Rip Current Statement 23, NWS Mobile, AL

475 
WHUS44 KMOB 171826
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1226 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG WITH HIGH SURF WILL
IMPACT THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.A STRONG SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WIND WILL RESULT IN BUILDING SURF AND A
HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND
THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-180300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.SU.Y.0004.151117T1826Z-151119T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0023.000000T0000Z-151119T0000Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
1226 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF HEIGHTS WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET THIS
  AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND AS HIGH AS 5 TO 7 FEET WEDNESDAY. THE
  ROUGH SURF AND STRONG ONSHORE WINDS WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD DANGEROUS
  RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA
  PANHANDLE.

* TIMING...THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ROUGH SURF AND FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE
  EXPECTED. THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF SWIMMERS. SOME
  MINOR BEACH EROSION IS ALSO LIKELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

&&

$$

905 
WHUS44 KMOB 180329
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
929 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG WITH HIGH SURF WILL
IMPACT THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.A STRONG SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WIND WILL RESULT IN BUILDING SURF
AND A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF
ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-181200-
/O.CON.KMOB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151119T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0023.000000T0000Z-151119T0000Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
929 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF HEIGHTS OF 5 TO 7 FEET WILL PERSIST THROUGH
  WEDNESDAY. THE ROUGH SURF AND STRONG ONSHORE WINDS WILL PRODUCE
  WIDESPREAD DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND
  THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

* TIMING...THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ROUGH SURF AND FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS
  ARE EXPECTED. THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF SWIMMERS.
  SOME MINOR BEACH EROSION IS ALSO LIKELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

&&

$$

957 
WHUS44 KMOB 181047
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
447 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG WITH HIGH SURF WILL
IMPACT THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.A STRONG SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WIND WILL RESULT IN BUILDING SURF
AND A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF
ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-181900-
/O.CON.KMOB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151119T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0023.000000T0000Z-151119T0000Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
447 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF HEIGHTS OF 5 TO 7 FEET WILL PERSIST 
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE ROUGH SURF AND STRONG ONSHORE WINDS 
  WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE 
  BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. 

* TIMING...THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ROUGH SURF AND FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP 
  CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF 
  SWIMMERS. SOME MINOR BEACH EROSION IS ALSO LIKELY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

&&

$$

044 
WHUS44 KMOB 181047 CCA
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
447 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG WITH HIGH SURF WILL
IMPACT THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.A STRONG SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WIND WILL RESULT IN BUILDING SURF
AND A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF
ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE THOROUGH TDAY.

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-181900-
/O.COR.KMOB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151119T0000Z/
/O.COR.KMOB.RP.S.0023.000000T0000Z-151119T0000Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
447 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF HEIGHTS OF 5 TO 7 FEET WILL PERSIST 
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE ROUGH SURF AND STRONG ONSHORE WINDS 
  WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE 
  BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. 

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ROUGH SURF AND FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP 
  CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF 
  SWIMMERS. SOME MINOR BEACH EROSION IS ALSO LIKELY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

&&

$$

768 
WHUS44 KMOB 181225
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
625 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG WITH HIGH SURF WILL
IMPACT THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.A STRONG SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WIND WILL RESULT IN HIGH SURF AND A
HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND
THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH TODAY.

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-182030-
/O.CON.KMOB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151119T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0023.000000T0000Z-151119T0000Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
625 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF HEIGHTS OF 4 TO 7 FEET WILL PERSIST THROUGH
  TODAY. THE ROUGH SURF AND STRONG ONSHORE WINDS WILL PRODUCE
  WIDESPREAD DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND
  THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ROUGH SURF AND FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP 
  CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF 
  SWIMMERS. SOME MINOR BEACH EROSION IS ALSO LIKELY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

&&

$$

556 
WHUS44 KMOB 181252
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
652 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG WITH HIGH SURF WILL
IMPACT THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST
FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS MORNING...

.A STRONG SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WIND WILL RESULT IN HIGH SURF AND A
HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA
AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH TODAY. TIDAL LEVELS
RUNNING 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WILL RESULT IN MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING THIS MORNING.

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-181800-
/O.NEW.KMOB.CF.Y.0003.151118T1252Z-151118T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151119T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0023.000000T0000Z-151119T0000Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
652 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...TIDAL LEVELS RUNNING 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
  HAVE RESULTED IN MINOR FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND NORMALLY FLOOD
  PRONE AREAS ALONG THE COAST EARLY THIS MORNING.

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF HEIGHTS OF 4 TO 7 FEET WILL PERSIST 
  THROUGH TODAY. THE ROUGH SURF AND STRONG ONSHORE WINDS WILL 
  PRODUCE WIDESPREAD DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF 
  ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. 

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ROUGH SURF AND FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP 
  CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF 
  SWIMMERS. SOME MINOR BEACH EROSION IS ALSO LIKELY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

093 
WHUS44 KMOB 181712
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1112 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG WITH HIGH SURF WILL
IMPACT THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE
NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING...

.A STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT THAT IS
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN HIGH
SURF AND A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF
ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. WHILE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE FALLING THIS AFTERNOON...WATER
LEVELS CONTINUE TO RUN 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AND WILL LIKELY RESULT
IN CONTINUED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE COAST IN LOW LYING AND
NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS. 

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-190000-
/O.EXT.KMOB.CF.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-151119T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151119T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0023.000000T0000Z-151119T0000Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
1112 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* COASTAL FLOODING...TIDAL LEVELS RUNNING 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
  WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND NORMALLY
  FLOOD PRONE AREAS ALONG THE COAST THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. 

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF HEIGHTS OF 4 TO 7 FEET WILL PERSIST 
  THROUGH TODAY. THE ROUGH SURF AND STRONG ONSHORE WINDS WILL 
  PRODUCE WIDESPREAD DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF 
  ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...ROUGH SURF AND FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE
  EXPECTED. THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF SWIMMERS. SOME
  MINOR BEACH EROSION AND COASTAL FLOODING IS ALSO LIKELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
529 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL IMPACT THE REGION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.NEAR TERM /NOW THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...EARLY MORNING SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND RUC 500 MB ANALYSIS SHOW A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM SPINNING IN THE VICINITY OF NORTHEAST NM/SOUTHEAST
CO/AND THE NORTHWEST TX PANHANDLE. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT WAS OCCLUDED
OVER SOUTHERN KS...WITH THE COLD FRONT STRETCHING SOUTHWARD ACROSS
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF OK/TX. CONDITIONS ARE PRETTY QUIET ACROSS OUR
FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WELL IN ADVANCE OF THESE
FEATURES...BUT ACTIVE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT OUR REGION
LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THE DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW IS EXPECTED TO LIFT EASTWARD ACROSS
NORTHERN OK/SOUTHERN KS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE PULLING
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWESTERN STATES
LATE TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MAKE EASTWARD
PROGRESS TOWARD THE ARKLATEX REGION LATE THIS MORNING AND ONWARD TO
THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. A
WELL-ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE/QLCS WILL ADVANCE EASTWARD ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT TODAY AND TONIGHT. SHORT RANGE AND HIGH
RESOLUTION MODEL DATA IS IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH BRINGING THE QLCS
EASTWARD TO THE VICINITY OF THE ARKLATEX REGION BY MID TO LATE
MORNING...THEN EASTWARD TO NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. WHILE THE DEEPEST FORCING REMAINS
WELL TO OUR WEST DURING THE DAY TODAY...WEAK LIFT COULD RESULT IN A
FEW SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA LATE THIS
MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE RATHER LIGHT
AND WENT WITH LOW POPS IN THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE OVER WESTERN AREAS
TODAY. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP INTO THE 15-20 MPH RANGE AND
PERHAPS A LITTLE HIGHER NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND BEACHES AS THE
MSLP GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN THE SURFACE LOW OVER THE PLAINS AND A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD. THE LATEST
FORECAST CALLS FOR WIND GUSTS TO REMAIN JUST SHY OF ADVISORY
CRITERIA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...BUT WILL LET LATER SHIFTS ASSESS
NEWER DATA TO DETERMINE IF ONE WILL BE NEEDED. HIGHS TODAY MOSTLY IN
THE 70S.

THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EASTWARD OVER THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION THIS EVENING AND WILL APPROACH EASTERN
PORTIONS OF MS LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE LATEST
NAM/GFS/ECMWF...AS WELL AS THE LAST FEW RUNS OF THE HRRR KEEP THE
AXIS OF HEAVIER CONVECTION WITHIN THE LINE TO THE WEST OF OUR CWFA
PRIOR TO MIDNIGHT...BUT THE LINE SHOULD ADVANCE INTO SOUTHEAST MS
AND ADJACENT FAR W/SW AL BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6 AM. WE HAVE RAMPED
UP POPS TO CATEGORICAL WEST OF A THOMASVILLE...MOBILE LINE AFTER
06Z. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2-4 INCHES COULD LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING OVER SOUTHEAST MS LATE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND HAVE ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR OUR 5
SOUTHEAST MS COUNTIES IN COORDINATION WITH WFO JAN AND LIX.

IN TERMS OF SEVERE POTENTIAL...DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BECOME QUITE
STRONG ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AHEAD OF AND
ALONG THE APPROACHING SQUALL LINE LATE TONIGHT...WITH 50-60 KNOTS OF
0-6 KM SHEAR LOOKING PROBABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT...NOT TO MENTION A
DEVELOPING 40-50 KNOT 850 MB JET. 0-1 KM SRH ALSO INCREASES TO
AROUND 150 M2/S2 NEAR THE COAST TO 300 M2/S2 INLAND SOUTHEAST MS AND
SOUTHWEST AL LATE TONIGHT. FACTOR IN MUCAPES OF 500-1000 J/KG OVER
SOUTHEAST MS AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AL LATE TONIGHT...AND SEVERE
INGREDIENTS ARE PRESENT...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES
POSSIBLE BOTH ALONG THE LINE AND ANY DISCRETE CELLS THAT CAN DEVELOP
IN ADVANCE OF THE LINE. OUR THINKING IS IN LINE WITH THE LATEST SPC
DAY 1 OUTLOOK...WITH SLIGHT RISK SEVERE PROBABILITIES EXTENDING
ACROSS SOUTHEAST MS AND ADJACENT SOUTHWEST AL...WITH A MORE MARGINAL
RISK FARTHER EAST THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY. WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT
THE SEVERE POTENTIAL IN GRAPHICS AND THE HWO. /21

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...WEDNESDAY...THE
PLAINS SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE MID MISS RIVER VALLEY...PUSHING THE
SURFACE FRONT TO THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE FA BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING. THE SQUALL LINE MOVES EAST OF THE FA SHORTLY AFTER
NOON...WITH SOME POST LINE PRECIP HANGING IN TILL EVENING OVER
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FA. THERE STILL EXISTS ENOUGH INSTABILITY
(500-1000J/KG) AND HELICITY (100-300 M^2/S^2) DURING THE MORNING
HOURS WEDNESDAY FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS TO MIX INTO THE
LINE...SO HAVE CONTINUED WITH THE SEVERE/HEAVY RAIN WORDING THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS. HAVE DROPPED FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH THE
SQUALL LINE EXPECTED TO BE EAST OF THE FA. ALSO...WITH THE STRONG
ONSHORE FLOW EASING...THE HIGH SURF ISSUES WILL EASE ALONG THE COAST
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...A SECOND SHORTWAVE MOVES
OVER THE LOWER MISS RIVER VALLEY (AND THE FA) PUSHING THE SURFACE
FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEX AND BRING A DRIER AND SLIGHTLY
COOLER AIRMASS TO THE FA. WITH THE DRIER AIRMASS...THE DIURNAL TEMP
RANGE OPENS...WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS AROUND SEASONAL WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHTS (MID TO UPPER 40S INLAND FROM THE COAST) AND DAYTIME
HIGHS THURSDAY AROUND 70...A BIT ABOVE SEASONAL.

/16

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
MORE SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVES THROUGH AN UPPER TROUGH THE HAS SET UP
OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS...PUSHING A SECOND FRONT ACROSS
THE FA SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. WITH NO RETURN FLOW AHEAD OF THE
FROPA...DO NOT SEE ANY RAIN WITH THE FRONT. IT DOES DROP THE AROUND
TO A BIT ABOVE SEASONAL TEMPS FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...TO BELOW
SEASONAL BY SUNDAY MORN (UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S)

SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...GUIDANCE IS ADVERTISING A SIGNIFICANTLY
COOLER AIRMASS MOVING OVER THE FA. THE MODEL PHYSICALS ARE
ADVERTISING A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE FA SEEING TEMPS AT OR BELOW
FREEZING BY MONDAY MORN. ENSEMBLES ARE ADVERTISING RESULTANT TEMPS
MONDAY MORNING ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE PHYSICALS INTERPRETATION...SO
...IN COMBINATION WITH THE FACT THAT THIS IS THE END OF THE FORECAST
AND WOULD PREFER ANOTHER DAY OR SO FOR THE GUIDANCE TO SETTLE...HAVE
STAYED AT OR ABOVE FREEZING FOR SUNDAY NIGHT TEMPS. DAYTIME HIGHS
SUNDAY AND MONDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SEASONAL...WITH THE
WARMEST TEMPS IN THE LOW 60S.

/16

&&

.MARINE...A STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BECOME
SOUTHERLY WEDNESDAY MORNING IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE MARINE AREA WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR WINDS OF 20-25 KNOTS AND SEAS BUILDING TO
7-9 FEET OFFSHORE. A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT WEDNESDAY. A MODERATE TO
OCCASIONALLY STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT ON THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY. ANOTHER REINFORCING COLD FRONT
COULD BRING STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AGAIN LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      78  71  72  53 /  20  80 100  10
PENSACOLA   78  73  76  59 /  10  60 100  20
DESTIN      78  73  75  63 /  10  40  90  40
EVERGREEN   78  70  75  52 /  10  50 100  20
WAYNESBORO  79  66  66  50 /  30  90 100  10
CAMDEN      77  69  71  51 /  10  50 100  10
CRESTVIEW   79  70  76  59 /  10  40  90  30

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALZ265-266.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST WEDNESDAY
     FOR ALZ265-266.

FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR FLZ202-204-
     206.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST WEDNESDAY
     FOR FLZ202-204-206.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR MSZ067-075-076-078-079.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR GMZ630-631-
     633>635.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR GMZ632-650-655-
     670-675.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
430 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-171130-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
430 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS OVER AREA BEACHES THROUGH
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT TO OUR WEST DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY...ADVANCING EASTWARD
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND LATE EVENING HOURS. AHEAD OF THE
LINE...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY MORNING. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AROUND
DAYBREAK ON WEDNESDAY AND PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT WITH THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH A CONTINUED
THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
TOTALS ARE EXPECTED. WIDESPREAD FLOODING ISSUES ARE NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ISOLATED INSTANCES OF FLASH FLOODING ALONG WITH
NUISANCE/MINOR URBAN FLOODING ARE LIKELY. THEREFORE...WE ARE NOT
ISSUING A FLASH FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME BUT WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE POTENTIAL.

WITH THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND BUILDING
SEAS...HIGH SURF IS LIKELY TO IMPACT THE BEACHES TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION...CANNOT RULE OUT SOME MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND AND THE FT. PICKENS AREA. TOTAL
TIDE LEVELS OF 2-3 FT MSL ARE LIKELY. A HIGH SURF AND COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY MAY BECOME NECESSARY.

INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL LEAD TO A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS POSSIBLE
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-171130-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
430 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MARINE AREA DURING THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY RAIN
AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LINE OF STORMS.