friday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Friday afternoon.
* At 11.0 feet...Some minor flooding of secondary roads and lowlands 
  from around Baker downstream will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688 
 3070 8690 3082 8675 
 
 
$$

FLC091-113-301628-
/O.COR.KMOB.FL.W.0064.151231T1424Z-160102T1424Z/
/MLNF1.1.ER.151231T1424Z.160101T1200Z.160102T0824Z.NO/
1028 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The National Weather Service in New Orleans La has issued a 

* FLOOD WARNING for 
  The BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON
* From Thursday morning until Saturday morning
* At 09AM Tuesday the stage was...6.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday morning and continue
  to rise near 10.9 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall below
  flood stage by Saturday morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding of lowlands and fish camps along the creek 
  will subside as the level drops below 10 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3091 8696 3088 8694 3081 8700 3068 8696
 3068 8697 3080 8704


$$

212 
WGUS84 KMOB 291812
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA
1212 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Florida...
 
  BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON affecting Okaloosa and Santa Rosa 
  Counties.

This warning is being cancelled only due to a error in the mapping program. 
The warning for this river will be reissued immediately. 

&&

FLC091-113-291842-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0064.151231T1424Z-160102T1424Z/
/MLNF1.1.ER.151231T1424Z.160101T1200Z.160102T0824Z.NO/
1212 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The FLOOD WARNING is CANCELLED for
  The BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON
* At 11AM Tuesday the stage was 6.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday morning and continue
  to rise near 10.9 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall below
  flood stage by .

&&

$$

066 
WGUS44 KMOB 300302
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
902 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015



...The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a flood warning for the 
following rivers in Alabama...Florida... 

  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and 
  Santa Rosa Counties.
  Big Coldwater Creek Near Milton affecting Okaloosa and Santa Rosa Counties.

.Heavy rainfall has occurred and is forecast to occur over the next 24 hours. As a result...river
levels are forecast to rise and a flood warning is now in effect.  I

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-310302-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0063.151231T1727Z-160102T1715Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.151231T1727Z.160101T1200Z.160102T1115Z.UU/
902 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a 

* FLOOD WARNING for 
  The Blackwater River Near Baker
* From Thursday morning until Saturday morning
* At 08PM Tuesday the stage was...7.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet. 
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late Thursday morning and continue to 
  rise near 12.7 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  by Saturday morning.
* At 12.0 feet...Flooding of secondary roads and lowlands will subside as the 
  river drops below 12 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

FLC091-113-310302-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0064.151231T1251Z-160103T0400Z/
/MLNF1.1.ER.151231T1251Z.160101T1200Z.160102T2200Z.NO/
902 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a 

* FLOOD WARNING for 
  The Big Coldwater Creek Near Milton
* From Thursday morning until Saturday evening
* At 08PM Tuesday the stage was...7.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday morning and continue to rise 
  near 11.9 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by 
  Saturday evening.
* At 10.0 feet...Flooding of lowlands and some fish camps will occur as the 
  creek rises above 10 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3091 8696 3088 8694 3081 8700 3068 8696
 3068 8697 3080 8704                  

$$

981 
WGUS84 KMOB 301732
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1132 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Florida...
 
  Big Coldwater Creek Near Milton affecting Okaloosa and Santa Rosa Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

FLC091-113-311732-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0064.160101T0300Z-160103T0200Z/
/MLNF1.1.ER.160101T0300Z.160101T1800Z.160102T2000Z.NO/
1132 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday evening...
...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Big Coldwater Creek Near Milton
* From tomorrow late evening until Saturday evening.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 7.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late tomorrow evening and continue to 
  rise near 10.7 feet by Friday afternoon. The river will fall below flood
  stage by Saturday afternoon.
* At 10 feet...Flooding of lowlands and some fish camps.

&&

LAT...LON 3091 8696 3088 8694 3081 8700 3068 8696
 3068 8697 3080 8704                  

$$

832 
WGUS84 KMOB 310250
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
850 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015
 

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Alabama...
Florida...
 
  Perdido River Near Barrineau Park affecting Baldwin and Escambia Counties.
  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and 
  Santa Rosa Counties.
  Big Coldwater Creek Near Milton affecting Okaloosa and Santa Rosa Counties.

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 


SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC003-FLC033-310320-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-160103T0000Z/
/BRPF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015

The FLOOD WARNING is CANCELLED for
  The Perdido River Near Barrineau Park
* At 7PM Wednesday the stage was 6.6 feet and rising. The river is expected to crest at 
  9.3 feet late Friday night. 
* Flood stage is 13 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3080 8761 3080 8756 3065 8737 3051 8744
 3052 8746 3064 8740                  

$$

ALC003-310320-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-160101T0430Z/
/STXA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015

The FLOOD WARNING is CANCELLED for
  The Styx River Near Elsanor
* At 8PM Wednesday the stage was 6.1 feet and rising. The river is expected to crest at 
  7.1 feet Thursday afternoon.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3063 8758 3060 8749 3057 8751 3062 8759


$$

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-310320-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-160102T1536Z/
/BAKF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
850 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015

The FLOOD WARNING is CANCELLED for
  The Blackwater River Near Baker
* At 8PM Wednesday the stage was 7.8 feet and rising. The river is expected to crest at
  9.8 feet early Friday morning. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

FLC091-113-310320-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-160103T0200Z/
/MLNF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015

The FLOOD WARNING is CANCELLED for
  The Big Coldwater Creek Near Milton
* At 8PM Wednesday the stage was 7.3 feet and rising. The river is expected to crest at 
  8 feet Saturday around noon.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3091 8696 3088 8694 3081 8700 3068 8696
 3068 8697 3080 8704                  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
518 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

.NEAR TERM /NOW THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...A WEAK COLD FRONT THAT MOVED
OFFSHORE YESTERDAY RETURNS QUICKLY THROUGH TONIGHT SETTING THE STAGE
FOR MORE RAIN LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY WED MORNING. ALOFT A PERSISTENT
SW FLOW WILL ALLOW BETTER MOISTURE IN THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS TO
FILL BACK OVER THE REGION LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOUTH OF THE WARM
FRONT DEEP GULF MOISTURE IN THE LOWER LEVEL SPREADS NORTH OVER THE
FORECAST AREA BY LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT POSSIBLY LEADING TO
A HEAVY RAIN EVENT OVER MOST OF THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA BEGINNING BY EARLY WED MORNING. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH TONIGHT
RANGE FROM .5 TO AROUND 1 INCH OVER THE FCST AREA WITH THE HIGHEST
AMOUNTS OCCURRING GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE STRETCHING FROM
ANDALUSIA TO MOBILE IN AL. WITH LIMITED INSTABILITY IN THE LOWER
LEVELS COMBINED WITH WEAK FORCING ALOFT THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER
THROUGH TONIGHT REMAINS LOW. WITH ANTECEDENT SOIL CONDITIONS
REMAINING RATHER SATURATED FOR MOST AREAS THE THREAT FOR SOME
LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE OF CONCERN LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY WED
MORNING. AS FOR TEMPS WILL USE A BLEND OF THE WARMER MAV GUIDANCE
AND EARLIER FORECAST TEMPS DUE TO CLOUDS AND RAIN AND BETTER
CONSISTENCY WITH SURROUNDING WFOS. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 60S
TO THE WEST AND THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 TO THE EAST. 32/EE

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...THE SFC FRONT THAT
MOVED THROUGH MONDAY WILL HAVE MOVED BACK NORTH AND STALLED OVER MUCH
OF THE FCST AREA BY WEDNESDAY. DEEP GULF MOISTURE ONCE AGAIN
OVERSPREADS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND GIVEN THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACTING AS A LOW LEVEL FOCUS FOR OVERRUNNING
MOISTURE...WITH RAIN AND SHOWERS INCREASING IN COVERAGE WEDNESDAY. A
FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT THE STORMS WILL
LIKELY BE ELEVATED AND NO SEVERE WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED. ON THURSDAY
AND THURSDAY NIGHT THE RAINFALL WILL LIKELY BECOME MORE STRATIFORM
WITH LESS FORCING AS MID LEVEL FLOW SWITCHES FROM SOUTHERLY TO MORE
WESTERLY OVER THE STALLED SFC BOUNDARY. WITH THIS SFC BOUNDARY
REMAINING STALLED OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FCST AREA THROUGH THE
SHORT TERM PERIOD...EXPECT A SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED PCPN
PATTERN ACROSS THIS AREA. ALTHOUGH RAINFALL WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY
HEAVY AT ANY GIVEN TIME...THE LONG 48 DURATION OF POTENTIAL RAINFALL
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WILL RESULT IN RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES (ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH AND EAST OF I-65).
CONSIDERING THE RECENT HEAVY RAINS WE HAVE BEEN EXPERIENCING OF
LATE...THIS COULD LEAD TO MORE LOCALIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS. MANY AREA
RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO SEE ELEVATED STAGES AND MINOR FLOODING.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS FOR
SPECIFIC INFORMATION ON THESE. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY RANGE
FROM THE UPPER 50 AND NEAR 60 WEST TO UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S
EAST...AND IN THE UPPER 50S WEST AND LOWER 60S EAST ON THURSDAY. WELL
DEFINED WEST TO EAST TEMPERATURE GRADIENT FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT LOWS AS
WELL...RANGING FROM MID TO UPPER 40S WEST TO UPPER 50S AND NEAR 60
EAST. COOLER ON THURSDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS RANGING FROM LOWER TO UPPER
40S OVER MOST OF THE FCST AREA. 12/DS

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...LITTLE CHANGE TO OVERALL PATTERN
FRIDAY WITH GRADUAL CHANGES BEGINNING ON SATURDAY. EXPECT LOW END
CHANCE POPS CONTINUING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...BUT UPPER LEVEL ENERGY
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL PUSH THE NEARLY
STATIONARY SFC FRONT AND DEEPER MOISTURE EAST OF THE AREA...FINALLY ENDING
THE RAIN CHANCES FOR A FEW DAYS. TURNING SLIGHTLY COOLER DURING THE
LONG TERM PERIOD...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE 50S AND NIGHTTIME LOWS
IN THE 30S. 12/DS

&&

.MARINE...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
MARINE AREA THROUGH THIS MORNING THEN SHIFT NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO
A WARM FRONT APPROACHING QUICKLY FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL STALL OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION AND NORTH
CENTRAL GULF THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY THEN DRIFT SOUTHEAST THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK IN RESPONSE TO ANOTHER COLD FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR AND ALONG THE WARM FRONT
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY THEN SHIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD LATER
IN THE WEEK. NORTHERLY WINDS AND SEAS WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE
COLD FRONT LATE THURSDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. SEAS UP TO 7 FEET
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT POSSIBLY LEADING TO
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE THU THROUGH EARLY SAT. 32/EE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      64  60  66  52 /  20  80  90  60
PENSACOLA   68  63  71  58 /  40  60  80  70
DESTIN      70  66  73  62 /  40  50  80  70
EVERGREEN   68  62  68  54 /  20  70  90  60
WAYNESBORO  64  55  59  47 /  10  80  80  30
CAMDEN      65  58  62  51 /  10  80  90  40
CRESTVIEW   70  64  73  59 /  40  50  80  70

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
615 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-301200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
615 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A HIGH RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES ALONG THE GULF
BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA DUE TO A PERSISTENT LONG
PERIOD ONSHORE SWELL COMBINED WITH A MODERATE SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW
DEVELOPING BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

DEEP GULF MOISTURE SPREADS OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION
ON WEDNESDAY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FORECAST TO INCREASE IN
AREAL COVERAGE. LATEST FORECASTS CALL FOR ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS
TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
CONSIDERING THE RECENT HEAVY RAINS EARLIER IN THE WEEK MORE
LOCALIZED FLOODING COULD BECOME A CONCERN.

MANY AREA RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO SEE ELEVATED STAGES AND MINOR
FLOODING. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD STATEMENTS AND
WARNINGS FOR SPECIFIC INFORMATION ON THESE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-301200-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
615 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

AREAS OF FOG...POSSIBLY DENSE AT TIMES...WILL BE POSSIBLE MOSTLY
OVER THE NEAR SHORE WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA OUT OT 20
NM ON WEDNESDAY.

HAZARDOUS WIND AND WAVE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE WAKE OF A
COLD FRONT LATE THURSDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY.