Storm Warning 3, NWS Medford, OR

119 
WHUS76 KMFR 151029
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
329 AM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015

PZZ370-160000-
/O.CAN.KMFR.SI.Y.0164.000000T0000Z-150315T1800Z/
/O.CAN.KMFR.SW.Y.0168.000000T0000Z-150315T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.GL.W.0010.150315T1029Z-150316T0300Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0013.150315T1029Z-150316T0300Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SR.W.0003.150315T1029Z-150316T0300Z/
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
329 AM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...
...STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING...

THE STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING.
THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING. THE
HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS
EVENING.

* WINDS: SOUTH 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT INCREASING TO GALES
  30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT LATE THIS MORNING AND
  CONTINUING THROUGH AFTERNOON. AREAS DOWNWIND OF CAPE BLANCO WILL
  SEE A PERIOD OF STORM FORCE WINDS 40 TO 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60
  KT THIS AFTERNOON.

* SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET COMPOSED OF SOUTHWEST SWELL AND STEEP WIND
  CHOP THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING VERY STEEP AND WIND DOMINATED
  AT 12 TO 14 FEET LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE
  AFTERNOON.

* AREAS AFFECTED: ALL AREAS WILL BE AFFECTED BY GALES AND VERY 
  STEEP SEAS. HOWEVER...STORM FORCE WINDS AND THE STEEPEST SEAS 
  WILL OCCUR DOWNWIND OF CAPE BLANCO OUT TO AROUND 20 NM THIS 
  AFTERNOON. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO ALL
VESSELS. ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

PZZ376-160000-
/O.CAN.KMFR.SI.Y.0164.000000T0000Z-150315T1800Z/
/O.CAN.KMFR.SW.Y.0168.000000T0000Z-150315T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.GL.W.0010.150315T1029Z-150316T0300Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0013.150315T1029Z-150316T0300Z/
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
329 AM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING.
THE HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS
EVENING.

* WINDS: SOUTH 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT THIS MORNING... 
  THEN INCREASING TO GALES 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT LATE 
  MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 

* SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET COMPOSED OF SOUTHWEST SWELL AND STEEP WIND 
  CHOP THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING VERY STEEP AND WIND 
  DOMINATED AT 12 TO 14 FEET LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING 
  THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: ALL AREAS WILL BE AFFECTED BY GALES AND VERY
  STEEP SEAS TODAY. HOWEVER...STORM FORCE WINDS AND THE STEEPEST
  SEAS WILL OCCUR IN THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE ZONE NEAR
  CAPE BLANCO THIS AFTERNOON.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

PZZ350-160000-
/O.EXT.KMFR.GL.W.0010.150315T1029Z-150316T0300Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0013.150315T1029Z-150316T0300Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SR.W.0003.150315T1029Z-150316T0300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM-
329 AM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...
...STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING...

THE STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING.
THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING.
THE HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH INCREASING TO GALES 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 
  KT LATE MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING. AREAS 
  DOWNWIND OF CAPE BLANCO WILL SEE A PERIOD OF STORM FORCE WINDS 
  40 TO 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT THIS AFTERNOON. 

* SEAS: BECOMING VERY STEEP AND WIND DOMINATED AT 12 TO 14 FEET 
  LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: ALL AREAS WILL BE AFFECTED BY GALES AND VERY
  STEEP SEAS. HOWEVER...STORM FORCE WINDS AND THE STEEPEST SEAS
  WILL OCCUR DOWNWIND OF CAPE BLANCO BEYOND 2 NM FROM SHORE THIS
  AFTERNOON.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO ALL
VESSELS. ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

PZZ356-160000-
/O.EXT.KMFR.GL.W.0010.150315T1029Z-150316T0300Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0013.150315T1029Z-150316T0300Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SI.Y.0164.150315T1029Z-150316T0300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM-
329 AM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT
THIS EVENING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING.
THE HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS
EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS NOW IN EFFECT
UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH INCREASING TO GALES 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 
  KT LATE MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 

* SEAS: BECOMING VERY STEEP AND WIND DOMINATED AT 10 TO 14 FEET 
  LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: MOST OF THE ZONE WILL BE AFFECTED BY GALES AND
  VERY STEEP SEAS TODAY...HOWEVER THE STRONGEST WINDS AND STEEPEST
  SEAS WILL OCCUR FROM PORT ORFORD NORTH THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS
  WILL BE LIGHTER NEAR BROOKINGS...BUT HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE EXPECTED
  THERE AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD

576 
WHUS76 KMFR 152246
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
346 PM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...WARNING CONDITIONS SUBSIDING THIS EVENING...

.STRONG SOUTH WINDS AND VERY STEEP SEAS WILL CONTINUE OVER
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF CAPE BLANCO
THROUGH 5 PM PDT THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL THEN RAPIDLY DIMINISH.
VERY STEEP SEAS WILL SUBSIDE AROUND 8 PM PST. ADVISORY LEVEL
CONDITIONS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE NIGHT GENERALLY SOUTHWEST
THROUGH NORTH OF BUOY 15.

PZZ350-370-161100-
/O.CAN.KMFR.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150316T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KMFR.SI.Y.0164.000000T0000Z-150316T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-150316T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150316T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SW.Y.0170.150316T0300Z-150316T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM-
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
346 PM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS
EVENING... 
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM
THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PDT MONDAY...

THE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR
WINDS IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON. A HAZARDOUS
SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM
THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PDT MONDAY.

* WINDS: SOUTH-SOUTHWEST GALES 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS 40 TO 50 KT
  IN THE GALE WARNING AREA. WEST-SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS
  30 TO 40 KT IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

* SEAS: SOUTHWEST...VERY STEEP...AND WIND DOMINATED 12 TO 17 FEET
  IN THE WARNING AREA THROUGH 5 PM PDT. OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST 8 TO
  12 FEET AT A DOMINANT PERIOD AROUND 8 SECONDS.

* AREAS AFFECTED: GALES WILL OCCUR IN A V SHAPED AREA NORTH OF
  CAPE BLANCO. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED
  ELSEWHERE. HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR THROUGH
  8 PM PDT. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED
  MAINLY SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTH OF BUOY 15.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

&&

$$

PZZ356-160300-
/O.CAN.KMFR.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-150316T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SW.Y.0170.150315T2246Z-150316T0300Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SI.Y.0164.000000T0000Z-150316T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150316T0300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM-
346 PM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT
THIS AFTERNOON...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS
EVENING... 
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM
PDT THIS EVENING...

THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR
WINDS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON. A HAZARDOUS
SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
8 PM PDT THIS EVENING.

* WINDS: WEST-SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS 25 TO 35 KT.

* SEAS: SOUTHWEST...VERY STEEP...AND WIND DOMINATED 10 TO 13 FEET
  IN THE WARNING AREA THROUGH 5 PM PDT. OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST 8 TO
  10 FEET AT A DOMINANT PERIOD AROUND 8 SECONDS.

* AREAS AFFECTED: ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS FOR ALL AREAS. HAZARDOUS
  SEAS WARNING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN ALL AREAS EXCEPT NEAR
  BROOKINGS AND POINT SAINT GEORGE.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

&&

$$

PZZ376-161100-
/O.CAN.KMFR.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-150316T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KMFR.SI.Y.0164.000000T0000Z-150316T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150316T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SW.Y.0170.150316T0300Z-150316T1100Z/
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
346 PM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM
THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PDT MONDAY...

THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR
WINDS IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 AM PDT MONDAY. A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING.

* WINDS: SOUTH INCREASING TO GALES 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 
  KT LATE MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 

* SEAS: BECOMING VERY STEEP AND WIND DOMINATED AT 10 TO 14 FEET 
  LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

* AREAS AFFECTED: THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT
  FROM 10 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COAST WESTWARD TO 30 NAUTICAL
  MILES WEST OF THE COAST AND FROM THE LATITUDE OF CAPE BLANCO TO
  ABOUT 20 NAUTICAL MILES SOUTH OF IT. THE HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING
  COVERS ALL AREAS THROUGH 8 PM PDT. THEREAFTER...ADVISORY LEVEL
  CONDITIONS ARE ONLY EXPECT OVER THE NORTHWESTERN THIRD OF THE
  AREA.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

&&

$$

BTL

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
802 PM PDT SAT MAR 14 2015

.DISCUSSION...15/00Z NAM IN.

CLOUDY SKIES PREVAIL OVER THE MEDFORD CWA WITH WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE CWA. COVERAGE IS SPOTTIER OVER
EASTERN SISKIYOU AND MODOC COUNTIES. THERE ARE ALSO GUSTY SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ALONG THE COAST AND OVER RIDGES...AS WELL AS
THE SHASTA VALLEY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE NORTH WITH THE
WARM FRONT AND WILL END FROM THE SOUTH LATER TONIGHT.

A FRONT IS NOW ONSHORE OVER COOS AND DOUGLAS COUNTIES...BUT IT HAS
STALLED AS IT IS NOW PARALLEL TO THE UPPER LEVEL STEERING FLOW.
HOWEVER...A WAVE IS NOW DEVELOPING ON THIS FRONT OFFSHORE. THIS
WILL CAUSE THE INLAND PORTION TO PULL NORTH AS A WARM FRONT...THEN
THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ONSHORE LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AND SUNDAY EVENING. THE DEEPENING OF THE SURFACE LOW ON THE
FRONTAL WAVE IS THE MAIN ITEM OF CONCERN AT THIS TIME...AS IT WILL
BRING STRONG WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE MEDFORD CWA. HIGH WIND
WARNINGS AND WIND ADVISORIES HAVE ALREADY BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS
STORM AND ARE LISTED BELOW.

ON THE OTHER HAND...PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT...
WHILE SIGNIFICANT...WILL NOT BE EXCESSIVE AND NO FLOODING
PROBLEMS ARE ANTICIPATED. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL BE IN THE
COAST RANGE ABOVE BROOKINGS.

THE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AFD COVERED THIS EVENT IN SOME DETAIL...AND
THAT DISCUSSION FOLLOWS WITH SOME MINIMAL EDITING.

SATURDAY AFTERNOON DISCUSSION...MUCH OF THE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING
THIS STORM STEMMED FROM VARYING MODEL REPRESENTATIONS OF THE
EXISTENCE AND STRENGTH OF A SURFACE LOW JUST OFFSHORE. NOW IT
APPEARS THAT THIS LOW WILL INDEED EXIST AND IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN
AS IT SLIDES NORTH THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS JUST OFFSHORE OF
OREGON. THIS PATTERN IS KNOWN TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS ALONG THE
COAST. WITH MODELS PRODUCING WINDS IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER AND LOW
LEVELS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...HAVE ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR
THE COAST ALONG AND NORTH OF HUMBUG MOUNTAIN. MEANWHILE...ON THE
EAST SIDE AND IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...WINDS AT 700 MB ARE
EXPECTED TO APPROACH 60 TO 70 MPH. THIS IS A GOOD PROXY FOR WIND
GUSTS THERE...SO HAVE OPTED TO ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA WITH A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE USUAL PROBLEMATIC
LOCATIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THESE AREAS PLEASE SEE THE
NON-PRECIPITATION HAZARD STATEMENT (NPWMFR).

AS FOR PRECIPITATION...MOISTURE FLOW INTO THE FORECAST AREA STILL
APPEARS STRONG...SUGGESTING A RATHER WELL DEFINED ATMOSPHERIC
RIVER EVENT. HOWEVER...THERE IS SOME QUESTION AS TO HOW MUCH OF
THIS MOISTURE CAN BE WRUNG OUT. AN UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE WILL HELP
PRODUCE RAIN OVER THE FORECAST AREA ALONG AND WEST OF THE CASCADES
TONIGHT. AFTER A BRIEF BREAK IN THE STEADY RAIN LATE TONIGHT...A
STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL PUSH THE FRONT INLAND LATE SUNDAY.
HOWEVER...BY THIS TIME...THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE WILL BE WELL TO
THE NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. DESPITE THIS...THE LATEST MODEL
RUNS DO SHOW A HEFTY SLUG OF MOISTURE PUSHING ONSHORE ALONG THE
COLD FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT. MUCH OF THIS RAIN WILL FALL OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...AS THE FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO WASH OUT AS IT MOVES FURTHER INLAND. ADJUSTED
PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND AMOUNTS TRENDS TOWARD THE HIGHER
RESOLUTION ARW AND DOWNSCALE NAM...AS THERE HAS BEEN SUCCESS WITH
THOSE MODELS WITH SIMILAR SYSTEMS. RAIN WILL TAPER OFF BY MONDAY
MORNING.

ANOTHER CHANGE TO THE FORECAST OCCURS IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING THE
MAIN EVENT. THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE RESOLVED A TROUGH SWINGING
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA. ALTHOUGH THERE IS LITTLE
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT...IT WILL PRODUCE ENOUGH INSTABILITY
TO PERHAPS BRING SOME SHOWERS AND MAYBE EVEN A ROLL OF THUNDER
HERE OR THERE TO MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. UNCERTAINTY REMAINS
HIGH AS THIS IS THE FIRST CYCLE TO SHOW SUCH A FEATURE. SO...HAVE
KEPT PRECIPITATION CHANCES AT SLIGHT TO CHANCE. ANY SHOWERS WITHIN
THE AREA SHOULD TAPER OFF TUESDAY NIGHT. -BPN

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THE ECMWF AND GFS ARE
IN GENERAL GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE PACNW
WEDNESDAY. THE 18Z GFS IS NOW COMING IN LINE WITH THE ECMWF
SOLUTION THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT OF THE RIDGE SHIFTING TO THE
EAST AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT THAT SHOULD BRING PRECIPITATION INTO
THE COAST FRIDAY MORNING. SOUTH WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT
BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG AS SUNDAY'S WINDS. FROM THERE
MODELS DIVERGE...BUT NONE ARE EXCEPTIONALLY AMPLIFIED IN EITHER
DIRECTION AND HAVE GONE WITH A ZONAL SOLUTION FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE EXTENDED

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 15/00Z TAF CYCLE...A STRENGTHENING WARM FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT YIELDING MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FOR A FEW
HOURS FOR AREAS ALONG AND NEAR THE MARBLE MOUNTAINS IN CALIFORNIA
AND THE CASCADES IN OREGON. CEILINGS WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR AND
IFR AS THIS BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH. SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO PICK UP IN THE WAKE OF THIS WARM FRONT, BUT SOME PATCHY FOG AND
LOW CLOUDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE VALLEYS ON THE SOUTH END OF THE
FRONT LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. AS WINDS PICK UP SUNDAY
MORNING, EXPECT WIND SHEAR TO BE POSSIBLE AT MANY LOCATIONS,
CURRENTLY AT KLAMATH FALLS LATE MORNING AND AT NORTH BEND EARLY
MORNING TO MID-AFTERNOON. AN AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING WILL LIKELY
BE NEEDED AT KLAMATH FALLS SUNDAY LATE MORNING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. A STRONG FRONT PUSHING ONTO THE COAST WILL BRING A
PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND COAST IN THE
DURING THE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING. BTL

&&

.MARINE...UPDATED 300 PM PDT SATURDAY 14 MAR 2015...A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY DRAPED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL BRING INCREASING
SOUTH WINDS AND RAINFALL THIS EVENING. LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH A
LITTLE AFTER MIDNIGHT A SURGE OF SOUTH WINDS IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF
A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTHWARD. A RELATIVE LULL IN THE WINDS WILL
THEN OCCUR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MID MORNING SUNDAY. WINDS AND SEAS
WILL RAPIDLY BUILD TO WARNING LEVELS SUNDAY AFTERNOON PERSISTING
INTO THE EVENING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THE STRONGEST
WINDS ARE LIKELY TO BETWEEN 10 AND 40 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COAST
FROM CAPE BLANCO NORTHWARD BETWEEN 4PM AND 10PM PDT SUNDAY. THESE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH TO JUST SHORT OF STORM FORCE CAUSING
VERY STEEP WIND SEAS TO PEAK AROUND 17 FEET. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO
SETTLE DOWN EARLY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER FRONTAL
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN THE THURSDAY TO FRIDAY TIME FRAME.
BTL

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR
        ORZ021-022-615-618-619.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR
        ORZ030-031-624-625.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR ORZ029.

CA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR CAZ084-085-285.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR
        CAZ081-082-281-282.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 11 PM
        THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR PZZ370.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM PDT MONDAY
        FOR PZZ350-370.
     GALE WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR
        PZZ350-356-370-376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 11 PM THIS
        EVENING TO 11 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR PZZ370-376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 11 PM SUNDAY
        TO 11 AM PDT MONDAY FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT
        SUNDAY FOR PZZ356.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR
        PZZ356-376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 11 PM THIS
        EVENING TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR PZZ376.

15/15/15

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1237 AM PDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1236 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SSE COOS BAY          43.36N 124.22W
03/15/2015  M1.92 INCH       COOS               OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS. OBSERVER
            LOCATION SOUTH OF COOS BAY.

&&

MND